TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Heroes and Zeroes - Week 16 Fantasy Football Picks

This season, we are treated to a full slate of games on Christmas Eve in the most important fantasy week of all! (Cue inspiring holiday music set to the tune of Hank Williams Jr.'s MNF anthem). Although the NFL is most closely associated with Thanksgiving in terms of holidays, it really makes the perfect allegory for a Christmas Carol.

Fantasy owners with long memories will take this time to reminisce over their draft day fails and recount all the players they should have taken instead. These would be known as the Ghost of Fantasy Football Past. Owners who drafted well, but lost nonetheless last week on the shoulders of their stars will no doubt be haunted by Ghosts of Fantasy Football Present as they watch Russell Wilson, Philip Rivers, Ezekiel Elliott, Leonard Fournette, Doug Baldwin, and Devin Funchess rack up points the week after they needed it. As for the Ghosts of Fantasy Football Future, let's just say the prospect of seeing potential stars like Josh Rosen in a Browns jersey or Saquon Barkley in a Lions jersey should be scary apparitions for devy owners.

Now, let's get to my fantasy "heroes" and "zeroes" at each position for Week 16 of the NFL season. For a full set of rankings, look no further than our very own RotoBaller consensus weekly rankings.

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Week 16 Lineup Heroes

QUARTERBACK

Case Keenum, Minnesota Vikings - The former run-and-shoot quarterback hasn't needed to be a gunslinger this year as he was back in his college days, but he can pull out a big game when needed. With Aaron Rodgers going on IR, it would seem that the Packers are rolling over the rest of this year, making this a gimme for the Vikings. A division rivalry is still in play here, however, and the Packers were getting their offense going with Brett Hundley at the helm just before Rodgers returned. The Vikes are still fighting for home field advantage, so Keenum won't just be handing off all game. The Packers defense is far easier to throw against than run, so it won't take a high volume of attempts for Keenum to be effective. He probably has a ceiling of about 320 yards and three touchdowns, but his floor would seem to be at least two TD, since he's recorded as many in each of the last four games against better defenses. He may even be a safer play than Drew Brees this week.

Nick Foles, Philadelphia Eagles - If I liked him last week, why shouldn't I love him this week? The Eagles passed more than expected, but that came out of necessity since their defense failed to show up against the hapless Giants. This week's opponent, the New Vegas Raiders, haven't shown up at all the last couple of weeks and are all but out of the playoff race now. They'll make one last desperate attempt by trying to beat the NFC's best team on the road, but Foles should have no problem racking up points against a defense that averages less than one turnover per game on the year (four interceptions and eight fumbles recovered).

RUNNING BACKS

Dion Lewis, New England Patriots - This week's game should contain far less drama for the Patriots than Catchgate (or Replaygate if you prefer). The Bills may be playoff-bound, but they still have one of the worst run defenses around. Rex Burkhead is out, so the backfield is all for Lewis. Don't even mention Mike Gillislee to me... The Pats won't need to air it out as much as last week, so Lewis should have an easy road to 15+ carries. The last two times he saw that many rush attempts, in Weeks 12 and 13, he ran for 112 and 92 yards respectively. He is an absolute must-start in fantasy leagues and a safe bet in cash games this weekend.

Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions - Who is the starting running back for the Lions, officially? Is is still Ameer Abdullah, or newcomer Tion Green, or does Riddick fit the bill? It doesn't really matter, as the Lions never run the ball much anyway. What does matter is that Riddick is the main pass-catching back and the most consistent player. None of the three average so much as four yards per carry, but Riddick is up to 48 catches on the year, placing him one behind Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt for ninth among all RB. He happens to be going up against the Bengals, who have allowed the most receiving yards to running backs this season. He's more of a safe play in PPR leagues, but one that shouldn't be left on benches if you like a sure 10+ points.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers - It was soul-crushing for many Funchess owners to see Cam Newton go berserk (yeah, I kind of blew that call), yet watch their receiver catch one ball for 19 yards. Damiere Byrd was the unexpected beneficiary last week, but don't worry about Funchess. He should square off against the lesser of Tampa's corners, Ryan Smith. The Bucs have not employed shadow coverage at all this season, and Funchess probably wouldn't call for that treatment anyway. Fire him up as your WR2 with confidence.

