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FanDuel NBA DFS Lineup Picks (4/12/17): Daily Fantasy Basketball Advice

I hate goodbyes, but today is it my friends. It's the final night of the NBA's regular season. The parting gift? How about a 14 game slate! Sounds great, doesn't it? It is, in many ways, but in a few ways, it isn't as beautiful as it appears on the surface, because so many teams will be resting their players. The "minefield" we've been dealing with the past two weeks lives on for one more night. As someone that prefers a double-digit slate, I'm pretty excited about tonight (even though I sounded pretty negative just a second ago) but I will say that despite there being less options to work with during NBA playoffs DFS, I'm excited to worry less about who might be sitting or scratched late and spend more time on strategy. Remember, the games don't start until 8 Eastern tonight.

As is customary with my columns, we'll take a look at Vegas lines before I get into the player selections. Unsurprisingly, many Vegas oddsmakers have shied away from posting lines, which likely has a ton to do with all the players that have announced they're sitting, and even more so to do with the uncertainty surrounding who else might sit. Of the lines that have been set, from a point total perspective (think stacks) I'm looking at the Kings at Clippers (211) and Timberwolves at Rockets (227). Due to the aforementioned uncertainty, though, I'd suggest building your stacks later in the day when we know more about who's taking the floor and who isn't. There's no worse feeling than falling in love with a stack, only to find out a player or two is sitting, and then having to blow it all up and start over.

In this article, I will be providing you with daily NBA lineup picks for FanDuel on 4/12/17. The picks will range from some of the elite players, to mid-priced options, and value plays.

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Shall we dance? Might as well, it's the final night of the regular season.

 

FanDuel DFS Guards

Chris Paul - PG, vs SAC ($9,400)

Nearly all of my strategy today will be focused on paying up for guys with something left to play for and padding that lineup with young stars that have been relegated to a backup role all season, but for some reason or another, will be playing a starter's allotment of minutes this evening. Paul fits the description of the former, as he and his Clippers teammates are locked into a playoff spot, but are battling for the #4 seed in the West, which would give them home-court advantage in round one. In addition this matchup being a particularly strong one for Paul, the Clippers also have the second highest projected point total of the night, sitting at 113 points as of this morning. Paul has been particularly strong of late as well, exceeding his salary based expectations in six straight games.

Also Consider: Jamal Murray - PG, at OKC ($4,600)

 

Josh Richardson - SG, vs WAS ($5,300)

Continuing with my theme of finding players who can exceed value and have something to play for, we land at the feet of Josh Richardson. Richardson, relative to his salary based expectations, has been on quite a streak. In the Heat's last six games, he's exceeded value very easily, and the individual game statistics reveal he's taken on a larger offensive workload in this span, as he's attempted double digit shots in five of the six games. In addition to his recent performance being promising and Heat with a playoff seed to fight for, the matchup itself is a fairly opportune one for Richardson as the Wizards' guards aren't known for their defensive prowess and the pace in which they operate will likely yield the Heat with more possessions. Richardson is projected to see roughly 35 or more minutes tonight as well, which helps create a sturdy floor.

Also Consider: JJ Redick - SG, vs SAC ($4,600)

 

FanDuel DFS Forwards

Larry Nance Jr - PF, at GSW ($4,600)

On a night with so much uncertainty surrounding minutes, Nance feels like one of the few certainties to play more than 25 minutes. He's also in a great spot against this Golden State team that will be resting nearly the entirety of their starting core, and he comes into this matchup on quite the upswing. Over the last 10 games, he's exceeded value nine times, by an impressive margin of 9.35 FanDuel points above his salary based expectation. An impressive statistic in this run - and one that helps to raise his floor on a regular basis - is that he's contributed more fantasy points without having to take more shots than he has averaged all year. The man plays within his role, and the minutes increase has paid dividends.

Also Consider: Gorgui Dieng - PF, at HOU ($5,700)

 

Jimmy Butler - SF, vs BKN ($10,200)

Butler tonight represents a unique situation. On the one hand, he's been a dominant DFS asset this season, keeping players above the cash line and helping to take down a GPP or too with his monster performances. With Wade out, he's picked up a greater offensive workload and has shined in the process. He also fits the model of sticking with guys that have something to play for, as the Bulls are battling out for seeding position in the Eastern Conference. On the other hand, the Bulls face the lowly Nets. If this were any other point in the season, I'd be drooling. But since we're at the end of the season and the Nets have nothing to play for, they've announced that a great number of their players (6+) will be sitting out tonight, which means there is potential for a blowout and Butler sitting in the second half. Because he holds the potential to pour in 50+ points and should be popular tonight, he's almost a must play in cash formats and perhaps worth a flier in tournament formats. Of all the small forwards taking the floor tonight, only two are projected for a higher Usage rate than Butler is this evening.

Also Consider: Andrew Wiggins - SF, at HOU ($8,100)

 

FanDuel DFS Centers

Willy Hernangomez - C, vs PHI ($5,100)

Billy G is another guy who has been given more minutes and more offensive freedom as this season has wound down, and he's certainly made the most of it. In the Knicks' last seven games, Hernangomez has exceeded value in each game, and he's done so by attempting no less than eight shot attempts per game and only once has pulled down less than eight boards. If we look at even smaller, but more recent sample, those numbers jump a few digits. I expect this trend to continue tonight, and the opportunity is there for Hernangomez to put up tournament numbers, as the Sixers allow the highest positive +/- to opposing centers of any team playing tonight at +6.12.

Also Consider: Boban Marjanovic - C, at ORL ($4,200)

 

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Jrue Holiday

Wants to Stay in Portland
Ayo Dosunmu

Timberwolves Hope to Bring Back Ayo Dosunmu
Dylan Harper

Considered Questionable for Friday Night
De'Aaron Fox

Listed as Questionable for Game 3
Jalen Williams

Questionable for Game 3 Against Spurs
Alex Tuch

Hopes to Remain in Buffalo
Sidney Crosby

Wants to Play for "as Many Years as Possible"
Troy Terry

Could Miss Start of Next Season Due to Hip Surgery
Arber Xhekaj

Scratched for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Finals
Jakub Dobes

Seeks More Success Against Hurricanes
Frederik Andersen

Looks to Stay Undefeated Thursday
Calvin Ridley

Not Taking Part in OTAs as Value Continues to Plummet
Carnell Tate

Receiving Early Buzz at OTAs
Ashton Jeanty

Bigger Role Could be Coming for Ashton Jeanty in Year 2
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Malik Nabers

' Goal is to be Ready for Start of the Season
De'Von Achane

Dealing With Injury at OTAs?
Dalton Kincaid

Says he Feels "Really Good"
Keenan Allen

Door isn't Closed for Keenan Allen in Los Angeles
Ty Simpson

Does Ty Simpson Have First-Round Appeal in Rookie Drafts?
Fernando Mendoza

Working Behind Other QBs
Cam Ward

is "Perfectly Healthy"
James Cook III

Absent From OTA Practices This Week
Darnell Washington

Is it Time to Drop Darnell Washington in Dynasty Leagues?
Fernando Mendoza

a Top Dynasty Target Even if He Doesn't Start Week 1?
Tyreek Hill

Dynasty Outlook Dependent on Landing Spot
Mack Hollins

Should Managers Trade for Mack Hollins Amid Roster Questions?
Michael Wilson

a Prime Dynasty Sell Candidate
Jake Ferguson

Insurance Upside Makes Him a Borderline TE1 in Dynasty
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One of the Most Valuable Assets in Dynasty
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Contributes 22 Points in Wednesday's Loss
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Still Provides Some Dynasty Insurance as His Standalone Value Fades
Stephon Castle

Tallies Team-High 25 Points in Game 2 Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Records Eighth Postseason Double-Double
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Nolan Smith Arrested for Speeding and Reckless Driving
Isaiah Hartenstein

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder to Game 2 Victory WIth 30 Points
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Exits Game 2 Early Due to Right-Leg Injury
Jalen Williams

Suffers Another Hamstring Injury
Valeri Nichushkin

Ends Scoring Slump in Game 1 Loss
Nathan MacKinnon

Extends Point Streak With an Assist
Brett Howden

Pots Another Goal in Game 1 Win Against Avalanche
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Extends Point Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Scores in Fourth Straight Outing
Carter Hart

Records Third Consecutive Win
Timothy Liljegren

Capitals Re-Sign Timothy Liljegren to Two-Year Extension
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
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Giants Offense to be a Run-First Unit?
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Jerry Stackhouse Emerges as Bulls Head-Coach Candidate
Cooper Flagg

Kon Knueppel Headline All-Rookie Team
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 2 on Wednesday
Jiri Kulich

Aims to Return Next Season
Jeremy Lauzon

Not Expected to Play Wednesday
Mark Stone

Likely to Remain Out Wednesday
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Western Conference Finals for Avalanche
Sam Malinski

Set to Return Wednesday
Artturi Lehkonen

Expected to Play Wednesday Night
Cale Makar

Will Miss Game 1 Against Golden Knights
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Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
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Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
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Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
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Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
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UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
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Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
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Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
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Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
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Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
James Harden

Struggles in Eastern Conference Finals Opener
Evan Mobley

Bags Second Consecutive Double-Double
Donovan Mitchell

Produces Top Two-Way Performance in Game 1 Loss
OG Anunoby

Plays Key Role in Comeback Win
Mikal Bridges

Remains Efficient in Game 1 Against Cavaliers
Karl-Anthony Towns

Extends Double-Double Streak to Four Games
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Mattias Samuelsson

Picks Up an Assist in Season-Ending Loss
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF