MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (7/27/2025)

July 27, 2025

Koby's best MLB player prop bets for today (7/27/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Riley Greene, Andrew McCutchen, Trevor Larnach, and more!

Welcome Back, RotoBallers! It's my favorite part of the week, where I get to research who is going to hit the long ball. We have quite the slate on deck for us with all 30 teams in play today. Let's dive in and make some cash for the rest of the week!

We don't have any of the smaller or higher elevation stadiums on this slate, but that is okay. We still have plenty of great spots to pick over, even with some elite pitching on deck. The weather is looking good at the moment around the country. The only game we have some possible delays for is the Yankees/Phillies game, but we should still see that game go on.

Below, you can check out four of my favorite home run props from MLB games on Sunday, July 27, 2025. Odds for each prop are from DraftKings Sportsbook and may change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since this market is extremely volatile. You can also combine these props with other picks into SGP or round robin plays that provide even more potential upside. I typically play a small unit size on home run props and round robins, but stacking them up creates the opportunity to cash in bigger if more than one player in this post goes yard.

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (7/27/2025)

Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Sunday, July 27:

• Riley Greene, Detroit Tigers
• Andrew McCutchen, Pittsburgh Pirates
• Trevor Larnach, Minnesota Twins
• Agustin Ramirez, Miami Marlins
• Cody Bellinger, New York Yankees

Riley Greene OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+370 DraftKings Sportsbook)

Riley Greene has been crazy good against RHP this season. He has hit 23 of his 25 home runs against RHP and is getting a great matchup here against Max Scherzer. Scherzer has struggled with the longball in his six starts this season. Against LHH alone, he has a 3.68 HR/9. The only worrisome part about Scherzer is that his HardHit% is pretty low for someone who has given up as many home runs as he has. He has a 34.6% HardHit% but an 11.5% Barrel%.

Greene this season is sporting a 17.4% Barrel% and a 45.3% HardHit%. Greene has seen his power dip a bit, but I think this is the perfect spot for him to bounce back in. He has hit RHP to the tune of a .404 wOBA with a .614 SLG and a crazy .310 ISO. Most of the lefties in the lineup are in line for a good game here, but I'm loving Greene the most, even though he has the lowest odds of anyone in the game. +370 is still solid for someone like Greene, and how well he has continued to hit RHP.

Andrew McCutchen OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+475 DraftKings Sportsbook)

It was tough picking someone from the Pirates, as they don't have too many righties that are just jumping off the page. Zac Gallen presents an intriguing case to go against him. He has a 1.95 HR/9 against RHH this season, which has resulted in 14 home runs. He also has the second-highest HardHit% at 47.3% and the third-highest Barrel% at 12% on this entire slate today. He is also pushing towards a 92% Z-Contact%, which is extremely high.

As for Andrew McCutchen, we all know how much power he has; even at his age, he still has nine home runs on the season. Eight of which have come against RHP. McCutchen is nearly 39 years old and is still putting up a 44.3% HardHit% and a nearly 10% Barrel%. We have seen his exit velocity increase in recent games by nearly three mph, reaching 91 mph across his last five games.

Gallen has mainly been hurt on three pitches this season; the Four-Seamer, Slider, and Knuckle Curve have combined for 13 of his 14 home runs against RHH this season. McCutchen has done well against those pitches, especially the Slider and Four-Seamer. Look for McCutchen to make this his 17th consecutive season of 10+ homers in a season here against Gallen.

Trevor Larnach OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+ DraftKings Sportsbook)

I'll preface this one with, either Larnach or Kody Clemens is going yard in this one. I'm sure it'll be Clemens since I'm writing up Larnach, so take that information as you see fit. Larnach lines up insanely well against Jake Irvin. Irvin has been hammered this season with a 1.82 HR/9 against LHH. Against all hitters, he has put up a 47.1% HardHit% and a 12.5% Barrel%, both of which are the top three highest on the slate.

Irvin has been hurt specifically off his Changeup and Four-Seamer, which he combines to throw for nearly 60% of the time. Larnach has had 10 of his 12 home runs come off those two pitches.

Trevor Larnach has a surprisingly low Barrel% at only 7.7%, but he makes up for it with a 44% HardHit%. He is also averaging a 94 mph Exit Velocity across the last five games, which is three mph higher than his season average. So he is hitting the ball hard right now. Larnach has a .336 wOBA and a .438 SLG against RHP this season. The lefties should have a field day here against Irvin; let's just hope that Larnach is one of them.

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Agustin Ramirez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+350 FanDuel Sportsbook)

I don't love going against Brandon Woodruff here, but he has some concerning stats across his first three starts. He has the highest Barrel% at 14.3% and a HardHit% of 45.7%. He is also being hit with an exit velocity of nearly 91 mph. It is still early in his season, so I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt, but I do like Agustin Ramirez here quite a bit. Ramirez has been a massive part of this Marlins team this season.

Ramirez has 10 home runs off of RHP this season, and he has hit the Sweeper extremely well, which is the pitch that went yard for Woodruff twice this season against RHH. Woodruff isn't throwing it a lot, but if Ramirez can get hold of one of them, then we could be seeing Ramirez hit his fifth home run off the sweeper.

Agustín Ramírez!!!

15th of the season and the @Marlins lead 2-1! pic.twitter.com/R0o2QZQeua

— Marlins Radio Network (@MarlinsRadio) July 27, 2025

Ramirez has a .464 SLG and a .219 ISO on the season against RHP. He is also sporting a solid 12.1% Barrel% to go with a 48.8% HardHit%. This Marlins team is vibing right now with back-to-back wins against the NL-leading Brewers. Let's see if they can continue their hot hitting for a third straight game.

Cody Bellinger OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+380 FanDuel Sportsbook)

I don't love going against Zack Wheeler, as he has been as dominant as they come, but Cody Bellinger owns him. Now we are getting Bellinger at Yankee Stadium against him with the short porch! Bellinger has taken Wheeler yard five times in 16 ABs throughout his career. On top of all that, Bellinger has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now. He has six home runs in his last 10 games.

Wheeler has given up eight home runs to lefties this season, and Bellinger has hit 13 of his 19 home runs off righties. This is purely a BvP play with Bellingers' success against Wheeler. Outside of Cody, I would avoid taking homers against Wheeler.

The #Yankees would be LOST this season without Cody Bellinger.pic.twitter.com/bWqoC399I1

— No Warmup The Pod (@nwthepod) July 25, 2025

The Yankees need every bit of power hitting they can get with Aaron Judge going on IL for a bit.

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