Eli Rogers, Pittsburgh Steelers - I could have taken the easy route and gone with Juju Smith-Schuster, but that's too obvious. With Antonio Brown sadly MIA for the fantasy playoffs, JJSS should take his place on the outside and face the most embattled CB in the league these days, Houston's Kevin Johnson. Taking his place in the slot is Eli Rogers, who will slide right under the radar. Technically, Darrius Heyward-Bey saw more snaps than Rogers in Week 15, but on the year Rogers has the edge 333-73. Heyward-Bey could be a punt play in deep tournaments, but Rogers is the better bet to haul in a few long receptions and possibly his second touchdown in as many weeks.

TIGHT END

Antonio Gates, Los Angeles Chargers - As much as I want to put Ricky Seals-Jones back in this spot, now that the Blaine Gabbert experiment is over, it's time to give due to a forgotten star of fantasy past. Gates will ride off into the sunset with the all-time touchdown record for tight ends at the end of this season. He may have another score or two in him before it's all said and done. Hunter Henry was put on IR this week due to a lacerated kidney, which means Gates could see his biggest volume yet. Realistically, you can't expect a player whose season high is three catches for 32 yards to suddenly go hogwild, but it's all about the red zone here. Gates is actually third on the team in red zone targets this season with eight, ahead of every wide receiver not named Keenan Allen. Their opponent, the Jets, are among the more generous defenses to tight ends with 669 yards and eight TD allowed on the year. It wouldn't be shocking to see Gates register touchdown number 114 in Week 16, making him a viable play for those who stream in standard leagues.

 

Week 16 Lineup Zeroes

QUARTERBACKS

Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins - If he wants to get out of being hit with the franchise tag for what seems like the 17th year in a row, Cousins simply needs to play better. The lack of running game and inept coaching are holding him back, so you can't hold Cousins personally accountable for his recent drop in production, but when it's time to negotiate, the numbers can and will be used against him. In the last three games, he is averaging 199 yards per game with a 5:3 TD:INT ratio. Cousins traditionally plays better in December, but this year's Skins just don't have enough weapons to make him a fantasy starter any more. Now that Denver's Air Raid defense is back, you need to look elsewhere for your championship-winning QB.

Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Famous Jameis hasn't been eating too many W's lately, but he did put up a fine fantasy performance in Week 15. Winston tossed three TD and fell one yard short of 300 on the day, giving him seven TD and an average of 285 yards in the three games since returning from a sprained AC joint injury. The Carolina defense showed it's still susceptible to the pass by allowing similar numbers to Aaron Rodgers last week, but they aren't always so generous. They rank just 21st in terms of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and they are tougher at home, allowing nearly half as many passing touchdowns. With no O.J. Howard and possibly no DeSean Jackson, Winston makes for a super-risky play. Deploy only in deep two-QB leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Lamar Miller, Houston Texans - In trying to think of a good reason to justify starting Miller anywhere this week, I simply couldn't find one. On the season, he's only carried the ball 20 or more times twice and his season high is 75 rushing yards. That's right, not only has he not cracked the 100-yard mark, he hasn't even cracked 80 on the ground. His receiving output is modest at best--he hasn't caught more than four passes in a game and has gone over 40 receiving yards just once. He is TD-dependent, but even at that you could point to the fact he's only found the end zone in four games. The Steelers defense isn't what it used to be, but they are no slouch either. You're settling big time if you play Miller for his perceived floor, especially with T.J. Yates at quarterback.

Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers - The Jimmy G era has been glorious for 49ers fans so far. While the receivers (whatever their names are) are loving it, Carlos Hyde probably not so much. In the three games since Garoppolo took over, Hyde is averaging 16 carries for 52 yards, good for a 3.3 Y/A. He's caught five of eight targets in those games for just 26 yards. Now that the Niners don't need to rely on Hyde to move the ball, he is firmly in RB3 territory. Facing the Jags crushes any hope of parlaying that into fantasy stardom in Championship Week. The myth that they are great against the pass but vulnerable to the run can be squashed; they allow the sixth-fewest fantasy points to RB this year. They are good against everything. Hyde, unfortunately, is not.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Robby Anderson, New York Jets - It was fun while it lasted, but it's time to jump off the Anderson bandwagon. Apparently, Bryce Petty no longer works wonders for Anderson's value as he did last season, even though the target volume has been there. Anderson has caught just eight of 18 targets for a total of 67 yards the last two games. Sure, those were two tough road games against good defenses, but this time around he'll get a heaping helping of Casey Hayward all afternoon, who currently sits at the #1 position as top-graded CB in the NFL, according to ProFootballFocus. Anderson showed he has great long-term value and could become a weekly WR2, but not in this matchup with everything on the line.

TIGHT END

Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys - It may be your first instinct to trust a veteran on a good team when deciding between any of the 20 tight ends that may or may not score this weekend, but Witten should be scratched off the list outright. There is no more matchup-dependent TE this year than Witten. First off, if you aren't chasing touchdowns at this position, you're doing it wrong. Once you get past the top six scoring tight ends, you're looking at no more than four receptions per game, what Witten is averaging this year, which shouldn't make or break your lineup decision. For scoring upside, Witten figures to be a dud this week against Seattle. He has five TD on the year, but four of those have come against teams that are in the top-four in terms of fantasy points allowed to tight ends (Redskins, Broncos, Giants). In other words, when the fish are presented to him in barrel form, he doesn't miss his shot. The Seahawks are on the other end of the spectrum in terms of defending the tight end and will want to show some pride after being run out of the building by the Rams last week. I expect Witten to be a non-factor and would prefer someone like Ben Watson, who has a far better matchup.

 

More Week 16 Lineup Prep




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Aaron Judge

Appears to be Past his Elbow Issues
Bo Nix

Expected to Resume Training in 4-6 Weeks
Dan Vladar

Returns to Flyers Crease
Denton Mateychuk

Back in Action Wednesday
Stephen Halliday

Unavailable Versus Avalanche
Ross Colton

Won't Play Wednesday
Devon Toews

Still Out Wednesday
Simon Holmstrom

Expected to Return Wednesday
Ryan Pulock

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Michael Penix Jr.

Thinks he'll be Ready by April
Evan Carter

Establishes a Goal to Steal 30 Bases
Edouard Julien

Traded to the Rockies
Cleveland Browns

Browns Hiring Todd Monken as Next Head Coach
Jack St. Ivany

to Miss Up to Eight Weeks After Surgery
Cody Glass

Exits Early Tuesday Night
Anton Lundell

Expected to Be Available Thursday
Jordan Kyrou

Jake Neighbours Knocked Out of the Lineup Tuesday
Elias Lindholm

Hurt in Tuesday's Win
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Exits With Injury Tuesday
Ondrej Palat

Devils Send Ondrej Palat to the Islanders
Collin Murray-Boyles

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday's Game
Jock Landale

Available for Wednesday's Tilt
Kel'el Ware

in Danger of Missing Another Game
Sahith Theegala

Off to Much Better 2026 Start
Davion Mitchell

Iffy for Wednesday
Gary Woodland

an Intriguing Option at Torrey Pines This Week
Norman Powell

Questionable Wednesday
Tyler Herro

Remains Out Wednesday
CJ Abrams

Giants Offer "Aggressive Pitch" for CJ Abrams
Andrew Putnam

Hopes to Keep Momentum Rolling This Week
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic to Be Re-Evaluated in One Week
Matthieu Pavon

Seeks to Return to 2024 Form at Torrey Pines
Luke List

Still Looking For Birdies at Torrey Pines
Jake Knapp

Faces Stiff Challenge at Farmers Insurance Open
Rasmus Hojgaard

Needs to Play Better at Torrey Pines
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Could Struggle at Farmers Insurance Open
J.J. Spaun

