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Reviewing Demetri's Bold Predictions from the 2016 Season

Demetri looks back at his bold predictions for the 2016 fantasy baseball season

Welcome back to RotoBaller's 2016 Bold Predictions series. We've heard from several writers already, but have plenty more fearless forecasts coming down the pike. Today, it's my turn to put my sterling reputation on the line.

I would love to blame most of these on me spending a couple months in Greece this summer. But I made all 10 of these predictions way before my bags were packed. Let's take a look.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS research, lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

Grading the Predictions

1) Mark Teixeira will play more than 140 games 

I was only 24 games shy. You almost did it, Mark, you almost did it. In a season where Teixeira played in 116 games, surpassing last year's total by five, the Yankees veteran first baseman saw his lowest drop in production in his 14 year stint; a career low 14 home runs and 44 RBI. He battled neck spasms in May, took a trip to the DL in June after tearing cartilidge in his right knee, but then remained relatively healthy the rest of the way. He hit his 400th home run in early July and then about a month later, announced that this would be the last season he rocks pinstripes and any other MLB uniform.

Tex has missed around 300 games since 2012, but after a healthy spring, this was his year to play in a full campaign. Joe Girardi also benched Tex a handful of times, and started the young, blooming Tyler Austin and late-season acquired veteran, Billy Butler. Makes you wonder how many more dingers he would have hit if he played in a majority of all those he missed in his career, if he stayed healthy. Some guys simply can't.

Grade: C+

2) Will Smith to finish within top 10 of saves

Yikes. In order to finish within the top 10 of saves, you need to start by recording at least one. Will Smith did not, failing to get jiggy with it for the Brewers. Smith was never the closer in Milwaukee, and didn't taste the role when he was traded to the San Fransisco Giants. Battling with Jeremy Jeffress for the gig in spring training, Smith was beaten by his competitor. Even Jeffress was later replaced by Tyler Thornburg after being shipped to Texas. I wish this was the worst it got on this list, although this is certainly in the running.

Grade: F

3) Jacoby Ellsbury will steal more than 40 stolen bases 

Does half of 40 count? Ellsbury was off to a solid pace, stealing five in April and then six in May, but then something really, really strange, like mind-boggling strange, like some Twilight Zone strange, happened. He. Stopped. Running. It's not like the dude wasn't getting on base, obviously not at an accelerated rate like he was before the Yankees unloaded a UPS truck filled with money on him, but he was. He simply chose to inch, centimeter by centimeter, to second base, something I guess we can consider a "lead," and stayed put. He clearly enjoyed talking to the opposing first baseman more than swiping a bag considering he stole only three in June, three in July, one (in 102 AB) in August, and two in September. As a matter of fact, Ellsbury went August 21st to September 29th without a single stolen base. Wait, without a single attempt. I won't sugarcoat this, Jacoby. You're the worst signing in Yankees franchise history.

Grade: D 

4) Miami Marlins to contend in the NL East 

Alright, we're finally getting somewhere. At the end of July, the Miami Marlins were four games back of the Washington Nationals for first place in the division, and two games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for the top wild card spot in the National League. Their odds at making the playoffs sat at an impressive, and surprising, 38.9%. But then August happened, the team posted a damaging 11-18 record for the month, and were surpassed by the surging New York Mets. There was a hint of glory, flirting with potential of the future. Getting a head start on 2017 predictions, the Marlins will contend again next season.

Grade: B

5) Nolan Arenado wins National League MVP

There are four candidates vying for this honor; Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, Daniel Murphy, and Nolan Arenado. Arenado arguably has the best all around numbers out of the four, with his .292 average, 41 home runs and 133 RBI. But, he plays at Coors Field for half the season, which could very well hinder some voters from giving him the nod. Then we have Murphy's insane average of .345 and solid production, and the teammates in Chicago. We won't know if this bold prediction will come to fruition until after a new team is crowned World Series Champion, but Arenado is an MVP in my book.

Grade: B+

6) Blake Swihart will finish inside Top 10 of fantasy catchers 

And my two-prediction streak comes to a loud, screeching halt. Blake Swihart was named Boston's opening day catcher, but was quickly replaced by Christian Vasquez because of the pitching rotation's struggles. After his demotion, Swihart moved to left field in the minors, and was recalled to the bigs about two weeks following. 11 starts in the outfield later, Swihart collided with the Green Monster and broke his ankle. See you later prediction.

