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Week 16 Thursday Night NFL Matchups Analysis: Start/Sit

Ben Ruppert's Thursday Night Football (TNF) matchups analysis and lineup starts/sits for Week 16 of the 2016 NFL season. Players to target or avoid for fantasy football lineups.

It's time for the Week 16 installment of Thursday night matchups with my start/sit recommendations. This week, divisional foes meet as the Giants travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles.

Each week of the NFL season, we will be breaking down every game and providing you with some fantasy football advice and lineup recommendations based on matchups that we love, matchups that we hate, and injury information as well. Later this week, you will find parts one and two of our Week 16 NFL matchups, which should help you prepare your lineups to win this week. It’s essential to analyze the weekly NFL matchups to find lineup sleepers and gems, while also avoiding those players who may turn out to be busts.

Editor's Note: New users that sign up on FantasyAces, make a $20 deposit, and enter any game will receive BOTH our full season NFL and NBA Premium Passes for free, a $119.99 value. Just email [email protected] with your new FantasyAces username - and boom, that's it! We will email you with your Premium Passes.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Giants @ Eagles - Thursday 12/22 @ 8:25 PM EST

Matchups We Love

Odell Beckham Jr. (WR, NYG)

Over the past four weeks, Beckham has averaged 11 targets per game, failing to surpass 90 yards only once. He has four touchdowns over that span, and has been a touchdown-per-game player over the past 10 weeks. Point being, Beckham has been dominant of late when fantasy owners need him most. Things shouldn’t change against an Eagles defense that has given up the second mort receiving yards to the wide receiver position this season. In recent weeks they allowed DeSean Jackson, Brandon LaFell and Davante Adams to have huge fantasy days against them. Obviously Beckham is in a different tier than all of these players mentioned, locking him in as an elite WR1 even on a short week.

Zach Ertz (TE, PHI)

Over the past three weeks, the tight end position for the Eagles has been the focal point of the offense. Of the 147 total targets over the past three weeks, Zach Ertz, Brent Celek, and Trey Burton have combined for 65 of them (44% of the team’s total targets). Ertz has been the leader of the pack over that span, leading the team in receiving with no game less than 79 yards. He is averaging eight receptions for 90 yards per game, with one TD. He caught eight passes for 97 yards last time these two teams met, and since then Zach Miller and Ladarius Green both had big days against the Giants defense. They may have done well against Eric Ebron last week, but as the linchpin of the offense he is poised to have another solid week.

 

Matchups We Hate

Ryan Mathews (RB, PHI)

Since returning from injury, Mathews has averaged 5.37 YPC (35 rushes for 188 yards). He led the team in carries the week he returned, but the injury to Wendell Smallwood opened the door further for Mathews. He got six more touches last week, turning those into 133 total yards with a TD. That was a surprising game for Mathews against a good Ravens defense. Things won’t get easier against the Giants, who have allowed the sixth fewest rushing yards in the league this season and the third lowest YPC at 3.6 yards. Darren Sproles potentially returning also puts a damper on Mathews’ outlook, since he will handle the majority if not all of the passing downs. Mathews was able to have a good day against the Ravens, let’s see if he keeps it going against another stout defense.

 

Notable Players

Jordan Matthews (WR, PHI)

After heading into last week with a questionable tag, Matthews played last week and had a mediocre fantasy day at best. He got the volume he needed, just couldn’t break free for any big plays. He caught 6-of-11 targets for only 27 yards, but could not get anything going after the catch. Working in the slot means he is a little more volume and TD dependent, so this is something that will happen from time to time with him. The Giants haven’t allowed more than two touchdowns over their past 10 games, meaning if Matthews doesn’t get one early he likely won’t get one at all. Last time these two teams met he caught six passes for 88 yards. The Giants have had slot receivers do some damage to them; Cole Beasley, Golden Tate, and Antonio Brown (who lines up everywhere) have all done well against them in recent weeks. Volume will make Matthews’ floor high, but for a good day he will need to reach the end zone.

Paul Perkins (RB, NYG)

Shane Vereen made his return from injury against the Cowboys two weeks ago, and was used sparingly before he re-tore his triceps muscle last week. He would have made an impact in the receiving game, splitting the RB work into thirds between Perkins and Rashad Jennings. Vereen now gone again means we still have a 50-50 split in the Giants backfield. Perkins has been more effective, averaging 4.2 YPC over the past three weeks compared to Jennings’ 2.6 YPC. Jennings has received more rushing attempts over that span (39-to-33), and will continue getting his fair share due to his excellent blocking abilities. Perkins is clearly the more effective RB, and he will hopefully now claim more of the passing down work with Vereen out of the picture.

Sterling Shepard (WR, NYG)

If you’re struggling to find a WR3 or flex option this week, you could do worse than Shepard. He has scored a touchdown in five of the past seven games, giving him seven touchdowns this season. However, in the two games he did not score he was abysmal; in one game he caught three passes for 39 yards, and in the other he was not targeted, but he had one rush for 22 yards. Even in the games he scored a TD, he only averages four receptions for 44 yards. As mentioned before the Eagles give up a ton of yards to opposing WR, which may keep Shepard relevant. With OBJ garnering most of the looks, Shepard is a low floor-moderate ceiling WR3.

 




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Obi Toppin

Expected to Miss One Month
Andrew Nembhard

to Miss Third Straight Game Wednesday
Bennedict Mathurin

Out Week-to-Week
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Iffy for Wednesday
Zaccharie Risacher

Listed as Probable Against Nets
Jalen Johnson

Considered Probable for Wednesday
Dillon Brooks

to Remain Out Wednesday
Jalen Green

Could Make His Suns Debut Wednesday
Anthony Davis

Expected to Play Wednesday
Jaylen Brown

Listed as Probable for Wednesday
Zion Williamson

Uncertain for Wednesday
Alex Caruso

Returns to Thunder Lineup
Gary Trent Jr.

Available Against Knicks
Cole Anthony

Back in Bucks Lineup Tuesday
Miles McBride

Remains Unavailable Tuesday
Guerschon Yabusele

Unavailable Against Bucks
Karl-Anthony Towns

Good to Go Tuesday
Tre Mann

Available Versus Heat
Simone Fontecchio

Cleared for Action
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Out on Tuesday
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Won't Play Tuesday
Adam Gaudette

Could Miss Time
John Klingberg

Ready for Action Tuesday
Warren Foegele

to Miss "Some Time"
George Springer

Not in the Lineup for Game 4 of World Series
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Expected to Be Out for One Month
Jake Neighbours

to Miss at Least Five Weeks
Hampus Lindholm

Expected to Return Tuesday
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Returns to Devils Crease Tuesday
Quinn Hughes

Sits Out Second Consecutive Game
Malik Nabers

Should be Ready for Start of Next Season
Lamar Jackson

Says he's "Ready to Go Now"
Isiah Pacheco

Week-to-Week With MCL Sprain
Tyler Shough

Named Saints' Starting Quarterback
Drake Batherson

Picks Up Three Points in Monday's Win
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Expected to Make Season Debut Tuesday
Shayne Gostisbehere

Could Return Tuesday
K'Andre Miller

Expected to Remain Out Tuesday
Pyotr Kochetkov

Close to Returning
Kareem Hunt

Scores Twice in Monday Night Win Over Washington
George Springer

Pulled Early in Game 3 With Side Injury
Terry McLaurin

Questionable to Return in Week 8 After Aggravating Quad Injury
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Orioles Finalizing Deal to Hire Craig Albernaz as the Next Manager
William Byron

Dominates at Martinsville and Advances to the Championship Round
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Advances to the Championship Round After Top-Five Finish
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Falls Short of the Victory and Title Contention at Martinsville
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Eliminated From 2025 Title Contention Despite Strong Martinsville Run
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Questionable for Tuesday
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to Miss Third Straight Game
Lamar Jackson

Ravens Expect Lamar Jackson to Play on Thursday Night
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Ruled Out for Tuesday
Brad Marchand

Won't Play on Tuesday
Alexey Toropchenko

Returns to Blues Lineup
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Unavailable Versus Penguins
Robert Thomas

Out on Monday
Michael Carter

Cardinals Release Michael Carter on Monday
Carson Wentz

to Undergo Season-Ending Shoulder Surgery
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Behren Morton Will Start Against Kansas State
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has a Season-Best Four Passing Touchdowns
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Chris Buescher

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Is Austin Dillon Worth Rostering in DFS for Martinsville This week?
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Shane Van Gisbergen

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Bo Bichette

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Hopes To Get A Title Shot With A Win
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In Dire Need Of Victory
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Texas Tech QB Will Hammond Will Start vs. Oklahoma State Saturday
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Kansas State RB Dylan Edwards Out For Sunflower Showdown
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Utah QB Devon Dampier Listed as Questionable on Big 12 Injury Report

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