A Steady Option At Farmers Insurance Open
Andrew Novak

Looking For More Success At Torrey Pines
Denny McCarthy

A Wild Card At Farmers Insurance Open
Max Homa

Looks To Keep Resurgence Going At Torrey Pines
Joe Highsmith

Struggling Heading Into Torrey Pines
Wyndham Clark

Looks To Carry Momentum Into Farmers Insurance Open
Tony Finau

Aims To Turn Things Around At Torrey Pines
Darius Garland

Won't Be Available Wednesday
Akshay Bhatia

Looks to Bounce Back at Torrey Pines
Franz Wagner

Won't Play Wednesday
Draymond Green

Expected to Return Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard

Available Against Jazz
Jordan Goodwin

Starts Against Nets
Peyton Watson

Back for Nuggets Tuesday
Paul Goldschmidt

Yankees Expressing Interest in Re-Signing Paul Goldschmidt
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Ready to Rock Tuesday Night
Jamal Murray

Active Versus Pistons
Bo Bichette

Won't Play in World Baseball Classic
Aaron Wiggins

Moves to Starting Lineup Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Bobby Portis Replaces Giannis Antetokounmpo in Starting Unit
Joel Embiid

Ready to Take on Bucks
Paul George

Returns to Action Tuesday
Stephen Curry

Listed as Probable for Wednesday
Collin Gillespie

Misses Tuesday's Matchup
NFL

Bill Belichick Won't be First-Ballot Hall of Famer
Leo Carlsson

to Miss Olympics
Alex Turcotte

Unavailable Tuesday
Carlos Correa

Won't Play for Puerto Rico in World Baseball Classic
Dylan Holloway

Remains Out Tuesday
Marco Rossi

to Return After Olympics
Thatcher Demko

Won't Return This Season
Sam Malinski

Inks Four-Year Extension With Avalanche
Bryan Rust

Slapped With Three-Game Suspension
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Continue Incredible Run at Torrey Pines
Jason Day

has a Good Chance to Keep Momentum This Weekend
Keegan Bradley

has Good Course History at Torrey Pines
Billy Horschel

Isn't a Great DFS Option at Torrey Pines
Aaron Rodgers

Mike McCarthy Says he Wants Aaron Rodgers to Return
Will Zalatoris

Has a Shot to Challenge at the Farmers Insurance Open
Drake Maye

Expected to be Fine for Super Bowl
Tennessee Titans

Titans Set to Hire Brian Daboll as New Offensive Coordinator
Buffalo Bills

Bills Promote Joe Brady to Head Coach
CFB

Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi Signs with Michigan
CFB

Darian Mensah Reaches Settlement with Duke, Expected to Land at Miami
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Not Drawing Interest on Open Market?
Shedeur Sanders

Named as Pro Bowl Replacement
Framber Valdez

Among Many High-End Pitchers on Free-Agent Market
Jose Altuve

Won't Participate in World Baseball Classic
Harrison Bader

Agrees With Giants on Two-Year Deal
Paddy Pimblett

Drops Decision
Justin Gaethje

Becomes the New Interim-Lightweight Champion
Song Yadong

Suffers Unanimous Decision Loss
MMA

Sean O'Malley Gets Back In The Win Column
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Extends His Win Streak
Derrick Lewis

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Officially Hire Mike McDaniel as Offensive Coordinator
Nathan Eovaldi

Doesn't Expect Any Limitations in Spring Training
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Dominates in NFC Championship Game Win
Matthew Stafford

Plans to Return in 2026
CFB

Arthur Smith to Become Ohio State's Offensive Coordinator
Bo Nix

Sidelined for 12 Weeks With Broken Ankle
Jose Altuve

to Mainly Play Second Base
Yu Darvish

Considering Retirement
Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers Finalizing Deal to Make Mike McCarthy Their Head Coach
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Signs Seven-Year Extension With Guardians
Gunnar Henderson

is Fully Healthy Heading into Spring Training
Tyreek Hill

Dolphins Expected to Release Tyreek Hill
Paddy Pimblett

Set For Interim Lightweight Title Fight
Justin Gaethje

An Underdog At UFC 324
Song Yadong

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Sean O'Malley Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Derrick Lewis

Returns At UFC 324
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Philip Rivers

Interviewing for Bills Head-Coaching Job
NFL

Fernando Mendoza Officially Declares for NFL Draft
CFB

Arch Manning Undergoes Foot Surgery
Dalton Kincaid

Played Through Torn PCL
CFB

College Football Playoff Expected to Remain a 12-Team Field in 2026

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP