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Legit Breakouts or Flukes? Colston Loveland, Alec Pierce, Tory Horton Fantasy Football Outlooks

Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

John's fantasy football start 'em, sit 'em picks for Week 10 of 2025. Are the breakout performances from Colston Loveland, Alec Pierce, Tory Horton legit or flukes?

Chicago Bears tight end Colston Loveland, Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce, and Seattle Seahawks WR Tory Horton's Week 9 performances were easily the biggest games they've had this season.

With each of these players rostered in under 30 percent of Sleeper fantasy football leagues pre-waivers, it seems that not many fantasy managers were expecting such monster games from these three.

But a huge part of fantasy football is reacting quickly, and properly, to big performances from players you might not even have known about beforehand. So, should you grab Loveland, Pierce, and Horton in fantasy leagues? Where their big games legit or flukes? And should they be started in Week 10? Let's dive in.

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Was Colston Loveland's Performance Legit Or A Fluke?

Loveland followed up six straight games scoring single-digit PPR fantasy points and one missed game due to injury with a monster 29.8 point explosion against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 9. The hapless defense had no answer for his separation skills, size, catch radius, and run-after-catch abilities.

It was a surprise for many fantasy football managers, as Loveland had been completely off the radar up to that point outside of dynasty leagues. But rookies have a way of coming on strong in the later parts of their first season in the NFL.

Loveland's huge touchdown catch to ice the win was very impressive. It's noteworthy that the Bengals have what can only be described as one of the worst defenses in recent memory right now. They've been absolutely gashed all season, and last week, they gave up nearly 50 points, including a last-minute game-winning drive.

Loveland was the No. 10 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, though. He's a highly talented player, possessing a lethal combination of traits that will make him an excellent player in the NFL for years to come. But Chicago has a crowded room of pass-catchers.

Additionally, he's had extra playing time in the absence of TE Cole Kmet (concussion), who is likely to return next week. It's been a bit odd to see Kmet get so much playing time at the expense of an early first-round pick, but usually, freshman seasons in the NFL aren't marked by a ton of playing time.

And he is a versatile player. But his upside probably won't fully be realized until next season. There are a ton of mouths to feed on this offense, anyway -- wide receivers Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, and Luther Burden III (concussion), and the aforementioned Kmet.

We could see some more Loveland spike games, and his matchup in Week 10 against a poor New York Giants defense is favorable, but he might be far from consistent in the short term.

Week 10 Outlook: Start in 12+ Team Leagues

 

Was Alec Pierce's Performance Legit Or A Fluke?

Pierce's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers was impressive. Though Colts quarterback Daniel Jones had a rough day, throwing three interceptions and losing two fumbles for a total of five turnovers, Pierce was the lone bright spot of the offense. He caught six of his 13 targets for 115 yards.

Pierce has flashed major downfield catching prowess and has been the Colts' primary deep threat all season. But his route tree expanded last week, and it looks like Colts head coach Shane Steichen wants to use him in an expanded role moving forward. This is especially true now that they traded away WR Adonai Mitchell to the New York Jets.

A 6-foot-3, 211-pound speedster with good hands and improving separation skills who's on the last year of his rookie contract should be a player an offense decides to utilize heavily. It seems likely that Pierce will be signed to an extension by Indy in the near future, of course.

We could see him finish very close to Colts WR1 Michael Pittman Jr. in targets moving forward. Those two, along with rookie tight end Tyler Warren, form the core of the Colts' pass-catching group, though Pierce and Pittman easily out-targeted Warren last week.

Moving forward, it's becoming easier to trust Pierce as a flex. The problem is the target competition -- slot receiver Josh Downs gets in on the action a bit, too, making this a diluted offense to be bought into. But he should start in Week 10, as he has a favorable coverage matchup against the Atlanta Falcons.

Week 10 Outlook: Start in 12+ Team Leagues

 

Was Tory Horton's Performance Legit Or A Fluke?

Horton caught all four of his targets for 48 yards and two touchdowns in his team's blowout win against the Washington Commanders on Sunday Night Football. While it looked like he was right on the cusp of seizing the WR2 role from Cooper Kupp (hamstring, heel), that hype train died pretty quickly.

Seattle traded for WR Rashid Shaheed from the New Orleans Saints right before the trade deadline on November 4. It's now incredibly unlikely that Horton has a consistent role this season. Shaheed helps the Seahawks become even more of a contender in the NFL playoffs than they already were, though.

Horton showed nice route-running ability and separation skills against Washington's depleted secondary. The problem will simply be playing time moving forward. It's not certain yet whether Seattle plans on extending Shaheed, but it seems pretty likely, considering that it needs a long-term solution at WR2.

Shaheed is 27 years old and is reuniting with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, who was with the Saints last season in the same position. Horton will now battle for the WR3 job, which he should win. But the Seahawks run a ton of two-WR sets.

This means that we'll likely see a ton of formations in which WR1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Shaheed are the only two wideouts on the field, with Horton on the sidelines. At least if they ran three-WR sets, we could see Horton play out of the slot. Then again, we could see Kupp in a slot role, which would further tank Horton's value.

It's fine to stash him in deep leagues, but other than that, he should probably remain on waivers for now. He's likely rostered in the majority of dynasty leagues, but if he's available in yours, he's a solid waiver pickup worth quite a bit of FAAB.

The dream of him becoming a stud in redraft leagues is probably dead, though. I wouldn't say his performance was a fluke, but Shaheed is very likely to simply be the better player between the two.

Week 10 Outlook: Stash in Deep Leagues

 

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Who Should I Start? Who Should I Sit? Some common Week 10 fantasy football lineup decisions are regarding players like Colston Loveland, Alec Pierce, and Tory Horton. But not to worry, we are here to help make these decisions and build winning lineups in Week 10. Set your optimal fantasy football lineups for Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season. Our free Who Should I Start? tool will help make your fantasy football lineup decisions. Compare up to four NFL players, and we tell you who to start... all free! Get your winning lineups set, and make the right decisions.

Week 10 Player Decisions. Need a replacement? Today's focus is on specific players - Colston Loveland, Alec Pierce, and Tory Horton. These are some of the most common searches for fantasy football lineups in Week 10.

Using The Tool. This is a simple tool but very powerful. The first step is to enter the player names that you want to compare. In the first box, search for the first player's name. In the second box, search for the second player's name. Compare up to four NFL players at once, and then click the Who To Start? button to see who the recommended starts are based on weekly fantasy football matchups.

Improvements For Who Should I Start? You may have noticed, our Who Should I Start? tool has gotten an overhaul. We've added lots of great features for you to give you as much information as possible to win your fantasy football matchups each week. You'll see NFL player tiles with headshots and bye weeks, enhanced search results with data to compare, and a slick new interface. We hope you enjoy!

How It Works. Each week, our RotoBaller staff puts together their weekly fantasy football rankings and projections based on their research. That information is the core data that is powering the decision-making in this tool. When you search for player names, you will only see those players who are ranked. If someone is out for the week, they will not appear in the search results.

Scoring Formats. Fantasy football managers play in various types of leagues, and this tool allows you to choose whether it's PPR scoring, Half-PPR scoring, or Standard (Non-PPR) scoring. The second thing you want to do is to select the scoring format. There are three small radio buttons (small circles), so click on the scoring format you prefer. The results may vary based on the scoring format you select.

Popular Week 10 Searches. Curious to see some tough lineup decisions for Week 10 (2025)? Below you will find a list of some popular Who Should I Start? searches that RotoBaller readers are looking at this week. Click any of the links to see the result and recommendation.

 

Popular Week 10 Searches - Start/Sit Player Comparisons

Need a replacement? Below are some popular Week 10 searches and comparisons from our 'Who To Start' tool for Colston Loveland, Alec Pierce, and Tory Horton compared to others:

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