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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 14

Pierre Camus takes a look at players who may be overvalued or undervalued. These players could be buy or sell candidates for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

This week, it's an unintentionally Rockies-centric piece that will tell you how to handle players that ironically have had nothing to do with the team's success (or recent struggles) this year. Read further to find out more.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 14

Marwin Gonzalez (1B/2B/3B/SS/OF, HOU) 79% owned

I resisted Marwin Mania in May as best I could. In fact, I did pick him up in one league, only to drop him a couple weeks later. Big mistake. Huge. Gonzalez has seen his ownership decline a bit lately since he's missed time with an oblique injury. That shouldn't mask his tremendous performance this season that has seen no end (yet). Gonzalez is slashing .314/.398/.574 with 13 home runs and 42 runs batted in. He won't pass last year's career high of 141 games played, but he'll still be in the lineup around five times a week, assuming good health. Is there regression to come? Sure. His 23.6% HR/FB is double his career rate and his .343 BABIP is on the high end, but he isn't completely outplaying the level of his abilities. What Gonzalez is doing better is being more patient, with an 11% walk rate that is more than double his usual amount, and hitting more fly balls (more of which happen to be leaving the yard). His pull rate is actually down quite a bit, so if he decides to start sacrificing his all-fields approach (and his average), then he could possibly approach the 30-HR plateau. All that aside, don't tell me there's not a place in your lineup for someone who literally plays every position except catcher in fantasy. If a leaguemate has let him go, grab him now. Otherwise, consider trying to secure him as part of a package deal somehow since he's still considered a utility player.

Hunter Renfroe (OF, SD) 26% owned

If you like sluggers, you should love Renfroe. He is tied with teammate Wil Myers for the club lead in home runs with 16 after jacking another on Thursday. While Myers is universally owned, Renfroe is available is three-fourths of Yahoo leagues, yet has an equal numbers of homers and only three fewer RBI. Sure, he's only batting .225, but Myers is at .262 so there's not a huge leap here. I'm not saying Renfore is equal to Myers in terms of value. I am saying that Renfroe is being overlooked because he's a rookie and his current low average/high strikeout rate makes him seem like another Chris Carter. In truth, Renfroe is a much more disciplined hitter that has yet to adjust his approach. He hit .333 and .307 with K-rates barely over 20% in the last two minor league seasons. He tattoed pitchers to the tune of .371 in an 11-game audition last season, which earned him the everyday right field job this season. Renfroe may not figure it all out in his rookie campaign, but he certainly has the pedigree. Hey, if you would have told me that Aaron Judge was hitting .331 by the All-Star break, I'd have said you were crazy. I can only imagine Renfroe in that Yankees lineup instead...

Jon Gray (SP, COL) 46% owned

He's back! As someone who was banging the drum for Gray all last season, I have been eagerly awaiting his return. Gray was set to build on an impressive rookie season marred by just a couple of bad outings when he suffered a stress fracture in his left foot. He showed no signs of trouble in recovery and then promptly picked up a win against the D-backs on Friday, allowing just two runs over six innings with 10 K. Gray started the trend last year of rookie starters in Colorado being fantasy viable and the mantle has been taken up by several players like Antonio Senzatela, Kyle Freeland, German Marquez, and Jeff Hoffman. Last season, Gray struck out nearly 10 batters per nine innings and pitched to a 3.72 SIERA. Keep in mind, this is for a player that was available for free on the waiver wire. Now that the Rockies have become a winning team and Gray has a year under his belt, expect better things. He's an easy add in mixed leagues everywhere.

 

Overrated Players - Week 14

Troy Tulowitzki (SS, TOR) 67% owned

Can we please stop pretending Tulo plays in Colorado? Since joining the Blue Jays, he hit .239 in the second half of 2015, .254 in 2016, and is at .233 so far this season. He did show some pop last year with 24 HR, but he's only gone deep four times in 44 games in 2017. He's hitting the ball on the ground in half his at-bats and making a career-high 25.2% soft contact. Injuries have no doubt contributed to his decline, but that has to be factored into his value because he's proven to be injury-prone throughout his career. Counting on him to be a starting SS is a mistake. To take it a step further, he's more of a liability in your lineup than an asset and you wouldn't be blamed for dropping him.

David Dahl (OF, COL) 41% owned

I've said before that I try not to put injured players on this list, but I'll make an exception in this case. If you aren't in a keeper league, you have no business keeping Dahl on your roster. Dahl was just moved to the 60-day disabled list after suffering another setback in his rehab from a stress reaction in his rib area. While he's been out all year and the move is retroactive, which leaves open the possibility he can still return, that doesn't mean it will happen. The other issue, which never truly went away, is playing time. Charlie Blackmon isn't going anywhere with the team contending. Carlos Gonzalez, for all his struggles, isn't getting moved either with his trade value at an all-time low. Recent signee Ian Desmond occupies the other outfield spot and rookie Raimel Tapia is hitting .299 with 16 runs scored in 28 games. Hypothetically, even if Dahl makes an appearance in August, how much value are you going to extract from him? Don't hold on here unless you've got him at a super-cheap price for 2018.

Gerrit Cole (SP, PIT) 95% owned

I'm actually disappointed that this article is being published hours after Cole's latest implosion because I had him on this list days earlier and now I can't say "I told you so!" Cole had started looking sharper lately, with a 1.35 ERA in his previous three starts. Then, Friday happened. Cole was rocked for seven runs and 10 hits in 5 1/3 innings against the struggling Giants. His season ERA now sits at 4.51 and his record dropped to 6-7. Even at his best, Cole's upside is limited. He averages a modest 8.22 K/9 and is giving up homers at a prolific rate; he saw the 17th ball leave the yard tonight. Yes, I realize that's the same as Clayton Kershaw, but let's not pretend to compare these two. Cole isn't outright droppable, but hoping for a return to 2015 form would be a mistake. That season is looking more like an outlier by the day.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Max Fried

Exits Start With Blister
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Hunter Dobbins

to Miss Rest of Season With Torn ACL
Nolan Arenado

Held Out of Lineup on Saturday
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Carlos Correa

Sitting on Saturday
Austin Riley

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Nolan Arenado

Exits Friday's Contest With Sprained Finger
Jake Burger

Expects to Play on Saturday
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Wyatt Langford

Records Four-Hit Night
Cal Raleigh

Homers Twice, Drives in Five
Cody Bellinger

Swats Three Homers in Victory
Jake Burger

Leaves With Quad Discomfort on Friday
Carlos Correa

Exits Game With Mild Ankle Sprain
Edward Cabrera

Dealing with Posterior Elbow Discomfort
Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF