Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Veteran QBs Looking Over Their Shoulders After the NFL Draft

sam darnold fantasy football rankings NFL DFS lineup picks

To be honest, there are very few quarterbacks in the NFL who aren’t looking over their shoulders at some point. But after the 2022 NFL Draft, there are a few who should be more nervous than others.

Here is a look at the top starting QBs who might find themselves on the sidelines during the season and could be risky picks in fantasy football.

Keep up with all the NFL Draft fallout and rookie evaluations right here on RotoBaller all offseason long!

Featured Promo: Our friends at Sharp App have created the ultimate tools for sports bettors. Download the FREE app to track bets, compare odds, get daily picks from the most accurate models in the industry, and identify the sharp side of any bet. Use promo code BALLER to get a month free of Sharp Pro access. Get The App!


Marcus Mariota vs. Desmond Ridder

Mariota, the 6’4”, 222-pound number two overall pick in the 2015 NFL Draft, has not started a game since the 2019 season.  His stats for the last three seasons:

  • 2019: 7 games, 160 passing attempts, 1203 passing yards, 59.4% completion percentage, 7.5 yards per average, 129 rushing yards, 7 passing touchdowns
  • 2020: 1 game, 28 passing attempts, 226 passing yards, 60.7% completion percentage, 8.1 yards per average, 88 rushing yards, 1 passing touchdown
  • 2021: 9 games, 2 passing attempts, 4 passing yards, 50% completion percentage, 2.0 yards per average, 87 rushing yards

Betting Odds:

  • Atlanta to win the Super Bowl from FD +18000
  • Atlanta to win the NFC from DK +7000
  • Atlanta 2021: 7-10, 31st in rushing yards (85.4), 26th in points per game (18.4), 16th in passing yards (234.5)

Desmond Ridder

  • Round 3, 74th pick, 6’3”, 211 pounds, hands 10”
  • 2021 stats: 251-of-387 for 3334 yards, 64.9% completion percentage, 30 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, 110 rushing attempts for 365 rushing yards, 6 rushing touchdowns
  • Don’t be fooled by where Ridder was picked in the draft. Ridder’s strengths are in line with Smith’s scheme.


From different draft analysts, here are Ridder’s strengths and weaknesses:

Lance Zierlein


  • Mobile and athletic but looks to win from the pocket
  • Pocket poise with easy slide away from pressure points
  • Quick to process what the defense shows
  • Mobility to elude pressure and reset launch points outside the pocket
  • Throws the out route with timing and break anticipation
  • Speed to turn a scramble into a chunk play


  • Deep balls tend to come up short
  • Average arm strength for tight-window throws
  • Windup slows overall release quickness
  • Slower operation time led to 26 career batted passes per PFF
  • Struggles in throwing receivers open
  • Inconsistent accuracy on intermediate throws

Pro Football Network Draft/Scouting Report

“The Cincinnati quarterback moves exceptionally well as a ball carrier. He’s not incredibly fast like a Lamar Jackson but his long strides allow him to cover ground well.”

CBS.com Scouting Report


  • Capable of reading defenses both pre and post-snap
  • Can roll out and run an RPO style system with elements of a West Coast offense minced
  • Can also handle zone-read flawlessly
  • Best when throwing in rhythm in the short and intermediate passing game
  • Had 73% passing attempts that traveled 20-plus air yards
  • Dual-threat with solid speed and sudden burst


  • Lean build
  • Didn’t have to make a lot of reads
  • Elongated delivery (26 career batted passes with 8 last year including 4 versus Alabama)
  • Arm strength capped out at 48 yards


Arthur Smith’s seemingly preferable offensive scheme relies on heavy play-action and layering throws.

Smith ran the 12 personnel 15% more than the league average. His offense was in 11 personnel 25% less than the league average.

2020 “12” Personnel

Total % % of All Run Success Rate % of all Pass Success Rate
16% 18% 48% 14% 58% Falcons
35% 39% 52% 31% 54% Titans

Mariota is signed to a two-year deal in Atlanta. It is clear he is not the long-term answer in Atlanta. Remember he was the quarterback in Tennessee (2019 season) when Smith was there. That season, he got benched for Ryan Tannehill.


