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Keith Eyster's top NBA prop bets for 11/19/25: expert player-prop picks, value plays, quick model edges and line-shopping tips for today’s slate. Check odds & get the edge.
Welcome back to the RotoBallers NBA Props article! We have an exciting nine-game slate on tap for this evening, and it is loaded with strong matchups. Eight of the nine games boast a total above 230 points, with Bulls-Blazers leading the pack at 244.5. We also have a spread of less than three points in four of the games.
There are also a multitude of injuries to navigate, with stars like Domantas Sabonis, Darius Garland, and Paul George already ruled out. Additionally, the injury report features several more impactful names to monitor, like Joel Embiid, Jalen Brunson, Zion Williamson, Bam Adebayo, and many others.
In this article, I will provide my favorite NBA player props picks for Wednesday, November 19th. Prop picks can range from individual stats—points, assists, rebounds, three-pointers made, and defensive stats —to combination props (Points + Rebounds + Assists = PRA). All odds and sportsbooks used are listed, but it's always a good idea to shop around, as odds change throughout the day as bets are placed. Let's get to the picks already. I loaded it up for tonight!
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Today’s Best NBA Prop Bets & Player Props
Early-season NBA player props provide bettors with a prime opportunity to get ahead of the oddsmakers by capitalizing on new trends, unexpected rotations, and shifts in play style from last season. With teams still settling into their identities, sharp bettors can often find mispriced lines before the markets adjust.
Let’s take a look at the top player props for today’s NBA slate:
- Tyrese Maxey over 30.5 Points (-117 DK)
- Shaedon Sharpe over 25.5 Points (-105 BetMGM)
- Josh Giddey over 17.5 Rebounds and Assists (-105 BetMGM)
- Isaiah Hartenstein over 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-105 BetMGM)
- Bennedict Mathurin over 20.5 Points (-116 DK)
Tyrese Maxey over 30.5 Points (-117 DK)
Sixers star Tyrese Maxey is having an excellent season, averaging 32.5 points over his first 13 games. Joel Embiid and Paul George are both out again, which means Maxey should have the offense all to himself. In six games this season with Embiid and George inactive, Maxey has posted a usage rate above 33%. On top of the elite usage, Maxey is also playing more than 40 minutes per game.
Tonight's matchup is also a favorable one, as the Toronto Raptors rank 12th in pace and defensive efficiency. The game also projects as one of the most favorable environments of the evening, with a healthy 234.5-point total and a slim 1.5-point spread. Maxey should play 40+ minutes in a close, up-tempo matchup and score at least 31 points.
Shaedon Sharpe over 25.5 Points (-105 BetMGM)
The matchup between the Bulls and Blazers features two of the top three teams in pace in the entire league, which has this game at one of the highest point totals we have seen all season (244.5). Additionally, there is a tight 2.5-point spread, so we should have 48 minutes of competitive action on tap, which should lead to some massive performances.
Shaedon Sharpe can score with the best of them, and, like many other high-end scorers, he runs on confidence
With his light greener than it’s ever been, his confidence is peaking and his play is following right behind that
He’s excelled with more usage pic.twitter.com/S1SI3LpzsF
— Point Made Basketball (@pointmadebball) November 19, 2025
On the Blazers' side, Jrue Holiday is expected to miss another game, which elevates Shaedon Sharpe into an elite role. In two games with Holiday sidelined this season, Sharpe has posted a usage rate above 39% and averaged 32.5 points. He scored 29 points last night despite sitting out the final five minutes in a game that had long been decided on the scoreboard. Jerami Grant also missed last night's game due to illness, and his status remains uncertain for tonight.
Regardless of whether Grant plays or not, Sharpe is set up to smash yet again in one of the best game environments we have seen all season long.
Josh Giddey over 17.5 Rebounds and Assists (-105 BetMGM)
Sticking with the top game environment of the night, the Chicago Bulls are expected to have Coby White active for just the second game all season. White played 30 minutes off the bench in a 2OT loss to the Jazz last week, and he should see a similar role in this one. White will certainly impact the roles of several players that have been playing all season, but he should not impact what Josh Giddey has been doing for his team, which is basically everything.
