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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 18

Pierre Camus takes a look at players who may be overvalued or undervalued. These players could be buy or sell candidates for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

A couple days left for everything to devolve into total chaos and fantasy rosters to be turned upside down. Don't you love the trade deadline? Let's see whose stock is rising and falling this week before it all gets screwed up.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 18

Josh Bell (1B/OF, PIT) 46% owned

Rookies are hard to trust completely, but when you find one that is big-league ready, it can be a game changer. Bell isn't near Aaron Judge or Cody Bellinger territory, but he is slowly working way into becoming a regular starter at the mixed league level. Bell is up to 18 home runs and 55 RBI on the season and is the new cleanup hitter in Pittsburgh. A .249 average may be a bit disappointing, but in the second half so far, he's slashing .308/.345/.519. The return of Starling Marte on top of the lineup should only increase his RBI opportunities. Don't let a slow start deceive you into thinking Bell is just a mediocre waiver wire option.

Josh Reddick (OF, HOU) 54% owned

Reddick had another quietly prolific night at the plate on Friday, driving in five runs. His three-run homer in the eighth inning led the Astros to another victory, giving them double the number of wins (68) versus losses (34) this season. Reddick isn't slugging a ton of homers, nor will he lead the league in hitting, but he's doing un pocito de todo as my Dad would say (a little bit of everything). Reddick is slashing .307/.350/.498 with nine HR, 48 RBI, 58 R, and seven SB. Runs scored are probably the least sexy category in rotisserie leagues, but it counts just as much as the others and Reddick should keep scoring plenty in that lineup. The fact that he's barely half-owned across all leagues can only be a reflection of his injury history, not his performance. Sure, he could get hurt any day now. If that's the case, just drop him and get someone else. Pretty simple actually.

Mike Fiers (SP, HOU) 65% owned

His stock is slowly rising, even if his last start wasn't the prettiest. Fiers has been solid all year for the 'stros, pitching to a 7-5 record, 3.71 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9. He's managed to raise his ground ball rate to a 0.78 GB/FB and his strikeout percentage up to 24% this season. He's giving up too many big flies, but a 14.6% HR/FB could come down eventually if the positive trends continue. Fiers isn't a front-end rotation arm and never has been, but he's thrown enough dominant starts to be worth adding in many mixed leagues.

 

Overrated Players - Week 18

Eric Thames (1B/OF, MIL) 87% owned

A month into the season I wasn't touching Thames on here with a twenty-foot pole. I had plenty of reservations about his value and whether he could keep up his monstrous home run pace all season. Fast-forward to the end of July and here's what we're looking at. A player with a total of four HR, five RBI in the past month with just one dinger and two RBI since the second half began. Sure, it could just be a slump, but if you take away that ridiculous first month and look at the last three combined, you don't have a special player. He is now hitting .252 and his 45 total RBI don't put him anywhere close to the league leaders. On a per-game basis, backup Jesus Aguilar has actually been more productive than Thames lately. He isn't a drop candidate or anything, but it's finally time we admit that the magic is gone.

Andrew Benintendi (OF, BOS) 88% owned

Bring on the angry tweets... While there is no denying Benintendi is a future superstar and a high-priority keeper in dynasty leagues, he hasn't done much to help fantasy teams this season. His .268 average and .762 OPS are as middle-of-the-road as you can get, while 12 homers and 54 RBI are easily replaceable on the waiver wire. Hell, Matt Adams has given just as much value in 100 fewer at-bats. It may be another year or so before the kid fully develops his talent, but don't expect it to suddenly happen in August or September. Overly high expectations for prospects can be the death knell of many a fantasy team, after all.

Ivan Nova (SP, PIT) 85% owned

Ivan Nova has been as consistent and reliable a pitcher as anyone this year. Correction: Nova had been as consistent and reliable a pitcher as anyone this year, until July hit. He had an uncharacteristic meltdown in his last start, allowing seven earned run against the Rockies. Sure, we could blame Coors Field effect, but it just follows a trend of recent decline. After earning NL Pitcher of the Month in April and continually pitching into the seventh or eight inning, Nova has only gone more than six frames once in his last five starts. He's also given up seven HR in his four July starts, compared to only two in his first six starts of the year. It could be a matter of early fatigue or hitters simply attacking him more aggressively now that they know he is going to live in the zone. Either way, Nova doesn't deliver any strikeout value (5.3 K/9), so without elite-level ratios, he's not going to be of much help.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

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Compare Any Players
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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Christian McCaffrey

Trending to Play in Week 18
Kon Knueppel

To Make Return For Charlotte On Wednesday, In Starting Lineup
Jalen Hurts

Eagles Expected to Rest Jalen Hurts, Most Starters in Week 18
George Kittle

49ers Will be "Very Surprised" if George Kittle Doesn't Play on Saturday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Regular-Season Finale
CFB

Lane Kiffin Interested in Sam Leavitt, Brendan Sorsby at LSU
Shakir Mukhamadullin

Questionable Wednesday
Adam Gaudette

Unavailable Wednesday
Darcy Kuemper

Activated From Injured Reserve
Alex Lyon

Nursing Lower-Body Injury
William Karlsson

to Miss Olympics
Jack Eichel

a Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Jason Dickinson

Hurt Versus Islanders
Mitchell Robinson

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Grayson Allen

Listed as Doubtful Wednesday
Mason Plumlee

Ryan Kalkbrenner, Mason Plumlee Remain Out Wednesday
Kon Knueppel

Likely to Return Wednesday
Miles Bridges

Listed as Questionable Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

Misses Second Straight Game
Devin Vassell

Ruled Out for Wednesday
Stephon Castle

Iffy for Wednesday
Josh Giddey

Sidelined "at Least a Few Weeks"
Desmond Bane

Might Miss Wednesday's Game in Indiana
Jalen Suggs

on the Injury Report Again for Wednesday Night
Trae Young

Questionable Against Timberwolves
Kristaps Porzingis

Returning Versus Minnesota
Jalen Johnson

Not Listed on the Injury Report for Wednesday
Josh Giddey

Sidelined Wednesday
Coby White

Won't Play on Wednesday
Jock Landale

Set to Suit Up on Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Available on Tuesday
Keyonte George

Active Tuesday
Connor Dewar

Available Tuesday
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Chris Tanev to Miss Time With Lower-Body Injury
Dakota Joshua

Out With Kidney Problem
MON

Samuel Montembeault Returns to Canadiens Crease
Erik Karlsson

Good to Go Tuesday
William Nylander

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Auston Matthews

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Corey Kispert

Will Not Return Wednesday
CFB

Deuce Knight Officially Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Kewan Lacy Expected to Be Full-Go Against Georgia
Stefon Diggs

Facing Strangulation, Assault Charges
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Chip Kelly Named Northwestern Offensive Coordinator
Alex Lyon

Bags Another Victory Monday
Riley Leonard

Will Start Against the Texans
Marcus Johansson

Matches Career High With Four-Point Effort
Steven Stamkos

Shines Monday Night With Three Points
Dylan Strome

Extends Point Streak in Loss
Sam Reinhart

Leads Charge Against Capitals With Three Points
Troy Terry

Enjoys Three-Point Night Against Sharks
Macklin Celebrini

Remains Hot Against Ducks
Bijan Robinson

Explodes for 229 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns on Monday Night
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Monday Night
Drake London

Active Against Rams
Justin Herbert

Won't Face Broncos in Week 18
Marcus Mariota

Considered "a Stretch" to Play in Week 18
Geno Smith

Dealing With Significant Ankle Injury
Dak Prescott

Will Play in Week 18
Lamar Jackson

Week 18 Status "to be Determined"
Joe Mixon

Won't Return This Season
T.J. Watt

a Long Shot to Play in Week 18?
CFB

Penn State Working to Hire D'Anton Lynn as Next Defensive Coordinator
Joe Burrow

Will Play in Week 18 Against the Browns
CFB

Omar Cooper Expected to be Full-Go for Rose Bowl
CFB

Marcus Freeman Staying with Notre Dame for 2026 Season
CFB

Star Wideout Cam Coleman Entering Transfer Portal
Luther Burden III

Set to Undergo Additional Testing on Quad Injury
D'Andre Swift

Finds End Zone Twice in Sunday Night Loss
Luther Burden III

Posts Season-High 138 Yards, Touchdown in Loss
Christian McCaffrey

Racks Up 181 Total Yards, Touchdown in Win Over Bears
CFB

Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer

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