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Dave's NASCAR DFS Picks (Xfinity Series) for The BetRivers 200 at Dover Motor Speedway (2025). Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity DFS sleepers.
After two straight road course races, the NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to one of its more traditional tracks in Dover Motor Speedway. The Monster Mile is one of the toughest circuits drivers face throughout the year. It is a grueling test of skill, and only the most talented drivers visit Victory Lane.
Connor Zilisch is coming off his third victory of the season following his win at Sonoma. However, this weekend will mark his first career race at Dover, and the track can be particularly challenging for first-time drivers. Ryan Truex has won the last two Xfinity races at Dover and will be going for the three-peat this weekend. So, how do Zilisch and Truex stack up against the rest of the field?
Let's break it down and look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series BetRivers 200 on DraftKings. Also, make sure to check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series, including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station. This slate locks on 7/19/25 at 4:48 p.m. EDT.
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Post-Qualifying Updates
*Adding Christian Eckes as a value play.*
Top NASCAR Xfinity DFS Plays
Justin Allgaier ($12K)
Starts Seventh
Allgaier sits atop the regular season standings with seven races to go until the playoffs. He's won three times already this season and has led the most laps in the series. His track record at Dover is also quite strong.
He has an average finish of 9.1 in 24 career Xfinity Dover races to go along with two wins, 12 top fives, and 16 top-10s. Allgaier has also led over 550 laps in his career at the track. He's finished inside the top 10 in 12 of the last 14 Dover races and has led a lap in nine out of the last 10 as well. There's no reason to think he won't have another strong finish this weekend at the Monster Mile.
Justin Allgaier wins the Xfinity race at Dover and the Dash 4 Cash in a thrilling battle with Elliott Sadler #OneMain200 #NASCAR pic.twitter.com/KLvX6N3jit
— Travis Fuguet (@TravisFuguet) May 5, 2018
Ross Chastain ($11.5K)
Starts Fifth
With the new entry rules that were put in place a few years ago, we don’t see as many “Buschwhackers” from the Cup series racing on Saturday as we used to. Chastain will try his hand at it this weekend, driving the #9 JR Motorsports Chevy.
He’s started three other Xfinity races this year and has finished inside the top 10 in each one. Chastain hasn’t run an Xfinity race at Dover since 2020 and only has two top fives in 12 Xfinity Dover starts.
Still, he’s in good equipment and is one of the better drivers in the field. Chastain may not wind up in victory lane, but he should finish well inside the top 10 with a shot at a top five.
Aric Almirola ($11K)
Starts Sixth
Almirola is making his eighth start of the season this weekend. He’s got a win to go along with three top-fives in those starts and has led 132 laps this year.
Aric Almirola passes Alex Bowman at the line to win the #GOVX200!!!@ShopGOVX pic.twitter.com/bEjSopgaa4
— The CW Sports (@TheCW_Sports) March 9, 2025
Almirola hasn’t competed in an Xfinity Dover race since 2014, but will have Joe Gibbs horsepower behind him this weekend. We should see another strong finish.
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NASCAR Xfinity DFS Fades
Connor Zilisch ($10K)
Starts Third
Zilisch took home the trophy last week in wine country, and two of his three wins this season have come on road courses. He has been solid on the cookie-cutter tracks so far, but Dover is a different beast.
The JR Motorsports driver has enjoyed a strong first season as a full-time driver in the Xfinity Series. However, this is a bit pricey for a driver making his first career start at Dover. There are better options on the slate.
Austin Hill ($9.5K)
Starts 15th
Hill is tied for the series lead with three wins this year. He won at Martinsville and finished seventh at Nashville. Normally, this would be a good sign for his outlook this weekend since both those tracks are a concrete surface. However, Dover has not been one of his better tracks.
He only has one top-5 finish in three Dover starts. Hill did finish inside the top six in the first two stages last year before ultimately finishing 15th.
He currently sits third in the regular season points standings, so Hill has consistently been fast this year. However, this doesn't feel like the best week to throw him in DFS lineups. Look to play Hill somewhere else down the line.
Mid-Tier NASCAR Xfinity DFS Options
Sheldon Creed ($9.8K)
Starts 11th
Creed has two top-5 finishes in his three career Dover starts. Except for a 37th-place crash-induced finish at Bristol, Creed has been very strong on concrete this year.
He finished second at Martinsville and led 25 laps en route to a fourth-place finish at Nashville back in May. Creed has yet to win a race this year in his first season racing for Gene Haas. He's also never won at Dover, but he has a good track record and is a solid bet for a strong finish.
Sam Mayer ($9K)
Starts 13th
Mayer sits second in the regular season standings but remains winless through 19 races. He’s finished inside the top 10 in all three of his Xfinity Dover starts. Expect another strong finish here, and don’t be surprised if this is the week he finally visits victory lane.
Carson Kvapil ($8.8K)
Starts 14th
Kvapil has two top 10s on concrete this year. This will be his second appearance at Dover in an Xfinity car. While he doesn't have a ton of experience on the track, he did finish second in this race last year. That is pretty impressive for a debut performance at the Monster Mile.
He didn't qualify great, but should have plenty of speed and is a good post-qualifying place differential play. Kvapil could make another run at the checkered flag this weekend.
Brandon Jones ($8.5K)
Starts Fourth
Jones has finished inside the top 20 in eight of the last 10 Dover races with six top 10s. He may not contend for the win, but should post a quality finish.
Ryan Truex ($8K)
Starts 32nd
This will only be Truex's second start of the year. He has not been in an Xfinity series race since Daytona back in February. However, he has won the last two Xfinity races at Dover, and two of his three career Xfinity series victories have come at the Monster Mile.
The big difference this year for Truex is that he will be driving a Sam Hunt car, as opposed to the top-tier equipment he had driven in the previous two years for Joe Gibbs Racing. Still, he leads all Xfinity drivers in Driver Rating at Dover since 2022.
A three-peat is unlikely, but another top-10 or top-5 finish is possible. He's a good value play at this price and is a good place differential play following a poor qualifying effort.
NASCAR Xfinity DFS Value Options
Christian Eckes ($7.8K)
Starts 31st
Eckes had a poor qualifying run, but he was decent in practice. He posted the 14th-best 10 consecutive lap average. Eckes won't be live for the win, but he should finish higher than his 31st starting position and is a good place differential play.
Harrison Burton ($7.2K)
Starts Ninth
Burton has been hit or miss on concrete this year with finishes outside the top 20 at Bristol and Martinsville to go along with a 12th-place finish at Nashville. He does, though, have two top 10s in his four Xfinity Dover starts with an average finish of 15th.
Burton rebounded from a poor showing in practice to qualify in the top 10. He should be live for a decent finish.
Jeb Burton ($7K)
Starts 10th
We’ll go with another Burton for our final value play. He’s got an average finish of 12.8 in 7 career Dover starts and has never finished outside the top 20. Consider pairing him with some of the higher-priced options listed above.
More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis
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