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Eric Cross' Top 100 Dynasty Rankings for Fantasy Baseball (July 2024)

Shohei Ohtani - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Eric Cross' updated top 100 dynasty rankings for fantasy baseball (July 2024 update). These are the top MLB players to target in fantasy dynasty leagues for 2024 and beyond.

The second half of July is always exciting for fantasy baseball purposes. Not only do we have the MLB draft and new faces joining my dynasty and prospect rankings, but we also have the MLB trade deadline, which causes values to change a bit as well.

Since my June update, we've seen plenty of values change. Breakouts are becoming more believable now, and some struggling star players have started turning their seasons around.

Below, you'll find my Top 100 Dynasty Rankings from my June update, with notes on some key movers this month. Check out my Patreon for my full Top 500 Dynasty Rankings.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

What Factors Into My Rankings

Many elements go into dynasty rankings, but I primarily weigh the following:

  • Current/Recent Performance
  • Expected future short-term performance
  • Expected future long-term performance
  • Profile/metrics analysis
  • Durability
  • Team Context (it matters a little bit)

 

Dynasty Rankings Notes

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays

There aren't many hitters hotter than Vladimir Guerrero Jr. right now. Over his last 12 games, Guerrero is hitting .522 with six doubles and eight home runs, and has a ridiculous 13 doubles and 14 home runs over his last 32 games. For the season, Vladdy has a 14% barrel rate, 94.5 mph AVG EV, and 56.7% hard-hit rate, and has an AVG EV above 93 mph on all three pitch types. The metrics have always been elite with Guerrero, but a higher groundball rate has limited him to some degree.

However, over the last 30 days, Guerrero's groundball rate is down to 43.2% after being over 50% earlier in the season. This version of Vlad is a Top-15 player. Can the lower groundball rate stick, though? That's why I haven't bumped him back into my Top-15 quite yet.

Jarren Duran, Boston Red Sox

One of the biggest jumps in the top part of my Top 500 rankings this month was Boston outfielder Jarren Duran who has quickly turned into one of the most exciting players in baseball. In 494 plate appearances so far this season, Duran is slashing .290/.349/.504 with 33 doubles, 12 triples, 13 home runs, 23 steals, and 76 runs scored. The only other two players with at least 10 home runs, 20 steals, 70 runs, and a .290 AVG right now are two fellows named Bobby Witt Jr. and Shohei Ohtani.

Duran hinted at this type of breakout last season, which is why I was so adamant about drafting him this spring and acquiring him in as many dynasty leagues as I could. But the real and full breakout has happened over the last two months or so after Duran made a swing change, as Aram Leighton from Just Baseball detailed so well above. Duran has finally found that happy medium and is really flourishing right now. He's improved his walk and strikeout rates this season with above-average contact and quality of contact metrics. I'm 100% buying.

Ketel Marte, Arizona Diamondbacks

Without question, Ketel Marte is one of the most underrated hitters in baseball. I've been 100% guilty of that in my rankings as well, but that ends now. In nearly 200 fewer plate appearances, Marte has nearly replicated his home run (24) and stolen base (6) totals from last season while slashing .302/.370/.544. Marte continues to show a great approach at the plate with a 9.9% walk rate, 17.4% strikeout rate, and above-average contact rates, but it's been really encouraging to see his already solid quality of contact metrics take a step forward this season.

After posting an 8% barrel rate, 91.1 mph AVG EV, and 42.8% hard-hit rate in 2023, Marte has improved those to 11%, 93.8 mph, and 53.8%, respectively. All three of those are career-best marks for Marte. This is a surefire Top-50 overall player and might even be the #1 option at second base if Mookie Betts loses eligibility after this season.

