X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Fantasy Football Consistency Report for Week 9: Floors and Ceilings

Sometimes writing an introduction is hard. I would say it is even harder to write an introduction to a weekly article where the topic of the article remains the same every week. So, as I’m sitting here typing this in the Penn State library, I decided to write an introduction about me writing an introduction; sounds like something out of Inception.

As we approach the second half of the fantasy football season, this is the time to evaluate your roster and start making decisions that will secure your playoff spot. Lineup consistency becomes a big part of your success moving forward. Although consistency would seem to be a good thing, your team may be lacking in explosiveness despite scoring a healthy amount of points each week. On the other hand, not enough consistency and your "All Floor team" may not be able to eke out a victory. This is where either trading or trading for consistency comes into play.

Like last week, every position will be broken down by the top-24 and sorted by highest floor among the positional ones and twos. At the very end, I will include two charts for flex players, with one being floor plays and the other ceiling plays.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Quarterbacks

Living in Central Pennsylvania, you see a healthy mix of fans from different teams: Steelers, Eagles, Redskins, Ravens, Cowboys (yes, Cowboys), Giants, Jets, Bills. Being on a college campus five days a week, you see even more diversity, but this year I have seen predominantly more Eagles fan than I can ever remember. It’s like they come out of the woodwork like termites proclaiming their team the new Pennsylvania football team. They even go as far as dubbing the state Wentzlyvania.

However, as much I hate seeing the Eagles succeed, I can’t deny what Carson Wentz is doing in the City of Brotherly Love. He is currently the QB2 overall in fantasy behind Alex Smith and is a favorite to win NFL MVP this season. Because of that, Wentz now boasts the highest floor in fantasy among all quarterbacks and has been one of the most consistent options at the position on a weekly basis. He has become an elite starter at the position and is poised to carry your fantasy team into the playoffs.

Looking now at the QB2s, the player who interests me the most is Marcus Mariota. He currently holds a floor of 11.42 points per game, most among QB2s and almost identical to Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford. As we move into the home-stretch, Mariota looks like a great, cheap option at the position given his struggles so far in 2017. For owners who just lost Deshaun Watson, Mariota is a very affordable replacement. His playoff schedule is pretty juicy too, as he takes on the Colts, Texans, Cardinals, 49ers, and Rams through Weeks 12-16. He has shown to take advantage of weak defenses in the past, and now with Corey Davis returning from injury, Mariota is a safe QB option for teams looking to make a playoff run.

 

Running Backs

I really want to talk about Alvin Kamara. As far as rookies go, Kamara makes an amazing argument for being a top-five rookie overall this year. He is a perfect fit for the Saints offense as both a runner and a pass-catcher and has been a key component in their success this season. For fantasy, Kamara is currently the RB16 in PPR formats and has not had a game below 11 fantasy points since Week 2. He has scored a touchdown in three of his last five games, while also totaling no less than 76 total yards in those five games.

Though his ceiling is lower than almost every RB1, Kamara is a solid RB2 option with upside. His floor of nearly nine fantasy points per game is nearly identical to players like Christian McCaffrey, Melvin Gordon, and Devonta Freeman. Additionally, Kamara’s floor is almost entirely from his work in the passing game, as he is averaging nearly four receptions for 36 yards through the air. Couple that with his rushing production of either rushing for over 50 yards or finding the endzone in his last five games and you have a safe but explosive PPR RB2 on your roster. In dynasty, I am buying everywhere I can, as I believe his price will only go up over the offseason and his 2017 production is but a glimpse of what is to come in his career.

 

Wide Receivers

Does anyone else feel like this year has been crazy-bad for wide receiver fantasy production? Doug Baldwin is currently the WR15, but as a Baldwin owner, it sure hasn’t felt like that. Looking at his consistency numbers, he hasn’t been too inconsistent this year with a standard deviation of only 7.23. He is averaging 14.1 points per game, but it still feels like we are missing something in his production.

As a more boom-bust type receiver, Baldwin hasn’t really boomed but hasn’t really busted either. He has two games under 10 fantasy points, but also only two games above 20 fantasy points. In his other three games, he scored 10, 10.4, and 11.4 fantasy points respectively. In terms of his expectations for 2017, Baldwin has been a fantasy disappointment, but his game logs show a more reliable WR2 with touchdown upside. Hopefully, as the season goes on and the Seahawks offense starts to click, Baldwin will be the prime beneficiary and deliver more boom games for his fantasy owners.

Another receiver I would like to point out is Dez Bryant. Currently the WR21 in PPR, Bryant has been a very consistent fantasy performer in 2017. Though he is no longer delivering 100-yard, two touchdown games, Bryant is still a focal point of the Cowboys’ offense. Bryant has caught less than four receptions in a game only twice, but has also only eclipsed 65 receiving yards once. He is the most consistent fantasy producer among the top-24 wide receivers, with a standard deviation of 4.97. Like Baldwin, Dez might be a fantasy disappointment for some based on his expectations, but he is still a solid fantasy receiver and a touchdown machine.

 

Tight Ends

I don’t know why, but I love seeing Zach Ertz at the top of this list every week. Maybe it is because I own him in Scott Fish Bowl 7, or because Ertz has been the most consistent fantasy player in 2017. The fact he is averaging over 16 fantasy points per game and has a standard deviation of 2.24 is absolutely stunning. Looking at his game log, he has never scored less than 13.1 fantasy points but has also never scored more than 19.9! Zach Ertz is consistency.

If you read this article last week, I mentioned that Ben Watson is becoming a very underrated fantasy player at the tight end position. Despite being the TE15 on the season, Watson has been a very consistent tight end and I recommended him last week to owners needing a fill-in for a bye week or injury. Thankfully, Watson found the endzone that saved his day with Flacco out. As long as Flacco is playing Watson is a very streamable player at the position as he is owned in less than 15% of ESPN leagues.

As I mentioned at the beginning, I will also include flex players based on floor plays or ceiling plays. The players in bold are players on both charts and are the most ideal candidates for your flex position. Note: I do not recommend playing Will Fuller this week until we see his performance with Tom Savage. My guess is Fuller may no longer be playable all season with Watson out and his performance is in for some big-time regression.

 

Floor Plays

Ceiling Plays

 

More Week 9 Lineup Prep




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ryan Pepiot

Strikes Out 11 in Win
Hunter Goodman

Homers Twice, Drives in Three
Stephen Curry

"Not Even Close" to Retirement
Jonathan Kuminga

Linked to Bulls, Heat
Kevin Durant

Has "No Desire" to be Traded to Minnesota
Isaac Paredes

Returns as DH on Monday
New York Giants

Mike Kafka Expected to Reclaim Play-Calling Duties
Jon Runyan

Limited During Minicamp
Saquon Barkley

Feels Great Physically
Justin Simmons

Panthers Have Talked With Justin Simmons
Jordan Addison

Trial Date Set for July 15
New York Jets

Jets Sign Kingsley Jonathan, Marquis Hayes
Jarace Walker

Remains Sidelined for Game 5
Justin Verlander

Returning to the Rotation on Wednesday
Tony Finau

Finishes Tied For 38th at U.S. Open
Bud Cauley

Misses The Cut at U.S. Open
Cameron Young

Finishes Tied For Fourth at U.S. Open
J.J. Spaun

Wins U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Finishes Tied For 12th at U.S. Open
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Second at U.S. Open
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For 42nd at U.S. Open
Vershon Lee

Vikings Ink Undrafted Offensive Lineman Vershon Lee
Luke Clanton

Misses The Cut at RBC Canadian Open
San Francisco 49ers

C.J. West Signs Rookie Deal with San Fran
Jaylen Warren

Training to Handle Larger Workload
Giancarlo Stanton

to Make Season Debut on Monday
Will Campbell

Ends Minicamp as Top Left Tackle
Sam Cosmi

Making Good Progress From Torn ACL
Kamaru Usman

Gets Back In The Win Column
Adonai Mitchell

Impresses at Minicamp
Joaquin Buckley

Winning Streak Comes To An End
Miranda Maverick

Drops Decision At UFC Atlanta
Bradley Chubb

Fully Healed, Looking Disruptive
Jonnu Smith

Contract Talks "Still Fluid"
Rose Namajunas

Wins Decision At UFC Atlanta
Andre Petroski

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Edmen Shahbazyan

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Raoni Barcelos

Wins Third Fight In A Row
Chase Elliott

Ends Mexico City with A Great Finish of Third
Christopher Bell

has A Strong Runner-Up Performance At Mexico City
Chase Briscoe

Wild Day Ends with A Top-10 Finish
Michael McDowell

Leaves Mexico City with A Top-Five Finish
Cody Garbrandt

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Cody Brundage

Defeated After Accidental Clash Of Heads
Cody Brundage

Mansur Abdul-Malik Defeats Cody Brundage By Technical Decision
Oumar Sy

Suffers His First Loss
Alonzo Menifield

Scores Upset Win
Alex Bowman

Delivers Bravura Performance After Michigan Injury
Tyler Reddick

Inexplicably Mediocre on his Once-Best Track Type
John Hunter Nemechek

Canny Strategy Gives John Hunter Nemechek Best Career Road-Course Finish
Cole Custer

Earns Best Finish Since Cup-Series Comeback at Mexico City
Grant Holmes

Punches Out 15 in Loss
Elly De La Cruz

Goes Yard in Fourth Straight Game
Will Vest

Dealing With Finger Injury
Jackson Merrill

Placed on Seven-Day Concussion Injured List
J.J. McCarthy

Looking "a Lot Stronger"
Shohei Ohtani

Will Be Dodgers' Starting Pitcher Monday
Roki Sasaki

Shut Down From Throwing
Garrett Wilson

Receives New Contract Offer
Jordan Hicks

Headed to Boston
Kyle Harrison

Traded to Red Sox
Travis Kelce

Slims Down During the Offseason
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Restart Contract Discussions
Brady House

Nationals Promoting Brady House to Major Leagues
Rafael Devers

Traded to San Francisco
Logan Gilbert

to Start on Monday
Jayden Higgins

Impresses During Minicamp
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

on the Move to Memphis
Cole Anthony

Dealt to the Grizzlies
Seattle Seahawks

DeMarcus Lawrence Making an Impression With his New Team
Isaiah Simmons

Being Used Exclusively as a Linebacker
Tyler Mahle

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Luis Robert Jr.

Scratched with Thumb Soreness
Desmond Bane

Traded to Orlando
Byron Buxton

Scratched from Sunday's Lineup
Brendan Donovan

Returns to the Lineup
Steven Adams

Rockets Agree to Three-Year Contract Extension
Royce Lewis

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Ty Dillon

Is a Respectable Cap Flexiblity-Focused DFS Option For Mexico City
Corey Perry

Produces 10th Postseason Goal
Connor McDavid

Scores First Finals Goal
John Hunter Nemechek

Is John Hunter Nemechek Worth Rostering In Mexico City DFS Lineups?
Sam Bennett

Nets Another Road Goal in Game 5 Win
Eetu Luostarinen

Earns Two Points Saturday
Brad Marchand

Pots Two Goals in Game 5 Victory
Sergei Bobrovsky

Ties NHL Record with 10th Road Win
Ross Chastain

Trackhouse Racing's Mexico Focus Makes Ross Chastain a Leading Contender for the Win
Kyle Busch

One of Two Past Mexico City Winners in the Field
Ryan Preece

Earns Surprising Front-Row Start
Austin Cindric

Not as Strong of a Road Racer as People Think
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Stronger on Infield Road Courses Than Purpose-Built Ones
Joey Logano

Seemingly Alternating Between Good and Mediocre Races
Brad Keselowski

One of the Few Drivers with Mexico City Experience
Denny Hamlin

Ryan Truex Makes First Cup Series Start Since 2014
Erik Jones

Mexico City Will Likely be a Struggle for Erik Jones
Noah Gragson

Front Row Motorsports' Speed May Make Noah Gragson a Decent DFS Option
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Road Courses Are Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s Worst Track Type
Evander Kane

Drops to Fourth Line Saturday
Kasperi Kapanen

Won't Play on Saturday
Calvin Pickard

Starts Game 5 for Oilers
Tyrese Haliburton

Struggles in Friday's Loss to OKC
Chet Holmgren

Dominates the Glass in Game 4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads the Way in Game 4
Jalen Williams

Has a Quality Showing on Friday Night
Russell Westbrook

to Decline Player Option
Kevin Durant

Trade Could Happen in the "Next Few Days"
Joaquin Buckley

Set For Main Event
Kamaru Usman

An Underdog At UFC Atlanta
Miranda Maverick

Set For Co-Main Event
Rose Namajunas

Looks To Bounce Back
Andre Petroski

Looks To Extend His Win Streak To Four
Edmen Shahbazyan

A Favorite At UFC Atlanta
Raoni Barcelos

Set To Take On Former Champion
Cody Garbrandt

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Connor Hellebuyck

Wins Vezina And Hart Trophies
Aleksander Barkov

Records Two Power-Play Assists Thursday
Sam Reinhart

Collects Three Points in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Tkachuk

Notches Three Points in Losing Effort
Calvin Pickard

Joins Exclusive List with Thursday's Win
Mattias Ekholm

Logs Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Leon Draisaitl

Delivers Victory in Overtime Thursday
Myles Turner

Playing Through Illness
Reed Sheppard

Will Play in the NBA Summer League
Kevin Durant

Deal Could Come Sooner Rather Than Later
Dorian Finney-Smith

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Anze Kopitar

Wins Third Lady Byng Trophy
Sergei Bobrovsky

Heading Out for Win No. 15
John Klingberg

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Panthers
Viktor Arvidsson

Sits Out Game 4 Against Panthers
Stuart Skinner

Remains in Oilers Crease Thursday
Jalen Williams

Leads Thunder in Scoring Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Settles for 24 Points in Game 3 Loss
Pascal Siakam

Does Everything for Pacers Wednesday Night
Matt McCarty

Comes Off Season-Best Showing at RBC Canadian Open
Justin Thomas

Desperate to Continue Good 2025 Season
Jon Rahm

Seeks Revenge at U.S. Open
Tom Kim

Aiming for Improvement in U.S. Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Expects Solid Performance at Oakmont
Brian Harman

Aims to Rebound From the Memorial
Tony Finau

has Been Up and Down at U.S. Open
Patrick Cantlay

Hoping This is the Year at Oakmont
Akshay Bhatia

Improving in Time for U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Primed for Another Major Championship Run
Cameron Young

May Struggle at U.S. Open
Collin Morikawa

Eyeing Third Major Championship Title
Matt Fitzpatrick

Seeks to Avenge Oakmont Collapse
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF