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Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data features the advanced statistics electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, and the numbers are showcased here as very relevant indicators.
Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems.
The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats, along with Loop Data.
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Ally 400: By The DFS Numbers
If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.
Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2021 at Nashville Superspeedway, covering the last two events at the site. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds. Selected Research Station indicators are highlighted in italics.
Martin Truex Jr: Third in Laps Led (82). Best Implied Odds To Win (13.3%). Was second-fastest in practice. Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (62.25).
Kyle Larson: First in Driver Rating (123.9). First in Average Running Position (5.6), Laps Led (264), and Fastest Laps Run (145). Fastest on Restarts. Third-best Implied Odds To Win (10.4%). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (59.35).
Denny Hamlin: Second in Driver Rating (110.9). Second in Average Running Position (6.5), Laps Led (114), and Fastest Laps Run (68). Projected to score the third-most Fantasy Points (59.10). Has finished in the top 2 in two of his last three starts on intermediate tracks. First in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (27.1). Most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (46.7).
William Byron: Best Implied Odds of any driver below $10,500 to finish in the Top 5 (40%). Has finished in the top 3 in four of his last five starts on intermediate tracks.
Kyle Busch: Projected to score the fourth-most Fantasy Points (55.80). Second in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (19.3).
Chase Elliott: The defending Ally 400 champion is third in Driver Rating (110.2). Second-Fastest on Restarts.
Ross Chastain: Fourth in Driver Rating (107.7). The pole-sitter is second-best in Average Finish (3.5). Leads in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under green flag conditions, 105). Second-best Implied Odds to Win (11.4). Best Implied Odds of any driver below $10,000 to finish in the Top 5 (38%). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $10,000 (52.60).
Key Ally 400 stats from the RotoBaller Research Station.
Christopher Bell: Tied for second among Closers (6.5 spots gained). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $9,500 (45.85).
Tyler Reddick: Third in Green Flag Passes (186). Tied for second among Closers (6.5 spots gained). Was fastest in practice.
Bubba Wallace: Leads in Green Flag Passes (191). First Among Closers (7.5 average spots gained in the final 10 percent of Nashville races). Best Implied Odds of any driver below $9,000 to finish in the Top 5 (22%). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8,500 (40.25).
Kevin Harvick: Fifth in Driver Rating (105.8). Third in Quality Passes (82).
Joey Logano: Second in Quality Passes (84).
Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8,000 (36.80). Second-most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (25.2). A good Place Differential play starting from the 28th spot.
Chris Buescher: Has finished in the Top 12 in two of his last three starts on intermediate tracks. Best Average Position vs. Actual Finish (15.0).
Daniel Suárez: Fifth in Green Flag Passes (176).
Corey Lajoie: Tied for second among Closers (6.5 spots gained). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $7,000 (32.85). A viable option in a price range that usually is avoidable ($5,300), Lajoie can finish respectably after starting 36th. He is a prime punt play this week.
Erik Jones: Second in Green Flag Passes (190).
Featured Image Photo Credit: Logan Riely, Getty Images via NASCAR Media
Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis is also featured at The Game Day.
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