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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 18

Pierre Camus takes a look at players who may be overvalued or undervalued. These players could be buy or sell candidates for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

A couple days left for everything to devolve into total chaos and fantasy rosters to be turned upside down. Don't you love the trade deadline? Let's see whose stock is rising and falling this week before it all gets screwed up.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 18

Josh Bell (1B/OF, PIT) 46% owned

Rookies are hard to trust completely, but when you find one that is big-league ready, it can be a game changer. Bell isn't near Aaron Judge or Cody Bellinger territory, but he is slowly working way into becoming a regular starter at the mixed league level. Bell is up to 18 home runs and 55 RBI on the season and is the new cleanup hitter in Pittsburgh. A .249 average may be a bit disappointing, but in the second half so far, he's slashing .308/.345/.519. The return of Starling Marte on top of the lineup should only increase his RBI opportunities. Don't let a slow start deceive you into thinking Bell is just a mediocre waiver wire option.

Josh Reddick (OF, HOU) 54% owned

Reddick had another quietly prolific night at the plate on Friday, driving in five runs. His three-run homer in the eighth inning led the Astros to another victory, giving them double the number of wins (68) versus losses (34) this season. Reddick isn't slugging a ton of homers, nor will he lead the league in hitting, but he's doing un pocito de todo as my Dad would say (a little bit of everything). Reddick is slashing .307/.350/.498 with nine HR, 48 RBI, 58 R, and seven SB. Runs scored are probably the least sexy category in rotisserie leagues, but it counts just as much as the others and Reddick should keep scoring plenty in that lineup. The fact that he's barely half-owned across all leagues can only be a reflection of his injury history, not his performance. Sure, he could get hurt any day now. If that's the case, just drop him and get someone else. Pretty simple actually.

Mike Fiers (SP, HOU) 65% owned

His stock is slowly rising, even if his last start wasn't the prettiest. Fiers has been solid all year for the 'stros, pitching to a 7-5 record, 3.71 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9. He's managed to raise his ground ball rate to a 0.78 GB/FB and his strikeout percentage up to 24% this season. He's giving up too many big flies, but a 14.6% HR/FB could come down eventually if the positive trends continue. Fiers isn't a front-end rotation arm and never has been, but he's thrown enough dominant starts to be worth adding in many mixed leagues.

 

Overrated Players - Week 18

Eric Thames (1B/OF, MIL) 87% owned

A month into the season I wasn't touching Thames on here with a twenty-foot pole. I had plenty of reservations about his value and whether he could keep up his monstrous home run pace all season. Fast-forward to the end of July and here's what we're looking at. A player with a total of four HR, five RBI in the past month with just one dinger and two RBI since the second half began. Sure, it could just be a slump, but if you take away that ridiculous first month and look at the last three combined, you don't have a special player. He is now hitting .252 and his 45 total RBI don't put him anywhere close to the league leaders. On a per-game basis, backup Jesus Aguilar has actually been more productive than Thames lately. He isn't a drop candidate or anything, but it's finally time we admit that the magic is gone.

Andrew Benintendi (OF, BOS) 88% owned

Bring on the angry tweets... While there is no denying Benintendi is a future superstar and a high-priority keeper in dynasty leagues, he hasn't done much to help fantasy teams this season. His .268 average and .762 OPS are as middle-of-the-road as you can get, while 12 homers and 54 RBI are easily replaceable on the waiver wire. Hell, Matt Adams has given just as much value in 100 fewer at-bats. It may be another year or so before the kid fully develops his talent, but don't expect it to suddenly happen in August or September. Overly high expectations for prospects can be the death knell of many a fantasy team, after all.

Ivan Nova (SP, PIT) 85% owned

Ivan Nova has been as consistent and reliable a pitcher as anyone this year. Correction: Nova had been as consistent and reliable a pitcher as anyone this year, until July hit. He had an uncharacteristic meltdown in his last start, allowing seven earned run against the Rockies. Sure, we could blame Coors Field effect, but it just follows a trend of recent decline. After earning NL Pitcher of the Month in April and continually pitching into the seventh or eight inning, Nova has only gone more than six frames once in his last five starts. He's also given up seven HR in his four July starts, compared to only two in his first six starts of the year. It could be a matter of early fatigue or hitters simply attacking him more aggressively now that they know he is going to live in the zone. Either way, Nova doesn't deliver any strikeout value (5.3 K/9), so without elite-level ratios, he's not going to be of much help.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
Daniel Gafford

Sidelined Again on Monday
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Tre Mann

Uncertain for Monday's Game Against Nets
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deandre Ayton

Leaves Game With Knee Soreness
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Williams

Questionable With Adductor Issue
P.J. Washington

Uncertain For Monday's Contest
Daniel Gafford

Expected To Miss Second Straight Game
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
Noah Clowney

Considered Probable for Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Listed as Probable for Monday's Matchup
Caris LeVert

Expected Back Monday
Duncan Robinson

Questionable to Face Hawks
Jalen Duren

Likely to Return Against Hawks Monday
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
Alexandre Sarr

Iffy for Monday
Mark Williams

Available Against Lakers Monday
Ryan Dunn

on Track to Return Monday
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Uncertain for Monday
Coby White

Returning to Bulls Lineup Monday
Paolo Banchero

Unavailable Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

to Miss 3-4 Weeks
Justin Herbert

Suffers Fractured Hand in Week 13, Will Have Surgery
Kimani Vidal

has Season-High in Rushing Yards in Win Over Raiders
De'Von Achane

Looks Unstoppable on the Ground in Week 13
Davante Adams

has Another Two-Touchdown Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

is Questionable to Return With Shoulder Injury
Adonai Mitchell

has Career Day With 102 Yards, Touchdown in Win
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Henri Jokiharju

Lands on Injured Reserve
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Pavel Zacha

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
David Pastrnak

Out for Second Consecutive Game
William Nylander

Available Saturday
Kyle Palmieri

Out for 6-8 Months With Torn ACL
Jake Walman

Sidelined for Third Consecutive Game
Jack Roslovic

to Miss Two Weeks
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte

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