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Week 12 Waiver Wire - Starting Pitchers

Nick Mariano's starting pitcher (SP) fantasy baseball waiver wire adds. Pickups and starting pitcher sleepers for Week 12 of the 2017 MLB season.

You know the deal by now: You need pitchers, I need to gab. It’s Week 12 and we’re roughly one week away from the season’s halfway point, which means all of us will blindly look at the numbers, double them and then go off about what everyone's pace is. It's fun to speak about first- and second-half splits, but for the most part, I don't buy into them as very predictive. For now, we're going to stick to our guns and just let loose with the usual nonsensical (but secretly brilliant) analyses here.

For our purposes, we’re going to use Yahoo ownership levels and try to cut things off around 35%.

Here are my starting pitcher waiver wire targets for Week 12.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Starting Pitcher Waiver Wire Targets

Mike Fiers - (HOU, SP): 31% owned

While Houston’s injured starters (Dallas Keuchel, Lance McCullers Jr., Charlie Morton and Collin McHugh) are all working back at various speeds, Fiers should have a comfortable slot in this rotation for a while. Even if they did return, the 32-year-old might be difficult to oust given his stellar 2.25 ERA over his last six starts with just two homers allowed after yielding 16 round-trippers over his first seven starts. Mix that pitching in with Houston’s potent offense and we’ve got a strong mixed-league arm to throw out there.

Drew Smyly - (SEA, SP): 22% owned

Smyly threw a 40-pitch bullpen session on Friday and should be closing in on beginning a rehab assignment. The southpaw struggled with a 4.88 ERA and 7-12 record last season, but his career 3.74 ERA and 8.71 K/9 point to the upside present for the 28-year-old when healthy. Just a little note to make sure any parties who somehow have DL space to spare and need pitching are aware of this.

Seth Lugo - (NYM, SP): 22% owned

Lugo's "rust" has come in the form of two quality starts to open his 2017, as he even went toe-to-toe with a strong Nationals lineup to assuage any doubts that the first matchup against the Braves wasn't a fair indicator of talent. Some may look at his 4.52 FIP behind that 2.63 ERA and just walk away, which is totally fair, but also misses that he outpitched a 4.33 FIP to the tune of a 2.67 ERA last season -- basically the same gap. That is in no way saying that's exactly what's going on here, just that he has that capacity and it would be silly to ignore it.

Jason Hammel - (KC, SP): 14% owned

Hammel’s ERA by month:

April - 6.65 ERA, 13 BB’s, 19 K’s (21 2/3 innings)

May - 5.83 ERA, 10 BB’s, 21 K’s (29 1/3 innings)

June - 2.30 ERA, 1 BB, 19 K’s (27 1/3 innings)

Given that he’s posted ERAs in the mid-threes over his last three seasons and certainly has the potential to be a mixed-league fantasy arm, this surge should be taken seriously. Make the grab and ride the wave.

Jesse Hahn - (OAK, SP): 11% owned

Out of pitchers with at least 60 innings under their belt, Hahn’s 0.14 HR/9 reigns supreme and his 2.87 FIP is tied for third best in the Majors with Chris Archer, trailing only Chris Sale (1.77) and Alex Wood (2.14). So, one of the most impressive righties in the bigs is available in 89 percent of leagues. It’s understandable that many don’t trust this and his 7.4 K/9 and 3-4 record aren’t going to win any additional support, but that has to be worth more than 11 percent. Come on.

Brandon Finnegan - (CIN, SP): 7% owned

Finnegan’s first rehab start saw him twirl three shutout innings with Double-A Pensacola on Sunday. There’s no set plan right now as to how many rehab starts the southpaw will require before returning to the bigs, but he had posted a 2.70 ERA with 14 K’s through 10 innings before injuring his shoulder in mid-April. The 24-year-old has mixed-league relevance when healthy and needs to be monitored as he works back toward the Majors.

Jhoulys Chacin - (SD, SP/RP): 6% owned

Chacin entered Tuesday night having allowed just two runs across seven innings in each of his last two starts -- both victories. He’d go on to yield two runs yet again -- both on solo homers -- but this time his offense couldn’t get enough going to get him the win. This was still encouraging though, as it was a road start and Chacin has been a much different pitcher away from Petco Park. With dramatic home/road splits akin to a bizarro Tyler Chatwood, Chacin owns a 1.72 home ERA (47 innings) against a 9.08 road ERA (36 2/3 innings). Use this to your advantage when he takes on the Braves at home next on June 27.

Homer Bailey - (CIN, SP): 2% owned

Bailey is slated to make his first start of 2017 on June 25 against the Nationals in Washington after allowing two runs alongside six strikeouts across 5 2/3 innings for Triple-A Louisville on Monday. Those two ER are the only runs he’s surrendered in 16 2/3 rehab innings with 17 K to his name, so while there are still plenty of Major-League hurdles to clear, the Bailey of 2012-14 may just be back.

David Paulino - (HOU, SP): 2% owned

In his most recent start on June 17, Paulino shut down the Red Sox to the tune of one ER over six sparkling innings for his first career victory. The hope is that this signals a degree of comfort in the big leagues for the 23-year-old rookie, as he flashed his upside at times over his first three starts but looked a bit caught up in the moment as well. He’ll look to make it two wins in a row on June 22 against the A’s in Oakland next.

Hector Velazquez - (BOS, SP): 1% owned

Velazquez stepped into the injured Brian Johnson’s rotation spot after relieving him when the injury originally occurred on June 14 (with 3 1/3 scoreless innings) and delivered 5 1/3 innings of two-run ball with no walks and three strikeouts. He hadn’t done well in a spot start on May 18, but has turned in a beautiful 4-1 record with 35 strikeouts, a 1.29 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP through 49 Triple-A innings (nine starts). It likely won’t last longer than one more start, but with that being a home draw against the Angels, who have the second-worst wOBA (.307) over the last 14 days, you could do a lot worse.

Domingo German - (NYY, SP): 0% owned

For now, Luis Cessa is filling in for the injured CC Sabathia in the Yankees rotation, but Cessa hasn’t looked fantastic and German has. Despite holding a 1.50 WHIP through 6 2/3 innings, he has yet to allow an earned run and has fanned seven. The 24-year-old has a 3.34 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 65 strikeouts over 59 1/3 Minor League innings and has some intriguing potential with a strong Bronx lineup behind him.

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Maxx Crosby

Trending Toward Playing Against Broncos
Chris Olave

Set to Play Vs. Bucs
LaMelo Ball

Won't Suit Up Against Denver
Immanuel Quickley

Questionable for Sunday Afternoon
Deshaun Watson

Expected to Stay With Browns Next Year
Klay Thompson

Downgraded Versus Houston
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Out Again on Saturday Evening
Tyler Herro

Will Miss Another Game on Saturday
Jimmy Butler III

Out Again on Saturday Night
Draymond Green

Ruled Out Versus Cleveland
Jose A. Ferrer

Mariners Acquire Jose A. Ferrer from the Nationals
Mason Marchment

Expected to Return Saturday
Danila Yurov

Returns From Two-Game Absence Saturday
Jesperi Kotkaniemi

Available Saturday
Harry Ford

Traded to the Nationals
Shane Pinto

to Miss Two Weeks
David Pastrnak

Misses Fifth Consecutive Game Saturday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Remains Out Saturday
Nikita Kucherov

Out on Saturday
Jayden Reed

Activated Off Injured Reserve, Will Play in Week 14
Omarion Hampton

Activated From IR, Faces Uncertain Workload Monday Night
Cody Bellinger

Drawing Interest From the Phillies
MacKenzie Gore

Will the Nationals Trade MacKenzie Gore?
Justin Herbert

Officially Listed as Questionable for Monday Night Football
Justin Herbert

Chargers "Expecting" Justin Herbert to Play in Week 14
Yves Missi

Trending Toward Game-Time Decision
Khris Middleton

Questionable With Knee Soreness Against Hawks
Noah Clowney

On Track To Suit Up Against Pelicans
De'Anthony Melton

Questionable With Knee Management
Draymond Green

Questionable With Mid-Foot Sprain
Jimmy Butler III

Day-To-Day As Warriors Prepare For Cleveland
Mikko Rantanen

Picks Up Three Points Against Sharks
Kyle Connor

Scores in Fourth Consecutive Game
Beckett Sennecke

Notches Two Points in Friday's Win
Ryan Leonard

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Friday
Carter Hart

Day-to-Day With Lower-Body Injury
Brayden Point

Questionable for Saturday
Victor Hedman

Expected to Return Saturday
Byron Buxton

Twins Not Planning to Trade Joe Ryan, Byron Buxton
Patrick Williams

Dalen Terry Available Versus Pacers
Coby White

Returns With Minutes Restriction Friday
Ayo Dosunmu

Out Friday Against Pacers
Zach Collins

Available for Season Debut Friday
Robert Williams III

Donovan Clingan Out, Robert Williams III in for Portland Friday
Evan Mobley

Ready to Play Friday
Kristaps Porzingis

Coming Off the Bench Friday
Spencer Jones

Available Against Hawks
Ozzy Wiesblatt

to Miss 8-10 Weeks With Upper-Body Injury
Pierre-Olivier Joseph

Out With Illness Friday
Evander Kane

Doubtful for Friday
Conor Garland

Back From Two-Game Absence Friday
Thomas Harley

Could Be an Option Next Week
Mikael Granlund

Returning From 10-Game Absence Friday
John Carlson

Misses Second Consecutive Game Friday
Rome Odunze

has Fractured Foot, Labeled Week-to-Week
Sauce Gardner

Ruled Out for Sunday
Petr Yan

Looks To Reclaim Bantamweight Belt
Merab Dvalishvili

Set For His Fourth Title Defense
Joshua Van

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Aaron Jones Sr.

Cleared to Play in Week 14
Chris Olave

Listed as Questionable for Week 14
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fifth Title Defense At UFC 323
Tatsuro Taira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alvin Kamara

Ruled Out for Sunday
Brandon Moreno

Searches For His Third Win In A Row
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 14
Payton Talbott

A Favorite At UFC 323
Henry Cejudo

Set For His Retirement Fight
Drake London

Ruled Out vs Seattle
Jan Blachowicz

Set To Open Up UFC 323 Main Card
Lamar Jackson

Will Play on Sunday
Bogdan Guskov

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
CFB

Emmett Johnson Leaving Nebraska for 2026 NFL Draft
Dalton Kincaid

to be Questionable for Week 14
Tee Higgins

Clears Concussion Protocol, is a Full-Go for Sunday
CFB

Jam Miller Unlikely to Play in SEC Title Game
CFB

Penn State Expected to Hire Matt Campbell from Iowa State
Mike Evans

Not Quite Ready to Return This Week
Jayden Daniels

Will Start Against Vikings
Lamar Jackson

Returns to Practice, on Track to Play on Sunday
Kyler Murray

Won't Return This Year, Cardinals Non-Committal on his Future
CFB

Arkansas Targeting Ron Roberts for Defensive Coordinator Job
Jhostynxon Garcia

Pirates Acquire Jhostynxon Garcia From Red Sox
Cody Bellinger

Yankees Pushing Hard to Re-Sign Cody Bellinger
CFB

Penn State Eyeing Iowa State Coach Matt Campbell For Coaching Vacancy
Alex Bregman

Cubs Have Renewed Interest in Alex Bregman
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
CFB

Chris Klieman Considering Stepping Down at Kansas State
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job

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