Sam Darnold vs. Matt Corral

This is low-hanging fruit. Darnold played 93% of the snaps last season when the Carolina Panthers went 5-12.

Darnold 2021 stats: 12 games, 406 passing attempts, 2526 passing yards, 59.9% completion percentage, 6.2 yards per attempt, 9 touchdowns, 13 interceptions, 48 rushing attempts, 222 rushing yards, 5 rushing touchdowns

Betting Odds:

Per BetMGM.com

Falcons finish 1st/ Panthers finish 2nd                +12500

Panthers finish 1st/ Saints finish 2nd                  +5000

Buccaneers finish 1st/Panthers finish 2nd           +340

Panthers to win the Super Bowl FanDuel odds   +10000

Panthers to win NFC DraftKings odds.                +6000

Matt Corral

Head Coach Matt Rhule on Corral, “He has the quickest release we have seen in a quarterback in quite some time.”

A four-year player at Ole Miss, Corral finished his career with a 67.3% completion percentage. He had 57 touchdowns and 23 interceptions for his career. Last season, he passed for 20 touchdowns to five interceptions. He also rushed for 152 yards.


Ben McAdoo is now the Falcons’ offensive coordinator.

McAdoo has been both offensive coordinator, head coach, quarterback coach, and consultant for different teams in the last few years.

When he was offensive coordinator and head coach in New York, he relied on the passing game extensively. His West Coast-type offense emphasized short to intermediate passes. It is an offense in which the wide receivers are tasked with getting their yards after the catch.

The plus of having the West Coast offense in Carolina, it necessitates the quarterback getting the ball out quicker and makes decision-making from the quarterback position simpler. That is something a rookie quarterback will need, especially playing behind Pro Football Focus’ 31st ranked offensive line.

This prediction as stated earlier is low-hanging fruit. In 2018, McAdoo commented on Darnold, and it wasn’t complimentary.  McAdoo “could not get past flaws in Darnold’s throwing mechanics and his ball security.”


Mitchell Trubisky vs. Kenny Pickett

Speaking of easy picks, Pickett to take over for Trubisky is a no-brainer. Pickett is the only quarterback taken in the first round (20th pick) who is also, according to BETMGM.com, the odds-on favorite to win Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Last season, Trubisky played back up to Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen. Trubisky played in six games with six completions on eight attempts and 43 yards. He threw one interception and zero touchdowns. He also rushed for 24 yards.

The last time Trubisky played a full game was in 2019, although in 2020 he did see the field for 10 games.

2019 stats: 516 passing attempts, 326 completions, 3138 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, 48 rushing attempts, 193 rushing yards, two touchdowns

2020 stats: 297 passing attempts, 199 completions, 2055 passing yards, 16 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, 33 rushing attempts, 195 yards, 1 rushing touchdown

Trubisky does check the box on head coach Mike Tomlin’s desire to have a more mobile quarterback (Ben Roethlisberger only eclipsed 100 yards rushing once and that was his second year in the league). But after five years in the league, we know what we are getting from the first-round pick of the 2017 NFL Draft.

Trubisky is a mobile quarterback with above-average arm strength who is comfortable throwing on the run and has shown he can extend plays.

He also has demonstrated inconsistent accuracy and questionable decision-making.

Matt Canada’s Offensive Scheme:

Many were surprised that Canada is still the offensive coordinator for the Steelers. Last season, his offense was 22nd in yards per game (315.4), 15th in passing yards per game (222.2), and 29th in rushing yards per game (93.1).

Canada’s offensive scheme is basically a run-first offense that seeks to utilize inside and outside zone concepts. It not only depends on a strong run-blocking offensive line but a quarterback who can consistently run RPOs and execute the play action.  Last season, the Steelers’ offense under Canada ran the third-highest usage of RPOs in the NFL, per PFF.

Kenny Pickett

Pickett’s measurements have been repeated ad nauseum. He is 6’3 and 1/4”, weighs in at 217 pounds, and his hands measure 8 ½”. Last season, he also passed for 4319 yards, with 42 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He led the FBS with 25 touchdowns against the blitz and in the last two seasons, he rushed for 13 touchdowns.


Here are a few pre-draft analyses on Pickett:

Natalie Miller, USA Today’s Draft Wire


  • Possess great accuracy, touch, and above-average arm strength
  • High football IQ


  • Has only one season of massive production
  • Fumbled the ball 38 times in his college career

Nate Tice, Bleacher Report


  • Good accuracy on all three levels
  • Can punish blitzed
  • Most dangerous when breaks out of pocket


  • Inconsistent timing on throws
  • Resorts to scramble drills too often
  • Small hands

Joe Marino, The Draft Network


  • Brings good size, mobility, accuracy, poise, leadership, and toughness to the table
  • Good vertical passer that can work off-script


  • Guilty of aggressive decisions

Pro Football Focus


  • Has a natural feel
  • Gets a lot of the little things


  • Needs to speed up his process



  • Consistently shows great touch on mid-range passes
  • Good athlete who can consistently win with legs outside of the pocket
  • Does not have an elite arm but has the ability to throw deep outs with velocity and accuracy


  • Averaged more than 3.1 seconds per dropback at Pitt
  • Average deep ball thrower who doesn’t have incredible velocity on his passes

Let’s face it, any of the quarterbacks drafted can overtake the veteran ahead of him. In what many have proclaimed to be a ‘weak quarterback class’ is only second to the suspect quarterbacks ahead of them.


Kenny Pickett +550 15.38%
Malik Willis +600 14.29%
Drake London +700 12.5%
Treylon Burks +700 12.5%
Garrett Wilson +700 12.5%
Jameson Williams +700 12.5%
Kenneth Walker III +1000 9.09%
Breece Hall +1000 9.09%
Chris Olave +1000 9.09%
Desmond Ridder +1400 6.67%

