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Joe Williams' MLB betting picks for 8/27/19. He analyzes Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets for today's MLB slate including money-lines, spreads and totals.
Welcome to the Tuesday, Aug. 27th edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.
- Last Tuesday's Picks: 2-1 (66.7%) +80
- Year-to-Date: 43-26 (62.3%) +1492
In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like additional content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.
Here are my picks for Tuesday, Aug. 27th. Be sure to check out all the MLB Matchups and MLB Live Vegas Odds for today's slate. Good luck!
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Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets (-110)
O/U: 8.5
This game is essentially a pick 'em, but the trends are heavily skewed in the favor of the Mets.
Chicago has won just 12 of their past 38 games on the road, and the Cubbies are 1-6 in the past seven against teams with a winning record while going 0-6 in the past six tries against the National League East. The Cubs turn to RHP Yu Darvish to cool off the Mets, but he might not be the answer. The Cubs are 0-5 in Darvish's past five road starts and 0-4 in his past four outings against NL East foes.
On the flip side, the Mets have been red hot, winning 11 of the past 13 at home against right-handed starting pitchers, while cashing in five of the past six vs. NL Central clubs. They're also an impressive 13-4 in the past 17 home contests, while winning 21 of the past 29 games overall. In addition, they're 4-0 in RHP Marcus Stroman's past four starts since joining the team, although he has just one win and three no-decisions to show for his efforts. New York has posted 7.0 runs per game during his four outings with the organization.
My Pick: Mets (-110)
Cleveland Indians (-130) @ Detroit Tigers
O/U: 9.5
The Indians have really cooled off lately, especially on the road, where they have won just once in the past six tries. However, they turn to RHP Adam Plutko to snap them out of their funk. The Tribe are 5-2 in Plutko's past seven road starts, 11-4 in his past 15 outings and 6-1 in the past seven against teams with a losing overall mark. In addition, the Indians are 5-0 in Plutko's past five starts in Game 1 of a new series.
For the Tigers, they have struggled mightily against everyone, but especially the Indians. They're just 17-52 in the past 69 tries against the Indians, while going 10-25 in the previous 35 meetings at Comerica Park vs. Cleveland. They turn to RHP Spencer Turnbull to get things done, but they're 0-4 in his past four outings against the Indians.
My Pick: Indians (-130)
Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) @ San Diego Padres
O/U: 8
You'll have to eat some rather moderate chalk in this one, but the Dodgers will be worth it against the Padres.
RHP Walker Buehler is 10-3 with a 3.16 ERA and .261 opponent on-base percentage, and he has a 2.65 ERA and 1.18 WHIP across 17 innings over his past three outings, although he has no wins to show for his efforts. That might change against he Padres, who just happen to be the last team he beat on Aug. 3 in Dodger Stadium. Buehler allowed just one earned run on a solo home run while scattering five hits with no walks and 15 strikeouts in a complete-game victory, needing just 12.2 pitches per inning.
The Padres counter with RHP Cal Quantrill with a 6-4 record, 3.32 ERA and .277 opponent on-base percentage across 81 1/3 innings. He was on the short end of that loss to Buehler and the Dodgers on Aug. 3, allowing four runs - two earned - and six hits in five innings in a loss. This might be a little more closer shave than bettors would like, but L.A. will pull it out in the end.
My Pick: Dodgers (-165)
