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DFS NASCAR Advanced Stats for DraftKings, FanDuel: Ally 400 Lineup Picks

Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data features the advanced statistics electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, and the numbers are showcased here as very relevant indicators.

Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems.

The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats, along with Loop Data.

 

Ally 400: By The DFS Numbers

If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.

Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2021 at Nashville Superspeedway, covering the last two events at the site. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds. Selected Research Station indicators are highlighted in italics.

Martin Truex Jr: Third in Laps Led (82). Best Implied Odds To Win (13.3%). Was second-fastest in practice. Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (62.25).

Kyle Larson: First in Driver Rating (123.9). First in Average Running Position (5.6), Laps Led (264), and Fastest Laps Run (145). Fastest on Restarts. Third-best Implied Odds To Win (10.4%). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (59.35).

Denny Hamlin: Second in Driver Rating (110.9). Second in Average Running Position (6.5), Laps Led (114), and Fastest Laps Run (68). Projected to score the third-most Fantasy Points (59.10). Has finished in the top 2 in two of his last three starts on intermediate tracks. First in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (27.1). Most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (46.7).

William Byron: Best Implied Odds of any driver below $10,500 to finish in the Top 5 (40%). Has finished in the top 3 in four of his last five starts on intermediate tracks.

Kyle Busch: Projected to score the fourth-most Fantasy Points (55.80). Second in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (19.3).

Chase Elliott: The defending Ally 400 champion is third in Driver Rating (110.2). Second-Fastest on Restarts.

Ross Chastain: Fourth in Driver Rating (107.7). The pole-sitter is second-best in Average Finish (3.5). Leads in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under green flag conditions, 105). Second-best Implied Odds to Win (11.4). Best Implied Odds of any driver below $10,000 to finish in the Top 5 (38%). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $10,000 (52.60).

Key Ally 400 stats from the RotoBaller Research Station. 

Christopher Bell: Tied for second among Closers (6.5 spots gained). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $9,500 (45.85).

Tyler Reddick: Third in Green Flag Passes (186). Tied for second among Closers (6.5 spots gained). Was fastest in practice.

Bubba Wallace: Leads in Green Flag Passes (191). First Among Closers (7.5 average spots gained in the final 10 percent of Nashville races). Best Implied Odds of any driver below $9,000 to finish in the Top 5 (22%). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8,500 (40.25).

Kevin Harvick:  Fifth in Driver Rating (105.8). Third in Quality Passes (82).

Joey Logano: Second in Quality Passes (84).

Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8,000 (36.80). Second-most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (25.2). A good Place Differential play starting from the 28th spot.

Chris Buescher: Has finished in the Top 12 in two of his last three starts on intermediate tracks. Best Average Position vs. Actual Finish (15.0).

Daniel Suárez: Fifth in Green Flag Passes (176).

Corey Lajoie: Tied for second among Closers (6.5 spots gained). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points of any driver below $7,000 (32.85). A viable option in a price range that usually is avoidable ($5,300), Lajoie can finish respectably after starting 36th. He is a prime punt play this week.

Erik Jones: Second in Green Flag Passes (190).

Featured Image Photo Credit: Logan Riely, Getty Images via NASCAR Media

Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis is also featured at The Game Day.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cole Kmet

Downgraded to Out Sunday
Aaron Jones Sr.

Questionable to Return Against Lions
Matthew Golden

Questionable to Return with Shoulder Injury
Rashid Shaheed

Will Play Against Rams Sunday
Alvin Kamara

Active to Face Rams in Week 9
C.J. Stroud

Officially Ruled Out with Concussion
Kayshon Boutte

Ruled Out for Remainder of Week 9 Due to Hamstring Injury
Tucker Kraft

Questionable to Return in Week 9 Due to Knee Injury
Kayshon Boutte

Questionable to Return in Week 9 Due to Hamstring Injury
C.J. Stroud

Questionable To Return Against Broncos With Head Injury
Kareem Hunt

Brashard Smith To Split Carries Sunday
LaMelo Ball

Not Expected to Play on Sunday
Trevor Lawrence

Dealing with Illness, Still Expected to Start Against Raiders
Aaron Rodgers

Dealing with Hand Injury During Warmups, Likely Fine for Week 9
Terry McLaurin

Could be Out Until After the Week 12 Bye
Ed Oliver

Could Return for the Playoffs
Brock Purdy

Ruled Out Again in Week 9
Trey Hendrickson

Logan Wilson Inactive for Week 9
Dalton Schultz

Officially Active for Week 9 Against Broncos
Isiah Pacheco

Expected to Return After the Chiefs' Bye Week
Austin Cindric

is A Driver to Avoid for Phoenix DFS Lineups
Joe Flacco

Will Play in Week 9 Against Bears
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Named World Series MVP
Alex Bowman

Could Alex Bowman be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Phoenix?
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Committed to Mike McDaniel for the Foreseeable Future
Noah Gragson

Should DFS Players Roster Noah Gragson At Phoenix?
Erik Jones

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering for DFS at Phoenix?
Connor McDavid

Records Three Assists in Saturday's Win
Michael McDowell

an Easy Recommendation for DFS at Phoenix
Vladimir Tarasenko

Ends Dry Spell With Three-Point Effort
Nick Suzuki

Collects Two More Apples
Timothy Liljegren

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Nick Cousins

Injured on Saturday
Christopher Tanev

Leaves on Stretcher Saturday
Kevon Looney

Questionable Versus OKC
Chase Briscoe

Probably Won't Win the Title
Joey Logano

Could Play Spoiler in Championship Battle at Phoenix
Tyler Reddick

Seeking to End Winless Drought, but Probably Won't Have the Speed
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Looks to Protect Top-10 Points Finish at Phoenix
Brad Keselowski

Hasn't Been Fast at Phoenix With RFK Racing
Daniel Suarez

With Nothing at Stake, Expect Little From Daniel Suarez
Kyle Busch

Qualifies Well, but Will Probably Finish Worse Than he Starts
Chris Buescher

Ryan Preece has a Shot to Overtake Chris Buescher as RFK Racing's Lead Driver
Austin Dillon

Looks to Avoid Finishing Last in NASCAR Playoffs
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Might be a Worthy DFS Option
Jakob Poeltl

to Remain Sidelined Sunday
Walker Kessler

Out on Sunday
Mitchell Robinson

Listed as Questionable for Sunday
Dillon Brooks

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Sunday
Jalen Green

Unavailable Against Spurs
Norman Powell

Questionable to Suit Up Against Lakers
Jeremy Sochan

Remains Absent Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Still Out Sunday
Daniel Gafford

Makes Season Debut With Minutes Restriction
D'Angelo Russell

Cleared to Play Saturday
Deandre Ayton

Listed as Probable for Sunday
Paul George

Unavailable Sunday
Joel Embiid

to Sit Out Sunday's Action
Sam Merrill

May Skip Another Contest Sunday
Jarrett Allen

Questionable for Sunday
Darius Garland

to Remain Out Sunday
Donovan Mitchell

Could Miss Another Game Sunday
Chet Holmgren

Not Ready to Return Sunday
Trae Young

to Be Re-Evaluated in Four Weeks
Connor Brown

Won't Play on Saturday
Dylan Strome

Ready to Return Saturday
Sean Couturier

Out on Saturday
Ilya Mikheyev

Set to Return Saturday
Warren Foegele

Kings Place Warren Foegele on Injured Reserve
TOR

Chris Tanev Cleared for Action
William Nylander

Remains Out Saturday
Shohei Ohtani

to Start Game 7 of World Series
Alejandro Kirk

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Alejandro Kirk's Hand
Alejandro Kirk

Goes for X-Rays After Being Hit on the Hand
Mackenzie Blackwood

Set for Season Debut Saturday
Ryan Reaves

Remains Under Evaluation
Trevor Moore

Expected to Return Saturday
Zach Benson

Placed on Injured Reserve
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Friday
Jacob Markstrom

Devils Sign Jacob Markstrom to Two-Year Extension
Connor Brown

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Gleyber Torres

Undergoes Sports-Hernia Surgery
Dylan Strome

Remains Out Friday
Bo Bichette

Not Expecting to Need Offseason Knee Surgery
George Springer

Back in Leadoff Spot for Game 6 of World Series
David Onama

Set For UFC Vegas 110 Main Event
Steve Garcia

Returns At UFC Vegas 110
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Set For Co-Main Event
Ante Delija

In Search For His Second UFC Win
Themba Gorimbo

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 110
Jeremiah Wells

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Yadier del Valle

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Arizona State Quarterback Sam Leavitt Out for the Season
Isaac Dulgarian

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Frunza

Looks For His First UFC Win
Charles Radtke

Looks To Bounce Back
Allan Nascimento

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 110 Main Card
Cody Durden

In Dire Need Of Victory
George Springer

"Strong Possibility" That George Springer Returns in Game 6 of World Series
Bryce Miller

Not Expected to Need Elbow Surgery
Washington Nationals

Nationals Finalizing a Deal to Hire Blake Butera as Next Manager
CFB

Arch Manning Listed as Questionable for Vanderbilt Matchup
CFB

Arion Carter Listed as Questionable Ahead of Oklahoma Matchup
Minnesota Twins

Twins Name Derek Shelton as Their New Manager
CFB

Jordyn Tyson Questionable for Iowa State Matchup with Hamstring Injury
George Springer

Not in the Lineup for Game 4 of World Series
George Springer

Pulled Early in Game 3 With Side Injury
Baltimore Orioles

Orioles Finalizing Deal to Hire Craig Albernaz as the Next Manager
William Byron

Dominates at Martinsville and Advances to the Championship Round
Kyle Larson

Advances to the Championship Round After Top-Five Finish
Ryan Blaney

Falls Short of the Victory and Title Contention at Martinsville
Chase Elliott

Eliminated From 2025 Title Contention Despite Strong Martinsville Run
CFB

Behren Morton Will Start Against Kansas State

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