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts




Bogdan Bogdanovic29 mins ago

Questionable Against Denver
Jordan Martinook34 mins ago

Nets a Hat Trick In Hurricanes Win
De'Andre Hunter35 mins ago

Out Against The Nuggets
Clint Capela42 mins ago

May Not Play Versus Denver
Kirill Kaprizov49 mins ago

Picks Up Three Points Thursday
Dennis Smith49 mins ago

Jr. Won't Play Against The Wizards
LaMelo Ball58 mins ago

Out Again On Friday Night
Nick Paul1 hour ago

Scores Two Goals In Tampa Bay Win
Tage Thompson1 hour ago

Collects Three Points In Sabres Loss
Nathan MacKinnon1 hour ago

Carries Colorado To Victory Thursday
Tim Hardaway4 hours ago

Jr. Finding Success In The Starting Lineup
Zach Eflin5 hours ago

Agrees With The Rays
Luka Doncic5 hours ago

Continues Dominant Scoring Versus Pistons
John Collins5 hours ago

To Miss At Least Two Weeks
Jakobi Meyers5 hours ago

Officially Active For Week 13
Justin Fields6 hours ago

Practices In Full On Thursday
Christian McCaffrey6 hours ago

Says He'll Play In Full In Week 13
Mike Brosseau6 hours ago

Avoids Arbitration With Brewers
Kris Bryant6 hours ago

Rockies Optimistic About Kris Bryant
MLB6 hours ago

Shintaro Fujinami Officially Posted
Franklin Barreto6 hours ago

Signs With Nationals
Jake Oettinger7 hours ago

Returns Thursday Night
Robert Thomas7 hours ago

Back For Blues Thursday
Elvis Merzlikins7 hours ago

Available Again
Patrik Laine7 hours ago

Ready To Rejoin Columbus Lineup
Brendan Gallagher7 hours ago

Won't Play Thursday
Travis Konecny7 hours ago

Comes Off Injured Reserve
Buffalo Bills7 hours ago

Von Miller Lands On Injured Reserve
Alex Pietrangelo7 hours ago

Could Return Saturday
Wendell Carter9 hours ago

Jr. Hopes To Return In 1-2 Weeks
Khris Middleton9 hours ago

Set For Season Debut Friday
Christian Wood9 hours ago

Questionable On Thursday
Jaden Ivey10 hours ago

Remains Questionable Thursday
Doug McDermott10 hours ago

Suffers An Ankle Injury
Jalen Smith10 hours ago

Exits With A Facial Injury
Jakobi Meyers10 hours ago

Expected To Play Thursday
Matthew Boyd13 hours ago

Agrees With Tigers
Trevor Rosenthal13 hours ago

Says He's Healthy
Miguel Diaz13 hours ago

Tigers Re-Sign Miguel Diaz
Anthony Gose13 hours ago

Re-Signs With Guardians
Mitch Haniger13 hours ago

Red Sox, Rangers Serious About Mitch Haniger
Devin Booker14 hours ago

Becomes Fourth 50-Point Scorer This Season
John Wall14 hours ago

Scores Season-High 26 Points
Jordan Clarkson14 hours ago

Enjoys Hot Shooting Night On Wednesday
Malik Monk14 hours ago

Has Another Strong Game Off Of The Bench
Tyrese Haliburton14 hours ago

Struggles Against Sacramento
Justise Winslow14 hours ago

Has Strong Outing In Losing Effort
Anthony Davis15 hours ago

Posts Another Double-Double In Win
Connor McDavid17 hours ago

First To 40 Points
Max Domi17 hours ago

Notches Two Power-Play Goals
Logan Couture17 hours ago

Stays Hot With An Assist
Chris Kreider17 hours ago

Finishes Off Ottawa
Filip Hronek17 hours ago

Finishes November With 14 Points
Dylan Cozens17 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Against Detroit
Calle Jarnkrok17 hours ago

Sustains A Groin Injury
Tyler Bertuzzi17 hours ago

Suffers A Hand Injury
Leon Draisaitl23 hours ago

Strikes Twice In Oilers Win
Sean Murphy1 day ago

Guardians Pursuing Sean Murphy
Stone Garrett1 day ago

Nationals Agree To One-Year Deal With Stone Garrett
Jasseel De La Cruz1 day ago

A's Sign Jasseel De La Cruz To Minor-League Deal
Seth Johnson1 day ago

Hoping To Pitch Late In 2023
Carlos Duran1 day ago

Edgardo Henriquez Have Tommy John Surgery
Aaron Judge1 day ago

Yankees Have Made Big Offer To Aaron Judge
Damien Harris1 day ago

Ruled Out For Thursday Night
Aaron Rodgers1 day ago

Packers Expect Aaron Rodgers To Play In Week 13
Los Angeles Rams1 day ago

Aaron Donald Ruled Out Against Seattle
Matthew Stafford1 day ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 13
Christian McCaffrey1 day ago

Not Practicing
Jaylen Warren1 day ago

Ready To Play
Lewin Díaz1 day ago

Pirates Designate Lewin Diaz For Assignment
J.K. Dobbins1 day ago

Designated To Return
Toronto Blue Jays1 day ago

Blue Jays Announce Don Mattingly As Bench Coach
Joe Mixon1 day ago

Returns To Practice
Dallas Goedert1 day ago

Expected To Return In Week 15
Ja'Marr Chase1 day ago

Preparing To Play This Week
Raheem Mostert1 day ago

Should Return In Week 13
Najee Harris2 days ago

' Injury Isn't Serious
Travis Etienne Jr.2 days ago

Jaguars Optimistic About Travis Etienne Jr.
Kyle Pitts2 days ago

Out For The Year
Willson Contreras2 days ago

Astros Plan To Meet With Willson Contreras
Shelby Miller2 days ago

Dodgers Agree To MLB Deal With Shelby Miller
Carlos Rodón2 days ago

Mets Interested In Carlos Rodon
Jakobi Meyers2 days ago

Says He'll Play Thursday
Aaron Rodgers2 days ago

Plans On Playing In Week 13