
Articles

Can Chase Elliott Deliver Another Clutch Win to Make Championship 4?
Chase Elliott became a long shot to advance to the Championship 4 after a disappointing day at Las Vegas, where he suffered a penalty for a runaway tire, then was minorly involved in the late race 11-car pileup, which resulted in an 18th-place finish. Since he's now 23 points behind his fellow Chase (Briscoe) for […]
Sean Wrona
William Byron Seeks First Win at Talladega to Overcome Las Vegas Crash
After months of complacency, William Byron now may be approaching a must-win scenario as his crash at Las Vegas coupled with Denny Hamlin's win will make it a lot more difficult to make the Championship 4. He might not need to win if he doesn't crash at Talladega and one of the other playoff contenders […]
Sean Wrona
Chase Briscoe Likely to Finish Worse Than he Starts
Qualifying dominance on other tracks doesn't necessarily carry over to Talladega, but it did for Chase Briscoe, who qualified second to earn his 12th front row start. Although Briscoe only finished 15th in the spring, he led 20 laps and his 15-lap stint out front from laps 26-40 was the second-longest such stint in the […]
Sean Wrona
Despite No Wins on Drafting Tracks, Kyle Larson is Improving
Although Kyle Larson isn't particularly known as a drafting-track master -- he has yet to win any races either using the classic restrictor plates or the more recent tapered spacers -- he is improving and finished fourth and second in the last two Talladega races despite not really contending for the win. The Hendrick cars […]
Sean Wrona
Despite Winning at Talladega, Tyler Reddick's Drafting Record Is Not So Hot
Tyler Reddick won the spring race at Talladega in 2024, but it was a little cheap as the Toyotas were the first manufacturer to make their final pit stop in that race, which vaulted Reddick into the lead after the crash John Hunter Nemechek triggered took out most of the others. Since that allowed him […]
Sean Wrona
Ross Chastain's Poor Qualifying Makes him a Strong DFS Option at Talladega
Although Trackhouse Racing's speed has seriously stagnated on ovals lately, that doesn't matter at Talladega, where many races aren't decided on speed. Ross Chastain won here once in 2022 when he almost stumbled into the lead and led only one lap after Erik Jones' drafting help crashed behind him. He factors for the lead more […]
Sean Wrona
Chris Buescher's Excellent Crash Avoidance Could Reap Dividends at Talladega
Although he has seemed a lot slower this year than in previous seasons, Chris Buescher's greatest strength is that he arguably crashes less than any other driver on the NASCAR Cup Series circuit. This year, he has only crashed out of a race once, but that came in this spring's race at Talladega when a […]
Sean Wrona
If Ty Gibbs' Team Executes a Better Strategy, he Could Win at Talladega
Ty Gibbs starts 18th at Talladega on Sunday, a track where he has never finished better than 13th. However, he had a great deal of speed in the spring race, leading a race-high 32 laps before the extra fuel he burnt running out front caused many other drivers to jump him after the final exchange […]
Sean Wrona
Daniel Suarez Hopes for Clutch Talladega Win to Remain in the NASCAR Cup Series
After Justin Haley was released from Spire Motorsports this week, many observers are expecting Daniel Suárez to be his replacement. One way of likely ensuring that would be if he wins at Talladega today. The Trackhouse Racing cars have tended to consistently have speed on these tracks, what with Ross Chastain winning the first Next […]
Sean Wrona
Josh Berry Might Contend at Talladega
Considering the dominance the Fords in general and the Penske Fords in particular have shown on drafting tracks in recent years, it wouldn't come as much surprise if Josh Berry won at Talladega on Sunday, especially after the inferior Harrison Burton already won at Daytona in the Penske-aligned Wood Brothers car last year. However, in […]
Sean Wrona
Austin Dillon Doesn't Lead Enough at Talladega to Contend for Wins
Although Austin Dillon has won two drafting-track races, both of those came at Daytona, where he roughed up the leader. Although theoretically anyone could win at Talladega, Dillon seems like he would have only the remotest chance because to win at Talladega, you still need to be able to put yourself in the lead, and […]
Sean Wrona
Christopher Bell Sits Third in Points After Quiet Third-Place Finish
Although Christopher Bell has not been as dominant as in previous years, he's having arguably his most consistent season with a series-best 11.4 average finish. Those trends continued in yesterday's race at Las Vegas as he never led in a race where his teammate Chase Briscoe won the pole and his other teammate Denny Hamlin […]
Sean Wrona
Chase Briscoe Passes Denny Hamlin at the Start, but Hamlin Gets Him in the End
Chase Briscoe did what he needed to do to hold serve in the NASCAR playoffs on Sunday. After qualifying second, he blew around his teammate Denny Hamlin on the opening lap and led the first 35 laps until William Byron beat him out of the pits on the first green-flag pit cycle. Briscoe consistently ran […]
Sean Wrona
Joey Logano Falling Out of Playoff Picture Despite Other Contenders' Crashes
Although Joey Logano has a knack for winning the first race of the penultimate round of the NASCAR playoffs en route to the championship, he perhaps surprisingly wasn't much of a factor in Sunday's Las Vegas race. After starting ninth, he consistently ran in the back of the top 10 until a pit stop during […]
Sean Wrona
Stage 1 Crash Puts Ryan Blaney in Severe Playoff Trouble
Ryan Blaney had a nightmare situation befall him in the first race of the Round of 8 in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs on Sunday at Las Vegas. After qualifying 14th, Blaney did not make much progress, consistently running between 12th and 14th, until a blown tire sent him straight into the wall with nine […]
Sean Wrona
Chase Elliott Should Run Well at Las Vegas
Although he no longer seems to have the blinding speed he once had in the Gen 6 era, Chase Elliott has gotten his consistency back as a modern-day analogue to what the Labonte brothers were 25-30 years ago. It seems likely he doesn't have the speed to make the Championship Round, particularly since he's never […]
Sean Wrona
Kyle Larson's Conservatism May Keep him from Replicating Previous Las Vegas Drive
Although Kyle Larson only finished ninth in the March race at Las Vegas, he was pretty spectacular, as he made five passes for the lead without being passed once for the lead himself before he was ultimately foiled by pit strategy. While he has been nowhere near as fast in the second half of the […]
Sean Wrona
After Josh Berry's Las Vegas Win, Ryan Blaney Should be a Top Contender
Although Ryan Blaney has led only 84 laps at Las Vegas, it still seems like he's kind of overdue for a win, here particularly after the 2020 race where he was leading when a caution came out with five laps left, which handed the race win to Blaney's teammate Joey Logano after Blaney pitted. After […]
Sean Wrona
Chase Briscoe has Definitely Improved on Intermediate Tracks
Chase Briscoe continued his run as NASCAR's most dominant qualifier with a second-place qualifying run on Saturday at Las Vegas. Although he finished fourth in the fall race in 2022, he normally doesn't run well here, although he has run better at most tracks since he switched to Joe Gibbs Racing after Stewart-Haas Racing, which […]
Sean Wrona
Tyler Reddick An Excellent DFS Option on Paper
On paper, Tyler Reddick seems like one of the best DFS options since he is generally regarded as a flat-intermediate master. He had five top-10 finishes in six starts here from 2021-2024, and he also led 34 laps in the March race before he got trapped a lap down after making a green-flag pit stop […]
Sean Wrona
Alex Bowman May Not Get the Attention he Needs at Las Vegas
Alex Bowman typically runs well at Las Vegas as he does on most flat intermediates. He won the first Next Gen-era race in 2022 here, drawing the ire of Kyle Busch, who whined after the race about how Bowman backed into most of his victories. His luck has mostly run out since then, especially after […]
Sean Wrona
Brad Keselowski's 34th-Place Qualifying Run Makes Him a Must-Start in DFS
Brad Keselowski used to be a master at Las Vegas wih three wins from 2014-2018, but as with most tracks, he hasn't been much of a contender here with the Next Gen car, although he did lead 38 laps and finish fourth in the 2023 fall event. His 34th-place qualifying run yesterday is the worst […]
Sean Wrona
Shane Van Gisbergen Still Not Really Viable for DFS Play
Although Shane van Gisbergen hasn't typically been fast in oval races yet, he's now outqualified both his Trackhouse Racing teammates Ross Chastain and Daniel Suárez several times, and his speed in recent weeks has rapidly improved in oval races as well. He'll probably never win one, but much like his Supercars champion predecessor Marcos Ambrose, […]
Sean Wrona
Josh Berry's Chance for a Las Vegas Sweep Looks Unbelievably Remote
Although Josh Berry's win in the March race at Las Vegas seemed to mark a breakthrough for him in the NASCAR Cup Series, in retrospect, it's starting to seem like more of a fluke. This is not to say Berry hasn't had a number of good runs this season - his Loudon drive was probably […]
Sean Wrona
Carson Hocevar a Top-Tier DFS Option at Las Vegas
Although the fan base seems to be giving up on Carson Hocevar's potential as he has caused more crashes and been arguably sloppier than he even was last year, avoid him at your own peril. Hocevar hasn't posted a particularly good finish at Las Vegas yet, but Spire Motorsports clearly has speed here if they […]
Sean Wrona
Ryan Preece Probably Won't Finish Third Again at Las Vegas
Ryan Preece earned a career-best third-place finish in the last race at Las Vegas in March, but he ran nowhere near as well as that implied. His average running position of 15th was the worst of any of the drivers who finished in the top ten as the No. 60 team made an excellent strategy […]
Sean Wrona
Las Vegas is One of Michael McDowell's Worst Tracks
Las Vegas is typically one of Michael McDowell's worst tracks in terms of finishing results. Although he shockingly won the pole for the March race and earned his best career finish here, that finish was a relatively mediocre 16th. This means McDowell is almost guaranteed to finish worse than his 18th-place starting position and is […]
Sean Wrona
Despite Erik Jones's General Intermediate Strength, Las Vegas Is An Exception
Although Erik Jones is typically noted for his superspeedway strength and he often runs well on intermediates when his cars are fast enough, Las Vegas is a big exception. Jones has never finished better than eighth here and only led a single lap here, although surprisingly it came in the March race here during a […]
Sean Wrona
John Hunter Nemechek Probably Won't Contend in Vegas This Year
John Hunter Nemechek starts 26th for Sunday's Las Vegas race, just as he did in last year's event when he finished a career-best ninth. However, that finish masked a mediocre overall performance, as his average running position of 18th was only barely better than in his other Las Vegas starts (even in his ill-fated 2020 […]
Sean Wrona
Christopher Bell Gives Shane van Gisbergen a Brief Challenge
Christopher Bell was the last NASCAR Cup Series driver besides Shane van Gisbergen to win on a road course at the Circuit of the Americas early this year and he backed that up at the Charlotte roval where he started seventh and seldom ran worse than that all day. Although he never quite worked his […]
Sean Wrona