RADIO
Editor’s Note: To see Part One of Seth's DraftKings advice for the PGA Championship, click here.
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PGA DFS - Who To Avoid on DraftKings
Do NOT pick Tiger Woods ($8,900 Vegas 40-1)
I think this tournament could be a disaster for Woods. He was cut at the past two majors and finished tied for 69th at The Players. Woods doesn’t play in enough tournaments. He should be playing more frequently in order to benefit his game. His best finish this season was tying for 17th at the Masters way back in April. He doesn’t have any statistical rankings because he does not play enough, but they are simply not good. He has a drive accuracy percentage of 55 and hits 63 percent of greens in regulation. Most importantly, his strokes gained tee to green score is horrible, -1.438. I am usually on his bandwagon, but this course will prove too difficult and challenging. I could see him struggling like he did at the U.S. Open, but I hope I'm wrong. Sunday at a major with Tiger in contention is the best to watch.
Do Not Pick Martin Kaymer ($8,800 Vegas 60-1)
I understand he won the 2010 PGA on this course, but he shot a 5 over at Bridgestone and has not done too well on Dye courses since the 2010 PGA. He was cut at the 2012 PGA and tied for 56th at The Players. There’s a good reason why Vegas has him at 60-1.
PGA DFS Mid-Priced DraftKings Picks ($7,000-$9,500)
Zach Johnson ($8,400 Vegas 60-1)
I really thought he would be priced in the $9,000 range. Needless to say he won The Open and finished tied for 33rd, 2 over, last week at the Bridgestone. In 11 PGA tournaments, he only has three top 10 finishes, his highest tying for third at the 2010 PGA at Whistling Straits. Johnson tied for 13th at The Players this year, and his statistical rankings are very good: 4th in drive accuracy percentage, 15th in SG: tee to green, and 12th in all around ranking. I like Johnson to carry his momentum from St. Andrews to Wisconsin.
Keegan Bradley ($7,400 Vegas 85-1)
I picked him last week, and he played very nicely finishing one under, tied for 17th. Bradley won the PGA in 2011, tied for 3rd in 2012, tied for 19th in 2013, but missed the cut last year. He was also cut at The Open this year. He ranks 12th in SG: tee-to-green, 16th in SG: total, and 67th in GIR at 67.62 percent. Jump on the Bradley bandwagon for this one.
Paul Casey ($7,400 Vegas 65-1)
He was a big play of mine last week as he finished tied for 17th, one under. One thing that scares me though, in 12 PGA’s he’s made seven cuts and his highest finish was tying for 12th in 2010. Although he struggled at the U.S. Open, tied for 39th, and The Open, tied for 74th, he finished tied for 6th at the Masters. His stats are great to look at, 5th in GIR, 10th in SG; tee to green, and 15th in SG: total.
Jason Dufner ($7,300 Vegas 125-1)
His last two tournaments played were the U.S. Open, tied for 18th, and The Open, tied for 58th. In six PGA Championship events, Dufner has three top 5 finishes, including a win in 2013 and a runner up in 2011 that saw him lose in a playoff. He had a great showing at Whistling Straits in 2010 where he finished tied for 5th. Hopefully Dufner will show a little emotion if he wins.
Danny Lee ($7,100 Vegas 90-1)
Besides for getting cut at The Open, Lee has been on fire. His results as follows: tied for 25th at the Travelers, won the Greenbrier, tied for 3rd at the John Deere, tied for 4th at the Quicken Loans, and tied for 6th at Bridgestone. At this price how can you not pick him? His stats are not so good, except for 31st in SG: putting, but he’s a no brainer.
PGA DFS Low-Priced DraftKings Picks ($5,300- $6,900)
Robert Streb ($6,800 Vegas 70-1)
It jumps out to me that his Vegas odds are much better than his Draftkings price. This is Streb’s first year playing in majors and in each result he has done better; cut at the Masters, tied for 42nd at the U.S. Open and tied for 18th at The Open Championship. He also tied for 30th at The Players shooting a four under. His performance in his last five tournaments has been phenomenal; lost in a playoff at The Greenbrier, tied for 14th at the John Deere, tied for 18th at The Open, and 5th last week at Bridgestone. His stats are also great, 11th in GIR at 70 percent, 29th in SG: tee-to-green, 25th in SG: putting, 12th in SG: total, and an all around ranking of 13th. If you need some lineup flexibility, Streb should definitely be in your lineup.
Russell Knox ($6,700 Vegas 210-1)
Knox has only played in three majors and his best finish was tied for 45th at the U.S. Open in 2013. He was cut at the PGA last year and The Open this year. Earlier this year he tied for 17th at Players, shooting a six under for he tournament. I love how he ranks statistically: 6th in GIR, 25th in drive accuracy percentage, and 20th in SG: tee-to-green. If you don’t like Streb then Knox is a perfectly fine alternate.
Steven Bowditch ($6,600 Vegas 150-1)
The Aussie tied for 12th at Bridgestone last week, albeit hitting 58 percent of greens in regulation. His stats are just okay (18th in driving distance, 82nd SG: tee-to-green, 70th in SG: putting, and a 63.79 GIR percentage) which put him 159th in that category. His all around ranking of 51st is pretty good though. Don’t expect much if you choose him, but he'll make the cut and could maybe make some noise.
Camilo Villegas ($6,000 Vegas 200-1)
Only pick Villegas if you really need to shed salary. He had a nice outing at Bridgestone last week finishing tied for 25th shooting even par, including a final round five under 65. At the 2010 PGA, Villegas finished tied for 8th at eight under, three strokes back of the winner. His stats aren’t so good, which is why you only pick him if you actually need to.
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