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Fantasy Baseball Sell-Highs: Early-Season Overachievers to Trade Away? (Week 14)

CJ Abrams - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Joey's fantasy baseball sell-highs, overvalued players to consider trading away. These hitters and pitchers have overperformed early and may bust going forward.

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another edition of early-season overachievers. Each week of the fantasy baseball season, we look at which star players might be sell-high candidates. Last week, we dove into players like Christian Yelich, Sonny Gray, and Justin Wrobleski.

This week, we'll look at five more sell-high candidates. If you own one of these five players, make sure to sell them in Week 14 of the fantasy baseball season because they are currently overperforming. This list will include a slugger who hasn't hit many home runs, a pitcher who is due for some negative regression, and a veteran hitter in the midst of a hot stretch.

Let's dive into the best sell-high candidates and overachievers in Week 14 of the fantasy baseball season. All stats are through games on June 24.

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Taylor Ward, OF/DH, Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles outfielder Taylor Ward has been a productive fantasy player for most of the year. He's slashing .257/.389/.365 with five home runs, 18 doubles, 22 RBI, and two stolen bases across 81 games this season. Ward has also been on a bit of a hot streak over the last few weeks, as he's batting .291 with three doubles, three home runs, and five RBI in his last 21 contests.

However, the slugging outfielder is a sell-high candidate because of his lack of power. Fantasy managers selected Ward in drafts due to his power potential. He had 25 home runs and 75 RBI across 156 games in 2024, and belted a career-high 36 home runs with 103 RBI across 157 games in 2025. This year, the power just has not been there.

Ward is getting on base at a higher level, thanks to a 17.2% walk rate, but he's been more selective at the plate this season. His swing rate is the lowest of his career (33.4%), and he isn't barreling the ball like he was last year. The 32-year-old currently has a 25th percentile barrel rate (5.3%) after finishing 2025 with an 84th percentile barrel rate (13.7%).

For that reason, it's best to trade the Orioles outfielder in most leagues if you are in need of some power. Ward is on pace for just 10 home runs and will be lucky to top 60 RBI since he hits in the leadoff spot.

 

Ozzie Albies, 2B, Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies has been one of the luckiest hitters in baseball through the first three months. Albies is batting .281 with 12 home runs, 14 doubles, 42 RBI, and one stolen base across 79 contests and has hit the ball well in the month of June. He is slashing .304/.350/.493 with seven extra-base hits and 13 RBI in 19 games this month.

Although Albies has been a top fantasy second baseman this season, he is due for some negative regression in the second half. That makes now the right time to trade away the three-time All-Star.

For starters, his expected slugging (.385) is 61 points lower than his actual slugging (.446). That's a clear sign that some of his power could regress. Additionally, Albies ranks in the bottom 20% of the league in average exit velocity (87.2 mph), barrel rate (4.1%), hard-hit rate (28.3%), chase rate (35.6%), and walk rate (7.1%).

There's no doubt that Albies has produced above-average numbers this season. He currently ranks seventh at the second base position in Fantrax standard leagues and is carrying a solid batting average at this point in the year. Fantasy managers, though, should expect his overall numbers to decline moving forward, including his batting average, since his .256 expected batting average ranks around league average.

 

CJ Abrams, SS, Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals shortstop CJ Abrams is on pace to post the best numbers of his career in 2026. The former All-Star is slashing .287/.370/.533 with 17 home runs, 16 doubles, two triples, 57 RBI, and 13 stolen bases across 78 games. He has an .807 OPS in the month of June and already has a 3.2 WAR at the midway point of the year.

But fantasy managers should be looking to trade Abrams away amid this strong start. His metrics aren't as impressive as one might think, and the 25-year-old had a similar strong showing in the first half last year before regressing massively in the second half. While that might not be the case this season, it's certainly possible with some concerning metrics.

Abrams batted .287 with 12 home runs, 20 doubles, 33 RBI, and 20 stolen bases in his first 82 games last year and then hit .217 with seven home runs, 15 doubles, 27 RBI, and 11 stolen bases post the All-Star break.

A similar regression could be in store for the Nationals shortstop this season. His expected slugging (.453) is 76 points lower than his actual slugging (.529), and his hard-hit rate (42%), launch angle sweet-spot rate (33.2%), squared-up rate (24.2%), chase rate (36.5%), and whiff rate (28.4%) all don't rank particularly well.

It's certainly a gamble to get rid of Abrams, but he's definitely overachieving a bit at the plate. That's the whole point of this article. Find the players who might be overperforming right now and get the most value for them on the trade market.

 

Michael King, SP, San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres starting pitcher Michael King is coming off one of his most complete starts of the season. King threw seven shutout innings with five strikeouts against the Atlanta Braves earlier this week. He was in full control on the mound in that start, inducing 11 swings and misses and totaling another 17 called strikes. That outing now lowered his ERA to 3.33 on the year.

The problem with King, though, is that his actual numbers don't match his metrics. That means some rough starts could be on the horizon for the Padres right-hander.

His expected ERA (4.67), FIP (4.16), and expected FIP (4.27) are all much higher than his actual ERA (3.33). King also ranks in the bottom half of the league in expected batting average against (.254), chase rate (28.7%), strikeout rate (20.8%), walk rate (9.3%), and barrel rate (9.4%). Even his swinging strike rate (10.1%) is the lowest of his career.

The biggest concern with King moving forward is his lack of strikeout numbers. He had a 27.7% strikeout rate in 2024, a 24.7% strikeout rate in 2025, and currently owns a 20.8% strikeout rate across 92 innings this year. With some negative regression headed his way and a below-average strikeout rate, fantasy managers should be looking to sell the 31-year-old in most fantasy leagues.

 

Dansby Swanson, SS, Chicago Cubs

There has been no hotter hitter in baseball over the past week than Chicago Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson. The 32-year-old veteran has 11 hits in his last 23 at-bats to go with four home runs, two doubles, one triple, 18 RBI, and four stolen bases over his last six games. In Wednesday's doubleheader against the Mets alone, he launched two home runs and 11 RBI.

After a slow start, Swanson is starting to pick things up offensively. He is slashing .271/.343/.576 with four home runs, four doubles, one triple, 19 RBI, and five stolen bases over his last 18 games since June 3, and has a hit in six consecutive contests. This recent hot stretch has lifted his batting average up over .200 for the first time since the beginning of May.

However, Swanson is clearly a sell-high in all formats. His numbers have taken a huge step back this season, and his metrics suggest that he'll eventually return to being that inconsistent fantasy player in the near future. The Cubs shortstop has a .201 expected batting average, a .294 xwOBA, .350 expected slugging, 27.7% launch angle sweet-spot rate, and a 7.5% barrel rate.

Make the smart decision and trade away Swanson while he is on fire at the plate.

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