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Way Too Early Dynasty Mock Draft Analysis - Rounds 11-15

It's time to look at the latter half of RotoBaller's Way Too Early Dynasty Mock Draft with a recap of rounds 11-15.

We recently gathered 12 dynasty league experts and RotoBaller writers to conduct a week-long email draft in order to evaluate early ADP values.

To start from the beginning of our recaps, check out the first round analysis. We're breaking down every round in order to give you the best advice on how to approach your early drafts and determine when to target players.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

 

Way Too Early Mock Dynasty Draft Analysis

Note: this mock draft was completed on March 11 via MFL10's email draft system.

Round 11

Four rookies went off the board in the 11th round, including the first two tight ends. O.J. Howard is the most heralded of the rookie crop, but Evan Engram helped himself with an impressive combine and was a slight surprise as the 124th overall pick. A pair of disappointing running backs, Doug Martin and Jeremy Hill, will be bounce back candidates depending on where they wind up next season. Their immediate futures are still unknown, but they are young enough to be difference makers if the right opportunity presents itself. Jameis Winston and Matthew Stafford were available as QB11 and QB12 respectively, showing that there is still tremendous value in the later rounds at the QB position. Josh Gordon is still being drafted, despite missing the last two and a half seasons worth of football. It never hurts to take a lottery ticket in deeper drafts, but this seemed way too early to pull such a move.

Round 12

The deluge of tight end selections was officially underway with five taken in round 12. Veteran Delanie Walker was sandwiched in between a crop of youngsters, finishing with UM rookie David Njoku as the 144th overall pick. The number of wide receivers taken slowed down considerably, but there was still value to be had with deep threats Marvin Jones and Kenny Stills on the board. The uncertainty surrounding his whereabouts for next season caused near-5,000 yard passer Kirk Cousins to slip to the 12th round, while Ben Roethlisberger is now officially a backup quarterback for fantasy purposes as the QB14.

Round 13

Denver seems to have kept their reputation as the premier defense in the league, as they were the first defense to be drafted at #145. Some notable selections in the 13th round include last year's top overall pick Jared Goff and the real Super Bowl MVP, James White. The selection of Danny Woodhead as RB50 was made before news of his signing in Baltimore and the suspension of Kenneth Dixon, making him a potential steal. Rookies Jamaal Williams, Zay Jones, and Curtis Samuel were selected in round 13 as well, although their eventual landing spot in the NFL will affect their ranking later on.

Round 14

The fact that Philip Rivers, who has gone over 4,000 passing yards in four straight seasons and eight of the last nine, was still available in the 14th round continues to reinforce the depth at QB. LeGarrette Blount may have scored 18 touchdowns last season, but he was taken just ahead of career backup Mike Gillislee and after probable late-round draftee James Conner. Justin Tucker was the first kicker off the board at 14.12, which seems way too early, but to be honest that selection was the result of a timed out auto-pick. Still, if there's a kicker to take first, Tucker is the way to go.

Round 15

Three Super Bowl participants were taken in the 15th round: Chris Hogan, Taylor Gabriel, and Mohamed Sanu. The free agent additions Philly made at wide receiver make Carson Wentz an appealing pick this late, especially in a dynasty format. Had this draft been conducted a week or two later, it would have been interesting to see how much higher Wentz might have gone. (Full disclosure: I was deciding between Goff and Wentz the previous round and now totally regret taking Goff. Good thing it was just a mock!) New L.A. Rams receiver Robert Woods made for an intriguing speculative pick to close out the round.

Best Picks

Carson Wentz (QB, PHI) 15.04, 172 overall

A dynasty startup is the best time to take a chance on a top draft pick like Goff or Wentz entering their second year. Not only did Wentz perform admirably in his rookie season, passing for 3,782 yards and a 62.4% completion rate, he did so with a lackluster receiving corps. The additions of Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith suddenly give the Eagles one of the better sets of pass-catching skill players that includes Zach Ertz at tight end and Darren Sproles at running back. You may not want Wentz as your starter in 2017, but he has one of the highest upsides among all backup QBs.

Martellus Bennett (TE, GB) 14.05, 161 overall

Aside from having one of the biggest mouths in the NFL, Bennett now has the biggest upside among all tight ends. Moving to Green Bay is possibly the only way he could have improved from New England's tight end-friendly offense. Although high expectations made it seem as if Bennett had a disappointing 2016, he finished as the eighth-highest scoring fantasy TE despite competing for targets with Gronk and battling through injuries. Bennett is worthy of top 10 status at his position, so to nab him as the TE18 was a steal.

Danny Woodhead (RB, BAL) 13.07, 151 overall

It's easy to forget about a player who misses his entire season with a torn ACL, but Woodhead should rebound just fine considering he suffered his injury in Week 2. Naturally, health will continue to be a concern since he has missed the majority of time in two of the last three seasons and he is 32 years old. Still, in his last two full seasons, he surpassed 1,000 total yards each time, scored a combined 17 TD, and was a bonafide RB2 in full PPR leagues. The move to Baltimore should bolster his value, unless the Ravens draft another back in the first couple of rounds.

 

Biggest Reaches

Josh Gordon (WR, FA) 11.11, 131 overall

Last year, taking a chance on Gordon seemed reasonable. His year off wasn't due to injury and he was only two years removed from leading the league in receiving. Now he's more of a punchline in fantasy drafts than a realistic option to contribute. When you're 20 rounds deep, there's certainly room to take a chance on a player with his talent level, but taking him before receivers like Marvin Jones or Kenny Stills just doesn't make sense.

Jerick McKinnon (RB, MIN) 12.05, 137 overall

This may sound like a repeat of my analysis of McKinnon from our mock re-draft, so I'll instead remind readers that McKinnon was simply no good last year. Now that Latavius Murray is a Viking, there is little chance for McKinnon to salvage any value. You could argue that RB45 isn't much of a reach, but given the choice between someone who had his chance and failed or a rookie with unknown potential, I'll take the rookie. It doesn't even matter which one.

 

Conclusion

Free agency rolls on and the NFL draft will have a huge effect on where players are drafted as well. Much of this analysis will change between now and the start of the season, but getting a feel for how player values shift is always beneficial to those who take fantasy football seriously.

For those who compete in devy leagues, stay tuned for our fantasy football mock rookie draft to be held shortly after the NFL draft. Nobody keeps you ahead of the game like RotoBaller!




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Sidney Crosby

Wants to Play for "as Many Years as Possible"
Troy Terry

Could Miss Start of Next Season Due to Hip Surgery
Arber Xhekaj

Scratched for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Finals
Jakub Dobes

Seeks More Success Against Hurricanes
Frederik Andersen

Looks to Stay Undefeated Thursday
Calvin Ridley

Not Taking Part in OTAs as Value Continues to Plummet
Carnell Tate

Receiving Early Buzz at OTAs
Ashton Jeanty

Bigger Role Could be Coming for Ashton Jeanty in Year 2
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Malik Nabers

' Goal is to be Ready for Start of the Season
De'Von Achane

Dealing With Injury at OTAs?
Dalton Kincaid

Says he Feels "Really Good"
Keenan Allen

Door isn't Closed for Keenan Allen in Los Angeles
Ty Simpson

Does Ty Simpson Have First-Round Appeal in Rookie Drafts?
Fernando Mendoza

Working Behind Other QBs
Cam Ward

is "Perfectly Healthy"
James Cook III

Absent From OTA Practices This Week
Darnell Washington

Is it Time to Drop Darnell Washington in Dynasty Leagues?
Fernando Mendoza

a Top Dynasty Target Even if He Doesn't Start Week 1?
Tyreek Hill

Dynasty Outlook Dependent on Landing Spot
Mack Hollins

Should Managers Trade for Mack Hollins Amid Roster Questions?
Michael Wilson

a Prime Dynasty Sell Candidate
Jake Ferguson

Insurance Upside Makes Him a Borderline TE1 in Dynasty
Brock Bowers

One of the Most Valuable Assets in Dynasty
Devin Vassell

Contributes 22 Points in Wednesday's Loss
Mike Gesicki

Still Provides Some Dynasty Insurance as His Standalone Value Fades
Stephon Castle

Tallies Team-High 25 Points in Game 2 Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Records Eighth Postseason Double-Double
Philadelphia Eagles

Nolan Smith Arrested for Speeding and Reckless Driving
Isaiah Hartenstein

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder to Game 2 Victory WIth 30 Points
Dylan Harper

Exits Game 2 Early Due to Right-Leg Injury
Jalen Williams

Suffers Another Hamstring Injury
Valeri Nichushkin

Ends Scoring Slump in Game 1 Loss
Nathan MacKinnon

Extends Point Streak With an Assist
Brett Howden

Pots Another Goal in Game 1 Win Against Avalanche
Tomas Hertl

Extends Point Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Scores in Fourth Straight Outing
Carter Hart

Records Third Consecutive Win
Timothy Liljegren

Capitals Re-Sign Timothy Liljegren to Two-Year Extension
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
New York Giants

Giants Offense to be a Run-First Unit?
Chicago Bulls

Jerry Stackhouse Emerges as Bulls Head-Coach Candidate
Cooper Flagg

Kon Knueppel Headline All-Rookie Team
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 2 on Wednesday
Jiri Kulich

Aims to Return Next Season
Jeremy Lauzon

Not Expected to Play Wednesday
Mark Stone

Likely to Remain Out Wednesday
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Western Conference Finals for Avalanche
Sam Malinski

Set to Return Wednesday
Artturi Lehkonen

Expected to Play Wednesday Night
Cale Makar

Will Miss Game 1 Against Golden Knights
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
James Harden

Struggles in Eastern Conference Finals Opener
Evan Mobley

Bags Second Consecutive Double-Double
Donovan Mitchell

Produces Top Two-Way Performance in Game 1 Loss
OG Anunoby

Plays Key Role in Comeback Win
Mikal Bridges

Remains Efficient in Game 1 Against Cavaliers
Karl-Anthony Towns

Extends Double-Double Streak to Four Games
Jalen Brunson

Leads Knicks to Historic Comeback Win
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Dean Wade

Returns to Starting Unit Tuesday
OG Anunoby

Starting on Tuesday
Tobias Harris

May Remain in Motown
Jalen Duren

Pistons Eager to Keep Jalen Duren
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Mattias Samuelsson

Picks Up an Assist in Season-Ending Loss
Rasmus Dahlin

Nets Fourth Postseason Goal
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF