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Heroes and Zeroes - Week 16 Fantasy Football Picks

This season, we are treated to a full slate of games on Christmas Eve in the most important fantasy week of all! (Cue inspiring holiday music set to the tune of Hank Williams Jr.'s MNF anthem). Although the NFL is most closely associated with Thanksgiving in terms of holidays, it really makes the perfect allegory for a Christmas Carol.

Fantasy owners with long memories will take this time to reminisce over their draft day fails and recount all the players they should have taken instead. These would be known as the Ghost of Fantasy Football Past. Owners who drafted well, but lost nonetheless last week on the shoulders of their stars will no doubt be haunted by Ghosts of Fantasy Football Present as they watch Russell Wilson, Philip Rivers, Ezekiel Elliott, Leonard Fournette, Doug Baldwin, and Devin Funchess rack up points the week after they needed it. As for the Ghosts of Fantasy Football Future, let's just say the prospect of seeing potential stars like Josh Rosen in a Browns jersey or Saquon Barkley in a Lions jersey should be scary apparitions for devy owners.

Now, let's get to my fantasy "heroes" and "zeroes" at each position for Week 16 of the NFL season. For a full set of rankings, look no further than our very own RotoBaller consensus weekly rankings.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Week 16 Lineup Heroes

QUARTERBACK

Case Keenum, Minnesota Vikings - The former run-and-shoot quarterback hasn't needed to be a gunslinger this year as he was back in his college days, but he can pull out a big game when needed. With Aaron Rodgers going on IR, it would seem that the Packers are rolling over the rest of this year, making this a gimme for the Vikings. A division rivalry is still in play here, however, and the Packers were getting their offense going with Brett Hundley at the helm just before Rodgers returned. The Vikes are still fighting for home field advantage, so Keenum won't just be handing off all game. The Packers defense is far easier to throw against than run, so it won't take a high volume of attempts for Keenum to be effective. He probably has a ceiling of about 320 yards and three touchdowns, but his floor would seem to be at least two TD, since he's recorded as many in each of the last four games against better defenses. He may even be a safer play than Drew Brees this week.

Nick Foles, Philadelphia Eagles - If I liked him last week, why shouldn't I love him this week? The Eagles passed more than expected, but that came out of necessity since their defense failed to show up against the hapless Giants. This week's opponent, the New Vegas Raiders, haven't shown up at all the last couple of weeks and are all but out of the playoff race now. They'll make one last desperate attempt by trying to beat the NFC's best team on the road, but Foles should have no problem racking up points against a defense that averages less than one turnover per game on the year (four interceptions and eight fumbles recovered).

RUNNING BACKS

Dion Lewis, New England Patriots - This week's game should contain far less drama for the Patriots than Catchgate (or Replaygate if you prefer). The Bills may be playoff-bound, but they still have one of the worst run defenses around. Rex Burkhead is out, so the backfield is all for Lewis. Don't even mention Mike Gillislee to me... The Pats won't need to air it out as much as last week, so Lewis should have an easy road to 15+ carries. The last two times he saw that many rush attempts, in Weeks 12 and 13, he ran for 112 and 92 yards respectively. He is an absolute must-start in fantasy leagues and a safe bet in cash games this weekend.

Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions - Who is the starting running back for the Lions, officially? Is is still Ameer Abdullah, or newcomer Tion Green, or does Riddick fit the bill? It doesn't really matter, as the Lions never run the ball much anyway. What does matter is that Riddick is the main pass-catching back and the most consistent player. None of the three average so much as four yards per carry, but Riddick is up to 48 catches on the year, placing him one behind Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt for ninth among all RB. He happens to be going up against the Bengals, who have allowed the most receiving yards to running backs this season. He's more of a safe play in PPR leagues, but one that shouldn't be left on benches if you like a sure 10+ points.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers - It was soul-crushing for many Funchess owners to see Cam Newton go berserk (yeah, I kind of blew that call), yet watch their receiver catch one ball for 19 yards. Damiere Byrd was the unexpected beneficiary last week, but don't worry about Funchess. He should square off against the lesser of Tampa's corners, Ryan Smith. The Bucs have not employed shadow coverage at all this season, and Funchess probably wouldn't call for that treatment anyway. Fire him up as your WR2 with confidence.