Grade: D-

7) Aaron Hicks will play more games than Brett Gardner 

Brett Gardner struggled against lefties. He also struggled against righties. But nobody had a rougher time in pinstripes this season than Aaron Hicks. Hicks couldn't even sneeze near a pitch thrown by a lefty without striking out, and batted .161 in 118 AB versus southpaws. Hicks played in 25 less games than Gardner, so I was close. But no cigar for me. I predicted that this would be the season that Hicks breaks out, and Gardner finds the bench permanently. Neither happened.

Grade: D

8) Tyler Duffey: American League Cy Young candidate 

So I'm pretty sure a 9-12 record, with a 6.93 ERA (Yikes), 25 homers allowed, in 133.0 innings pitched and 25 games started, should earn him some votes. I just don't know how many exactly. Duffey certainly regressed in his second stint in the MLB, and his first real opportunity of a full season's workload, following 10 impressive starts in 2015. Maybe it didn't help that the Minnesota Twins finished with the league's worst record, and were 35.5 games out of first place at season's end.

Grade: F

9) Joe Mauer will bat .300 

This one was looking pretty good for me. Then April ended, and Mauer's .321 record for the month was replaced with a .253 May average, then lowered even more by a .223 June showing. The former league MVP did have an outstanding August, posting a .337 average and 14 ribbies, but then finished September with an .111 average in limited plate appearances. So, there's that. 2016 marks the third straight season that Mauer has hit below .280.

Grade: D

10) At least one Colorado Rockies pitcher will win 10 games 

Whoop whoop, I got one, regardless of how soft of a prediction this was. Jon Gray finished the 2016 campaign with 10 wins on the nose (phew), but my bet was hedged by Chad Bettis and his strong finish to the season. Bettis recorded 14 wins and lowered an ERA that flirted with 6.00 in early July down to 4.89. Granted nothing too impressive, but Bettis surprisingly had much better numbers at the pitcher's nightmare, Coors Field. At home, Bettis went 8-2 with a 4.44 ERA, and allowed eight fewer home runs than on the road. He also added a complete game shutout against the playoff-bound San Fransisco Giants in early September. Looks like we both ended on a high note.

Grade: A




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Obi Toppin

Expected to Miss One Month
Andrew Nembhard

to Miss Third Straight Game Wednesday
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Out Week-to-Week
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Jusuf Nurkic Iffy for Wednesday
Zaccharie Risacher

Listed as Probable Against Nets
Jalen Johnson

Considered Probable for Wednesday
Dillon Brooks

to Remain Out Wednesday
Jalen Green

Could Make His Suns Debut Wednesday
Anthony Davis

Expected to Play Wednesday
Jaylen Brown

Listed as Probable for Wednesday
Zion Williamson

Uncertain for Wednesday
Alex Caruso

Returns to Thunder Lineup
Gary Trent Jr.

Available Against Knicks
Cole Anthony

Back in Bucks Lineup Tuesday
Miles McBride

Remains Unavailable Tuesday
Guerschon Yabusele

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Karl-Anthony Towns

Good to Go Tuesday
Tre Mann

Available Versus Heat
Simone Fontecchio

Cleared for Action
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Out on Tuesday
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Won't Play Tuesday
Adam Gaudette

Could Miss Time
John Klingberg

Ready for Action Tuesday
Warren Foegele

to Miss "Some Time"
George Springer

Not in the Lineup for Game 4 of World Series
Brett Pesce

Expected to Be Out for One Month
Jake Neighbours

to Miss at Least Five Weeks
Hampus Lindholm

Expected to Return Tuesday
Jacob Markstrom

Returns to Devils Crease Tuesday
Quinn Hughes

Sits Out Second Consecutive Game
Malik Nabers

Should be Ready for Start of Next Season
Lamar Jackson

Says he's "Ready to Go Now"
Isiah Pacheco

Week-to-Week With MCL Sprain
Tyler Shough

Named Saints' Starting Quarterback
Drake Batherson

Picks Up Three Points in Monday's Win
Sidney Crosby

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Michael Kesselring

Expected to Make Season Debut Tuesday
Shayne Gostisbehere

Could Return Tuesday
K'Andre Miller

Expected to Remain Out Tuesday
Pyotr Kochetkov

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Kareem Hunt

Scores Twice in Monday Night Win Over Washington
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Pulled Early in Game 3 With Side Injury
Terry McLaurin

