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With three events played to start his 2026 season, Chris Gotterup has already won twice and catapulted his way to No. 5 in the world rankings. The former Scarlett Knight ranks third through the early part of the year in strokes gained from tee to green at an outrageous +2.631 average. This will be his first time playing at the famed Pebble Beach, and the biggest question is, can he keep things going here? The 26-year-old isn't the greatest with low irons and wedges, as his 6.1% good shot percentage from 100 to 150 yards ranks in the 29th percentile of touring pros. He has also never gained strokes putting on poa annua green surfaces so far in his short career. Regardless of his form coming in, pivoting to different options to thwart the high ownership he'll have could be the best strategy from a DFS perspective.--Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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If your strategy is looking for the most consistent player at a particular course, look no further than Jason Day this week at Pebble Beach. He's made more starts on this golf course than just about anyone else in the field, and for the last 10 years, has continually delivered without fail. Considering he hasn't finished outside of the top 25 in any event held on this property in the last decade, it's shocking that he hasn't broken through. However, this year looks ripe for the taking. Day has averaged under 10' in approach proximity from 50-125 yards in his first two starts of the season, and ranks 6th in strokes gained on approach (+1.391) as a whole. As long as he can keep it in the short grass off the tee, he'll likely be a part of the story come Thursday.--Todd McGill
Source: PGA Tour
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It has been a tremendous start to 2026 for Pierceson Coody, who has played his way into the first two Signature Events of the season via the Aon Swing 5 list. He has had four consecutive top-25 finishes, with the highest being a T2 at the FIO. Strokes gained off the tee has been the ultimate weapon for the 26-year-old. That won't necessarily be the best weapon at this famed property, but it's something. The more intriguing part of Coody's game has been his approach metrics from 150 yards and in. In terms of strokes gained metrics, he averages +0.049 strokes gained from less than 150, and 0.00 from beyond it. If you have believed in the hype train before now, there's no reason to jump off this week.--Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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It has now been three straight events, two of them in the new season, of losing strokes on the greens for Sam Burns. He was the leading player in strokes gained putting last season, and that power seems to be on the struggle bus to start the year. The 29-year-old will be making his fourth start in this week's Pebble Beach Pro-Am, where he has established a useful course history to justify DFS consideration. Last week in Phoenix, Burns lost more than four shots on and around the green over the first two rounds before missing the cut. The good news is that his short game was the biggest contributor to stinking it up in the desert, but it's still a concern nonetheless. While his overall appeal has been diminished, he's still more than capable of turning things around, as his ball-striking has still been crisp outside of last week.--Todd McGill
Source: Data Golf
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Matt Fitzpatrick looked strong for most of the week at The American Express before a final-round 74 dropped him back to a T63 finish. He now looks to the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed four times, missing the cut here last year after posting finishes of T15, T29, and T10 in prior starts. Success at TPC Scottsdale typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Through his only start this season, Fitzpatrick ranks 114th in strokes gained off the tee (-0.261 per round) and 66th on approach (+0.296). His best rounds here have also coincided with strong short-game performance, an area that let him down at The American Express, where he lost -0.745 strokes around the green and putting. Despite this, Fitzpatrick has been one of the hottest players on Tour since May of last year and remains a solid option at his $9,300 price tag on DraftKings.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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Sahith Theegala has put together a very strong start to 2026, recording finishes of T7, T8, and T31 in his first three events. He'll look to keep things rolling at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed four times, posting two top-five finishes without a missed cut. His best results here have coincided with strong approach play, an area where he currently ranks 84th on Tour, gaining +0.188 strokes per round. He has also been stellar in the short game, ranking 15th in both strokes gained putting (+1.043 per round) and around the green (+0.611). Theegala is likely to be a popular option after his strong start, but at $8,400 on DraftKings, he can be started confidently this week.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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After a breakout campaign in 2025, J.J. Spaun has taken a step back to start the year, with results of a missed cut and a T40 to start the season. He'll look to find some momentum at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed six times, recording just two finishes inside the top 50. Success at TPC Scottsdale typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Through two events this year, Spaun ranks 77th in strokes gained off the tee (+0.154 per round) and 114th on approach (-0.250). He has made up ground around the green, where he ranks fifth, gaining +1.047 strokes per round. Another thing working in his favor is approach play from 150-200 yards, where he sits in the 86th percentile in proximity over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. At $9,000 on DraftKings, Spaun profiles more as a wait-and-see option than a fantasy must-start.