Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

NFL DFS GPP Stacks for FanDuel, DraftKings (Week 14)


Hey there RotoBallers! For those fortunate enough to be in the playoffs in season-long formats, good luck this week! For those who missed the playoffs, DFS contests can be an excellent way to stay involved as the NFL regular season winds down. The Week 14 main slate projects to be a low-scoring one. The Patriots/Chiefs game has the highest over/under, set at 49.0 points. The Carolina/Atlanta and Tampa Bay/Indianapolis games both come in with the second-highest over/under, set at 47.0 points.

The goal of this weekly column will be to locate some of the best DFS stacks each week. Stacking, or pairing a quarterback with one of his pass-catchers, is a great way to maximize the number of points scored. This method is generally viewed as a strategy in tournaments, but I also have no problem using safe, high-floor stacks in cash games, as well.

The top Week 14 DFS stacks will be listed below, loosely sorted by my preference. This article will center on the main slate (1:00 PM and 4:00 PM Sunday) games across both DraftKings and FanDuel. Each stack will reference two pass-catchers along with their quarterback. The pass-catchers will be listed in preferential order but sometimes a three-man stack is in play as full-game stacks led to several wins in the Milly Maker in 2018. If you feel strongly about how an offense will perform in a given week then consider loading up on several offensive players from that offense. All references to team defense DVOA come from Football Outsiders while cornerback and wide receiver matchups and grade references come from Pro Football Focus.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

Week 14 DFS Tournament Stacks

Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos

Deshaun Watson has bounced back from a slow outing against the Ravens in Week 11, having accounted for six touchdowns (five passing, one receiving) in his past two games. The Broncos are decent against the run (10th in DVOA) and a bit below average against the pass (17th in DVOA), which should push more work onto Watson's plate. The only concern here is whether the Broncos can keep up with Houston on the scoreboard but the Texans have a healthy 25.5-point implied total and Watson will be the driving force behind the majority of their scoring drives. A brutal Houston pass defense should assist Denver in the scoring department.

While Hopkins is the alpha in Houston, I prefer Will Fuller in DFS tournaments this week. Hopkins proved last week against the Patriots that he's matchup-proof but he still needed a touchdown pass to finish with a productive fantasy outing. Hopkins will run most of his routes against top Denver corner Chris Harris Jr. while Fuller will face off against a combination of slot corner Will Parks and outside man Isaac Yiadom. Parks has a 60.7 grade at Pro Football Focus while Yiadom has a dismal 47.4 grade and just 4.52 wheels. Look for the speedy Fuller to get behind the Denver secondary for at least one long gain on Sunday.

 

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals

This is all subject to change based on how Mayfield's thumb injury progresses throughout the week. For now, it looks like he will be able to play through a bruised thumb sustained in Week 13. In what has been a brutal schedule for a fantasy quarterback, Mayfield has struggled through most of the season but he has come up big in his few plus matchups. The Bengals represent one of his best matchups all year as they rank 31st in pass defense DVOA and are allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to the position. The Browns have a solid 24.50-point implied team total as home favorites on Sunday. If there was one time to play Mayfield in DFS all season, this just might be it.

Jarvis Landry has officially overtaken Odell Beckham Jr. He has been outproducing his more well-regarded teammate for much of the season and he is now more expensive on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Landry needs to be given priority when setting lineups due to the fact he is simply producing better numbers than Beckham no matter how you slice it. While Landry is playing better, Beckham does have one advantage for this weekend. Landry will tangle with solid slot corner Darqueze Dennard while Beckham will mostly see B.W. Webb. Webb is having a rough season, grading out at 58.1 at PFF and allowing 0.38 fantasy points per route covered.

 

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions

The run-heavy Vikings offense is a GPP-only recommendation here as there's a good chance they jump out to a big lead over the Lions and spend the rest of the afternoon running out the clock. That being said, Minnesota's pass defense has not been able to slow many offenses this season, giving Detroit a bit of hope if they have designs on keeping this game close. Cousins hasn't enjoyed great volume this season but he has been very efficient on his attempts, throwing 23 touchdowns on just 358 pass attempts. He will take on a Detroit pass defense that ranks just 26th in DVOA this season.

Diggs hasn't been very consistent this season but he still ranks among the league leaders his team's share in air yards and has the potential to go off any week. That sounds like a perfect tournament WR if you ask me. Diggs will mostly see Darius Slay, who he shredded for seven catches and 142 yards back in Week 7.

While Dalvin Cook is expensive and playing through pain, he remains a solid tournament option if you choose to go with a three-man stack. Cook is essentially Minnesota's No. 2 receiver with Adam Thielen sidelined. The star running back is averaging just under five targets and 4.0 receptions per game this season. Oh, by the way, he should be able to rack up the rushing yardage on Friday against a Detroit run defense ranked 20th in DVOA.

 

Under-Owned Week 14 DFS Stack

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons 

After 10 NFL games, it is safe to say that Kyle Allen is not the long-term answer in Carolina. Fortunately for DFS, all that matters is this week's matchup. Allen will square off against Atlanta for the second time in four weeks. Allen was not great in the previous matchup, throwing for 325 yards, zero touchdowns, and four picks. Look for him to bounce back in these two teams' second tilt of the season. Atlanta can't stop anyone through the air, ranking 27th in pass defense DVOA and allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to the quarterback position.

Not much really needs to be said about McCaffrey here, the only concern is whether his high price is too prohibitive to fit into lineups. Fortunately, his quarterback isn't all that expensive on DraftKings, so that should help. McCaffrey is Carolina's top threat in the passing game and also one of the top rushers in the NFL. The Falcons also allowed McCaffrey to rack up 11 catches for 121 yards in Week 11.

D.J. Moore has ascended to borderline WR1 status in fantasy leagues after a strong stretch of five games where he has averaged 7.2 catches for 103.4 yards with three touchdowns. Moore will enjoy a tasty matchup as he should see primary coverage from Isaiah Oliver. Oliver has a 57.2 PFF grade and is allowing 0.41 fantasy points per route covered.

 

Thanks for reading, go win some money this weekend RotoBallers!

More Weekly DFS Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

The King's Keeper Corner: NFL Postseason Impacts on Player Outlooks

With a break in the postseason NFL action, it is time to reflect on what we have seen in the playoffs so far and how certain performances will affect fantasy football outlooks in keeper and dynasty formats. How players respond and what they deliver at the most intense and critical times of the season can... Read More


Introducing Value Over Starter Football Metrics

When it comes to fantasy sports, we're always looking for the highest possible Return On Investment or ROI. This concept is easy to understand: in both Daily Fantasy and re-draft/fantasy leagues, ROI would come down to how many points a player returns relative to his salary, or the price you paid (given his ADP on... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Quarterback

2019 was a very interesting season of fantasy football, to say the least. It's safe to say no one was banking on the season that we saw from Lamar Jackson but he wasn't the only one to stand out. At the quarterback position, we saw some really exciting players start to shine and some older... Read More


Goodbye Runners, Hello Pass-Catching RBs: 2019 Season Trends

As the 2019 summer kept going we all had two things in our minds with regard to September's fantasy drafts and both of them were related to running backs: Where in the world are Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon and when will they be back? It made sense back then (and it still does now,... Read More


Where Does 2019 Rank Historically Among ADP Movers?

I have worked on a season-review series of articles in which I have analyzed the biggest winners and losers in terms of ADP entering draft season compared to the end of the year final results. It was plenty of fun looking back at the gambles most of us took which ultimately paid off, but also... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More


Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More


Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


XFL Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

As of this writing, there is exactly one month until XFL regular-season action begins. On February 8, the latest upstart professional league will kickoff (again) with spring football. It goes without saying that we hope it goes better than the first time, back in 2001, and lasts longer than the AAF. Before you settle in... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More