Questionable to Return in Week 8 After Aggravating Quad Injury
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Orioles Finalizing Deal to Hire Craig Albernaz as the Next Manager
William Byron

Dominates at Martinsville and Advances to the Championship Round
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Advances to the Championship Round After Top-Five Finish
Ryan Blaney

Falls Short of the Victory and Title Contention at Martinsville
Chase Elliott

Eliminated From 2025 Title Contention Despite Strong Martinsville Run
William Nylander

Questionable for Tuesday
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to Miss Third Straight Game
Lamar Jackson

Ravens Expect Lamar Jackson to Play on Thursday Night
Dylan Strome

Ruled Out for Tuesday
Brad Marchand

Won't Play on Tuesday
Alexey Toropchenko

Returns to Blues Lineup
Jake Neighbours

Unavailable Versus Penguins
Robert Thomas

Out on Monday
Michael Carter

Cardinals Release Michael Carter on Monday
Carson Wentz

to Undergo Season-Ending Shoulder Surgery
CFB

Behren Morton Will Start Against Kansas State
Nico Collins

Trending Toward a Week 9 Return
Puka Nacua

Expected to Practice Wednesday, Play in Week 9
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Lane Kiffin Says Money Won't Impact his Decision-Making
Tony Pollard

Reportedly Available for Trade
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Arch Manning in Concussion Protocol, Misses Practice Monday
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jaguars Not Planning on Trading Brian Thomas Jr.
Justin Fields

Jets Non-Committal on Justin Fields as the Starter Going Forward
Christopher Bell

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Joey Logano

Lack of Championship-Caliber Speed Leads to Elimination
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Last at Martinsville
Denny Hamlin

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Cam Skattebo

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Ciryl Gane

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Tom Aspinall Vs. Ciryl Gane Ends in No-Contest
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Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
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Wins Vacant Strawweight Title
Mario Bautista

Gets Outclassed
Umar Nurmagomedov

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jailton Almeida

Drops Decision
Alexander Volkov

Wins Split Decision At UFC 321
Azamat Murzakanov

Remains Undefeated
Aleksandar Rakic

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Tucker Kraft

Dominates With 143 Yards, Two Touchdowns on Sunday Night
Troy Franklin

Explodes for Two Touchdowns Against Cowboys
J.K. Dobbins

Breaks 100 Yards Again but Doesn't Find the End Zone
Bo Nix

has a Season-Best Four Passing Touchdowns
Jalen Hurts

Matches Career High With Four Touchdown Passes in Week 8
RJ Harvey

R.J. Harvey Breaks Out With Three Touchdowns in Week 8
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher A Playable DFS option for Martinsville?
Ryan Preece

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Daniel Suarez

May be Worth Rostering in DFS for Martinsville
Austin Dillon

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Christopher Bell

Kyle Larson Should Advance to Championship 4
Joey Logano

Don't Expect Joey Logano to Significantly Contend for Championship 4
William Byron

A DFS Must-Start Due to Lap-Leader Points
Ross Chastain

Hail Melon Nostalgia Masks Ross Chastain's Martinsville Mediocrity
Josh Berry

a Top Contender for DFS Place-Differential Points
Brad Keselowski

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Shane Van Gisbergen

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Kyle Busch

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Carson Hocevar

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Bryce Harper

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Bo Bichette

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Bo Bichette

Makes World Series Roster
Ciryl Gane

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Tom Aspinall

Set for First Official Title Defense
Mackenzie Dern

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Virna Jandiroba

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Mario Bautista

Aims To Extend His Win Streak
MMA

Umar Numagomedov A Favorite At UFC 321
Jailton Almeida

Hopes To Get A Title Shot With A Win
Alexander Volkov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
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Looks To Remain Undefeated
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In Dire Need Of Victory
CFB

Texas Tech QB Will Hammond Will Start vs. Oklahoma State Saturday
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Kansas State RB Dylan Edwards Out For Sunflower Showdown
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Zack Wheeler

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Could Need Finger Surgery
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Utah QB Devon Dampier Listed as Questionable on Big 12 Injury Report

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