X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Baseball Tiered First Base Rankings: Midseason Edition

Rotoballer lead columnist Bill Dubiel examines the rankings for first base (1B) at the midway point of the season. These are rankings looking forward to the second half of the season.

Welcome back to RotoBaller's midseason rankings update. We are gathered here today to walk through the first base rankings, analyzing some key names and providing tiers for your consumption. Assume a standard 5x5 redraft league when reading.

Be sure to also head over to our fantasy baseball rankings assistant. This handy rankings tool show you all of our staff rankings, player news, and weekly waiver wire rankings. You can easily filter, sort, and export all sorts of ranks - mixed leagues, tiers, prospects, dynasty formats, keeper values and more. It's all in one place, and all free.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

 

2016 Fantasy Baseball Midseason Rankings Analysis: First Base

It's mostly the usual suspects in the first tier--Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Rizzo, Miguel Cabrera and Edwin Encarnacion are referred to as superstars for a reason. Goldschmidt actually started off on a low note, hitting only .247 in the month of April, but since June 1st he's been on a tear. The Arizona slugger tallied 20 RBI in June to go along with a .350 batting average, and sure enough he has MVP-type numbers at the break--.300 BA, 53 R, 16 HR, 58 RBI and 11 SB.

Edwin Encarnacion already has 80 RBI, 10 more than the next closest hitter (David Ortiz). It's July 11th. Boy howdy, is it nice having Josh Donaldson hitting in front of you. I can't give the #BringerOfRain all the credit though--Encarnacion's currently sporting his highest K-rate (19.8%) since his rookie year, and he is clearly selling out for power. I dig it, and the folks up north do too, I'm sure. He's third in the AL in homers, and is well on his way to the second 40+ homer season of his career.

Many familiar names in the second tier as well--and by that I mean WHAT IS WIL MYERS DOING HERE?!? The former AL Rookie of the Year had two disappointing and injury-shortened seasons in Tampa Bay and San Diego before finally breaking out as the hitter he was touted to be in 2016. He truly has MVP-caliber numbers, and there is very little to indicate that he can't sustain that level of production aside from the Padres' offense not being any good. His BABIP (.318) is actually lower than his career average (.320) and his K% is the lowest it's ever been in the majors (20.0%). With a .290 BA, 61 R, 19 HR, 60 RBI and 15 steals in the first half, we may be seeing a legitimate superstar emerging before our eyes.

Mark Trumbo has always been a masher, and homer-friendly Camden Yards seems to have (predictably) amplified that ability. The .287 batting average is entirely unexpected, and I suspect some regression is in order there, but I definitely think Trumbo will have at least 50 Trumbombs come September. Why am I so confident? His ISO is .296 right now. That's right--over 345 at bats, his ISO is higher than his batting average. Yowza.

Brandon Belt is well on his way to shattering his career-highs in almost every offensive category. He enters the All Star Break with a .406 OBP, which puts him at fourth in the MLB, behind only Paul Goldschmidt, Matt Carpenter and Anthony Rizzo. Belt has been underrated in fantasy circles for quite some time, and I'm glad he's finally busting out in a big way. His .301 batting average is likely not sustainable, but even allowing for some regression (.354 BABIP, although that's not that much higher than his career average) Belt should end up as a .280 hitter with 80 runs scored, 20 big flies and 80+ RBI. Sign me up for the second half.

"What if I told you...that with the 230th overall pick in your fantasy baseball draft, you could get a player who would hit .309 with 38 runs scored, 17 homers and 52 RBI in the first half of the season? ESPN Films presents a 30 for 30 film: Victor Martinez is Still Really Good at Hitting, You Guys." For real though, V-Mart just continues to defy Father Time. He currently has the second-highest ISO number of his career (.212), which means he may have one more 30-homer season in him. I'm betting folding money that he can get there and maintain his .300 BA.

I have to mention Albert Pujols here, because I still remember how he's one of the greatest hitters of the last 20 years. Many others seem to have forgotten, but I still love you, Machine. He's quietly (very quietly, up there in Anaheim) still producing at an above-average level, and while he's not the obnoxiously good all-around hitter he was in his prime, he's still on pace for 30 homers and 110 RBI. He also only has 42 strikeouts on the season--which is pretty darn terrific for a first baseman--and if you play in a points league that counts Ks you certainly have nothing to complain about given his first half.

I'm officially declaring this a breakout season for Justin Bour. That's right, it's Roto Dubs-approved. You certainly can't fight me on it--Bour and his teammate Marcell Ozuna have been the ones bringing the thunder in Miami, not Giancarlo Stanton. Bour is currently on the DL with an ankle injury, but it's mostly precautionary with the All Star Break wedged into the time. He currently has the highest line drive rate of his major league career (19.5%) and his 24.5% HR/FB rate backs up the notion that he has a ton of raw power. Bour's overall numbers are depressed by a very rocky patch earlier in the season, so I don't think he's due for a ton of regression in any category. He's a 30-homer guy who is also capable of a .275 batting average; that's the good sh...stuff.

 

Midseason First Base Tiered Fantasy Baseball Rankings

Rank Player Name Team Tier
1 Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1
2 Anthony Rizzo CHC 1
3 Miguel Cabrera DET 1
4 Edwin Encarnacion TOR 1
5 Wil Myers SD 2
6 Mark Trumbo BAL 2
7 Jose Abreu CWS 2
8 Eric Hosmer KC 2
9 Chris Davis BAL 2
10 Matt Carpenter STL 3
11 Brandon Belt SF 3
12 Joey Votto CIN 3
13 Stephen Piscotty STL 3
14 Buster Posey SF 3
15 Victor Martinez DET 3
16 Freddie Freeman ATL 3
17 Albert Pujols LAA 4
18 Carlos Santana CLE 4
19 Matt Holliday STL 4
20 Chris Carter MIL 4
21 Adrian Gonzalez LAD 4
22 Hanley Ramirez BOS 4
23 Justin Bour MIA 4
24 Mike Napoli CLE 5
25 Prince Fielder TEX 5
26 Mark Reynolds COL 5
27 Ryan Zimmerman WSH 5
28 Kendrys Morales KC 5
29 Travis Shaw BOS 5
30 Brandon Moss STL 5
31 Tommy Joseph PHI 5
32 Mitch Moreland TEX 5
33 Logan Morrison TB 5
34 Mark Teixeira NYY 5
35 A.J. Reed HOU 5
36 Dae-Ho Lee SEA 5
37 Byung-ho Park MIN 5
38 Steve Pearce TB 5

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
Devon Toews

to Miss at Least Two Weeks
Gabriel Landeskog

Out for Several Weeks
Jamie Drysdale

Makes Early Exit Tuesday
Bobby Brink

Injured in Tuesday's Win
Adam Henrique

Expected to Miss Time
Brad Marchand

Dealing With Lingering Health Issue
Haydn Fleury

Hospitalized Tuesday
Moussa Diabaté

Ryan Kalkbrenner Out, Moussa Diabate Probable Wednesday
Brandon Miller

Listed as Probable Wednesday
Alex Caruso

Absent for Second Consecutive Game
Nicolas Claxton

Available Wednesday
Moritz Wagner

Still Out Wednesday
Franz Wagner

Not Ready to Return Wednesday
Jalen Suggs

Remains Out Wednesday
Draymond Green

Questionable to Suit Up Wednesday
Jalen Smith

Ruled Out for Second Straight Game
Matas Buzelis

Could Miss First Game of the Season Wednesday
Coby White

May Skip Wednesday's Game
Cade Cunningham

Probable for Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

to Remain Out Wednesday
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Could Return to Action Wednesday
Tim Hardaway Jr.

May Remain Out Wednesday
Christian Braun

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
Aaron Gordon

Iffy for Wednesday
Jamal Murray

Considered Questionable for Wednesday Night
Max Strus

to Miss Another Month
Vince Williams Jr.

Making Return Tuesday Against Spurs
Trae Young

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Mason Marchment

Out Tuesday
Sean Monahan

Available Tuesday
Jason Zucker

Set to Return From 11-Game Absence
Matvei Michkov

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Matthew Schaefer

Cleared for Action Tuesday
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Adam Fox

Landing Back on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Seth Jarvis

Back for Hurricanes Tuesday
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri
Jake McCabe

to Sit Out One Week
Hampus Lindholm

to Miss Time
Christian Dvorak

Flyers Sign Christian Dvorak to Five-Year Extension
Igor Shesterkin

Exits With Lower-Body Injury Monday
Joel Armia

Hurt in Monday's Win
Anze Kopitar

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Monday
Matthew Schaefer

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
CFB

Ty Simpson Undecided on 2026 Plans
CFB

Quarterback AJ Hill Following Ryan Silverfield to Arkansas
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Have Requested an Interview With Klint Kubiak
Deshaun Watson

Browns Expect Deshaun Watson to be on the Team Next Year
Wan'Dale Robinson

Dealing With Fractured Ribs
Cam Skattebo

Hopes to be Back by Training Camp
Cameron Ward

Won't Need Surgery on his Shoulder
Davante Adams

Rams Expect Davante Adams to Return in Wild-Card Round
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Fire Head Coach Jonathan Gannon
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Fire Head Coach Pete Carroll
Malik Nabers

Unsure if He Will Be Ready for Week 1 of 2026 Season
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Will Return to Ole Miss If Granted Sixth Year of Eligibility
Cincinnati Bengals

Zac Taylor Will Return as Bengals Head Coach in 2026
New York Giants

Giants Expected to Show Interest in Former Browns Head Coach Kevin Stefanski
Daniel Jones

Colts, Daniel Jones Appear to Have "Mutual Interest" in a 2026 Reunion
Cleveland Browns

Browns Fire Kevin Stefanski After Another Losing Season
Zay Flowers

Goes Off for 138 Yards, Two Touchdowns in Loss
Bo Bichette

Phillies Have Interest in Bo Bichette
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Dominates in Week 18 Win
Cameron Ward

Believed to Have Grade 3 AC Joint Sprain in Right Shoulder
Colston Loveland

Leads Bears in Targets, Receptions, Receiving Yards in Week 18
Kansas City Royals

Matt Quatraro Signs Three-Year Extension With Royals
CFB

Transfer QB Billy Edwards Commits to North Carolina
CFB

Sam Leavitt Visiting Texas Tech on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Expected To Visit Florida State
Kyle Tucker

Blue Jays "Remain the Favorite" to Sign Kyle Tucker
CFB

Joey Aguilar Undergoes Surgery to Remove Tumor on Friday
CFB

Texas the "Team to Beat" for Transfer Running Back Isaac Brown
CFB

Rocco Becht to Follow Matt Campbell to Penn State?
CFB

Texas Targeting Cam Coleman in Transfer Portal
CFB

Former Texas Running Back CJ Baxter Visiting Kentucky
CFB

Beau Pribula Visiting Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech
Bo Bichette

Yankees Showing Interest in Bo Bichette
Houston Astros

Astros Sign Tatsuya Imai to Three-Year Deal

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP