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RotoBaller's top PGA player props, best bets, and matchup picks for the 2026 Travelers Championship. Get commission-free odds and market edges with Novig golf picks.
Fresh off a 50-1 outright hit in last week’s article, we turn our attention to the final Signature Event of the 2026 PGA Tour season. With a $20 million purse and $3.6 million up top, this week represents the last true gathering of the Tour’s elite before attention shifts across the Atlantic and the build toward the British Isles begins next month.
This week's picks will all be using the odds on the most unique and fastest-growing sports prediction sites -- Novig. If you're not familiar with the site, I'll explain how it works and provide some of my favorite wagers to place on Novig. There are lots of juicy numbers available!
As always, make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your season-long, DFS, and betting needs. Now, here are some of my favorite PGA bets and props for the 2026 U.S. Open.
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What is Novig?
Novig is one of the fastest-growing peer-to-peer sports prediction markets. On Novig, users trade directly with each other, without the "vig" typically associated with a sportsbook. The vig is the fee sportsbooks charge you to use their services. It's a hidden cost that can be found in the odds that are being offered on each side of a specific bet. When a book offers -110 odds on both sides of a bet, it is keeping close to 10% of every bettor's wager, regardless of whether you win or lose.
On Novig, users trade with each other on the outcomes of sporting events, similarly to the way that investors trade on the stock market. But instead of having to beat the books, you just have to win against other users -- there's no commission kept by the site.
Users can bet on most traditional sports markets, including moneyline bets, spreads, totals, tournament matchups, player props, parlays, and futures!
Novig operates with two virtual currencies. Novig coins can be wagered for fun and to test out strategies, while Novig cash can be wagered on all markets and then redeemed for real cash prizes.
Access to Novig is widespread; it's now accessible in 36 U.S. states.
How Does Novig Work?
Since users are not playing against the books, there is an opportunity to make more money per wager that you win, and users can usually find better values on bets (in terms of the prices being offered) than on traditional sportsbooks.
There are no oddsmakers; users dictate their own odds. You can either accept the odds that the market is offering or set your own odds.
If you set your own odds, another user has to accept them on the other side for the bet to be activated.
Users drive the market, not the sportsbook or oddsmakers!
PGA Matchup Picks
All odds are from Novig and were accurate/available as of 6/24/2026. Odds are subject to change.
J.T. Poston (-117 at Novig) OVER Gary Woodland
It was all I could do to avoid hitching my wagon to J.T. Poston in the outright market, so landing him in a matchup against one of the more fragile stylistic fits for TPC River Highlands is a welcome setup. Poston’s game translates cleanly to the positional demands of Cromwell, ranking 22nd in this field in Driving Accuracy, with an approach profile that has also trended positively over the last three months. Over his last 24 rounds, he sits 7th in Scoring Opportunities Gained from 100–150 yards.
Woodland, meanwhile, brings the opposite profile: sitting 48th in fairway percentage and below Tour average from 100–150 yards, a problematic combination on a course that rewards consistent positioning over raw distance.
With the ball-striking gap effectively neutralized on this layout, Poston’s clear edge on the greens should become the separator. Over his last two starts, he has gained 13.05 strokes putting, nearly matching Woodland’s total for the entire season (17.58). Add in Woodland’s lack of success in Cromwell -- no finish better than 20th across seven career starts -- and this projects as a strong leverage spot to fade the veteran.
Sam Burns (-138 at Novig) OVER Wyndham Clark
This matchup, of course, comes with the premise that Wyndham takes a singular shot at TPC River Highlands this week, as anyone paying attention in the media will have seen Clark's face pop up multiple times across one of their many feeds this week. Cromwell, CT's close proximity to Long Island will give Clark an easier turnaround than most U.S. Open Champions have, but it's clear he hasn't exactly been grinding on the range Monday-Wednesday this week in preparation for his ninth career appearances at the Travelers Championship.
Even setting that narrative aside, Burns still profiles as the cleaner fit for this specific test. He is significantly more reliable off the tee, ranking 58th in Distance from Edge of Fairway on missed drives compared to Clark’s 146th, giving him a clear edge on a course that has harshly punished inaccurate driving.
The short-iron and scoring profile also leans Burns. In the key 100–150 yard range, he sits in the 94th percentile over the last 12 months, ahead of Clark’s 74th percentile mark. Combine that with his elite putting baseline -- Burns ranks first on Tour over his last 36 rounds -- and his long-term success on bent/poa surfaces (second-best since 2023), and he projects as the more stable scorer in a condensed, birdie-heavy setup at TPC River Highlands.
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PGA Finishing Position Props
All odds are from Novig and were accurate as of 6/24/2026. Odds are subject to change.
Alex Fitzpatrick WINNER (+8233 at Novig)
It’s been as impressive a start to a PGA Tour career as you could reasonably expect for Alex Fitzpatrick since earning his Tour card alongside his brother at the Zurich Classic in April. Since that breakthrough, he’s quietly built a profile that suggests he’s tracking far closer to elite territory than his outright price implies.
In six subsequent starts, the 27-year-old has recorded three top-10 finishes -- all in elevated Signature events against elite fields -- and has finished outside the top 25 just once. He enters this week ranking top five in this field in both Driving Accuracy and SG: Approach, giving him a strong foundation for TPC River Highlands’ positional demands.
Two weeks ago, he also posted the best putting performance of his short PGA Tour career on the bent/poa greens at TPC Toronto, a notable signal given the surface profile in Cromwell.
It’s also worth noting that most market makers still price him in the 55–60 range, despite underlying metrics that are far more competitive. He sits in the 99th percentile in Proximity to the Hole from 100–150 yards -- a range that accounts for roughly one-third of approach shots at TPC River Highlands --and that combination of precision iron play and recent putting spike makes him a live long-shot in a volatile, birdie-driven setup.