Eli Rogers, Pittsburgh Steelers - I could have taken the easy route and gone with Juju Smith-Schuster, but that's too obvious. With Antonio Brown sadly MIA for the fantasy playoffs, JJSS should take his place on the outside and face the most embattled CB in the league these days, Houston's Kevin Johnson. Taking his place in the slot is Eli Rogers, who will slide right under the radar. Technically, Darrius Heyward-Bey saw more snaps than Rogers in Week 15, but on the year Rogers has the edge 333-73. Heyward-Bey could be a punt play in deep tournaments, but Rogers is the better bet to haul in a few long receptions and possibly his second touchdown in as many weeks.

TIGHT END

Antonio Gates, Los Angeles Chargers - As much as I want to put Ricky Seals-Jones back in this spot, now that the Blaine Gabbert experiment is over, it's time to give due to a forgotten star of fantasy past. Gates will ride off into the sunset with the all-time touchdown record for tight ends at the end of this season. He may have another score or two in him before it's all said and done. Hunter Henry was put on IR this week due to a lacerated kidney, which means Gates could see his biggest volume yet. Realistically, you can't expect a player whose season high is three catches for 32 yards to suddenly go hogwild, but it's all about the red zone here. Gates is actually third on the team in red zone targets this season with eight, ahead of every wide receiver not named Keenan Allen. Their opponent, the Jets, are among the more generous defenses to tight ends with 669 yards and eight TD allowed on the year. It wouldn't be shocking to see Gates register touchdown number 114 in Week 16, making him a viable play for those who stream in standard leagues.

 

Week 16 Lineup Zeroes

QUARTERBACKS

Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins - If he wants to get out of being hit with the franchise tag for what seems like the 17th year in a row, Cousins simply needs to play better. The lack of running game and inept coaching are holding him back, so you can't hold Cousins personally accountable for his recent drop in production, but when it's time to negotiate, the numbers can and will be used against him. In the last three games, he is averaging 199 yards per game with a 5:3 TD:INT ratio. Cousins traditionally plays better in December, but this year's Skins just don't have enough weapons to make him a fantasy starter any more. Now that Denver's Air Raid defense is back, you need to look elsewhere for your championship-winning QB.

Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Famous Jameis hasn't been eating too many W's lately, but he did put up a fine fantasy performance in Week 15. Winston tossed three TD and fell one yard short of 300 on the day, giving him seven TD and an average of 285 yards in the three games since returning from a sprained AC joint injury. The Carolina defense showed it's still susceptible to the pass by allowing similar numbers to Aaron Rodgers last week, but they aren't always so generous. They rank just 21st in terms of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and they are tougher at home, allowing nearly half as many passing touchdowns. With no O.J. Howard and possibly no DeSean Jackson, Winston makes for a super-risky play. Deploy only in deep two-QB leagues.

RUNNING BACKS

Lamar Miller, Houston Texans - In trying to think of a good reason to justify starting Miller anywhere this week, I simply couldn't find one. On the season, he's only carried the ball 20 or more times twice and his season high is 75 rushing yards. That's right, not only has he not cracked the 100-yard mark, he hasn't even cracked 80 on the ground. His receiving output is modest at best--he hasn't caught more than four passes in a game and has gone over 40 receiving yards just once. He is TD-dependent, but even at that you could point to the fact he's only found the end zone in four games. The Steelers defense isn't what it used to be, but they are no slouch either. You're settling big time if you play Miller for his perceived floor, especially with T.J. Yates at quarterback.

Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers - The Jimmy G era has been glorious for 49ers fans so far. While the receivers (whatever their names are) are loving it, Carlos Hyde probably not so much. In the three games since Garoppolo took over, Hyde is averaging 16 carries for 52 yards, good for a 3.3 Y/A. He's caught five of eight targets in those games for just 26 yards. Now that the Niners don't need to rely on Hyde to move the ball, he is firmly in RB3 territory. Facing the Jags crushes any hope of parlaying that into fantasy stardom in Championship Week. The myth that they are great against the pass but vulnerable to the run can be squashed; they allow the sixth-fewest fantasy points to RB this year. They are good against everything. Hyde, unfortunately, is not.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Robby Anderson, New York Jets - It was fun while it lasted, but it's time to jump off the Anderson bandwagon. Apparently, Bryce Petty no longer works wonders for Anderson's value as he did last season, even though the target volume has been there. Anderson has caught just eight of 18 targets for a total of 67 yards the last two games. Sure, those were two tough road games against good defenses, but this time around he'll get a heaping helping of Casey Hayward all afternoon, who currently sits at the #1 position as top-graded CB in the NFL, according to ProFootballFocus. Anderson showed he has great long-term value and could become a weekly WR2, but not in this matchup with everything on the line.

