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Adam Koffler's five fantasy football bold predictions for Week 16 of the 2025 NFL season. Expert predictions for Jayden Reed, Tyrone Tracy Jr., Omarion Hampton, Jalen Coker, and Colston Loveland.
There are a ton of moving pieces as we head into the fantasy football semifinals week. Injuries are piling up, creating chaos for fantasy managers fighting to make it to championship weekend.
This weekly article aims to make some bold yet informed calls. While not a start/sit column, hopefully my five bold predictions for Week 16 can sway you one way or another if you're on the fence.
Without further ado, find out why I'm high on Jayden Reed, Tyrone Tracy Jr., Jalen Coker, and Colston Loveland, and low on Omarion Hampton in my Week 16 bold predictions.
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Jayden Reed Produces 20+ Fantasy Points
The Bears have struggled to defend the slot without slot-corner Kyler Gordon. That's good news for Reed, who plays roughly two-thirds of his snaps from the slot.
This will be his third game back from injury. In his first game, he played just 45% of the snaps. However, in his second game back, he increased his snap share to 65%.
In both games, Reed got six opportunities, and in Week 15, with Christian Watson exiting the game early, Reed had a 67.4% route participation.
Miraculously, Watson has practiced in a limited capacity this week, but he's far from a sure thing on a short week after suffering a chest/shoulder injury last weekend.
Even if Watson does suit up for this one, it's Reed with the much better matchup. Per Josh Larky, the Bears allow the second-most PPR points over expectation to slot receivers this season (+4.2).
Fire him up with confidence in what should be a competitive, high-scoring affair in Chicago.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Rushes for 100+ Yards For The First Time This Season
Coming out of the bye week, there were questions about who the lead back for the Giants was.
Those were quickly put to bed in Week 15, when Tracy had 18 touches to Devin Singletary's six. The former turned 15 carries into 70 rushing yards and a score.
Tracy has now accumulated 60+ rushing yards in four of his last five games. He's done against some very stiff run defenses (Green Bay, Detroit, Chicago).
In Week 16, he gets a much more favorable matchup against a run-funnel Vikings defense that allows 133.9 rushing yards per game on the road.
Opposing teams have attempted the fourth-fewest passes against the Vikings, while attempting the most rush attempts.
Tracy has a lot to prove, and he's done well so far with his opportunities sans Cam Skattebo. It appears Mike Kafka and company are comfortable making him their featured back.
Tracy produces his first 100-yard rushing game in Week 16 as the Giants look to take advantage of the Vikings' biggest weakness.
Kimani Vidal Outscores Omarion Hampton in Full PPR
Hampton isn't bad, not at all. But he's still just a few games removed from a severe ankle injury.
Additionally, the Chargers found something in Vidal when Hampton was sidelined. That has continued even with Hampton back in the mix.
Hampton's current role in the offense mirrors Jordan Mason's role in the Vikings' offense.
Vidal, like Aaron Jones, is the more versatile, "do-it-all" back. Hampton, like Mason, gets goal-line work.
Here's what the split looks like over the last two weeks (per game):
| Hampton | Mason | Vidal | Jones | |
| Carries (red zone) | 14 (3) | 10.5 (3) | 13 (0.5) | 13 (1) |
| Snap Share | 34% | 35% | 65% | 55% |
| Route Participation | 21% | 12% | 60% | 52% |
If Hampton isn't scoring a touchdown, he's probably not scoring double-digit fantasy points with the lack of work in the passing game.
So why will Vidal outscore Hampton in Week 16 vs. the Cowboys?
Well, the Chargers are road dogs with an implied total of 23.5 points.
Their last two games were slugfests in which Justin Herbert threw the ball under 30 times in each contest.
This weekend, Herbert is -106 to attempt over 33.5 passes on FanDuel Sportsbook. He's also projected for the fifth-most passing yards (249.5).
Why does that matter? Well, Vidal is the pass-catching back, and pass-catching backs have been busy vs. the Cowboys this season.
They're allowing the second-most receiving yards (46.9) and fifth-most receptions per game (5.2) to opposing running backs this season.
In that case, we should be making a bet on the back that runs more routes, and that's Vidal. He outscores Hampton this week, take it to the bank!
Jalen Coker Outscores Tetairoa McMillan
As a McMillan fantasy manager, this one might sting a bit.
It's really not even that bold considering it's happened in the last two games they've played together.
Coker looks like he's really built a strong connection with Bryce Young, and Young trusts Coker in key moments.
Coker 2 taps
📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/LTgg3EN2Ne
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) December 14, 2025
In their last two games, Coker has paced McMillan in targets per route run (0.21 vs. 0.12), first-read target share (31.8% to 9.1%), and first downs (seven vs. two), per Fantasy Points Data.
McMillan practiced in full on Thursday, but he's battling a foot/ankle injury, per head coach Dave Canales.
That could hamper him in Week 16, and have Young looking more towards the fully healthy Coker when it matters.
Coker also plays the slot, and slot receivers have produced against the pass-funnel Bucs this season.
Per Josh Larky, they're allowing 1.9 PPR points over expectation to slot receivers. And per Razzball, 40% of opposing wide receiver fantasy points have come from the slot (seventh-highest rate).
It's hard to sit a talent like McMillan vs. a pass-funnel Bucs team that allows the seventh-most receptions per game to opposing wideouts this season (12.1), but Coker has the smash matchup this weekend.
Colston Loveland Earns Double-Digit Targets
The rookie tight end has come on very strongly of late, but he has yet to earn double-digit targets in any game this season.
That ends in Week 16 with both Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III already ruled out vs. the Packers.
Cole Kmet is also dealing with an injury of his own and is listed as questionable to play.
All the stars are aligning for Loveland to have his best outing of the season. Even if Kmet suits up, Loveland will be used in a variety of ways.
In his last nine games, the rookie tight end has lined up out wide 26% of the time, in the slot 31% of the time, and in-line 43% of the time (per Fantasy Points Data).
Odunze and Burden have been the highest target earners on the team this season and have led the way in first-read target share.
Next in line is Loveland, who all of a sudden becomes Caleb Williams' number one option in Week 16 vs. the Packers.
Green Bay is middle of the pack (pun fully intended) when it comes to fantasy points allowed vs. opposing tight ends, but they've allowed 20.6 fantasy points per game to opposing wideouts this season.
That's what Loveland is going to be on Saturday night: fire this pseudo-wide receiver up in your tight end spot with the utmost confidence.
