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Way Too Early Dynasty Mock Draft Analysis - Round One

There's an old adage that goes "fantasy football fans start preparing in August. Fantasy football champions start preparing in July." Well folks, the obsessive nerds like myself prepare all year round. That's what the purpose of RotoBaller's Dynasty League Mock Draft is all about.

Here we'll be taking a look at the first round action with the picks pictured below. No point in ramping up the preamble, let's get to the selections.

Ed. Note: For continual coverage of NFL free agency news and its fantasy impact, keep tuned to RotoBaller!

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Round 1

Odell Beckham Jr. was the first selection made and of course it's a rock solid choice. Personally, I would have went running back first since they're so few and far between, but you can't go wrong with OBJ. He's still only 24 years old and there's absolutely no signs of slowing down anytime soon. He's far too young and far too good not to take early and often in dynasty formats.

The next two picks were two of the three top-flight running backs. Ezekiel Elliott and David Johnson are the best RBs in football alongside Le'Veon Bell. We'll get to Bell falling when my pick comes up, but let's hone in on Zeke and DJ real quick. There are going to be a ton of debates over the summer surrounding what running back should be the first one off the board in redraft leagues. For dynasty, though, I think Zeke is the right way to go. He has two less years of wear and tear on his body, he's playing with the best offensive line in football, and he's on a better team than Johnson. There's no telling how high Zeke's ceiling is right now so jump on in if you're swimming in dynasty. Zeke gets the edge here.

As for Johnson himself, that week 17 knee injury was a terrifying look for Arizona's star rusher. Fortunately, it didn't turn out to be anything too serious and there's no doubts about his availability in 2017. Scoring DJ with the third pick is about as good as it gets.

Pick No. 4 saw our second wide receiver taken with Mike Evans of Tampa Bay. Evans has had two stellar years sandwiched around one dud due to a lack of touchdowns. He also had such a good year in 2016 that he's clearly joined the first-class group of WR with Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham, and Julio Jones. That tier was once a three-man show but this past season turned it into a quartet. Throw in the fact that Evans is the youngest of the bunch and you got yourself a stud to build your team around.

I was up next at five and was absolutely thrilled to score Le'Veon Bell at that spot. We touched on the debate between him, Zeke, and DJ but I actually side with Le'Veon as the best back in the game. My theory as to why he fell to fifth is the combination of his off-the-field issues and two previous knee injuries. That'll put some dents into his dynasty draft value, sure, but I don't think it's a deal-breaker. Bell at five would be perfect for me and I actually had to decide between him and...

...Antonio Brown. If Bell at five is a stunner, Antonio at six is every bit of a jaw-dropper. This duo is by far the best offensive one-two punch in the league so you could really argue either over the other. Antonio was just two grabs shy of the reception title this past season with Larry Fitzgerald barely edging him out. By no means does that translate to Antonio disappointing anyone, though. He's the safest pick of the bunch and now that he just landed a contract extension, his career outlook is set in stone.

Every remaining pick of the first round ended up being a wide receiver and with good reason. Not only are receivers more consistent on a year-to-year basis but great wideouts also have more longevity than great running backs. Let's run through each pick one-by-one shall we?

Amari Cooper stands out as the biggest surprise of the round. I would have expected him to go early in round two rather than the middle of round one. I understand the rationale; he's young, has a great QB throwing to him, and is only going to get better. That said, he was still outplayed by Michael Crabtree in 2016. It'll be interesting to see if his career really does take a sharp turn upwards.

Not much to say about Julio Jones and A.J. Green. They were the top two receivers of their real life NFL draft classes and the dynasty mock isn't all that far off in that regard.

We go from solid to disappointing with the Green/Julio pairing to total, complete, busts in 2016. Allen Robinson and DeAndre Hopkins crushed fantasy owners with down years, albeit by no fault of their own. I'd be concerned building my team around a receiver with huge question marks at quarterback. Even with Osweiler gone, who exactly is going to be passing the ball in Houston? The talent is most certainly there for both guys to be top-10 every single year but the QB woes stick out like a sore thumb.

Last but not least we have the oft-injured Sammy Watkins. I'm a big fan of this pick because I think his ailments are overstated. He's a stud when he's on the field and Tyrod Taylor is a good enough passer. Taylor gets ragged on because he's not a superstar but who else are the Bills going to get? Tony Romo? Jay Cutler? Not in the cards for them. Anyway, Watkins is a good foundation for a dynasty team as he's young and can burn any DB in the NFL.

 

Biggest Reach

Amari Cooper (WR, OAK) - Too early in the first for my liking. He's one of the top, young receivers in the league for sure, but he probably could have been taken a little later. I suppose you should take the player you want if you're worried he won't last, but last year's production doesn't justify a first-round pick in this case.

 

Biggest Steals

Le'Veon Bell (RB, PIT) and Antonio Brown (WR, PIT) - Can we call this a push? I think it's a tie between the Steelers, Bell and Brown. I say that without bias because I was never expecting to land Bell at five. Brown is in the exact same boat as him one pick later, considering he was the consensus top overall pick last season.

Look for the next segment of our dynasty draft recap tomorrow and stay tuned to RotoBaller for the rest of our mock recaps throughout the coming weeks!

 

More 2017 Mock Drafts & Analysis




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jam Miller

Has Sneaky Value if He Can Earn a Roster Spot
Justice Hill

a Dynasty Drop Candidate Wherever He's Still Rostered
J'Mari Taylor

Is J'Mari Taylor Worth a Taxi-Squad Spot in Deep Dynasty Leagues?
Greg Dulcich

Has a Lack of Competition Made Greg Dulcich a Dynasty Sleeper?
Carson Beck

a Worthy Investment in the Later Rounds of Rookie Drafts
Devon Toews

Logs Two Assists In Game 3 Defeat
Brett Howden

Nets 10th Postseason Goal
Mitchell Marner

Delivers Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Mark Stone

Returns With Multi-Point Effort
Valeri Nichushkin

Exits Early Sunday
Nathan MacKinnon

Hurt in Game 3 Loss
Isaiah Hartenstein

Provides Steady Production in Defeat
Chet Holmgren

Has a Quiet Offensive Night on Sunday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Held Under 20 Points in Game 4
Stephon Castle

Hands Out Six Assists in Game 4 Win
Devin Vassell

Tallies 13 Points in Game 4 Win
De'Aaron Fox

Records Double-Double as Spurs Even Series
Victor Wembanyama

Sets Tone Early as Spurs Force a Pivotal Game 5
Isaac Guerendo

Could be a Drop Candidate in Dynasty Leagues in 2026
Jayden Higgins

' Dynasty Arrow is Pointing Up With Clear Path to WR2 Role in Houston
Jakobi Meyers

a Sell-High Candidate in Dynasty Formats?
Drake Maye

to Make a Big Leap in 2026 in Second Season With Josh McDaniels?
Jamal Murray

Earns First Career All-NBA Selection
Kevin Durant

Becomes First Player to Make All-NBA Team With Five Franchises
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Victor Wembanyama Lead All-NBA First Team
Taylor Hall

Enjoying Life in Carolina
Mark Stone

Returns to Action Sunday
Cale Makar

Rejoins Avalanche Lineup Sunday
Cason Wallace

Joins Starting Unit Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Doesn't "Feel Great" Entering Game 4
Jalen Williams

Won't Play Sunday
Christian Watson

Is Christian Watson on the Verge of a Legitimate Breakout?
Khalil Shakir

Dynasty Value in Decline
Travis Hunter

Still a Risky Buy, Even at his Sunken Dynasty Cost
Gunnar Helm

a Dynasty Sleeper with Room to Grow
Drake Maye

Is Drake Maye Becoming the Most Valuable Player in Superflex Dynasty Leagues?
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Pat Freiermuth

Steelers Restructure Pat Freiermuth's Contract
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
Jordan Mason

a Short-Term Dynasty Depth Piece
Dontayvion Wicks

Can Dontayvion Wicks Stand Out in Another Crowded Offense?
Chuba Hubbard

Dynasty Value Back on the Rise
Juwan Johnson

an Overlooked Buy Candidate for Contending Dynasty Managers
Kimani Vidal

Easily Acquirable as a High-Value Insurance Back
Evan Mobley

Tallies Series-High 24 Points on Saturday
Donovan Mitchell

Struggles at the Line Saturday
Karl-Anthony Towns

Continues Playmaking Surge on Saturday
OG Anunoby

Delivers Clean Shooting Line Saturday
Mikal Bridges

Fills Box Score in Game 3 Win
Jalen Brunson

Pushes Knicks Closer to NBA Finals
Orlando Magic

Magic Interview Jeff Van Gundy for Head-Coaching Position
Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
Mark Jankowski

Contributes Two Assists in Game 2 Victory
Eric Robinson

Scores in Second Consecutive Game
Nikolaj Ehlers

Tallies Two Goals as Hurricanes Bounce Back Saturday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Magic Reportedly Have Giannis Antetokounmpo on Their Radar
Ja'Tavion Sanders

a Dynasty Dart Throw With Potential Untapped Upside
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Nazem Kadri

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Ross Colton

Nets Lone Avalanche Goal Friday Night
Rasmus Andersson

Extends Assist Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Focuses on Playmaking in Friday's Win
Jack Eichel

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing in Game 2 Win Friday
Ivan Barbashev

Amasses Three Points as Golden Knights Grab 2-0 Series Lead
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
CFB

Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
CFB

Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF