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Apr 14, 2026, 10:30 PM ET

Coming off a disappointing T41 at The Masters, Justin Thomas will return to the site of his lone PGA Tour victory last season. He was able to get hot with the irons and putter en route to claiming the plaid jacket, which has arguably been the two most unpredictable parts of his game since the beginning of last year's playoff events. In those seven events played during that time, the Crimson Tide alum has lost strokes on approach in five of them, and on the green in four. His strokes gained per shot from 150-200 yards have fallen 44% compared to his two-year baseline, which is the most prominent approach range at Harbour Town. J.T. has all the tools and knowledge to make a swift turnaround, but he's too volatile at the moment to be trusted for DFS purposes. --Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Apr 14, 2026, 10:14 PM ET

It was an acceptable week in Augusta for Jordan Spieth, who finished T12, ranking fifth in the field in strokes gained on approach (1.48) and sixth in strokes gained around the green (0.79). He also hit the second-most greens in regulation, with a percentage of 76.4%. The only thing holding the three-time major champion back is the flat stick. He's lost strokes putting in three of his last four starts. His 98th current ranking on the season in three-putt avoidance likely has a lot to do with that. Luckily, the tiny greens of Harbour Town should somewhat diminish that worry. The volitility off the tee is always a lingering issue that isn't the greatest fit for this layout, but that's partly what makes him an entertaining watch. Nonetheless, Spieth is a fine play for certain lineups, especially in course horse builds. Winning this event in 2022, his track record here has been better than most in the field.--Todd McGill
Source: PGA Tour
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Apr 14, 2026, 9:55 PM ET

Marco Penge has truly been on a roller coaster for most of 2026. The English golfer almost missed the cut at Augusta after opening with a 76. Penge closed with a 78. It is strange but in five finals rounds, Penge has never finished below a 70. Every other event his approach to the green has been well into negative territory. Worse, Penge's driving accuracy is a mere 49.22% (154th). With so many numbers in the red including approach to the green and putting, it is no surprise why Penge ranks 130th in scoring average at 71.11. This is another week where not rostering Penge in DFS especially is a dangerous option at best. --Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Apr 14, 2026, 9:50 PM ET

Xander Schauffele has been knocking on the door of another career victory over his last three starts. The only reason he hasn't yet is the costly single rounds that get him out of position. He posted a final round of 68 at The Masters to break into the top 10, ranking second on the week in strokes gained on approach (1.88) and fifth in strokes gained off the tee (1.11). His game seems to be in a solid place heading to Hilton Head for the year's fourth Signature Event. If he can avoid making a mess on and around the greens, Schauffele is one of the strongest DFS plays of the week.--Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Apr 14, 2026, 9:43 PM ET

Jake Knapp just keeps rolling along with seven top-25 results in eight events in 2026. The American golfer has not finished worse than 11th, other than the one missed cut at The Players. He leads all golfers in overall strokes gained at 2.002. Furthermore, he has gained 1.285 strokes putting, which ranks second on the PGA Tour. Knapp even combines driving distance with a shred of accuracy. He drives the ball 320.2 yards (sixth) and 69th with accuracy. His only real weakness is overall sand-save percentage, with a 68.3 scoring average (leads the tour). Knapp is a fun betting option for this week's event at Hilton Head.--Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Apr 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET

Kurt Kitayama was playing really well. The American golfer held on to a Top 20 result at the Arnold Palmer only to fall back at THE Players Championship. Since then, he has been mired in a slump. That appeared to be over after an opening round 69 at Augusta, However, a 79 and 75 kept Kitayama well out of contention at the Masters. One of the big problems is that Kitayama loses 0.227 strokes putting (115th). He did not play at RBC Heritage in 2025 but did end up T-33 in 2024. It will be intriguing to see how Kitayama fares on a Hilton Head course that has not been immensely kind to him. He is another golfer that may be avoided from a DFS and betting perspective again. --Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Apr 14, 2026, 9:25 PM ET

After lingering concerns related to a lower back injury he sustained a month ago, Collin Morikawa turned in an impressive, but unexpected T7 finish at The Masters. He would have undoubtedly been one of the leading favorites heading into the week, but being considered a "game time decision" severely diminished hopes. It was a tremendous week on the greens for the two-time major champion, as he led the field in strokes gained putting (2.14). The 29-year-old was also efficient from tee to green, but the hesitance to have confidence swinging the driver caused him to lose strokes off the tee for the first time in 12 starts. Harbour Town's shorter layout should allow him to return to a closer level of normalcy in that regard, and there's clearly no sign of rust elsewhere. Play Morikawa with confidence. --Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Apr 14, 2026, 9:15 PM ET

J.T. Poston has three career wins on the PGA Tour. The American golfer ended up inside the Top 25 for the first time in 2026. Poston managed a 69-68 over the weekend at the Valero Texas Open a couple weeks ago. Poston hits 67.95% of greens in regulation (42nd) but has a 39.32% one-putt percentage and worse averages 28.98 putts per round. Combine that with a mediocre approach to the green metric and Poston has mostly struggled in 2026. He has missed three cuts over his last five tournaments. Poston remains an outright fade from a DFS and betting perspective. --Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Apr 14, 2026, 8:58 PM ET

Robert MacIntyre did not enjoy the Masters. The Scottish golfer started off with an 80 on Thursday then never fully recovered. After seven Top 40 finishes including a fourth and a T-2, MacIntyre was bound to lay an egg as he dropped a surprising 3.54 strokes on approaches to the green. It is not that surprising given he missed the cut at the 2025 Masters almost as epically. Fortunately, MacIntyre tends to bounce back as he ranks inside the Top 10 in strokes gained off the tee and putting. Inevitably, the start will be vital. MacIntyre ranks 12th with a 69.2 scoring average so potentially there is a chance from a DFS perspective. --Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Apr 14, 2026, 8:35 PM ET

Max Homa turned things around at the Masters Tournament. The American golfer finished tied for ninth and netted his first Top 10 of 2026. Overall, it had been a solid season but consecutive missed cuts threatened to snowball. Instead, Homa gained a whopping 3.27 strokes overall. The last time he did that was at the 2024 Masters (3.34). However, the RBC Heritage might be a different story. Homa has struggled at the event including three straight outside Top 40 results plus a missed cut. Hilton Head does not seem to suit Homa so it may be wise to fade any top result bets for this week anyway. --Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Apr 14, 2026, 3:21 PM ET

He made the cut at Augusta last week, but Si Woo Kim was never a part of the story. The consistency from earlier in the year has faded due to some regression in iron play. For a player who consistently struggles to break even on and around the green, ball striking has to be near perfection, and losing strokes on approach in two out of the last three tournaments played doesn't add to the confidence at one of the most approach-reliant courses on the PGA Tour Schedule. His overall talent still provides a solid floor, but the questionable ceiling diminishes his DFS value to the point where there may be better options around him.--Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Apr 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

It was a close call last week at Augusta National for Russell Henley, who posted rounds of 66 and 68 over the weekend to finish in a tie for third. It was the continuation of what has quietly been an impressive last 10 months of golf. It hasn't culminated in a win, but he's been close on many occasions during that span. The most intriguing part, as it pertains to this week at the RBC Heritage, is that the former Georgia Bulldog led the Masters field in strokes gained on approach (2.40). Harbour Town has similar approach numbers as ANGC, which should bode well for the 37-year-old. If the usually dominant putter flourishes a little more than it did last week, he'll be in the mix again.--Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Apr 14, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

It was a weekend to forget for Tommy Fleetwood this past week at Augusta National. He began Saturday in T4, albeit a long way away from the lead at that time, but posted rounds of 73-76 over the final two rounds to fall outside the top 30 on the leaderboard. It was really a total collapse in all areas, but the most surprising shift was in the approach play. The 35-year-old has been exquisite in this area all season long and was performing well before reaching the third round. That likely places blame on being a prisoner of the moment rather than on actually losing his swing, as he is one of the best players from 150 to 200-yard approach shots. 43.6% of approach numbers will come from this yardage at Harbour Town, and should allow him to regain any confidence lost at the year's first major. --Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Apr 14, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

While not the outcome he would have wanted, it was still a successful week at The Masters for Sam Burns. For a guy with very few meaningful major championships, it was a great start to the 2026 season, especially with the rebound on Sunday on the second nine after the rough start to the day. He will travel down to Hilton Head, SC, this week for the RBC Heritage and is looking to get inside the top 15 at this event for a fourth career time. He found his putter again at Augusta, averaging 1.51 strokes gained putting. He also gained over four strokes with his approach play for the week, which is intriguing for Harbour Town since many approach numbers come from similar distances as last week. It's another week of needing supreme iron play and a smart strategy, and Burns looks able to meet the challenge right now.--Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Apr 14, 2026, 10:46 AM ET

Harris English has been good, but he does not have a top-10 finish yet in 2026. The American golfer has finished inside the top 30 in eight of nine events. The RBC Heritage typically requires a few more birdies to be made. English has not performed well in three of the past four appearances, including missing one cut. His average driving distance has dipped in the past two events (4.45% lower than average). Last year at Hilton Head was one of the few events where English lost strokes in putting (0.05). Around the green was a bigger problem, and it has been in 2026, too. He ranks 110th in sand-save percentage and 94th in scrambling from the rough. From a DFS perspective, it may be wise to fade Harris.--Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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