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The top daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on September 10th, 2019. Joel Bartilotta's MLB DFS analysis and sleepers for building optimal DFS rosters.
After a slow Monday, we’re looking at a full slate here. There does happen to be one game played at 6:35 ET and we’re going to go ahead and avoid that BAL-NYY matchup. We do have a Coors Field fixture on this slate though and that should shake things up with two bad pitchers taking the mound in that game.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 9/10/19. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. Be sure to also check out all the Vegas Odds for today's slate. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too.
Things change quickly as lineups come out. If you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter @Bartilottajoel and I'd be more than happy to help.
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DraftKings DFS Starting Pitchers
Trevor Bauer, CIN at SEA ($9,100)
Bauer has really been struggling in his time with the Reds but a matchup against the Mariners is just what the doctor ordered. The reason for that is because this has been one of the worst offenses in baseball since the opening month, ranking 20th in OBP, 28th in K rate and 25th in xwOBA for the year. That ugly K rate is really scary against a guy like Bauer, who has a 29 percent K rate since the beginning of last season. Despite the recent struggles, Bauer still has a 3,40 FIP in that same span and he has the capability to shut down any lineup on any given night.
Jakob Junis, KC at CWS ($8,600)
Junis is a cheaper option if you’re looking to pay down at pitcher, as he should have no problem cruising through this cupcake lineup. The reason for that is because the White Sox currently rank 26th in K rate, 28th in runs scored, 24th in OBP, 26th in OPS and 24th in xwOBA. They happen to be even worse against righties, sending out right-handed hitters like Jose Abreu, Tim Anderson, James McCann and Eloy Jimenez. Junis has been much better recently too, pitching to a 4.08 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.3 K/9 rate over his last 11 starts, scoring at least 14 DK points in eight of those.
DraftKings DFS Infielders
Rhys Hoskins – 1B, PHI vs, ATL ($4,300)
While Hoskins was in a terrible slump not long ago, he appears to be out of it now. In fact, Hos has a .369 OBP, .478 SLG and .847 OPS over his last 18 games. What really makes him an enticing option here are his splits, with the big first baseman posting a .460 OBP, .551 SLG and 1.011 OPS against left-handers so far this season.
Luis Arraez – 2B, MIN vs. WSH ($4,000)
Arraez simply hasn’t been getting the credit he deserves and it’s hard to understand why these DFS sites keep his price so low. The season-long numbers are hard to argue, with Arraez totaling a .340 AVG and .848 OPS for the year. Those are some absurd averages in a 76-game season and we have to love him against a weak righty. Arraez faces Anibal Sanchez, who’s got a 4.74 ERA and 1.36 WHIP dating back to 2016. Arraez is much better against righties too, amassing a .361 AVG, .497 SLG and .907 OPS opposing them this season.
Matt Chapman – 3B, OAK at HOU ($4,200)
If you don’t already know, Chapman has been doing serious damage against left-handed pitching this season. While he’s been struggling recently, the slugging third baseman still has a .555 SLG and .906 OPS against southpaws so far this year. That’s really scary for a guy like Wade Miley, who allowed five runs without recording an out in his last start and has an unsustainable ERA when looking at his FIP.
Trevor Story – SS, COL vs. STL ($5,400)
The Rockies play at home and that means Story becomes one of the best players on the board. Since the beginning of last season, Story has a .319 AVG, .670 SLG and 1.050 OPS at Coors Field. That’s really no surprise when you consider that this is the best hitting park in baseball, with Colorado projected for seven runs here. One of the major reasons why is because they face Michael Wacha, who’s pitching to a 4.98 ERA and 1.55 WHIP this season.
DraftKings DFS Outfielders
A.J. Pollock, LAD at BAL ($4,700)
This dude really deserves more respect. He’s done nothing but rake since getting brought off the IL and he’s not being priced like the stud he’s been. Over his last 43 games, Pollock is providing a .287 AVG, .351 OBP, .573 SLG and .925 OPS. That’s got to be horrifying for a pitching staff that ranks dead-last in ERA, WHIP and dingers allowed. That’s why the Dodgers are projected for more than six runs and it doesn’t even take into consideration that Pollock gets the platoon advantage against Ty Blach. Not only does the Baltimore lefty have a 10.95 ERA and 2.15 WHIP this season, Pollock also has a .358 AVG, .404 OBP, .543 SLG and.948 OPS against southpaws too.
Austin Riley, ATL at PHI ($4,000)
Riley has been mired in a terrible slump over the last two months but he still performs anytime he faces left-handed pitching. In fact, Riley has a .291 AVG, .371 OBP, .745 SLG and 1.116 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Those absurd splits become very enticing in a matchup like this, with Jason Vargas pitching to a 5.43 xFIP in a hitter’s haven like Citizen’s Bank Park.
Philip Ervin, CIN at SEA ($3,200)
Splits are very important in DFS and it directly puts a guy like Ervin in play. In fact, the slugging outfielder has a .333 AVG, .387 OBP, .609 SLG and .995 OPS against left-handers this year. That’s got to put fear in Justus Sheffield’s eyes, with the Seattle southpaw pitching to a 5.51 ERA and 1.78 WHIP this season. Those nightmarish numbers make this Ervin price tag truly shocking and he’s a great stack with all of the Coors Field bats.
Things change quickly as lineups come out. If you have any questions, hit me up on Twitter @Bartilottajoel and I'd be more than happy to help.
