X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Tyler Anderson - 2023 Fantasy Baseball Draft Busts

Tyler Anderson - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Starting Pitchers

This offseason saw Tyler Anderson remain in California and make the switch from the Dodgers to the Angels, signing a three-year, $40 million contract. It was a reward for Anderson, who signed a one-year, $8 million deal with the Dodgers last offseason and finished up having a career year.

But where does the move leave his stock in a fantasy sense? Coming off his best season, you might think Anderson is a lock as a fantasy option. While that may be the case, it might not be as clear-cut as you expect it to be. But why would I say that?

You're about to find out. But before you do, make sure you're following RotoBaller on Twitter for all the latest MLB news and articles. And don't forget to check out the site for all your draft and in-season support. Without further ado, let's take a closer look at Tyler Anderson, shall we?

Featured Promo: Get ANY MLB Premium Pass for 10% off the regular price with code BALLER. Exclusive access to our Draft Kit, Nick Mariano's #1 accuracy rankings, Ariel Cohen's #1 accuracy ATC projections, customized advice in the Team Sync platform, Live Draft Assistant, 15 in-season lineup tools, customized rankings and much more! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Soft Contact King

Anderson's career year was solely down to the quality of contact he allowed. In 30 games (28 starts), Anderson had a 15-5 W-L record, 2.57 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 138 Ks in 178.2 IP. With a 19.5% K%, which ranked in the 26th percentile, Anderson couldn't have the success he had without inducing weak contact.

Obviously, getting hitters to hit the ball weakly is an asset. I'm not going to try and spin it any other way. And having a 4.8% BB% will certainly help you when you are striking many guys out. The question for Anderson is, how was he able to take nearly two full runs off his ERA from 2021 when the quality of contact he allowed only improved a bit?

 

Smoke And Mirrors

Well, luck played its part in Anderson's success. No one will be expecting a sub-3.00 ERA season again, and if we look at some of his numbers from 2021 and 2022, you'll see why a sub-4.00 ERA might not even be a given.

Year IP Avg Exit Velo HardHit% K% BB% BABIP ERA xFIP SIERA
2021 167.0 87.0 MPH 33.0% 19.1% 5.4% .284 4.53 4.60 4.57
2022 178.2 85.0 MPH 28.5% 19.5% 4.8% .256 2.57 4.10 4.04

Anderson's underlying numbers were only slightly better last year than they were in 2021 so that drop in ERA seems unsustainable. Especially when you consider it came out of the blue from a pitcher in his seventh season in the Majors. Anderson certainly managed to fool hitters last year but you don't want to be fooled into believing a repeat is on the cards.

 

New Park And New Defense

We also need to factor in that Anderson will be on a new team, with a new defense behind him and a new ballpark to call home. Unfortunately, they are all downgrades for pitching. If we look at Statcast's park factors over the last three years, the Angels' ballpark ranked as the fourth-most hitter-friendly, while the Dodgers' ballpark was the eighth-most hitter-friendly. Not a huge downgrade, but a downgrade nonetheless.

And it's a similar story for the defense. Given Anderson's lack of strikeouts, he relies on his defense more than the majority of pitchers. And the Dodgers ranked 11th in Outs Above Average (OAA) while the Angels ranked 17th. The addition of Hunter Renfroe should improve things for the Angels and again, it's not a huge downgrade for Anderson on last year, but another downgrade nonetheless.

 

Spring Has Sprung

Anderson has had a very light workload in spring so far. With Opening Day eight days away, Anderson made just his second appearance, taking his total to 8.0 IP. He did throw 82 pitches on Tuesday in his second outing so he appears close to ready to begin the season and the results have been good. Anderson is yet to allow a run and has given up just three hits while striking out four. But he has also allowed four walks.

The concern is Anderson's fastball velocity appears to be down. His 90.7 mph average fastball velocity last year only ranked in the sixth percentile, so it's not like he needs to be a flamethrower to get the weak contact, but his fastball only averaged 88.8 mph on Tuesday and is something that's worth noting. Like so much of what we've already covered, it's not a huge deal but still something that warrants a downgrade.

 

Summary

If we look at the five standard pitching categories in fantasy, Anderson isn't set to be much help in anything other than WHIP. After picking up 15 wins last year, the 2023 Angels aren't set to be any better than the 2022 Dodgers. And we also need to factor in that the Angels will continue with their six-man rotation, limiting Anderson's workload.

Last year, Shohei Ohtani was the only Angels pitcher to top 150.0 IP with Patrick Sandoval coming in second with 148.2 IP (27 starts). That might leave double-digit wins barely within reach. Again for context, Ohtani led the team in wins with 15 with Jose Suarez and Michael Lorenzen being tied in second place with eight wins apiece.

For a pitcher that doesn't strike out many, tallying a helpful number of strikeouts for your fantasy team is dependent on a higher workload. If we assume Anderson reaches 150.0 IP, based on his K/9 over the last two years, he will record 118 Ks. Last year, 89 pitchers recorded 118 or more strikeouts. That's relievers and starters.

We've already covered how Anderson should expect significant regression in his ERA, and he's obviously not helping in saves, so it's only his WHIP (1.12 since 2021) that is really helping your fantasy teams. His ADP is only ~272 on NFBC (77th SP) so it's not like he comes with a hefty price tag. But at that range, taking a gamble on someone else with upside seems like a far smarter play than picking a 33-year-old pitcher coming off a career year on a new team.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaden Ivey16 mins ago

Listed As Questionable For Friday
Rhys McKee18 mins ago

Searching For First UFC Win
Anthony Edwards19 mins ago

Uncertain For Friday Night
Chidi Njokuani24 mins ago

Drops Back Down To Welterweight At UFC Atlantic City
Kyle Nelson25 mins ago

An Underdog Again At UFC Atlantic City
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander28 mins ago

Doubtful For Friday Night
Bill Algeo29 mins ago

Eyes Sixth UFC Win
Joaquin Buckley32 mins ago

Gets Ranked Opponent At UFC Atlantic City
Quentin Grimes32 mins ago

Ruled Out Friday
Vicente Luque35 mins ago

Gets Short-Notice Opponent At UFC Atlantic City
LeBron James42 mins ago

Questionable Against Indiana
Taj Gibson49 mins ago

Out Friday Against Wizards
Anthony Davis58 mins ago

Questionable Versus Indiana
Eduardo Rodriguez1 hour ago

Could Throw Off Mound In 5-7 Days
Max Kepler1 hour ago

Leaves On Opening Day With Injury
Nick Senzel2 hours ago

Suffers Broken Thumb
Jason Foley2 hours ago

Earns The Save For Tigers
Dejounte Murray2 hours ago

Available Versus Boston
Xavier Tillman2 hours ago

Sr. Cleared For Thursday Night
Al Horford2 hours ago

Won't Face The Hawks
Jrue Holiday2 hours ago

Available On Thursday
Tarik Skubal2 hours ago

Tosses Six Scoreless Innings On Opening Day
Corbin Burnes3 hours ago

Pitches A Gem On Opening Day
Royce Lewis3 hours ago

Exits With Quad Injury
Max Scherzer4 hours ago

Throws Bullpen Session
Clayton Kershaw5 hours ago

"Ahead Of Things" Timetable-Wise
Walker Buehler5 hours ago

Ahead Of Schedule
Corey Seager5 hours ago

Active On Opening Day
Oneil Cruz5 hours ago

Batting Sixth On Opening Day
Alex Caruso5 hours ago

Ayo Dosunmu Probable Friday
Darius Garland5 hours ago

Probable Against 76ers
Donovan Mitchell5 hours ago

Upgraded To Questionable
Duncan Robinson7 hours ago

Heat Rule Out Duncan Robinson Friday
Bryan Reynolds7 hours ago

In Opening Day Lineup
Jimmy Butler7 hours ago

Probable Against Portland
Onyeka Okongwu8 hours ago

Remains Out Thursday
Dejounte Murray8 hours ago

Questionable With Back Soreness
Jordan Romano9 hours ago

Not Expected To Be Out Long
Gerrit Cole9 hours ago

Yankees Put Gerrit Cole On 60-Day Injured List
Elly De La Cruz9 hours ago

Batting In Six-Hole On Opening Day
Anthony Rendon9 hours ago

Hitting Leadoff On Opening Day
Wander Franco9 hours ago

Placed On Administrative Leave
Aaron Ekblad10 hours ago

Returning To Panthers Lineup Thursday
Nikita Kucherov10 hours ago

Establishes New Career High With 42nd Goal
Shane Pinto10 hours ago

Collects Career-High Four Points
Valeri Nichushkin10 hours ago

Nursing A Lower-Body Injury
Samuel Girard10 hours ago

Battling An Illness
J.K. Dobbins10 hours ago

Visiting With Chargers On Thursday
Oskar Sundqvist10 hours ago

To Miss Rest Of Season With Torn ACL
Ethan Bear10 hours ago

Enters Player Assistance Program
Keita Bates-Diop11 hours ago

To Miss Rest Of Season
Dyson Daniels11 hours ago

Remains Out On Thursday But Nearing Return
LaMelo Ball11 hours ago

Ruled Out For Rest Of 2023-24
TJ Friedl24 hours ago

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Jackson Chourio24 hours ago

Will Start In Right Field Friday
Eduardo Rodriguez1 day ago

Starts Throwing Program
Mark Hubbard1 day ago

Coming Off A Career Performance
Davis Thompson1 day ago

Looking To Pay Off A Stellar Run Of Ball-Striking
Akshay Bhatia1 day ago

Coming Into Houston With Confidence
Thorbjorn Olesen1 day ago

Still Trying To Find Footing On U.S. Soil
Patrick Rodgers1 day ago

Fighting Inconsistencies Heading Into Houston
Malik Nabers1 day ago

Shines At Pro Day
Carolina Panthers1 day ago

Jadeveon Clowney Signing Two-Year Deal With Panthers
Wyndham Clark1 day ago

Battling Back Injury Ahead of Houston Open
San Francisco 49ers1 day ago

Talanoa Hufanga Expected To Return At Training Camp
Jayden Daniels1 day ago

Raiders To Meet With Jayden Daniels
Tank Bigsby1 day ago

Jaguars Want Tank Bigsby More Involved
Josh Reynolds1 day ago

Signs Two-Year Deal With Broncos
Doug Ghim1 day ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Houston Open
PGA1 day ago

Cameron Davis Seeking Consistency Ahead Of Houston Open
Thomas Detry1 day ago

A Gamble At Houston Open
Ryan Fox1 day ago

Lacks Upside Heading Into Houston Open
Andrew Novak1 day ago

Will Be Chalk At Houston Open
Josh Doan1 day ago

Scores Twice In His NHL Debut
Filip Forsberg1 day ago

Makes History In Big Comeback Win
Jamie Benn1 day ago

Scores In Fifth Consecutive Game
Sidney Crosby1 day ago

Collects Three Points Versus Carolina
Artemi Panarin1 day ago

Continues Scoring Tear With Three Assists
Joey Daccord1 day ago

Shuts Out Ducks
Sahith Theegala1 day ago

Showing Consistency This Season
Wyndham Clark1 day ago

Working Toward Star Status
Scottie Scheffler1 day ago

Heads To Houston At His Best
Sam Ryder2 days ago

Putting The Lights Out Of Late
Joel Dahmen2 days ago

All Systems Go For Joel Dahmen In Houston
Kurt Kitayama2 days ago

Ready For Houston Debut
Ben Griffin2 days ago

Finding Form Heading To Houston
Taylor Moore2 days ago

Continues Made-Cut Streak Heading To Houston
Adam Svensson2 days ago

Hoping For Consistency In Houston
Taylor Montgomery2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back In Houston
Amon-Ra St. Brown2 days ago

Discussing Extension With Lions
Jared Goff2 days ago

Lions Discussing New Deal
J.K. Dobbins2 days ago

Cleared For Football Activities
Los Angeles Rams2 days ago

Tre'Davious White To Join Rams
PIT2 days ago

Sam Poulin Recalled From AHL
Jack Quinn2 days ago

Could Return Wednesday
Scott Mayfield2 days ago

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
TOR2 days ago

Mitch Marner Skates On His Own Tuesday
Trevor Zegras2 days ago

To Return Tuesday
Justus Annunen2 days ago

Inks Two-Year Extension
Nick Chubb2 days ago

Expected To Start Load Running Next Month
D'Andre Swift2 days ago

Bears View D'Andre Swift As Receiving Weapon
Cordarrelle Patterson2 days ago

Signing With Steelers
Sam Howell2 days ago

Seahawks Believe Sam Howell Can Be A Full-Time Starter
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

L'Jarius Sneed Agrees On Four-Year Contract With Titans
Dak Prescott2 days ago

No Indication A Deal Is Coming For Dak Prescott
Calvin Ridley2 days ago

To Have Big Role In Tennessee
Josh Jacobs2 days ago

To Be Used More In Passing Game
Brandon Saad2 days ago

Gets Another Goal In Monday's Loss
Logan Thompson2 days ago

Stretches Winning Streak To Three Games
Pittsburgh Steelers3 days ago

Cameron Heyward Expected To Be Healthy For Training Camp
Zach Wilson3 days ago

Jets Could End Up Keeping Zach Wilson
Amanda Ribas3 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

Snaps Losing Streak
Edmen Shahbazyan3 days ago

Scores Vicious Comeback Knockout
AJ Dobson3 days ago

Knocked Out In The First Round At UFC Vegas 89
Fernando Padilla3 days ago

Gets Back On Track With Submission Win
Luis Pajuelo3 days ago

Submitted In UFC Debut
William Byron3 days ago

Dominates For Victory At COTA
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Grabs Another Solid Finish At COTA
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Texas Native Chris Buescher Finishes Eighth At COTA
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Kyle Busch Confronts Christopher Bell Following A Top-10 Finish At COTA
Justin Haley4 days ago

Disqualified After Strong COTA Run
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

. Rounds Out Top Ten At COTA
NASCAR4 days ago

A.J. Allmendinger Worms Way Up To Sixth At COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Comes Down to Earth After Mediocre COTA Run
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Ran Well at COTA as Usual Despite Late-Race Fade
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Furious Charge Falls Just Short at COTA
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Scores Strong Finish of Fifth at COTA
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Finishes 16th at COTA After Lackluster Performance
Billy Quarantillo4 days ago

Suffers Submission Loss At UFC Vegas 89
Youssef Zalal4 days ago

Gets Submission Win In Return To The UFC
Cameron Saaiman4 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 89
Payton Talbott4 days ago

Scores KO Win At UFC Vegas 89
Justin Tafa4 days ago

Drops To .500 In The UFC
Karl Williams4 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Is One Of The Optimal DFS Options For COTA
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Should Denny Hamlin Be Rostered For DFS Lineups At COTA?
Kaz Grala4 days ago

Is A Serviceable DFS Play For COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Will Start 12th In First COTA Cup Start
Todd Gilliland4 days ago

Is A Sneaky DFS Play With Upside For COTA
William Byron4 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win At COTA
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Is A Comfortable DFS Play For COTA
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

the Favorite to Win at COTA
Ty Gibbs5 days ago

Looking for First Career Win at COTA
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF