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Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top 101 Baller Ranks

luis severino fantasy baseball rankings starting pitchers draft sleepers MLB injury news

Hello again, RotoBallers, and welcome to the latest updated edition of my top-101 starting pitcher rankings that look at rest-of-season values. June is wrapping up soon and the season's halfway point approaches! As always, I've got you covered with ranks, tiers, trends, and notes with the top-101 in a table with other fun things like earned value via Fangraphs. It's time for another edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW% from the last 30 days. I highly encourage you to click the sheet.

As is tradition, these fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings are geared toward traditional 5x5 leagues. Without further ado, here's my top-101 SP for the rest of 2022!

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including Best MLB Series, NFL Series, NBA Writer, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

-Pablo Lopez has come back to Earth after an untouchable beginning to 2022. His year-long stats still read well but a 4.85 ERA/1.31 WHIP to go with a 4.91 FIP and modest 15.9% K-BB rate in the last month isn’t paying the bills. Remember that comical 52.2% swing-and-miss rate from April on changeups in the strike zone? That came down to 26% in May and is 22% so far in June. He’s still getting the same healthy chase rate on it, around 40%, but the superhuman start 

-Jack Flaherty returned to action on Tuesday night against the Brew Crew after good showings throughout his rehab assignment. I think some people still remember his peak from back in 2019 and attach that to his name, but health has been a struggle (only ~120 IP since then) and I’m not holding my breath for another 7% walk rate (career 8.5%). His success rides on locating the fastball high in the zone and setting up hitters to bite at it, so let’s see how that goes.

Post-start addendum: It didn’t go well! He only threw 35 strikes on 71 pitches and racked up five walks against one strikeout over three innings. He had horrible command and will need to prove he can hit his spots before I deploy him in a league.

-Logan Webb is back, baby. He’d lost the sinker sharpness for a stretch and saw his WHIP balloon and strikeouts dip as a result, but the past month has seen him post a 2.89 ERA/1.02 WHIP with 31 strikeouts in 37 ⅓ IP. When you get elite ratios with over a strikeout per inning, then you get rewarded.

-Lucas Giolito is getting flamed of late, with hitters teeing off on the four-seamer (.464 BA, .341 xBA, .714 SLG, .544 xSLG) as the whiff rate on his secondaries has slid down towards 25% from ~40% earlier in the year. The velocity is fine, the spin rate is down a touch in 2022 but not awful, and yet his command has disappeared. 

When the fastball stays high then he gets whiffs but the base hits come in waves when he fires it down the middle, which can’t be shocking to anyone. Giolito’s 12.3% Barrel–per-Batted-Ball rate (Brl/BBE) is the 11th-highest out of 161 pitchers with at least 100 batted-ball events on the season. Jose Berrios has the eighth-highest rate. Alex Cobb has the fourth-lowest at 2.5%!

-Michael Kopech had a rough go against the Astros in Houston on Sunday, which is a tough assignment on anyone, let alone a guy coming off a knee injury. Kopech planted awkwardly back on June 12 against Texas and left that start in the first inning, but escaped long-term damage and was able to make that next start at Houston. Perhaps we should’ve just taken an IL stint after he gave up four runs on seven hits and a walk over four innings against the ‘Stros.

While Kopech has had a great 2022 so far, he’s been quite the lucky fellow on top of the skill, with a 3.48 FIP and 4.49 xFIP behind the 2.38 ERA. His .194 BABIP over 56 ⅔ IP is a tough sell moving forward, as is rocking a 5.3% HR/FB rate when he’s only got a 29.4% groundball rate. That’s a lot of balls in the air, which helps keep BABIP low but it’s tough to avoid homers for long. He’ll also have workload questions to answer down the stretch after posting 69 ⅓ IP last year, largely out of the ‘pen, so I’m tempering expectations for the second half.

-Mike Clevinger and Andrew Heaney are back on the map but carry considerable re-injury risk at this point. I’m more bullish on Heaney staying healthy but pitching shoulder discomfort is a terrifying phrase. Still, the southpaw struck out seven while only walking one over five frames against Cleveland and looked as strong as ever. He gets a tough test at Atlanta next.

On the other hand, Clevinger returned out of the bullpen first, pitching two innings in relief at Coors before a slated start on Wednesday versus Arizona. Going from away at Coors (where he gave up two runs in two innings) to home against Arizona is quite the matchup swing but I doubt he works deeper than five innings. He missed 2021 due to Tommy John surgery and then opened 2022 on the IL with a knee injury, which caused him to miss April. He then hit the IL again with a triceps strain and just returned from the COVID-19 IL as well. He missed time in 2020 with a torn left meniscus and ‘19 saw him out with a back injury. Just keep some depth in place around him, yeah?

-Robbie Ray continues to return to form with a sinker anchoring his arsenal, which we noted last week. You love to see it.

-MacKenzie Gore has surrendered 14 runs over his last two starts, both of which were against Colorado, with a paltry four strikeouts next to seven walks in those 6 ⅓ IP. The worst showing came at Coors so we can largely write that off, but he’ll have to rebound at home against a potent Phillies order on Thursday to remain in our circle of trust.

-Eric Lauer slides further down with a second consecutive start allowing three home runs. There is some understanding in getting shelled at Great American Ballpark, though it continues an emerging pattern of decreased velocity and command of late. Lauer’s hot start saw him throwing the fastball under 40% of the time, but that has quietly risen towards the 45% mark over the last month per Baseball Savant. That four-seam velocity was averaging about 94 MPH early on but around mid-May began to slip, and June 17’s outing saw that figure at 92.4 MPH. Until he shows concrete improvement, he is nowhere near any must-start territory.

-Blake Snell remains a snazzy name but is 0-4 with a 5.16 BB/9 that bloats the bases and his striking out 34 in 29 ⅔ IP isn’t that special in 2022. He’s been fortunate to not surrender a home run in any of his last four games but has also eaten a BABIP north of .350 in three straight outings. The former AL Cy Young winner is not a drop, at least not while he holds a FIP of 3.43 behind the 5.46 ERA. He’s only had six starts after all, and his latest was a Coors special with reduced judgment.

 

Top-101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

These are rest-of-season fantasy baseball rankings for starting pitchers.

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ $PV Trend Notes
0 1 Corbin Burnes 1 $10.5 44.5 44.5 0.0 ▬
0 1 Gerrit Cole 2 $5.9 43.5 43.5 0.0 ▬
0 1 Shane McClanahan 3 $7.3 42.0 41.0 1.0 ▲ No signs of fading yet, TBD come August or so
0 2 Joe Musgrove 4 $8.4 41.0 41.0 0.0 ▬ QS machine returning from COVID-19 IL on 6/23
0 2 Sandy Alcantara 5 $17.6 38.0 37.0 1.0 ▲
0 2 Zack Wheeler 6 $10.6 37.5 37.0 0.5 ▲
0 2 Justin Verlander 7 $5.3 34.0 34.0 0.0 ▬
1 3 Alek Manoah 8 $9.0 32.5 32.0 0.5 ▲
1 3 Max Fried 9 $8.3 31.0 30.0 1.0 ▲
2 3 Aaron Nola 10 $12.3 30.0 27.0 3.0 ▲
0 3 Carlos Rodon 11 $4.6 29.5 29.5 0.0 ▬
-4 3 Kevin Gausman 12 $5.1 29.5 33.5 -4.0 ▼ Some bad luck going (2.74 FIP, 4.70 ERA in last 30)
0 3 Shane Bieber 13 $12.4 26.0 25.0 1.0 ▲
0 3 Frankie Montas 14 $6.1 23.0 23.0 0.0 ▬
0 3 Shohei Ohtani 15 $0.7 23.0 23.0 0.0 ▬
6 3 Logan Webb 16 $6.3 22.0 20.0 2.0 ▲
-1 4 Lance Lynn 17 $0.5 22.0 22.5 -0.5 ▼ 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 K for W as rust shakes off; BAL next
2 4 Nestor Cortes 18 $6.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 ▬ Gave up 3 HR to TB but most were short, 0 BBs too
4 4 Julio Urias 19 $4.7 20.0 19.0 1.0 ▲
4 4 Luis Severino 20 $4.1 20.0 19.0 1.0 ▲
-3 4 Dylan Cease 21 $2.8 20.0 22.5 -2.5 ▼ Excellent rebound against TOR
-5 4 Lucas Giolito 22 -$1.9 19.5 22.5 -3.0 ▼ Rolled by HOU, 1.50+ WHIP in each of last 6 starts
-2 4 Clayton Kershaw 23 $0.9 19.5 20.0 -0.5 ▼
1 4 Logan Gilbert 24 $6.5 18.0 18.0 0.0 ▬
1 4 Yu Darvish 25 $6.3 18.0 17.5 0.5 ▲
2 4 Chris Bassitt 26 $3.1 17.5 16.5 1.0 ▲
-8 4 Pablo Lopez 27 $0.1 17.5 22.0 -4.5 ▼ Only 1 QS in his last 6 starts, just hit for 6 ER
-1 5 Kyle Wright 28 $7.2 16.0 16.5 -0.5 ▼
0 5 Luis Castillo 29 $8.4 15.0 15.0 0.0 ▬
0 5 Tarik Skubal 30 $6.6 15.0 15.0 0.0 ▬
0 5 Zac Gallen 31 -$0.6 15.0 14.5 0.5 ▲
2 5 Framber Valdez 32 $4.7 14.0 13.0 1.0 ▲
2 5 Tony Gonsolin 33 $6.9 14.0 13.0 1.0 ▲ 2 solo HRs at CIN but no shame at GABP, now 9-0!
-1 5 Sean Manaea 34 $1.9 14.0 14.0 0.0 ▬ Nice rebound v. ARI w/ QS after rough Wrigley game
-3 5 Michael Kopech 35 $1.5 14.0 14.5 -0.5 ▼ Is his knee 100%? Workload limitations loom
0 5 Charlie Morton 36 $2.6 13.5 13.0 0.5 ▲
0 5 Shane Baz 37 $0.6 13.5 13.0 0.5 ▲
0 5 Jose Berrios 38 -$0.2 12.5 12.5 0.0 ▬ 3 QS streak broken w/ 4 IP, 6 ER at CWS, at MIL next
0 5 Sonny Gray 39 $6.6 12.5 12.5 0.0 ▬
0 6 Joe Ryan 40 $0.8 12.0 12.5 -0.5 ▼
0 6 Luis Garcia 41 $1.4 11.0 11.0 0.0 ▬
4 6 Andrew Heaney 42 $0.6 11.0 N/A N/A
-1 6 Carlos Carrasco 43 $6.4 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬ Poor 4.24 ERA this month but 2.98 FIP, 3.09 SIERA
-3 6 Alex Cobb 44 $0.7 10.0 N/A N/A
-1 6 Jordan Montgomery 45 $5.4 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬
1 6 Robbie Ray 46 $1.5 10.0 9.0 1.0 ▲ Sinker revitalizing approach, at OAK next
-5 6 Mike Clevinger 47 $0.1 9.5 N/A N/A
-3 6 Cristian Javier 48 $6.5 9.5 9.5 0.0 ▬
1 6 Tyler Mahle 49 $7.3 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲ Incredible 12-K gem, then 12-hit drubbing v. LAD
-1 6 George Kirby 50 $1.9 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲
-5 6 MacKenzie Gore 51 $1.7 8.5 9.0 -0.5 ▼
2 7 Triston McKenzie 52 $0.0 8.5 6.5 2.0 ▲
3 7 Jameson Taillon 53 $9.9 8.0 6.0 2.0 ▲
3 7 Nick Pivetta 54 $7.4 8.0 6.0 2.0 ▲
3 7 Tyler Anderson 55 $10.1 8.0 5.5 2.5 ▲
N/A 7 Jack Flaherty 56 N/A 8.0 N/A N/A Awful command in 1st start back, rust OK but yikes
-5.0 7 Patrick Sandoval 57 $4.8 7.5 7.5 0.0 ▬
-3 7 Roansy Contreras 58 $3.2 7.0 6.0 1.0 ▲ Got the W on Tuesday, but only 3 K in 5 IP
-8 7 Eric Lauer 59 -$2.1 6.5 7.5 -1.0 ▼ Velo dipping, results fading. 1 QS in last 5, Ks down
-7 8 Adam Wainwright 60 $5.4 6.5 7.0 -0.5 ▼
-1 8 Spencer Strider 61 $5.0 5.0 4.5 0.5 ▲ Some bad ball luck v. SF but still 4/1 K/BB at least
1 8 Martin Perez 62 $8.3 5.0 4.5 0.5 ▲
-2 8 Noah Syndergaard 63 $1.7 4.5 4.5 0.0 ▬
0 8 Paul Blackburn 64 $3.2 4.5 4.0 0.5 ▲
-6 8 Blake Snell 65 $5.3 4.0 4.5 -0.5 ▼
-1 8 Alex Wood 66 $6.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
0 8 Josiah Gray 67 $0.1 4.0 3.5 0.5 ▲ 2 straight 0 ER starts but zero run support
0 8 Jeffrey Springs 68 $4.4 4.0 3.5 0.5 ▲
0 8 Jon Gray 69 $6.1 4.0 3.5 0.5 ▲
0 8 Hunter Greene 70 $4.5 4.0 3.5 0.5 ▲ Can be a tightrope act for ratios but huge Ks
5 8 Miles Mikolas 71 $2.2 3.5 2.5 1.0 ▲
-6 8 Michael Lorenzen 72 $4.4 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
-2 8 Jose Urquidy 73 $0.5 3.5 3.0 0.5 ▲
-2 9 Brady Singer 74 $0.5 3.0 3.0 0.0 ▬
-1 9 Zach Eflin 75 $0.7 3.0 3.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 9 Anthony DeSclafani 76 N/A 3.0 N/A N/A Tough return at ATL, but 60% strike rate is good
-2 9 Trevor Rogers 77 -$2.9 2.5 3.0 -0.5 ▼
0 9 Kyle Gibson 78 $4.6 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
0 9 Cal Quantrill 79 $1.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬
0 9 Taijuan Walker 80 $8.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬
0 10 Graham Ashcraft 81 $4.2 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
0 10 Michael Wacha 82 $3.6 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
12 10 Corey Kluber 83 $5.9 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ 4 QS in last 5 turns, under K per IP tho; PIT next
-1 10 Yusei Kikuchi 84 -$3.7 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
0 10 Jose Quintana 85 $1.6 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
0 10 Chris Flexen 86 $3.6 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
1 10 Ranger Suarez 87 $3.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 10 Ian Anderson 88 $2.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
3 10 Tyler Wells 89 $3.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-13 11 Reid Detmers 90 -$0.8 1.0 2.5 -1.5 ▼ Zero QS in six turns since no-hitter
-1 11 Ross Stripling 91 $7.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-5 11 Alex Faedo 92 $2.1 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼
-2 11 Dane Dunning 93 $2.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-1 11 JT Brubaker 94 $2.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 11 Devin Smeltzer 95 -$1.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
1 11 Dakota Hudson 96 $4.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
2 11 Johnny Cueto 97 $3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
2 11 Zach Davies 98 $2.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 11 Merrill Kelly 99 $4.1 1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 11 Marco Gonzales 100 $0.7 1.0 N/A N/A 4 QS in last 5; lower Ks means lower ceiling/floor
N/A 11 David Peterson 101 $0.6 1.0 N/A N/A


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Welcome back RotoBallers! We are just a few days in after the All Star break, and we'll have a loaded week of games coming up. As always, we are here with our starting pitcher starts and sits series to help you set those winning lineups for the week ahead! For those who are not familiar,... Read More


Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/10/22)

It is Wednesday, August 10th, 2022, and we are back with another set of MLB picks for this nine-game slate starting at 7:05 pm Eastern time. This article will be focused on sides and totals. I am a huge baseball fan and baseball has been my bread and butter for the last couple of decades.... Read More


Ryan Pepiot - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Updated MLB Prospects Rankings - Top 25 Fantasy Baseball Prospects (Week 18)

The trade deadline has passed, which has made implications in the prospects rankings list this week. Some prospects got moved, creating a new paradigm for them. Some veterans I was thinking would get moved to open up a spot for a prospect to come up did not get moved. Check out all of the happenings... Read More


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Updated MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top-101 Baller Ranks

The middle of August signals a turn into the fantasy season's stretch run! Are you and your rotation ready? Last week, we looked at arms who moved at the deadline, and this week, we'll turn back to some fun leaderboards (with stats since July 1st) going into Tuesday. Let's get to it with the latest... Read More


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DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (8/10/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Welcome back to another edition of the FREE DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks. As customary, we have an all-day ledger on tap Wednesday, and although DraftKings does not have a full-day slate, FanDuel does. Consequently, today's article will feature picks on both sites for games throughout the day, as even on DK, the suggestions... Read More


Thunder Dan's MLB Betting Picks for August 10: Pitcher Props, Totals, Money Line Bets

Austin Riley Day was a big success and yesterday's bets went 7-2 overall, so I hope you cashed in and made some loot. Whether you like game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you and try to cover a little bit of everything! Last month, I started my own free... Read More


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NFL DFS Lineup Picks for DraftKings, FanDuel - Preseason Week 1 (8/12/22)

While you may feel like a bigger degenerate betting on the preseason than Clark Griswold at a Las Vegas casino, here is this week's DFS article for Week 1 of the NFL preseason because you and I both know that you're jonesing for some NFL DFS action. While it can be more difficult to project... Read More


Noah Fant - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Must-Have Tight Ends for 2022 Fantasy Football Drafts

Tight end is a fun position in fantasy football. There's a clear top group of tight ends, headlined by Travis Kelce. The top-five tight ends all count as "must-have" tight ends because of positional scarcity, but it's boring to suggest you draft the following names: Kelse, Mark Andrews, Kyle Pitts, George Kittle, and Darren Waller.... Read More


Will Davante Adams Be The Top Overall WR1? 2022 Fantasy Football Outlook

In a blockbuster deal in the offseason, the Green Bay Packers traded star wide receiver Davante Adams to the Las Vegas Raiders for a first and second-round pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. The 29-year-old finished as fantasy's WR2 in PPR formats in 2021. He caught 123-of-169 targets for 1,553 yards and 11 touchdowns over... Read More


Gerald Everett: 2022 Breakout Candidate for Fantasy Football

Gerald Everett was signed by the Los Angeles Chargers to a two-year, $12 million contract this past March. He will replace veteran tight end Jared Cook, who finished as the TE16 overall in 2021 for fantasy. Cook amassed 83 targets during his one-year stint in LA, finishing in the top 12 five weeks of last... Read More


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Running Backs Targets for Zero-RB Fantasy Football Drafts (2022)

There are so many different fantasy football draft strategies nowadays, but no other strategy comes with as much scrutiny and judgment as the zero-running back strategy. For the longest time, the running back position was widely accepted as the most important position in fantasy football. For some, that’s still very much the case. However, with... Read More


Josh Jacobs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings (Tiers 4-9) - Best Ball Leagues

Some of you have been building rosters in the best-ball leagues since the initial weeks of the offseason, and participation in this format has intensified as we have progressed through the summer. Enthusiasm for these leagues remains enormous for multiple reasons, including the ability to complete all forms of roster management after each draft. However,... Read More


Tyler Allgeier - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Must Have Running Backs for Later Rounds: Fantasy Football Breakouts Tyler Allgeier, Ty Davis-Price, Kenyan Drake

There's no "best" way to win in fantasy football, but there are some good ways, and one of those good ways is to draft good players in the late rounds. Sounds easy, right? Not really! How many times have you spent a 14th-round pick on a player and then dropped him after Week 2 because... Read More


2022 Fantasy Football Sleeper: D.J. Chark

Urban Meyer may have turned Tim Tebow into one of the greatest quarterbacks in the history of college football, but he did nobody any fantasy football favors when he “coached” the Jacksonville Jaguars last season. DJ Chark looked like he was going to be Jacksonville’s No. 1 receiver for several seasons after he posted a... Read More


Must Have Wide Receivers - Fantasy Football League Winners

Video: Must-Have Running Backs - League Winners for Fantasy Football (2022)

Joey and Dave reveal their must-have running backs for 2022 fantasy football drafts - players who are potential league-winners. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210,... Read More


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Is Desmond Ridder Going to Start for the Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons selected former Cincinnati quarterback Desmond Ridder with the 74th pick in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft. Atlanta chose him over Malik Willis and Matt Corral as the second quarterback off the board behind Kenny Pickett. We can assume the Falcons' front office believes Ridder has real upside, but it’s... Read More


Fantasy Football Busts: Ep. 95 of The Operating Room

Kev Mahserejian (@RotoSurgeon) is joined by high-stakes fantasy player Sammy Reid (@SammyReidFI) to discuss fantasy football busts in 2022. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel SiriusXM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, Saturdays from 3-5 PM, and Sundays from 3-5 PM. You can also find new weekly shows on YouTube, Spreaker, Spotify, iTunes, and on the... Read More


Is Jameis Winston Healthy? Is He The Saints Starting QB?

Jameis Winston entered last season as the heir to Hall-of-Fame quarterback Drew Brees. Winston was on track for a nice season, until suffering a torn ACL (knee) in Week 7. The Saints were forced to patchwork together starters, utilizing Taysom Hill, Trevor Siemian, and even rookie Ian Book in Week 15. This experiment was very... Read More


Elijah Mitchell - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Running Back Rankings for Fantasy Football PPR Drafts: Isiah Pacheco, Dameon Pierce, Kareem Hunt, J.K. Dobbins, Josh Jacobs

Welcome back RotoBallers to our fantasy football draft rankings series! The NFL season is creeping up on us, and we're back with our updated 2022 fantasy football running back rankings for PPR leagues. Our running back fantasy football rankings are put together by Nick Mariano, Pierre Camus, Scott Engel and Brandon Murchison. Below you will also see... Read More