Giddey is averaging 21.8 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 9.4 assists through 11 games. White may impact the usage rate for Giddey more than anything, which will only give him more rebounding chances and potential assists. When Giddey played with White active last season, his assist rate was actually 1.5% higher than in games White missed, and his rebound rate was virtually the same.
Josh Giddey in November:
23 PTS - 11 REB - 12 AST
29 PTS - 15 REB - 12 AST
16 PTS - 7 REB - 14 AST
15 PTS - 9 REB - 6 AST
26 PTS - 13 REB - 13 AST
21 PTS - 14 REB - 6 ASTNovember averages:
21.7ppg - 11.5rpg - 10.5apg🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/t1zKJiQ2L7
— Chicago Bulls (@chicagobulls) November 18, 2025
So, to sum it all up, we have a line that is more than two rebounds and assists below Giddey's season average in the best game environment of the season. White's return to the lineup is not all that impactful to Giddey's rebounds or assists, which makes this an easy over for Giddey.
Top Value Props & Sleeper Picks
Betting on superstars is always exciting, but the best value often lies on the margins of a roster. Role players and emerging contributors can offer hidden edges, especially as the season wears on and injuries start to shake up rotations.
Let’s dive into some of the top value plays for today’s NBA slate.
Isaiah Hartenstein over 23.5 Points and Rebounds (-105 BetMGM)
Thunder big man Isaiah Hartenstein has been playing great basketball for the league's top team. He has averaged 12.9 points and 10.9 rebounds in 28.5 minutes per game. He remains an elite rebounder on a team that is otherwise lacking in that department, and his usage has increased slightly this season as Jalen Williams has been out.
The slight uptick in usage is great and all, but the primary reason for targeting Hartenstein is an elite matchup against Sacramento, who will be without their own elite rebounder, Domantas Sabonis. Hartenstein absolutely thrived in this matchup earlier this month when Sabonis was also out. He posted his best game of the season, racking up 33 points and 19 boards across 31 minutes. For transparency, Chet Holmgren was in foul trouble that game and played just 21 minutes, but Hartensteing should see upper-20s minutes in this spot regardless.
The Kings' backup bigs have no hope of controlling Hartenstein on the glass, and he can likely dominate them inside again as well. If worried about the 18.5-point spread, OKC won that last matchup against the Kings by 31, so that should ease any concern that the big man doesn't play a full complement of minutes in a blowout. Hartenstein is well-positioned to smash this matchup again.
Bennedict Mathurin over 20.5 Points (-116 DK)
Bennedict Mathurin returned from a toe injury and posted 25 points in just 25 minutes against Detroit in his last game. He has now scored at least 25 points in all three games he has played this season, and his 30.3% usage rate is the highest on the team. Indiana is desperate for scoring, sitting with a 1-13 record, and Mathurin is the most capable scorer they have.
Last season, in seven games with Tyrese Haliburton inactive, Mathurin averaged 21.0 points on 25.5% usage. He has clearly been even more involved in the offense through three games this season, which makes it easy to assume an uptick in his scoring average.
Bennedict Mathurin in his return. pic.twitter.com/E4P9lwrXuq
— Indiana Pacers (@Pacers) November 18, 2025
Tonight's matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is also a plus for Mathurin, as the Hornets rank just 23rd in defensive efficiency. We can assume a floor of the 25 minutes he played in his last game, but there is also room for that to increase as he gets his game legs back. Mathurin should eventually build up to a role of 32+ minutes per game for a team that badly needs his scoring acumen.
NBA Betting Tools & Resources
Don't forget to utilize all of the NBA DFS and betting tools we have here at RotoBaller! The NBA betting landscape changes by the minute throughout the day, so stay up to date with the latest odds and market values with our NBA DFS and betting tools and projections.
Thanks for reading, RotoBallers, and good luck if you are tailing our bets tonight!
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