Brenton Doyle, Colorado Rockies

If you had told me back in March that I'd be ranking Brenton Doyle inside my Top 100 in July, I probably would have looked at you funny. But when tangible changes are made, and a player breaks out, their ranking needs to change accordingly. In 419 plate appearances this season, Doyle is slashing .273/.335/.473 with 17 home runs and 21 steals, giving him a shot at a 25/30 season if he continues his current pace. The overall production has been great to see, but it's the improvements under the hood that have me buying into this 2024 version of Doyle.

On top of Doyle improving his quality of contact metrics, Doyle has improved all of his contact and approach metrics by a decent margin this season. As long as these improvements stick moving forward, Doyle should continue to provide Top 100 of better value for fantasy.

Garrett Crochet, Chicago White Sox

Maybe I'm spoiling the surprise, but you'll see below that I have Garrett Crochet as a Top-5 pitcher now. And when I tweeted this out several days ago, some asked how I could rank Crochet so high already. Well, we're okay with making Paul Skenes the #1 SP but not Crochet being in the top five? I'm not saying Crochet is as good as Skenes, but he was a Top-10 pick himself back in 2020 and has been just as good as Skenes has been since Skenes debuted. In his last 16 starts, Crochet has posted an exceptional 2.13 ERA (1.83 FIP). 0.94 WHIP, 5.3% walk rate, and a 35.6% strikeout rate.

Again, I'm not saying Crochet should be ranked where Skenes is, but everything about Crochet screams Top-5 pitcher.

Taj Bradley, Tampa Bay Rays

There hasn't been a better pitcher in baseball over the last two months than Taj Bradley. Yes, he's been even better than Paul Skenes, Tarik Skubal, and whatever other name you want to throw out there. Over his last nine starts, Bradley has posted a stellar 0.82 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 8.5% walk rate, and a 30.8% strikeout rate. Opposing batters have only hit .162 off Bradley during this stretch, and he's only allowed one earned run combined in his last five starts.

Bradley is generating more ground balls and whiffs this season and has a whiff rate above 30% and a BAA under .160 on his splitter, curveball, and cutter. He's now inside my Top-20 pitcher rankings for Dynasty and is inching closer to the ace discussion.

 

Top 100 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings

Updated: July 2024 | The full Top 500, along with additional rankings, analysis, and more, check out Eric's Toolshed Fantasy Patreon.

Rank Player Pos. Team Age Previous
1 Bobby Witt Jr. SS KCR 24.12 1
2 Juan Soto OF NYY 25.76 2
3 Shohei Ohtani UT/SP LAA 30.07 3
4 Gunnar Henderson SS BAL 23.08 6
5 Kyle Tucker OF HOU 27.53 4
6 Ronald Acuna Jr. OF ATL 26.61 5
7 Elly De La Cruz SS CIN 22.54 8
8 Aaron Judge OF NYY 32.26 11
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. OF SDP 25.57 9
10 Yordan Alvarez OF HOU 27.09 12
11 Mookie Betts 2B/SS/OF LAD 31.81 10
12 Bryce Harper 1B PHI 31.78 13
13 Wyatt Langford OF TEX 22.70 15
14 Rafael Devers 3B BOS 27.76 14
15 Jose Ramirez 3B CLE 31.86 16
16 Paul Skenes SP PIT 22.16 25
17 Tarik Skubal SP DET 27.69 19
18 Julio Rodriguez OF SEA 23.58 7
19 Trea Turner SS PHI 31.08 18
20 Corey Seager SS TEX 30.26 17
21 James Wood OF WAS 21.86 28
22 Corbin Carroll OF ARI 23.93 24
23 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B TOR 25.37 33
24 Royce Lewis 3B MIN 25.15 21
25 Luis Robert Jr. OF CHW 26.98 22
26 Francisco Lindor SS NYM 30.71 30
27 Freddie Freeman 1B LAD 34.88 26
28 Riley Greene OF DET 23.83 38
29 Jackson Chourio OF MIL 20.38 36
30 Austin Riley 3B ATL 27.32 23
31 Jarren Duran OF BOS 27.89 80
32 Matt Olson 1B ATL 30.34 20
33 Pete Alonso 1B NYM 29.64 29
34 CJ Abrams SS WAS 23.81 44
35 Corbin Burnes SP BAL 29.77 27
36 Ketel Marte 2B ARI 30.80 76
37 Coby Mayo 3B BAL 22.63 90
38 Ozzie Albies 2B ATL 27.55 34
39 Garrett Crochet SP CHW 24.97 55
40 Junior Caminero 3B TBR 21.06 37
41 Jackson Holliday 2B BAL 20.65 32
42 Jose Altuve 2B HOU 34.23 39
43 Spencer Strider SP ATL 25.75 40
44 Tyler Glasnow SP LAD 30.93 41
45 Triston Casas 1B BOS 24.53 42
46 Jordan Westburg 2B/3B BAL 25.44 45
47 George Kirby SP SEA 26.48 46
48 Gerrit Cole SP NYY 33.89 43
49 William Contreras C MIL 26.59 47
50 Cole Ragans SP KCR 26.63 66
51 Grayson Rodriguez SP BAL 24.70 35
52 Zack Wheeler SP PHI 34.17 49
53 Logan Gilbert SP SEA 27.23 75
54 Michael Harris II OF ATL 23.39 31
55 Eury Perez SP MIA 21.28 51
56 Adley Rutschman C BAL 26.47 52
57 Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP LAD 25.94 54
58 Luis Castillo SP SEA 31.66 53
59 Jasson Dominguez OF NYY 21.47 65
60 Aaron Nola SP PHI 31.15 60
61 Noelvi Marte 3B CIN 22.78 81
62 Randy Arozarena OF SEA 29.41 74
63 Zac Gallen SP ARI 28.99 58
64 Jazz Chisholm Jr. OF NYY 26.49 77
65 Taj Bradley SP TBR 23.35 185
66 Oneil Cruz SS PIT 25.81 63
67 Jared Jones SP PIT 22.98 62
68 Christian Yelich OF MIL 32.65 50
69 Will Smith C LAD 29.34 67
70 Max Fried SP ATL 30.53 73
71 Josh Naylor 1B CLE 27.10 83
72 Pablo Lopez SP MIN 28.39 64
73 Manny Machado 3B SDP 32.06 61
74 Freddy Peralta SP MIL 28.15 68
75 Matt McLain 2B/SS CIN 24.98 69
76 Mike Trout OF LAA 32.98 71
77 Cody Bellinger OF/1B CHC 29.05 72
78 Bryan Reynolds OF PIT 29.50 96
79 Shane McClanahan SP TBR 27.25 89
80 Marcus Semien 2B TEX 33.87 59
81 Tanner Houck SP BOS 28.08 95
82 Hunter Greene SP CIN 24.98 105
83 Brenton Doyle OF COL 26.21 250
84 Logan Webb SP SFG 27.69 79
85 Anthony Volpe SS NYY 23.25 48
86 Seiya Suzuki OF CHC 29.95 88
87 Dylan Cease SP SDP 28.58 86
88 Charlie Condon 3B/OF COL 21.28 NR
89 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B KCR 26.80 87
90 Luis Gil SP NYY 26.15 82
91 Jackson Merrill OF SDP 21.27 126
92 Chris Sale SP ATL 35.34 137
93 Spencer Steer 1B/OF CIN 26.64 99
94 Joe Ryan SP MIN 28.15 101
95 Jordan Lawlar SS ARI 22.03 78
96 Nick Lodolo SP CIN 26.48 103
97 Adolis Garcia OF TEX 31.41 56
98 Ezequiel Tovar SS COL 22.99 119
99 Colt Keith 2B DET 22.95 169
100 Kevin Gausman SP TOR 33.56 98

If you enjoyed these rankings and want to see the full Top 500, along with additional rankings, analysis, and more, check out Eric's Toolshed Fantasy Patreon.



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