X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Week 12 Rankings Analysis: Nick Mariano vs. Industry Consensus

Well, Week 12 was another upper-class finish for me being ranked #34 out of the 130 experts on FantasyPros, marking the eighth week in row finishing inside the top 50, seven of which were in the top 35. Being ranked #34 for the industry is good, but I’m itching to return to that top-10 class though.

Last week, Marcus Mariota and Andrew Luck did alright, but were not top-five plays. We were spot on in boosting Rob Kelley and James Starks though. We were also dead on with tempering expectations on Allen Robinson and propping up Rishard Matthews, as well as waving the red flag regarding Cameron Brate. Let’s see what will take us there in Week 12.

Editor's Note: New users that sign up on FantasyAces, make a $20 deposit, and enter any game will receive BOTH our full season NFL and NBA Premium Passes for free, a $119.99 value. Just email [email protected] with your new FantasyAces username - and boom, that's it! We will email you with your Premium Passes.

 

Week 12 Quarterbacks - Rankings Analysis

When I sat down to do my ranks Tuesday night I was blown away, Aaron Rodgers was still staring me in the face at #3 in the consensus. I’ve dropped him to #9, because I just cannot get behind the name, the roster, or the system any longer. He’s still a low-end QB1, but this is not a top-five play. Primarily because this is not even close to a neutral matchup. Facing the Eagles is no easy task, but facing them in Philadelphia makes for a true no-fly zone. It was only two weeks ago when this Eagles defense limited the powerful Falcons offense to a measly 15 points in Philly, and I’m not wagering that Rodgers breaks the mold.

On the other side of the ball, I have Carson Wentz up five slots (#13 vs. consensus #18 ranking) because the Packers defense was already beaten up, and then they suffered a myriad of additional injuries on Sunday night against Washington. I know Wentz isn’t spectacular and he has the displeasure of throwing to Nelson Agholor, but they’re starting to lean on Zach Ertz more and seem to have found a bit of a rhythm with that.

Deeper down I have given Ryan Fitzpatrick a five-slot boost (#25 vs. consensus #30), right against that fringe QB2 territory. That’s not a ringing endorsement by any means, but I cannot rank him below the likes of Scott Tolzien and Jared Goff. The Patriots defense is not good, as they've given up the seventh-most fantasy points against QBs on average over the last four weeks. While they’ll likely play a lot harder against the Jets than they did against the 49ers, I still expect the free-swinging Fitz to be more serviceable than a backup and an uninspiring rookie.

 

Week 12 Running Backs - Rankings Analysis

This is another week where the top 10 is pretty good by me, but then we encounter some issues pretty quickly. I’ve put Rashad Jennings (#13 vs. #18 consensus) five spots up, which is apparently my standard move this week, as he’s looked rejuvenated lately and HC Ben McAdoo has to be loving it. Mix this in with a sweet matchup against the Browns, and you’ve got a stew going. This also leads to a Paul Perkins (#38 vs. #43 consensus) boost, as NYG may have this one in hand by the fourth quarter, which could prompt a healthy quarter-plus of solo work for the rookie.

There’s no ignoring that Jordan Howard (#25 vs. #17 consensus) and the Chicago Bears are screwed with the amount of injuries that they’ve endured. What Howard’s status comes down to here is how much you believe volume can save him. I am on the more pessimistic side of things, of course. The good news is that Howard out-snapped Jeremy Langford 46 to 18, but Langford still got some high-percentage looks. Howard is a safer PPR play thanks to the screen passes and check downs that he should see, but relying on yardage and touchdowns for fantasy points will likely lead to misery and woe.

 

Week 12 Wide Receivers - Rankings Analysis

It should come as no surprise that T.Y. Hilton and Donte Moncrief have slipped a bit with the Andrew Luck news, and Stefon Diggs dropped too since he didn’t practice on Tuesday. Putting them aside, I have slipped Michael Crabtree (#16 vs. #12 consensus) and Demaryius Thomas (#20 vs. #15 consensus) a several slots down thanks to the former’s horrible case of the drops on Monday night and Thomas’ potentially dealing with Marcus Peters (should he return) and Trevor Siemian’s middling talent. It’s unlikely that you’re benching them, but DFS players should note the recent happenings. Hopefully Crabtree can rebound against Carolina’s subpar secondary, but I’m not pegging him in WR1 territory.

How about some happy news? We’ve got DeVante Parker up seven slots (#25 vs. #32 consensus) as the Dolphins get to feast on a San Francisco defense that is 28th in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average against #1 receivers. I’m comfortable calling Parker the #1 here over Jarvis Landry. While I’m a bit concerned that the Dolphins will just run all over the 49ers, the state of their offensive line may not allow them to do it at 100%. Parker’s last two weeks have been strong, so perhaps he can replicate last season’s stretch run.

