Ty Dillon Returns to Action, but is Subpar on Short Tracks

Ty Dillon makes his debut in the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series this weekend at Richmond for Kaulig Racing, but don't expect him to do much. Similarly to Harrison Burton and Austin Cindric, Dillon has finished every race at Richmond he's started but has never led a lap or really done anything in his past races.... Read More

Austin Cindric Mediocre at Richmond and Poor Ford Speed Won't Help

Austin Cindric has not been particularly strong at Richmond. Although he has finished all five of his attempts, he has never finished on the lead lap, led a lap, or posted a result better than 12th. His average finish of 22.8 is below average even though the Fords were generally strong in most of those... Read More

Harrison Burton Not a Master of Richmond Unlike Father Jeff

Although Jeff Burton led more laps at Richmond International Raceway than any other track, his son Harrison has not been nearly as successful. Although Harrison Burton has finished all four of his Richmond starts, he has never finished better than 18th or led a lap in any of his Richmond races to date. This weekend,... Read More

Shane van Gisbergen Comes Down to Earth After Mediocre COTA Run

Because of his blockbuster Supercars career, his Chicago Street Course win, and his Xfinity Series near-miss on Saturday, NASCAR analysts likely had overinflated expectations for Shane van Gisbergen's race at Circuit of the Americas. He won at Chicago largely because none of the then-NASCAR Cup Series regulars had experience there and he had vastly more... Read More

Ross Chastain Ran Well at COTA as Usual Despite Late-Race Fade

Although Ross Chastain tends to struggle at many of the other road courses (particularly the rovals), he has consistently been a master at the Circuit of the Americas, where he now has a career average finish of 4.0 despite posting his worst-ever finish of seventh in the race on Sunday. Although Chastain faded in the... Read More

Christopher Bell's Furious Charge Falls Just Short at COTA

Christopher Bell used an offbeat pit strategy to his advantage and finish second at Circuit of the Americas on Sunday. While most drivers pitted immediately before the pits closed in Stages 1 and 2 so they would inherit the lead after the erstwhile leaders pitted under caution, Bell waited until Stage 2 to ensure he... Read More

Bubba Wallace Improving in Road Course Pace and Results

For most of Bubba Wallace's career, road courses were his Achilles heel, but he's been getting better at them. At COTA last year, Wallace ranked second in practice to his teammate Tyler Reddick for quite a while. Although he only qualified 11th and crashed in the race, his speed that weekend was the most he'd... Read More

Zane Smith Unlikely to Repeat Truck Series Performances at COTA

Zane Smith makes his first Circuit of the Americas start in the Cup Series this weekend. Although he qualified back in 34th for this weekend's EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix, he did have a great deal of success at this track in the Truck Series, where he won in both 2022 and 2023. In the 2022... Read More

Carson Hocevar Benefiting from Improved Spire Speed

Carson Hocevar starts 18th for this weekend's race at Circuit of the Americas, outqualifying fellow rookies Josh Berry and Zane Smith. However, Hocevar's teammate, Corey LaJoie, was the biggest surprise in qualifying, as LaJoie's fifth-place qualifying run was easily the best of his career. Spire is clearly getting significantly more manufacturer support from Chevrolet and... Read More

Don't Count on Daniel Hemric Having Speed at COTA

Although the Kaulig Racing cars dominated the NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Circuit of the Americas on Saturday, the same did not hold true in NASCAR Cup Series qualifying, as Daniel Hemric will be starting 33rd for Sunday's EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. He was the slowest Chevrolet driver in the first round of qualifying. Hemric... Read More

Road Courses Not Harrison Burton's Strength

Although Harrison Burton did score his best career finish in the NASCAR Cup Series on a road course in the Indianapolis GP in 2022 with a third-place finish, that is an outlier for him in general, as he is not particularly known as a road racer. This weekend the series is at Circuit of the... Read More

Chase Briscoe Let Down by Ford Speed Deficit

Chase Briscoe has been a solid performer at Circuit of the Americas but it may be tough for him to run as well in this weekend's EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. In the first COTA race in 2021, Briscoe finished sixth, matching his best finish in his rookie season. The following year he finished 30th, but... Read More

Alex Bowman's Late Charge to Fourth Masks Early Race Struggles

In an otherwise mediocre season, Alex Bowman made a surprise charge to fourth on the final stint of the NASCAR Cup Series race at Bristol on Sunday. Bowman tends to thrive in chaotic situations, so his strong finish shouldn't come as much of a surprise. Nearly lapped in the closing stages of the race, he... Read More

Christopher Bell Ran Well, But His Teammates Were All Better

Christopher Bell had a solid run at Bristol this weekend, but in almost every regard he was outperformed by his three Joe Gibbs Racing teammates. While all four JGR drivers took turns up front and had multiple passes for the lead, Bell had the worst finish (10th), the fewest laps led (29), the lowest driver... Read More

John Hunter Nemechek's NextGen Inexperience Makes Him a Longshot

Despite earning a top-10 finish at Daytona, John Hunter Nemechek's return to the Cup Series has been a surprisingly disappointing one, as he has zero laps led and no other top-20 race finishes despite retaining Ben Beshore as crew chief, who he dominated the Xfinity Series with last year. Nemechek's speed percentile of 26.77 lags... Read More

Corey LaJoie Has Speed at Bristol If He Can Avoid Errors

Corey LaJoie has had a very topsy-turvy 2024 to date. With increased Chevrolet investment into the Spire operation, LaJoie has never had more speed; he has ranked in the top half of speed in all three races he finished. However, he was mistake-prone the last two race weekends as he crashed at Las Vegas and... Read More

Kaz Grala's Short Track Debut Will Probably Disappoint

Kaz Grala makes his Cup Series short track debut at Bristol this afternoon, which makes speculating about his performance something of a question mark. Grala got much hype early in his career because he had two top-10s in his first three starts, but those came on a road course and a superspeedway race. Rick Ware... Read More

Austin Dillon Worse on Pavement Than on Dirt at Bristol

Austin Dillon starts 31st for this weekend's Bristol race, which is the worst Bristol qualifying run in his NASCAR Cup Series career and his worst starting position on any short track since 2017. While Dillon was a revelation in last year's spring event where he qualified second, finished third, and posted the fastest average race... Read More

Harrison Burton's Short Track Struggles Will Likely Continue at Bristol

Harrison Burton qualified 13th for this weekend's Food City 500, giving him his best starting position on a short track in his Cup career. But while he seems to have slightly improved since 2023 (if only because the Penske cars seem to be a little faster), his short track performance has not been up to... Read More

Chase Briscoe an Underrated Power Play at Bristol

After an inexplicably subpar 2023, Chase Briscoe seems to have regained much of his speed in 2024 as his sixth-place qualifying run for this weekend's Bristol race gives him his fourth straight top-10 start, the longest such streak of his career. While Briscoe's speed percentile of 39.71 last year was not good, he was significantly... Read More

Pit Strategy Miscue Foils Martin Truex, Jr. Despite Race-Leading Speed

Martin Truex, Jr. was the fastest driver in Sunday's Shriners Children's 500 race at Phoenix, just as he was at Atlanta, making him the first NASCAR Cup driver to have the fastest average speed twice this season. Truex leads all drivers with a speed percentile of 95.71, but his chances for victory were thwarted by... Read More

Denny Hamlin Salvages Decent Finish After Late Race Spin

Despite winning the pole at Phoenix, Denny Hamlin was somewhat disappointing as he had an 0-3 lead change record, being passed once by his teammate Ty Gibbs on Lap 1 and twice by his driver Tyler Reddick after taking the lead in the pits twice due to having the best pit stall. Early in Stage... Read More

Despite Poor Qualifying Run, Corey LaJoie Still Better than His Reputation

After having the best average running position of his career at Las Vegas, Corey LaJoie surprisingly qualified last amongst the qualifying first group at Phoenix after breaking loose in two corners, giving him a 35th-place starting position while his teammate, Carson Hocevar, advanced to the final round of qualifying and will be starting 10th. LaJoie... Read More

Daniel Hemric Better at Phoenix Than Most Tracks

Although Daniel Hemric has not been a very good NASCAR Cup Series driver to date, Phoenix is definitely one of his better tracks. His career highlight is winning the 2021 Xfinity Series Championship and he did so by getting thew win in the season finale right here at Phoenix. In the Cup Series, Hemric has... Read More

Austin Dillon Has Poor Record at Phoenix

Both the Richard Childress Racing drivers qualified poorly for this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix with Austin Dillon qualifying 30th, one spot ahead of his teammate Kyle Busch (although Busch posted a slightly faster lap time). Dillon has badly struggled since losing his crew chief, Justin Alexander, who he had for all his wins... Read More

Austin Cindric Disappoints in Phoenix Qualifying

The Penske drivers all surprisingly disappointed in qualifying for this weekend's race at Phoenix despite Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney winning the NASCAR Cup Series championships in the last two fall Phoenix races, but none disappointed more than Austin Cindric, whose 34th qualifying position matches his worst starting position in his full-time career. Phoenix has... Read More

Joey Logano's Uninspiring Run Proves Ford Speed Deficit

Despite winning his second pole in three races at Las Vegas this past weekend, Joey Logano had a lackluster race at one of his best tracks, finishing ninth and ranking eighth in speed. Logano led only the first two laps of the race before getting steamrolled by Kyle Larson, who led most of the rest... Read More

Denny Hamlin Recovers from Subpar Qualifying Run at Las Vegas

Denny Hamlin recovered from an extremely disappointing 28th-place starting position to finish eighth at Las Vegas. Despite a mediocre start, a cagy call from crew chief Chris Gabehart for two tires during the second caution propelled Hamlin from 21st to 8th and he was never again outside of the top ten except on pit stop... Read More

Zane Smith Should Lag Teammates But Will Still Benefit from Speed Increase

Although Zane Smith will likely get a boost from the improved Chevrolet investment into Spire Motorsports for 2024, don't expect Smith to seriously compete with teammates Carson Hocevar and Corey LaJoie for team supremacy. Although the triumvirate competed for different teams in 2023, Hocevar's speed percentile on intermediates last year was 42.38 to LaJoie's 28.12... Read More

Corey LaJoie Benefiting from Increased Factory Backing

With Chevrolet investing substantially more into Spire Motorsports than it has in previous years, the Spire cars were immediately faster than usual in practice and qualifying this weekend at Las Vegas with Carson Hocevar ranking 13th-fastest and Corey LaJoie ranking 15th-fastest in practice. LaJoie did out-qualify Hocevar by .038 seconds but will be starting worse... Read More