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Get today's top DraftKings daily fantasy hockey lineup picks for December 4, 2025. Doug's expert NHL DFS goalies picks, value plays, stacks, and power play picks.
Tonight’s 10-game slate looks to be very fun, as some of the best offenses in the league have excellent matchups. The Lightning host the Islanders in the early window, and they look to be in a position to continue their strong play from Thursday night. Boston and New Jersey also play during the early window, and that game could be a sneaky source of value.
The late window features the Edmonton Oilers looking to continue their offensive resurgence against a Jets team that will be playing its second game in as many nights. The other team to keep an eye out for in the late window is the Minnesota Wild, who are looking to bust out against a bend, but don’t break Canucks defense.
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NHL DFS Analysis And Picks For 12/6/25
Edmonton Oilers (EDM1 - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor McDavid, Zach Hyman; $19100 DK)
Defensive Addition: Evan Bouchard ($6400 DK)
While the matchup isn’t bad by any means, the Oilers don’t have the best matchup on the slate either, so why are they one of the top three stacks on a healthy 10-game slate? The reason is that this team is starting to get healthy and appears to be rounding into form. Zach Hyman began the year on the injured list, but he’s now been back for nine games, and things are starting to look like they have in the past.
Hyman, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, and Connor McDavid exploded on Thursday night against Seattle, combining for 81 DraftKings points. This was easily their best game of the season, but you could see that this line was figuring it out over the past couple of games, as the trio has combined for 23 shots on goal and 14 goals and assists over their past three games.
Pricing hasn’t yet caught up to this offensive improvement, as Nugent-Hopkins and Hyman cost just $10200. Even McDavid is a little underpriced at $8900, and I want exposure at these prices, even if the matchup isn’t as enticing as it is for some of the other high-end teams.
That’s not to say that the matchup is bad, because Winnipeg has surrendered 2.92 even-strength goals and 12.51 high-danger chances per 60 minutes over their prior 10 road games. The Jets are on the second night of a back-to-back after hosting Buffalo last night. Third-string goalie Thomas Milic is scheduled to get the start, and he hasn’t been anything special in his two games this year, allowing six goals and saving just 88% of the shots he’s faced.
Zach Hyman - Edmonton Oilers (2) pic.twitter.com/nvTB7kYP15
— NHL Goal Videos (@NHLGoalVideos) December 5, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning (TB1 - Nikita Kucherov, Anthony Cirelli, Brandon Hagel; $21000 DK)
Defensive Addition: Darren Raddysh ($4700 DK)
It may have taken a while, but Tampa Bay’s top line got there on Thursday night, combining for three goals and three assists (if you count defenseman Darren Raddysh). The team has another good matchup tonight against an Islanders team that is due for significant negative regression in defense, having allowed 1.19 fewer even-strength goals per 60 minutes than expected over their past 10 road games.
New York has allowed 12.75 high-danger chances per 60 minutes in those games, and goalie Ilya Sorokin has stood on his head to keep the team afloat. His 90% save rate on high-danger shots isn’t sustainable given the amount of pressure he’s facing, and a return to his earlier season form, where he was giving up over three goals per game, is likely.
Tampa will continue to provide that pressure, as the line of Brandon Hagel, Anthony Cirelli, and Nikita Kucherov has averaged over 20 high-danger chances and 5.33 goals per 60 minutes over their past 10 home games. This is a dangerous line that can trigger negative regression for an overachieving defense in a hurry.
They are costly, but you can stack their complete four-man line with value stacks from Carolina or Boston, who are in good spots, making their high price point far more palatable.
⚡️ Brandon Hagel (#38) rips it home on the power play for his 16th goal of the season! Nikita Kucherov (#86) and Darren Raddysh (#43) pick up the assists.#GoBolts
pic.twitter.com/eGSZYkOson— Future Bolts (@LightningProsp1) December 5, 2025
Minnesota Wild (MIN1 - Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello, Ryan Hartman; $17700 DK)
Defensive Addition: Brock Faber ($4400)
While Edmonton and Tampa Bay make this list because of how well their offenses are playing, Minnesota makes the list because it has one of the league's best matchups tonight. They are heading to Vancouver to take on a team that has some of the league's worst defensive pairings, yet they’ve overachieved because their goalies have played above their heads.
The Canucks have allowed 1.2 fewer goals than expected over their past 10 home games, and they are going to come crashing down very soon. The pairing we want to attack is Tyler Myers and Marcus Pettersson, who have surrendered 3.62 expected goals and 17.61 high-danger chances per 60 minutes.
A team can’t allow that kind of pressure and still give up just 1.7 even-strength goals per 60 minutes. The Wild’s top line of Ryan Hartman, Mats Zuccarello, and Kirill Kaprizov is on the other end of regression; they are due for a massive breakout. The line hasn’t scored an even-strength goal over their past three road games, but they have averaged 17.34 high-danger chances and 45.09 scoring chances in those games.
That’s not the kind of offensive aggression that generally leads to zero goals, and advanced data backs that up: the team was expected to score 4.89 goals per 60 minutes, not zero. I want to be on this team when they bust out of their slump, and against a team like Vancouver, that could very likely happen tonight.
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NHL DFS Value Stack of the Night
Boston Bruins (BOS3 - Tanner Jeannot, Fraser Minten, Mark Kastelic; $8100 DK)
We gave this struggling line a shot on Thursday night, and unfortunately, they didn’t come through. The data still points to them, and I’m willing to give them another shot, given how inexpensive this trio is. The line hasn’t scored a goal in their prior 10 home games, but advanced data indicate they should have scored 2.79 per 60 minutes.
They are producing 11.22 high-danger chances per 60 minutes, which suggests the team should be getting the puck to the net. On top of the positive regression we should be seeing from this line, they are hosting a New Jersey squad that has allowed 3.16 even-strength goals and 13 high-danger chances per 60 minutes over their past 10 road games.
This line should spend the majority of its time on the ice squaring off against the defensive pairing of Brenden Dillon and Luke Hughes, who have surrendered 15.04 high-danger chances per 60 minutes over their past 10 road games. Jake Allen should be in goal for the Devils, and he’s saved just 76% of the high-danger shots he’s faced.
All the data points to Tanner Jeannot, Fraser Minten, and Mark Kastelic putting a lot of pressure on Allen, and that kind of pressure should eventually lead to goals. While the talent on this line isn’t as high as the third line for a team like Carolina, the data favors Boston so heavily that it is worth taking the downgrade in talent for the potential upside that the matchup could yield.
NHL DFS Goalie to Target
Joey Daccord (SEA - $7100 DK)
If you were to only look at the past couple of games, you’d think I’m nuts for recommending Joey Daccord tonight. He got rolled in each of his past three games, but both of those games were against a resurgent Edmonton squad, and the other was against a potent Dallas offense. Even with those poor performances, Daccord has allowed just 1.98 even-strength goals per 60 minutes over the team’s previous 15 home games.
His biggest strength is when he’s facing pressure, as he’s saved 88% of the high-danger shots he’s faced in those games. The Red Wings do a good job of putting pressure on opposing goalies, recording over 13 high-danger chances per 60 minutes on the road. Despite this, they’ve failed to find much success, having scored just 1.76 even-strength goals per 60 minutes in those games.
What this all tells me is that Daccord should be in line for a decent game if the Kraken can stay out of the penalty box. Seeing as the team has the tenth fewest penalty minutes in the league and Detroit has the tenth most, there’s a good chance that Daccord won’t have to play a man down frequently.
The other thing working in Daccord’s favor is that Detroit takes over 30 shots on goal per game, up from the 24 Seattle allows per game. That increased volume gives Daccord a little wiggle room if he were to let a couple shots get by him, and his low price point means he doesn’t need to do as much to pay off his salary.
Others in consideration: Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB), Darcy Kuemper (LAK), Filip Gustavsson (MIN)
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