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RotoBaller's top PGA player props, best bets, and matchup picks for the 2026 Memorial Tournament. Get commission-free odds and market edges with Novig golf picks.
Hello golf fans, it's great to be with you again here at Rotoballer! Following a Sunday shootout in Fort Worth, the PGA Tour heads north for one of its crown jewel events. Over the last five years, Jack's Place at Muirfield Village has established itself as one of the year's most demanding tests -- including the Major Championships.
This week's picks will all be using the odds on the most unique and fastest-growing sports prediction sites -- Novig. If you're not familiar with the site, I'll explain how it works and provide some of my favorite wagers to place on Novig. There are lots of juicy numbers available!
As always, make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your season-long, DFS, and betting needs. Now, here are some of my favorite PGA bets and props for the 2026 Memorial Tournament.
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What is Novig?
Novig is one of the fastest-growing peer-to-peer sports prediction markets. On Novig, users trade directly with each other, without the "vig" typically associated with a sportsbook. The vig is the fee sportsbooks charge you to use their services. It's a hidden cost that can be found in the odds that are being offered on each side of a specific bet. When a book offers -110 odds on both sides of a bet, it is keeping close to 10% of every bettor's wager, regardless of whether you win or lose.
On Novig, users trade with each other on the outcomes of sporting events, similarly to the way that investors trade on the stock market. But instead of having to beat the books, you just have to win against other users -- there's no commission kept by the site.
Users can bet on most traditional sports markets, including moneyline bets, spreads, totals, tournament matchups, player props, parlays, and futures!
Novig operates with two virtual currencies. Novig coins can be wagered for fun and to test out strategies, while Novig cash can be wagered on all markets and then redeemed for real cash prizes.
Access to Novig is widespread; it's now accessible in 36 U.S. states.
How Does Novig Work?
Since users are not playing against the books, there is an opportunity to make more money per wager that you win, and users can usually find better values on bets (in terms of the prices being offered) than on traditional sportsbooks.
There are no oddsmakers; users dictate their own odds. You can either accept the odds that the market is offering or set your own odds.
If you set your own odds, another user has to accept them on the other side for the bet to be activated.
Users drive the market, not the sportsbook or oddsmakers!
PGA Tournament Matchup Picks
All odds are from Novig and were accurate/available as of 6/3/2026. Odds are subject to change.
Corey Conners (-119 at Novig) OVER Kristoffer Reitan
While his mid-season surge has officially made Kristoffer Reitan the highest-ranked Norwegian golfer in the world, Muirfield Village presents an entirely different challenge for the PGA Tour rookie.
In particular, two aspects of his profile have historically caused problems: driving accuracy and middle-iron play.
Over his last 50 rounds, Reitan ranks 58th out of 72 players in fairway percentage. And over the past 12 months, he ranks in just the 27th, 39th, and 26th percentiles in strokes gained per shot from 100-150, 150-200, and 200-plus yards, respectively.
At a course that demands precision above all else, I don't see him standing toe-to-toe with a player like Corey Conners, regardless of the Canadian's uncharacteristically poor stretch of recent results.
Despite failing to record a top-25 finish since the Valspar Championship in March, Conners still ranks fourth in this field in driving accuracy while sitting inside the top 20 in both season-long approach play and weighted proximity over the past 12 months.
His comfort at Muirfield Village has also been evident throughout his career, with four top-25 finishes in his last six appearances. That combination of elite ball-striking and proven course history gives Conners one of the safest floors in this matchup market, particularly against a player making his tournament debut.
Si Woo Kim (-126 at Novig) OVER Tommy Fleetwood
If you're looking for a Corey Conners-esque profile paired with elite recent form, look no further than Si Woo Kim. The 30-year-old South Korean has quietly put together one of the most impressive stretches of his career over the last 9-10 months, recording nine top-six finishes in his last 20 starts worldwide.
Even before climbing into DataGolf's top 10 world rankings, Kim's metronomic ball-striking made him an ideal fit for Muirfield Village. He's finished outside the top 20 just once in his last six appearances in Dublin, and during that span, only Scottie Scheffler has gained more strokes tee-to-green at this event.
Fleetwood, meanwhile, has followed up a career-best 2025 campaign with a noticeably less consistent start to 2026. Since opening the major season with a T33 finish at the Masters, the World No. 8 has managed just one top-20 finish in five starts.
The underlying numbers also favor Kim. Over the relevant sample, he holds advantages in driving accuracy, strokes gained off the tee, strokes gained on approach, and both middle- and long-iron proximity.
At this stage of their careers, Kim simply offers the more reliable baseline, particularly at one of his strongest venues on the schedule. Fresh off a runner-up finish in Dallas, where he outplayed World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler over 72 holes, I make Kim closer to a -145 favorite in this matchup.
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PGA Finishing Position Props
All odds are from Novig and were accurate as of 6/3/2026. Odds are subject to change.
Rory McIlroy WINNER (+1349 at Novig)
Rory McIlroy admitted earlier this week that two trophies still elude him more than any others: the Memorial Tournament and the Genesis Invitational. While his runner-up finish at Riviera in February represented his closest call yet, I believe the number currently available on Novig still undervalues the winning upside of the World No. 2.
Just three weeks ago, McIlroy was installed as the clear second favorite in a similarly elite field at Aronimink, priced below 10-1 across most markets. Despite recording a T7 finish there, and with the likes of Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, and Collin Morikawa absent from this week's field, his implied win probability has dropped considerably on Novig's odds board.
The comparison between Aronimink and Muirfield Village is not a perfect one, but there are enough similarities to matter: penal rough, firm Bentgrass greens, demanding long-iron approaches, and a winning score likely settling somewhere around low double digits under par.
McIlroy proved more than capable of handling that examination at the PGA Championship, firing rounds of 66, 67, and 69 over his final three days to climb 98 positions on the leaderboard. And while his driving accuracy will always be scrutinized at a venue like Muirfield Village, his overwhelming distance advantage has historically neutralized much of that concern. Over his last 30 rounds at the Memorial Tournament, he has gained 0.63 strokes per round off the tee, the fourth-best mark in this field.
Beyond the driver, McIlroy possesses arguably the strongest long-iron profile in the tournament. He ranks in the 98th percentile in strokes gained per shot on approaches from 200-plus yards and the 99th percentile in proximity from the same range.
His supporting metrics are equally encouraging. McIlroy has gained a combined 6.61 strokes around the greens during his appearances at Muirfield Village and rates as a top-10 Bentgrass putter among this elite field.
With all due respect to rising stars such as Cameron Young, Ludvig Åberg, and Matt Fitzpatrick, there remains a reason McIlroy is still viewed as the primary challenger to Scottie Scheffler. When a player of his pedigree, statistical profile, and winning ceiling drifts into the 13-1 range in a 72-man field, I'm willing to bet that the market has gone a step too far.
