Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (7/30/19): MLB DFS Lineups


With the trade deadline right around the corner, this is one of the most interesting times of the season. That means checking lineups is more imperative than ever, as we don’t even know if these guys will be on their respective teams come game time.  

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 7/30/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too.

If you have any questions or comments, contact me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!

 

Today's Weather

In terms of weather, we have a few questionable forecasts. The cities you need to keep an eye on are Philadelphia, Washington, Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Denver. All of those cities/teams have some rain projected in the forecast and it’s unclear what it will look like come first pitch.  

 

DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers

Griffin Canning, LAA vs. DET ($7,900)

Canning’s last four appearances have lowered his price tag to this tasty number but he’s way too good to be priced this cheaply. Not only were three of those tough matchups, one of them was a surprise relief appearance in the 16th inning of a marathon game. Prior to that, Canning had a WHIP south of 1.00 and a K rate north of 25 percent. We expect to see numbers like those against this putrid offense, with the Tigers ranking bottom-three in K rate, runs scored, OPS, wOBA and xwOBA. That’s why Canning enters this matchup as a –270 favorite, with the Motor City Kitties projected for only four runs.

Dinelson Lamet, SD vs. BAL

This play is actually only available if you’re playing the day slate but I do love this situation and price for Lamet in the Showdown format. While his 5.00 ERA is obviously nothing to write home about, this kid has all the talent in the world. That’s evident by his 31 percent K rate and 3.97 xFIP. Those are monstrous numbers from a player this cheap and he actually gets a superb matchup against this cupcake lineup. In fact, the Orioles rank 21st in K rate, 26th in OBP, 25th in OPS, 27th in wOBA and 28th in xwOBA.

 

DraftKings DFS Infielders

Buster Posey — C, SF at PHI ($3,700)

Geez, Posey really hasn’t given us a whole lot this season but this is a pretty good spot for him. What makes him really enticing is this matchup with Drew Smyly, with the Phillies lefty pitching to a 7.69 ERA and 1.81 WHIP this season. Those are nightmarish numbers in a hitter’s park like Citizen’s Bank and it becomes scary against one of the hottest offenses in the league. Posey is a major reason why, as he’s hitting .351 over his last 19 games en route to a .500 SLG and .915 OPS. That’s all you can ask for from a guy priced this cheaply, especially one who used to be a perennial All-Star.

Daniel Vogelbach – 1B, SEA at TEX ($4,800)

The lumberjack known as Vogelbach has absolutely destroyed right-handers all season long and we have to love him in a place like Texas. Globe Life Park is currently the second-best hitting environment in the league and that caters beautifully to a guy like Vogelbach. The powerful first baseman is currently providing a .393 OBP, .564 SLG and .957 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s truly frightening for Ariel Jurado, who’s got a 6.69 ERA and 1.51 WHIP over his last eight starts.

Mike Moustakas – 2B, MIL at OAK ($4,000)

Second base is always a tough pick but one nice subtlety about DraftKings is that we get to use Moustakas over there. The man known as “The Moose” is currently setting career-highs across the board and it’s really no surprise in a potent lineup like this. A major reason why for the breakout is his success against right-handers, with Moustakas posting a .861 OPS against righties so far this season. He actually has pretty even split for the year but he’s always had more success against right-handers from the left side. Chris Bassitt is definitely a pitcher we can exploit too, with the Oakland righty pitching to a 5.09 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over his last 11 starts.

Kyle Seager – 3B, SEA at TEX ($3,700)

We already discussed why we like the Mariners in the Vogelbach write-up, as their 5.7 implied run total is one of the highest on the board. That’s a huge number from a cheap offense like this and it’s really no surprise considering their matchup and ballpark. That directly puts Seager right in play, as he’s been a .780 OPS hitter throughout his career. That’s a big number from someone in this price range and we can’t overlook the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against Jurado too, with Seager posting a .784 OPS against righties for his career. That may not sound like anything special but it’s huge from a $3,700 player in such a tasty situation.

Trea Turner – SS, WSH vs. ATL ($4,700)

It's really tough to pick a shortstop on this slate, so let’s go with a reliable guy like Turner. This dude has simply been one of the best players in fantasy over recent years, which is evident by the fact that he typically gets taken in the Top-10 in season-long formats. His 12.7 FanDuel points per game show just that, as he’s actually scorching-hot right now. In fact, Turner is hitting .307 over his last 13 games while generating a .868 OPS and swiping four bags. Getting to face a righty is big too, as that actually gives Turner a much better chance to steal a bag and score.

 

DraftKings DFS Outfielders

Josh VanMeter, CIN vs. PIT ($3,800)

VanMeter has been an absolute stud the last week and he simply needs to see a price increase. Over his last eight games, VanMeter is hitting .500 while generating a 1.091 SLG and 1.633 OPS. Those are laughable numbers and it’s really no surprise when you see his Triple-A statistics. At the minors this season, VanMeter posted a .348 AVG, .669 SLG, and 1.098 OPS. Those are absurd numbers and we can’t overlook the fact that he gets the platoon advantage here.

Justin Upton, LAA vs. DET ($3,600)

Upton has struggled in his return from the IL but he’s too good of a player to be priced below $4,000 on DraftKings. We’re talking about a guy who has a .210 career ISO to match his .355 wOBA. It’s not like this is some geezer who’s way past his prime either, with Upton being only 31-years-old. The reason he’s an intriguing option today is that he gets to face Drew VerHagen, who’s got an unsightly 14.40 ERA and 3.00 WHIP. Don’t be afraid to stack all of the Angels against this gas can.

MLB DFS News and Injury Alerts




More Recent Articles

 

Keenan Allen - Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody on your bench. Disaster Recovery is to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting, and deciding if you should be panicking at all about... Read More


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 7) - Targets and Avoids

Another week, more upsets. The Cowboys, Chiefs and Chargers all went down knocking out about 15-20 percent of remaining entrants in survivor pools, including myself. The Baltimore and New England wins were never in doubt, but the Redskins and Packers just barely squeaked out wins. If you've made it this far, you've done a job... Read More


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More


Running Back Metrics That Matter - NFL NextGen Stats

It's been a month--a full month!--since the last time we took a look at our beloved running backs. I don't think there is a hotter topic of discussion between pro- and anti-analytics than rushing. The guys fighting for stat-supremacy are all about using the passing game as much as possible while ditching the run; the... Read More


Titanic Disappointment - Will Ryan Tannehill Help Tennessee?

In the midst of being shutout by the Denver Broncos on Sunday, Tennesse Titans coach Mike Vrabel made a move that many casual NFL fans had been expecting for the past few weeks: he decided to give Ryan Tannehill a shot at quarterback instead of Marcus Mariota. While Tannehill wasn't noticeably better on Sunday, throwing... Read More


Warning Signs: Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods, Jared Goff

This is going to be a special edition of Warning Signs. Usually, we take a look at players from different teams who have disappointed thus far. This week, I am going to focus on a single team full of players to worry about. It is not good to have a team of big stars where... Read More


FAAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More


We Must Overreact Immediately! Week 6 Outliers

In Week 6, several players exploded in fantasy lineups. There were a few receivers that were above the rest of the pack in Week 6, such as Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin, Chris Godwin and Tyreek Hill, but there shouldn't be any surprises there as those guys should have been in fantasy lineups. At the quarterback... Read More


Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 7

The bye week difficulties continue this week with Carolina, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay all getting their rest in Week 7. It should be noted, however, that just because a player is currently in their bye week, doesn't mean you should avoid them on the waiver wire. In fact, this is often the easiest way... Read More


Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

All of a sudden, the Chargers look like one of the worst teams in football and the Jets look like a playoff contender. Maybe things won't shake out that way in the end but it goes to show how quickly things change in the "Not For Long" NFL. For that reason, we advise looking at... Read More


The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 7)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More


Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More


Week 7 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 6 is done, and we've seen some outstanding games thus far. We've also seen a lot of surprising teams through six weeks. The San Francisco 49ers, after picking in the top 10 for four straight years, are 5-0 with one of the most complete teams in football. As far as kickers go, we're seeing... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Some of you have been rewarded for your meticulous roster planning by receiving excellent production from your running backs. Unfortunately, many of you have been equally prepared when making roster decisions, but have been undermined by injuries, inconsistent usage, or underwhelming performances. If that applies to you, then those unwanted outcomes have forced you to... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

We weren't really surprised by the top-scoring fantasy wide receivers from Week 6. Out of the top-20 receivers, only Jamison Crowder, Auden Tate and Jaron Brown were less than 50% owned. Jaron Brown (0% owned) was only targeted five times but he scored two touchdowns off of those five targets. Auden Tate (23% owned) hauled... Read More