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Heroes and Zeroes - Week 16 Fantasy Football Picks

This season, we are treated to a full slate of games on Christmas Eve in the most important fantasy week of all! (Cue inspiring holiday music set to the tune of Hank Williams Jr.'s MNF anthem). Although the NFL is most closely associated with Thanksgiving in terms of holidays, it really makes the perfect allegory for a Christmas Carol.

Fantasy owners with long memories will take this time to reminisce over their draft day fails and recount all the players they should have taken instead. These would be known as the Ghost of Fantasy Football Past. Owners who drafted well, but lost nonetheless last week on the shoulders of their stars will no doubt be haunted by Ghosts of Fantasy Football Present as they watch Russell Wilson, Philip Rivers, Ezekiel Elliott, Leonard Fournette, Doug Baldwin, and Devin Funchess rack up points the week after they needed it. As for the Ghosts of Fantasy Football Future, let's just say the prospect of seeing potential stars like Josh Rosen in a Browns jersey or Saquon Barkley in a Lions jersey should be scary apparitions for devy owners.

Now, let's get to my fantasy "heroes" and "zeroes" at each position for Week 16 of the NFL season. For a full set of rankings, look no further than our very own RotoBaller consensus weekly rankings.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Week 16 Lineup Heroes

QUARTERBACK

Case Keenum, Minnesota Vikings - The former run-and-shoot quarterback hasn't needed to be a gunslinger this year as he was back in his college days, but he can pull out a big game when needed. With Aaron Rodgers going on IR, it would seem that the Packers are rolling over the rest of this year, making this a gimme for the Vikings. A division rivalry is still in play here, however, and the Packers were getting their offense going with Brett Hundley at the helm just before Rodgers returned. The Vikes are still fighting for home field advantage, so Keenum won't just be handing off all game. The Packers defense is far easier to throw against than run, so it won't take a high volume of attempts for Keenum to be effective. He probably has a ceiling of about 320 yards and three touchdowns, but his floor would seem to be at least two TD, since he's recorded as many in each of the last four games against better defenses. He may even be a safer play than Drew Brees this week.

Nick Foles, Philadelphia Eagles - If I liked him last week, why shouldn't I love him this week? The Eagles passed more than expected, but that came out of necessity since their defense failed to show up against the hapless Giants. This week's opponent, the New Vegas Raiders, haven't shown up at all the last couple of weeks and are all but out of the playoff race now. They'll make one last desperate attempt by trying to beat the NFC's best team on the road, but Foles should have no problem racking up points against a defense that averages less than one turnover per game on the year (four interceptions and eight fumbles recovered).

RUNNING BACKS

Dion Lewis, New England Patriots - This week's game should contain far less drama for the Patriots than Catchgate (or Replaygate if you prefer). The Bills may be playoff-bound, but they still have one of the worst run defenses around. Rex Burkhead is out, so the backfield is all for Lewis. Don't even mention Mike Gillislee to me... The Pats won't need to air it out as much as last week, so Lewis should have an easy road to 15+ carries. The last two times he saw that many rush attempts, in Weeks 12 and 13, he ran for 112 and 92 yards respectively. He is an absolute must-start in fantasy leagues and a safe bet in cash games this weekend.

Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions - Who is the starting running back for the Lions, officially? Is is still Ameer Abdullah, or newcomer Tion Green, or does Riddick fit the bill? It doesn't really matter, as the Lions never run the ball much anyway. What does matter is that Riddick is the main pass-catching back and the most consistent player. None of the three average so much as four yards per carry, but Riddick is up to 48 catches on the year, placing him one behind Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt for ninth among all RB. He happens to be going up against the Bengals, who have allowed the most receiving yards to running backs this season. He's more of a safe play in PPR leagues, but one that shouldn't be left on benches if you like a sure 10+ points.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers - It was soul-crushing for many Funchess owners to see Cam Newton go berserk (yeah, I kind of blew that call), yet watch their receiver catch one ball for 19 yards. Damiere Byrd was the unexpected beneficiary last week, but don't worry about Funchess. He should square off against the lesser of Tampa's corners, Ryan Smith. The Bucs have not employed shadow coverage at all this season, and Funchess probably wouldn't call for that treatment anyway. Fire him up as your WR2 with confidence.

Eli Rogers, Pittsburgh Steelers - I could have taken the easy route and gone with Juju Smith-Schuster, but that's too obvious. With Antonio Brown sadly MIA for the fantasy playoffs, JJSS should take his place on the outside and face the most embattled CB in the league these days, Houston's Kevin Johnson. Taking his place in the slot is Eli Rogers, who will slide right under the radar. Technically, Darrius Heyward-Bey saw more snaps than Rogers in Week 15, but on the year Rogers has the edge 333-73. Heyward-Bey could be a punt play in deep tournaments, but Rogers is the better bet to haul in a few long receptions and possibly his second touchdown in as many weeks.

TIGHT END

Antonio Gates, Los Angeles Chargers - As much as I want to put Ricky Seals-Jones back in this spot, now that the Blaine Gabbert experiment is over, it's time to give due to a forgotten star of fantasy past. Gates will ride off into the sunset with the all-time touchdown record for tight ends at the end of this season. He may have another score or two in him before it's all said and done. Hunter Henry was put on IR this week due to a lacerated kidney, which means Gates could see his biggest volume yet. Realistically, you can't expect a player whose season high is three catches for 32 yards to suddenly go hogwild, but it's all about the red zone here. Gates is actually third on the team in red zone targets this season with eight, ahead of every wide receiver not named Keenan Allen. Their opponent, the Jets, are among the more generous defenses to tight ends with 669 yards and eight TD allowed on the year. It wouldn't be shocking to see Gates register touchdown number 114 in Week 16, making him a viable play for those who stream in standard leagues.

 

Week 16 Lineup Zeroes

QUARTERBACKS

Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins - If he wants to get out of being hit with the franchise tag for what seems like the 17th year in a row, Cousins simply needs to play better. The lack of running game and inept coaching are holding him back, so you can't hold Cousins personally accountable for his recent drop in production, but when it's time to negotiate, the numbers can and will be used against him. In the last three games, he is averaging 199 yards per game with a 5:3 TD:INT ratio. Cousins traditionally plays better in December, but this year's Skins just don't have enough weapons to make him a fantasy starter any more. Now that Denver's Air Raid defense is back, you need to look elsewhere for your championship-winning QB.

Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Famous Jameis hasn't been eating too many W's lately, but he did put up a fine fantasy performance in Week 15. Winston tossed three TD and fell one yard short of 300 on the day, giving him seven TD and an average of 285 yards in the three games since returning from a sprained AC joint injury. The Carolina defense showed it's still susceptible to the pass by allowing similar numbers to Aaron Rodgers last week, but they aren't always so generous. They rank just 21st in terms of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and they are tougher at home, allowing nearly half as many passing touchdowns. With no O.J. Howard and possibly no DeSean Jackson, Winston makes for a super-risky play. Deploy only in deep two-QB leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Lamar Miller, Houston Texans - In trying to think of a good reason to justify starting Miller anywhere this week, I simply couldn't find one. On the season, he's only carried the ball 20 or more times twice and his season high is 75 rushing yards. That's right, not only has he not cracked the 100-yard mark, he hasn't even cracked 80 on the ground. His receiving output is modest at best--he hasn't caught more than four passes in a game and has gone over 40 receiving yards just once. He is TD-dependent, but even at that you could point to the fact he's only found the end zone in four games. The Steelers defense isn't what it used to be, but they are no slouch either. You're settling big time if you play Miller for his perceived floor, especially with T.J. Yates at quarterback.

Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers - The Jimmy G era has been glorious for 49ers fans so far. While the receivers (whatever their names are) are loving it, Carlos Hyde probably not so much. In the three games since Garoppolo took over, Hyde is averaging 16 carries for 52 yards, good for a 3.3 Y/A. He's caught five of eight targets in those games for just 26 yards. Now that the Niners don't need to rely on Hyde to move the ball, he is firmly in RB3 territory. Facing the Jags crushes any hope of parlaying that into fantasy stardom in Championship Week. The myth that they are great against the pass but vulnerable to the run can be squashed; they allow the sixth-fewest fantasy points to RB this year. They are good against everything. Hyde, unfortunately, is not.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Robby Anderson, New York Jets - It was fun while it lasted, but it's time to jump off the Anderson bandwagon. Apparently, Bryce Petty no longer works wonders for Anderson's value as he did last season, even though the target volume has been there. Anderson has caught just eight of 18 targets for a total of 67 yards the last two games. Sure, those were two tough road games against good defenses, but this time around he'll get a heaping helping of Casey Hayward all afternoon, who currently sits at the #1 position as top-graded CB in the NFL, according to ProFootballFocus. Anderson showed he has great long-term value and could become a weekly WR2, but not in this matchup with everything on the line.

TIGHT END

Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys - It may be your first instinct to trust a veteran on a good team when deciding between any of the 20 tight ends that may or may not score this weekend, but Witten should be scratched off the list outright. There is no more matchup-dependent TE this year than Witten. First off, if you aren't chasing touchdowns at this position, you're doing it wrong. Once you get past the top six scoring tight ends, you're looking at no more than four receptions per game, what Witten is averaging this year, which shouldn't make or break your lineup decision. For scoring upside, Witten figures to be a dud this week against Seattle. He has five TD on the year, but four of those have come against teams that are in the top-four in terms of fantasy points allowed to tight ends (Redskins, Broncos, Giants). In other words, when the fish are presented to him in barrel form, he doesn't miss his shot. The Seahawks are on the other end of the spectrum in terms of defending the tight end and will want to show some pride after being run out of the building by the Rams last week. I expect Witten to be a non-factor and would prefer someone like Ben Watson, who has a far better matchup.

 

More Week 16 Lineup Prep




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Karl-Anthony Towns

Records Double-Double in Game 2 Win
Sebastian Aho

Picks Up an Assist in Series-Opening Loss
Mikal Bridges

Adds 19 Points as Knicks Grab 2-0 Lead
Jalen Brunson

Hands Out 14 Assists in Game 2 Win
Seth Jarvis

Needs 33 Seconds to Score in Game 1 Loss
Josh Hart

Erupts for Playoff Career-High 26 Points in Game 2
Jaccob Slavin

Struggles in Game 1 Against Canadiens
Jakub Dobes

Sharp in Game 1 Victory
Cole Caufield

Bags Two Points in Impressive Road Win
Juraj Slafkovsky

Opens Conference Finals With Three-Point Performance
Nick Suzuki

Notches Three Assists in Game 1 Win Over Hurricanes
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Jrue Holiday

Wants to Stay in Portland
Ayo Dosunmu

Timberwolves Hope to Bring Back Ayo Dosunmu
Dylan Harper

Considered Questionable for Friday Night
De'Aaron Fox

Listed as Questionable for Game 3
Jalen Williams

Questionable for Game 3 Against Spurs
Alex Tuch

Hopes to Remain in Buffalo
Sidney Crosby

Wants to Play for "as Many Years as Possible"
Troy Terry

Could Miss Start of Next Season Due to Hip Surgery
Arber Xhekaj

Scratched for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Finals
Jakub Dobes

Seeks More Success Against Hurricanes
Frederik Andersen

Looks to Stay Undefeated Thursday
Calvin Ridley

Not Taking Part in OTAs as Value Continues to Plummet
Carnell Tate

Receiving Early Buzz at OTAs
Ashton Jeanty

Bigger Role Could be Coming for Ashton Jeanty in Year 2
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Malik Nabers

' Goal is to be Ready for Start of the Season
De'Von Achane

Dealing With Injury at OTAs?
Dalton Kincaid

Says he Feels "Really Good"
Keenan Allen

Door isn't Closed for Keenan Allen in Los Angeles
Ty Simpson

Does Ty Simpson Have First-Round Appeal in Rookie Drafts?
Fernando Mendoza

Working Behind Other QBs
Cam Ward

is "Perfectly Healthy"
James Cook III

Absent From OTA Practices This Week
Darnell Washington

Is it Time to Drop Darnell Washington in Dynasty Leagues?
Fernando Mendoza

a Top Dynasty Target Even if He Doesn't Start Week 1?
Tyreek Hill

Dynasty Outlook Dependent on Landing Spot
Mack Hollins

Should Managers Trade for Mack Hollins Amid Roster Questions?
Michael Wilson

a Prime Dynasty Sell Candidate
Jake Ferguson

Insurance Upside Makes Him a Borderline TE1 in Dynasty
Brock Bowers

One of the Most Valuable Assets in Dynasty
Devin Vassell

Contributes 22 Points in Wednesday's Loss
Mike Gesicki

Still Provides Some Dynasty Insurance as His Standalone Value Fades
Stephon Castle

Tallies Team-High 25 Points in Game 2 Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Records Eighth Postseason Double-Double
Philadelphia Eagles

Nolan Smith Arrested for Speeding and Reckless Driving
Isaiah Hartenstein

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder to Game 2 Victory WIth 30 Points
Dylan Harper

Exits Game 2 Early Due to Right-Leg Injury
Jalen Williams

Suffers Another Hamstring Injury
Valeri Nichushkin

Ends Scoring Slump in Game 1 Loss
Nathan MacKinnon

Extends Point Streak With an Assist
Brett Howden

Pots Another Goal in Game 1 Win Against Avalanche
Tomas Hertl

Extends Point Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Scores in Fourth Straight Outing
Carter Hart

Records Third Consecutive Win
Timothy Liljegren

Capitals Re-Sign Timothy Liljegren to Two-Year Extension
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
New York Giants

Giants Offense to be a Run-First Unit?
Chicago Bulls

Jerry Stackhouse Emerges as Bulls Head-Coach Candidate
Cooper Flagg

Kon Knueppel Headline All-Rookie Team
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 2 on Wednesday
Jiri Kulich

Aims to Return Next Season
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
James Harden

Struggles in Eastern Conference Finals Opener
Evan Mobley

Bags Second Consecutive Double-Double
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
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