TIGHT END

Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys - It may be your first instinct to trust a veteran on a good team when deciding between any of the 20 tight ends that may or may not score this weekend, but Witten should be scratched off the list outright. There is no more matchup-dependent TE this year than Witten. First off, if you aren't chasing touchdowns at this position, you're doing it wrong. Once you get past the top six scoring tight ends, you're looking at no more than four receptions per game, what Witten is averaging this year, which shouldn't make or break your lineup decision. For scoring upside, Witten figures to be a dud this week against Seattle. He has five TD on the year, but four of those have come against teams that are in the top-four in terms of fantasy points allowed to tight ends (Redskins, Broncos, Giants). In other words, when the fish are presented to him in barrel form, he doesn't miss his shot. The Seahawks are on the other end of the spectrum in terms of defending the tight end and will want to show some pride after being run out of the building by the Rams last week. I expect Witten to be a non-factor and would prefer someone like Ben Watson, who has a far better matchup.

 

More Week 16 Lineup Prep




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Amon-Ra St. Brown

an Unheralded Dynasty Cornerstone
Jerry Jeudy

Becoming an Undervalued Dynasty Depth Piece
Karl-Anthony Towns

Making an Impact as Playmaker in Playoffs
Skyler Bell

Could See Multiple Paths to Dynasty Relevance
Jalen Duren

Determined to Improve
Jayden Daniels

Still Worth Paying Up for in Dynasty Leagues
Kevin Huerter

Tagged as Questionable for Game 6 Against Cavaliers
Andrei Iosivas

' Already Low Standalone Value Sinks Lower
Caris LeVert

Considered Questionable for Friday
Duncan Robinson

Iffy for Game 6
Lane Hutson

Contributes Two Assists in Game 5 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Amasses Three Points in Crucial Victory Thursday
Juraj Slafkovsky

Dishes Out Three Assists in Game 5 Win
Carter Hart

Stops 31 Pucks in Series-Clinching Win
Pavel Dorofeyev

Enjoys Second Consecutive Multi-Goal Game
Shea Theodore

Records Two Points in Game 6 Win
Mitchell Marner

Scores Special Goal in Series-Clincher
Tyjae Spears

has Limited Long-Term Upside in Dynasty Formats
Jaylen Wright

a Buy-Low Candidate as a Handcuff?
Ollie Gordon II

Dynasty Value Takes a Hit After Teammate's Extension
Ryan Johnson

Takes Over as Canucks GM, Sedins Promoted to Co-Presidents
Drew Helleson

Won't Play Thursday
Radko Gudas

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Jeremy Lauzon

Remains Out Thursday
Mark Stone

Misses Third Consecutive Game
EDM

Kris Knoblauch Fired as Oilers Head Coach
Micah Parsons

Expected to Miss the Early Part of the Season
Colby Parkinson

a Clear Dynasty Sell-High Candidate Entering 2026
Omarion Hampton

Poised for Year 2 Breakout in Los Angeles
Blake Corum

Dynasty Stock Rising After Encouraging 2025 Campaign
Jaxson Dart

Does Jaxson Dart Carry High-End Dynasty QB1 Upside?
David Montgomery

Dynasty Stock Rising Following Move to Houston
Chris Godwin Jr.

Can Chris Godwin Jr. Re-Establish His Dynasty Value in 2026?
Malik Willis

Not Set Up for Immediate Success in Miami
Terrance Ferguson

has Promising Receiving Skills in Crowded TE Room in L.A.
Brenton Strange

Is Brenton Strange a Top-15 Dynasty Tight End?
T.J. Watt

Steelers Ready to Move on From T.J. Watt?
Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Must Make Gains as Pass-Catcher to Take the Next Step
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
Kaytron Allen

Could Kaytron Allen Take on a Big Role Right Away?
Byron Buxton

Scratched on Thursday With Hip Soreness
Cal Raleigh

Heading to Injured List With Oblique Strain
Francisco Alvarez

has Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Eight Weeks
Paul Reed

Makes Big Impact Off the Bench Wednesday
Daniss Jenkins

Contributes 19 Points As Starter
Cade Cunningham

Tallies 39 Points in Losing Effort
Max Strus

Notches 20 Points With Six Triples
Evan Mobley

Close to Triple-Double Wednesday
Jarrett Allen

Records Double-Double in Game 5 Win
James Harden

Leads the Way for Cavaliers in Game 5 Victory
Quinn Hughes

Finishes Postseason With 15 Points
Matt Boldy

Posts Two Assists in Season-Ending Loss
Scott Wedgewood

Perfect in Relief Effort
Martin Necas

Records Another Multi-Point Game
Brett Kulak

Sends Avalanche Into Conference Finals
Brayden McNabb

Suspended for One Game
Cal Raleigh

Exits With Apparent Side Injury on Wednesday Night
Juan Soto

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Juan Soto's Ankle
Jacob Misiorowski

Pulled Early With Possible Leg Injury
Juan Soto

Exits Wednesday's Game Early with Ankle Injury
Kevin Huerter

is Cleared to Return for Game 5
Caris LeVert

is Available for Game 5 on Wednesday
Duncan Robinson

is Out for Game 5
Keegan Murray

Undergoes Ankle Procedure
Josh Giddey

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Pete Fairbanks

Returns From Injured List
Christian Yelich

Out With Back Tightness on Wednesday Night
Nathan MacKinnon

Chasing History Wednesday
Ryan Poehling

Won't Be an Option for Game 6
Robby Snelling

Placed on 15-Day Injured List with Elbow Sprain
Francisco Alvarez

Mets Place Francisco Alvarez on Injured List With Torn Meniscus
Max Fried

Dealing With Left Elbow Posterior Soreness
CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Ayo Dosunmu

Has Busy Night in Game 5
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Jaden McDaniels

Notches 17 Points in Game 5 Loss
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Julius Randle

Posts a Double-Double in Losing Effort
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Anthony Edwards

Held to 20 Points in Game 5 Loss
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
Brandon Nimmo

Leaves Game on Tuesday with Apparent Ankle Injury
Jacob Wilson

A's Place Jacob Wilson on Injured List With Shoulder Subluxation
Christian Yelich

Brewers Reinstate Christian Yelich From Injured List
CFB

Isaac Brown Has All-American Upside in 2026
CFB

Nyck Harbor Heading into Breakout Year?
CFB

Notre Dame, USC in Discussions to Resume Rivalry Series
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Has Eyes on ACC Title
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Gunshot Wound Not Viewed as Career-Threatening
A.J. Ewing

Mets to Call Up Top Prospect A.J. Ewing
Mookie Betts

is Officially Back on Monday
Nathan Eovaldi

Scratched From Monday's Start With Side Tightness
Henry Bolte

Athletics to Promote Top Outfield Prospect Henry Bolte to Major Leagues
Khamzat Chimaev

Suffers his First Loss
Sean Strickland

Recaptures Middleweight Title
Tatsuro Taira

Suffers Fifth-Round TKO Loss
Joshua Van

Defends Flyweight Title
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Drops Decision
Alexander Volkov

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Shane Van Gisbergen

Dominates Watkins Glen for First Win of 2026
Michael McDowell

Finishes Second for Best Run of the Year At Watkins Glen
Ty Gibbs

Scores New Career-Best Finish of Third at Watkins Glen
Tyler Reddick

Continues His Strong Season With Fifth-Place Run at Watkins Glen
Austin Dillon

Earns his First Top-10 Finish of 2026 at Watkins Glen
Mookie Betts

Dodgers Expect Mookie Betts to Return on Monday
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Sustains Gunshot Wound, in Stable Condition
Connor Zilisch

Will Start Fifth in his First Watkins Glen Cup Series Race
Tyler Reddick

Is A Top DFS Option for Watkins Glen Lineups
Christopher Bell

Is Likely to Bounce Back This Week at Watkins Glen
Carlos Rodón

Carlos Rodon Activated for Season Debut on Sunday
William Byron

Is William Byron Playable in DFS Lineups at Watkins Glen?
Kyle Larson

May have A Positive Day at Watkins Glen
Chase Briscoe

May Compete for A Top-10 Finish at Watkins Glen
NASCAR

A.J. Allmendinger May have Another Solid Outing at Watkins Glen
Ty Gibbs

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Watkins Glen?
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain Worth Rostering for Watkins Glen Lineups?
Austin Cindric

Could Austin Cindric be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Watkins Glen?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite at Watkins Glen
Chase Elliott

Is Chase Elliott a No-Brainer DFS Pick at Watkins Glen?
Chris Buescher

Qualifies 14th at Watkins Glen
Ryan Blaney

Has Upside at Watkins Glen After Signing Contract Extension
Michael McDowell

Still Searching for First Top-Five Finish at Watkins Glen
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Too Aggressive for Road-Course Racing?
RANKINGS
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1B
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OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
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WR
TE
K
DEF