 

Week 12 Tight Ends - Rankings Analysis

We already touched on my feelings about the Philadelphia offense and their recent usage of Zach Ertz, and therefore I’ve got him at #6 vs. a #10 consensus. It’s no secret that the Packers defense is not good, but they’ve allowed the sixth-most fantasy points against tight ends this season and Ertz is getting lots of love. After seeing only 20 targets in his first five games of the season, he has now seen 26 in his last three – including 11 last week against Seattle. I couldn’t tell you why it took Doug Pederson and company this long to realize feeding Ertz is a good idea, but we’re finally here.

I’ve also got Week 11 hero Jared Cook up four slots (#15 vs. #19 consensus). This is actually more about the guys directly ahead of him, as Cameron Brate, Gary Barnidge and Coby Fleener all feel like lesser plays to me. That said, I believe that Cook showed Rodgers and HC Mike McCarthy that he is 100% and can be a solid weapon. Philadelphia has been good against the TE all season, but are only 11th in fantasy points allowed over the last four weeks. That’s good, but not a dealbreaker. With Josh Norman hopefully locking down Jordy Nelson, Jared Cook may just be that much more necessary to the Packers’ gameplan.

 

I’d rather talk more about the skill positions than include kicker or defense, as they are far less interesting to me. Feel free to send me a vitriolic message should you want them back, I’ll listen I swear.


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Rob Dillingham

Out On Wednesday
Jae'Sean Tate

Still Out On Wednesday
Jimmy Butler III

Listed As Probable For Wednesday
Jack Eichel

Notches Two Assists In Game 5 Victory
Sebastian Aho

Sends Hurricanes To Round 2
Jake Knapp

Looking For More Success At TPC Craig Ranch
Linus Ullmark

Records Shutout In Elimination Game
Brady Tkachuk

Extends Point Streak To Four Games
Mackenzie Hughes

Is An Interesting Option At CJ Cup
Pavel Dorofeyev

Doesn't Finish Game 5
Filip Gustavsson

Exits Early Due To Illness
Aaron Ekblad

Slapped With Two-Game Suspension
Aldrich Potgieter

Trending Downward For CJ Cup
Taylor Pendrith

Played Well In Houston Recently
PGA

Niklas Norgaard May Not Be Cut Out For Texas
Rasmus Hojgaard

Could Be Up Or Down In Texas
Ben Rice

Smacks Two Homers To End Slump
Jorge Polanco

Hits Two More Homers, Drives In Five
Scottie Scheffler

The Untouchable Favorite At CJ Cup
Tom Kim

A Popular Name To Avoid At TPC Craig Ranch
Austin Eckroat

Looking To Find Success Again At TPC Craig Ranch
Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied For 59 At Corales Puntacana Championship
Joel Dahmen

Finishes Tied For Second At Corales Puntacana Championship
Beau Hossler

Finishes Tied For 60 At Valero Texas Open
Doug Ghim

Finishes Tied For 18 At the Valero Texas Open
Jordan Spieth

Finishes Tied For 18 At RBC Heritage
Kurt Kitayama

Misses The Cut At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied For Eighth At RBC Heritage
George Kirby

"Feeling Great", Could Throw Again On Sunday
Tyler Fitzgerald

Returning To Starting Nine
Josh Lowe

Progressing Well, Could Play In Rehab Games On Saturday
Shane McClanahan

Begins "Throwing-Like" Activities
Patrik Laine

Remains Day-To-Day
Gabriel Vilardi

On Track To Return Wednesday
Brandon Hagel

Ruled Out For Game 5
Marcus Johansson

Returns To Action Tuesday
Cole Ragans

Won't Start On Wednesday
Dylan Moore

Placed On 10-Day Injured List With Hip Inflammation
Jonas Siegenthaler

Considered A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Brett Pesce

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Yordan Alvarez

Back In Tuesday's Lineup
Frederik Andersen

Unavailable Tuesday
Aaron Nesmith

Upgraded To Available
Las Vegas Raiders

Jack Bech A Strong Candidate To Be An Immediate Starter
Las Vegas Raiders

Zamir White Competing For Depth Role
New York Jets

Mason Taylor To Immediately Be Atop Jets Tight End Depth Chart
Bennedict Mathurin

Cleared For Game 5
Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Setting Up As Post-Hype Sleeper In 2025?
Denver Broncos

Dre Greenlaw Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold To Take Over 90% Of The Snaps
Tennessee Titans

Titans In No Rush To Trade Will Levis
Daulton Varsho

Reinstated From Injured List And Starting On Tuesday
Minnesota Vikings

J.J. McCarthy Says He Knows He's Ready To Start For Vikings
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Picking Up Fifth-Year Option On Dax Hill
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Apply Unrestricted Free-Agent Tender To J.K. Dobbins
Seattle Seahawks

Jaren Hall Cut Loose By Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs Compare Josh Simmons To Christian Darrisaw, Rashawn Slater
Denver Broncos

Pat Bryant Compared To Michael Thomas
Denver Broncos

RJ Harvey Could Do It All For Broncos
Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan Likely To Man The X Spot For Panthers
Green Bay Packers

Packers, Jaire Alexander Continue To Discuss Potential Reunion
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Discussed George Pickens With Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs To Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trent McDuffie, George Karlaftis
Washington Commanders

Matt Gays Signs One-Year Deal With Commanders
San Francisco 49ers

George Kittle Signs Four-Year Extension With 49ers
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Records Third Consecutive Double-Double
Brandin Podziemski

Hits Six Treys During 26-Point Performance
Jimmy Butler III

Leads Warriors In Scoring Monday Night
Jarrett Allen

Has Double-Double, Six Steals In Blowout Win
Brandon Boston Jr.

Recovering From Ankle Surgery
Kelly Olynyk

Undergoes Heel Procedure
Aaron Nesmith

Probable For Tuesday's Action
Nathan MacKinnon

Has Two Points In Losing Effort
Martin Necas

Records Two Assists In Game 5 Loss
Mikko Rantanen

Tallies Three Points In Monday's Win
Wyatt Johnston

Leads Stars To Game 5 Victory
Sergei Bobrovsky

Returns To Winning Ways
Anton Lundell

Earns Two Points Monday
Ryan Gerard

Going For A Texas Trifecta Of Sorts
Brandon Hagel

Departs Loss Early
Joe Highsmith

Hoping To Make More Putts In Texas
Eric Cole

Expecting Big Things In Texas
Brian Campbell

May Go Under The Radar At CJ Cup
Riley Greene

Homers Twice On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

Exits Monday's Win Early
Los Angeles Chargers

Tre Harris Expected To Fill X Role For Chargers
Jimmy Butler III

Officially Active For Game 4
Isaiah Stewart

Uncertain For Game 5
Michael Porter Jr.

Expected To Play In Game 5
Brandon Nimmo

Has Career Game
Russell Westbrook

Questionable For Tuesday Night
Tyler Glasnow

Going On The Injured List
Jaylen Brown

Back On The Injury Report
Jrue Holiday

Out Again On Tuesday Night
Bennedict Mathurin

Questionable For Game 5
Damian Lillard

May Not Play Next Season
Luis Arraez

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Darius Garland

Remains Out On Monday
Jordan Westburg

Placed On Injured List
William Byron

Ends With A Strong Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Ryan Blaney

Bad Luck Continues With Talladega Crash
Kyle Larson

Has A Career-Best Performance At Talladega
Ian Machado Garry

Gets Back On Track With UFC Kansas City Win
Brad Keselowski

Talladega Run Ends Early After Crashing
Carlos Prates

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Zhang Mingyang

Still Undefeated In The UFC
Anthony Smith

Retires After UFC Kansas City Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous Decision Loss
Giga Chikadze

Takes Unanimous-Decision Loss
David Onama

Extends Win Streak At UFC Kansas City
Michel Pereira

Drops Decision At UFC Kansas City
Abus Magomedov

Extends His Win Streak
Nicolas Dalby

Gets Finished For The First Time
Randy Brown

Gets Back In The Win Column
Ikram Aliskerov

Gets First-Round TKO Finish At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Gets TKO'd At UFC Kansas City
Chase Elliott

Recovers from Speeding Penalty to Finish Fifth
Joey Logano

Finishes Last at Talladega After Disqualification for Missing Spoiler Brace
Ryan Preece

Loses Talladega Race First in Photo Finish Then in Post-Race Inspection
NASCAR

Poor Toyota Strategy Arguably Cost Bubba Wallace Winning Chances at Talladega
Christopher Bell

Unhurt After Hard Contact with Inside Retaining Wall
Joe Ryan

Posts Stellar Outing
Nick Lodolo

Throws Seven Scoreless Innings
Tyler Glasnow

Removed Early On Sunday
Tarik Skubal

Racks Up 11 Strikeouts
Luke Weaver

In Line To Get The Bulk Of Save Opportunities Moving Forward
Chase Elliott

Is One OF The Top Overall DFS Picks Of The Week
Joey Logano

Could Joey Logano Finish A Race With A Top Finish At Talladega?
NASCAR

DFS Players Should Like Bubba Wallace For Talladega This Week
Christopher Bell

Should DFS Players Roster Christopher Bell At Talladega?
Austin Cindric

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Talladega DFS Lineups?
Shane Van Gisbergen

Is A Solid, Safe, DFS Choice For Talladega Lineups
Austin Dillon

Is Austin Dillon A Viable DFS Play At Talladega This Week?
Josh Berry

Qualifies Too High At Talladega To Be Worth Rostering In DFS
Michael McDowell

Should DFS Players Take A Shot On Michael McDowell At Talladega?
Noah Gragson

Could Be A Sneaky DFS Play For Talladega
Denny Hamlin

Probably Qualified Too Well for DFS Consideration
Kyle Larson

Increasingly Undervalued Due to His Crashing, but Still a Great DFS Option
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF