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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 18

Pierre Camus takes a look at players who may be overvalued or undervalued. These players could be buy or sell candidates for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

A couple days left for everything to devolve into total chaos and fantasy rosters to be turned upside down. Don't you love the trade deadline? Let's see whose stock is rising and falling this week before it all gets screwed up.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 18

Josh Bell (1B/OF, PIT) 46% owned

Rookies are hard to trust completely, but when you find one that is big-league ready, it can be a game changer. Bell isn't near Aaron Judge or Cody Bellinger territory, but he is slowly working way into becoming a regular starter at the mixed league level. Bell is up to 18 home runs and 55 RBI on the season and is the new cleanup hitter in Pittsburgh. A .249 average may be a bit disappointing, but in the second half so far, he's slashing .308/.345/.519. The return of Starling Marte on top of the lineup should only increase his RBI opportunities. Don't let a slow start deceive you into thinking Bell is just a mediocre waiver wire option.

Josh Reddick (OF, HOU) 54% owned

Reddick had another quietly prolific night at the plate on Friday, driving in five runs. His three-run homer in the eighth inning led the Astros to another victory, giving them double the number of wins (68) versus losses (34) this season. Reddick isn't slugging a ton of homers, nor will he lead the league in hitting, but he's doing un pocito de todo as my Dad would say (a little bit of everything). Reddick is slashing .307/.350/.498 with nine HR, 48 RBI, 58 R, and seven SB. Runs scored are probably the least sexy category in rotisserie leagues, but it counts just as much as the others and Reddick should keep scoring plenty in that lineup. The fact that he's barely half-owned across all leagues can only be a reflection of his injury history, not his performance. Sure, he could get hurt any day now. If that's the case, just drop him and get someone else. Pretty simple actually.

Mike Fiers (SP, HOU) 65% owned

His stock is slowly rising, even if his last start wasn't the prettiest. Fiers has been solid all year for the 'stros, pitching to a 7-5 record, 3.71 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9. He's managed to raise his ground ball rate to a 0.78 GB/FB and his strikeout percentage up to 24% this season. He's giving up too many big flies, but a 14.6% HR/FB could come down eventually if the positive trends continue. Fiers isn't a front-end rotation arm and never has been, but he's thrown enough dominant starts to be worth adding in many mixed leagues.

 

Overrated Players - Week 18

Eric Thames (1B/OF, MIL) 87% owned

A month into the season I wasn't touching Thames on here with a twenty-foot pole. I had plenty of reservations about his value and whether he could keep up his monstrous home run pace all season. Fast-forward to the end of July and here's what we're looking at. A player with a total of four HR, five RBI in the past month with just one dinger and two RBI since the second half began. Sure, it could just be a slump, but if you take away that ridiculous first month and look at the last three combined, you don't have a special player. He is now hitting .252 and his 45 total RBI don't put him anywhere close to the league leaders. On a per-game basis, backup Jesus Aguilar has actually been more productive than Thames lately. He isn't a drop candidate or anything, but it's finally time we admit that the magic is gone.

Andrew Benintendi (OF, BOS) 88% owned

Bring on the angry tweets... While there is no denying Benintendi is a future superstar and a high-priority keeper in dynasty leagues, he hasn't done much to help fantasy teams this season. His .268 average and .762 OPS are as middle-of-the-road as you can get, while 12 homers and 54 RBI are easily replaceable on the waiver wire. Hell, Matt Adams has given just as much value in 100 fewer at-bats. It may be another year or so before the kid fully develops his talent, but don't expect it to suddenly happen in August or September. Overly high expectations for prospects can be the death knell of many a fantasy team, after all.

Ivan Nova (SP, PIT) 85% owned

Ivan Nova has been as consistent and reliable a pitcher as anyone this year. Correction: Nova had been as consistent and reliable a pitcher as anyone this year, until July hit. He had an uncharacteristic meltdown in his last start, allowing seven earned run against the Rockies. Sure, we could blame Coors Field effect, but it just follows a trend of recent decline. After earning NL Pitcher of the Month in April and continually pitching into the seventh or eight inning, Nova has only gone more than six frames once in his last five starts. He's also given up seven HR in his four July starts, compared to only two in his first six starts of the year. It could be a matter of early fatigue or hitters simply attacking him more aggressively now that they know he is going to live in the zone. Either way, Nova doesn't deliver any strikeout value (5.3 K/9), so without elite-level ratios, he's not going to be of much help.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Kittle

Suffered Torn Achilles on Sunday
Aaron Holiday

is Moving into Starting Five
Aaron Gordon

is Available on Sunday
Christian Braun

is Downgraded to Out
Jamal Murray

is Unavailable on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
Kristaps Porzingis

Won't Play on Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

is Available to Play on Sunday
Christian Braun

Downgraded to Questionable on Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Suit Up on Sunday
Norman Powell

Ruled Out for Sunday's Game
Victor Wembanyama

Cleared for Sunday
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Jrue Holiday

Cleared to Suit Up Versus New York
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Josh Hart

Returning on Sunday Night
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Morgan Geekie

Won't Play Sunday
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
Mark Stone

Extends Goal Streak With Empty-Netter
Nikita Kucherov

Has Four-Point Outing Saturday
David Pastrnak

Records Six Assists in Big Win
Stefan Noesen

to Have Knee Surgery
Carter Hart

Out Week-to-Week
Thatcher Demko

Exits With Injury Saturday
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Philip Broberg

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Chet Holmgren

Available Sunday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Suspended for Three Games for Attempting to Strike Another Player
Kristaps Porzingis

May Return Sunday
Zaccharie Risacher

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

Considered Probable for Sunday
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play Sunday
Christian Braun

Considered Probable for Sunday
Spencer Jones

May Miss Another Game Sunday
Jamal Murray

Iffy for Sunday's Action
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Chandler Stephenson

Jaden Schwartz Replaces Chandler Stephenson in Kraken Lineup
Brandon Saad

Won't Play This Weekend
Shea Theodore

Returns to Golden Knights Lineup Saturday
Jaccob Slavin

Returns Against Kraken
Travis Konecny

Ruled Out Saturday
Brad Marchand

Misses Saturday's Game
Corey Perry

Available Saturday
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
New York Giants

Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri

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