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In his peak period, Kyle Busch was pretty remarkable at Phoenix with 10 straight finishes of seventh or better from 2015-2020 and 680 laps led in that time span, but as we enter his decline, it's worth noting he's never led a lap or finished better than seventh since. He has matched his car number twice with eighth-place finishes in the 2023 and 2025 March races at Phoenix, but he hasn't had a good finish in this race since he left Joe Gibbs Racing. Although his 11th-place qualifying run was a little better than usual, he has lost positions every time he has qualified that well or better this season, except for road courses. Admittedly, this season's first race at Phoenix was something of an exception, as he drove from 15th to eighth, and he has arguably been a little faster since Andy Street replaced Randall Burnett as Busch's crew chief. Still, until proven otherwise, expect Busch to finish worse than he starts.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
Source: Racing Reference
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