PrizePicks PGA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for the RBC Canadian Open (Round 1)

Today's PrizePicks PGA DFS prop picks for the 2023 RBC Canadian (Round 1) by Ian McNeill. Use his golf over/under props recommendations to win money on PrizePicks.

Welcome to our PrizePicks PGA DFS prop picks for the RBC Canadian Open (Round 1). The PGA Tour season is in full swing, and to celebrate, PrizePicks has an extensive selection of PGA props to take advantage of! PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or singular stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

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For the first time in the event's history, the Canadian Open visits Oakdale Country Club for the 112th iteration of Canada's National Open. I and the entire Rotoballer PGA staff have put out 1,000s of words on the course, key stats, and field this week, so this article won't be focused on the minutiae of projecting outright winners or DFS pivot plays. Instead, I'll be solely focused on a few money-making opportunities I've found in PrizePicks' unique markets to help you build your bankroll as the PGA Tour season gets into full swing! Today's plays are specifically for round one on Thursday, June 8.

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Single Stat PGA Totals - DFS Prop Picks

Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.

Sahith Theegala MORE than Maverick McNealy - Birdies or Better Matchup

Although courses that penalize wayward misses off the tee aren't typically at the top of my list for a Theegala breakout spot, the Pepperdine product has proven quite capable on these shorter, positional venues in his short career. Three of his best four driving performances of the season have come at Silverado, Harbour Town, and Sea Island, and top 10 finishes at Innisbrook and River Highlands further showcase his aptitude when forced to think his way around golf courses that give you the option to club down off the tee.

From his second shot onward, however, there is little reason to doubt Theegala this week, as the kid rates inside the top 40 in both of my key proximity ranges this week (100-125; 125-150), 9th in SG: Putting, and #1 in Birdie or Better % in this field. If he can routinely stay out of trouble with his first shot, I see no reason why Sahith can't threaten for that elusive maiden win.

McNealy, on the other hand, doesn't have a lot going in his favor when you dive into the stats. The Stanford alum hasn't finished better than 52nd in any of his last five starts, and hasn't gained strokes ball-striking in over six months. He rates outside the top 100 in SG: OTT, Good Drive Percentage, SG: APP, Wedge Proximity, and Birdie Chances Created, it's tough to imagine McNealy challenging Theegala in this prop without the putter carrying a ridiculous amount of weight. I'm comfortable banking on the superior all-around profile in this matchup.

Matt Fitzpatrick LESS than 5.0 Birdies or Better

Although Fitzpatrick entered Round 3 just two shots of the lead in Canada last year, the U.S. Open Champion found it a lot more difficult to keep pace as scoring conditions became easier on the weekend. I anticipate similarly scorable conditions to start play in Oakdale this week, but nothing in the numbers indicates to me that Fitzpatrick's line should be the nearly the same as Rory, Hatton, or Burns.

Fitzpatrick's found it surprisingly difficult to keep the ball in the fairway this season: ranking 115th in Fairway's Gained over his last 36 rounds, and outside of a few spike weeks at Augusta and Hilton Head, the iron play has continued to lag behind the rest of his game (71st in SG: APP, 107th in Birdie Chances Created, 141st in Wedge Proximity inside 150 yards).  Like McNealy, I just don't trust the ball-striking enough to count on Fitzy to create consistent birdie opportunities. The threat of a spike putting day is everpresent, but this is a risk I'm willing to take given the discrepancy between his place alongside the elites on the line, and his spot in many of my key metrics.

Michael Block MORE than 73.5 Strokes

Everyone's favorite Club Pro is back on the big stage in Canada this week, but if PrizePicks continues to give us opportunities to fade Michael Block, we'll take them with open arms. In two ugly rounds in a DFL at Colonial, Block lost a whopping 12 shots to the field from tee to green while hitting just 57% of his fairways and 38% of his greens in regulation.

Given the gnarled rough and dense treelines we expect to see on offer here in Oakdale, those wayward misses will not fair any better for the Californian in Toronto this week. Until he showcases an extended sample of that "world-class" short game, I'm ready to go to the wall in every fade spot we have available.

Other Recommendations

• Tyrrell Hatton LESS than 69.0 Strokes
• Cameron Young LESS than 5.0 Birdies or Better
• Corey Conners MORE than Carson Young - Birdies or Better Matchup

Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX

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