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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Viktor Hovland will make his 2026 PGA Tour debut at the WM Phoenix Open after finishing T14 at the Dubai Desert Classic last week. This will be his fourth time teeing it up at TPC Scottsdale, where he has a T42 and two missed cuts in previous starts. Success here typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Last year, Hovland ranked 83rd in strokes gained off the tee (+0.099 per round) but was second on approach, gaining +0.945 strokes per round. He also sits in the 99th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. Hovland has run into issues in the short game here, losing nearly eight strokes around the green and on the greens in his previous trips. At $9,200 on DraftKings, he brings event-winning upside but is one of the most volatile players in the field.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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Rasmus Hojgaard has been very steady to start 2026, recording a T30 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T44 at The American Express. The long-ball hitter has done most of his damage off the tee, which suits him well at the WM Phoenix Open, where he finished T12 last year. Hojgaard is gaining +0.995 strokes off the tee, ranking sixth on tour, though his irons have lagged behind, losing -0.111 strokes per round (108th) through two events. He also sits in just the 35th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. Despite some ball-striking inconsistency, his elite off-the-tee play should serve him well, and at $7,700 on DraftKings, he offers strong upside in this price range.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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Brian Harman has not gotten off to a strong start in 2026, missing the cut at The American Express after finishing T61 at the Sony Open. He'll look to find some form at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed 12 times, missing just one cut and recording three top-25 finishes. His best results here have coincided with strong off-the-tee play, which is typically paramount to success at TPC Scottsdale. Through two events this year, Harman ranks 131st in strokes gained off the tee (-0.388 per round) and 113th on approach (-0.249). He also sits in the 76th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. Harman needs to find his form, but at $6,800 on DraftKings, he offers solid upside in this price range for a guy who has become a regular here.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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When Daniel Berger gets his putter rolling, it is a beautiful thing to watch. The American golfer finished T2 at the WM Phoenix Open, seven strokes behind Thomas Detry, who was on fire all week. Berger is capable of performances like that, too. Look to his final round 64 at the Sony Open in January. He candidly admitted his middle round 66's in 2025 could have been even better. Early in his career, Berger was a Top 40-50 level putter on tour. If he is getting back to that level again (55th now), look out! The TPC Scottsdale course sets up well for Berger and his accuracy (was +17% in 2025). Placing the ball well makes Berger a DFS and betting option for the WM Phoenix Open.--Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Max Greyserman started strong at the Farmers Insurance Open, opening with a first-round 64 before following it up with a second-round 78 to miss the cut. He'll look to bounce back at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed just once, finishing T49 last year. Success here typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Through two events this season, Greyserman ranks 128th in strokes gained off the tee (-0.335 per round) and 110th on approach (-0.169). He also sits in just the 36th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. After last week's collapse, Greyserman will be looking for some consistency, and at $7,200 on DraftKings, fantasy managers will be hoping to see it.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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Jake Knapp is playing the golf of his life right now. The American golfer contended in both 2026 appearances and netted a Top 5 at the Farmers Insurance Open. Knapp started off well last year at Scottsdale with a 67 but the middle rounds proved costly as he only gained one stroke to par. In 2025, we alluded to the fact that Knapp was seeking to build more runs of consistency. He was successful at times but could not make enough birdies. Off the tee is key for Knapp. Looking at his runs of solid finishes reveals a positive metric here. Typically when his driving distance is 10+% above average, it overcomes his accuracy issues. Again, with a birdie or better conversion percentage at 36.47% in 2025, this raised his DFS outlook. --Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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Joel Dahmen, who started the Farmers Insurance Open as an alternate, took full advantage of the opportunity and finished T7. He'll look to carry that momentum into the WM Phoenix Open, where he has made seven appearances but has yet to finish inside the top 40. Success here typically hinges on strong off-the-tee and approach play. Through two events this season, Dahmen ranks 45th in strokes gained off the tee (+0.418 per round) and 93rd on approach (+0.059). Where he can struggle is from 150-200 yards, ranking in just the 30th percentile in proximity over the last 12 months, a key range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. At $6,900 on DraftKings, Dahmen is likely to be a popular option, but he'll need improved approach play to return value.--Dakota Legg - RotoBaller
Source: PGA Tour
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Corey Conners has not played poorly at the WM Phoenix Open. However, the Canadian golfer has not finished inside the Top 15 in his previous five appearances. Conners' best result came back in 2021 (T-17). Last year, he opened with a 67 then watched things snowball the wrong way. A 73-76 weekend dropped him all the way to a T-70. Conners had several aspects of his game break down at the worst possible time. His betting odds have moved all the way to +7000 on DraftKings (was +5500). Conners' final round 71 at the Sony Open was concerning. Three bogeys on a reasonable Back 9 along with several errant shots cause some nerves even from a DFS standpoint. --Chris Wassel - RotoBaller
Source: PGATour.com
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