X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Super Bowl Busts? Players To Consider Avoiding In DFS

49ers Defense D/ST Streamers, Rankings, Waiver Wire - Nick Bosa Fantasy Football IDP

Keith Hernandez analyzes NFL players to consider sitting or benching for Super Bowl LIV between the Chiefs and 49ers. These are his top potential fantasy football lineup busts to avoid starting.

The big game is finally here, and it feels a little strange that the Patriots won't be representing the AFC in this year's Super Bowl for the first time since 2016. Instead, it'll be a Chiefs team featuring a high-flying offense under mastermind Andy Reid, with superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes leading the ship. Will they be able to triumph over the 49ers, one of the NFL's top overall defenses? San Francisco also boasts an ingenious offensive approach under Kyle Shanahan and a multi-faceted running attack that hasn't been contained this postseason. It should be a fun one.

The biggest question surrounding this game is whether the Niners D can contain Mahomes, who has thrown for 615 yards and eight touchdowns in two playoff games leading up to this point. Oh, and he's also rushed for 106 yards and a touchdown on 15 attempts. Led by veteran cornerback Richard Sherman, the 49ers were the top-ranked pass defense in the NFL in 2019, and they were also tied for fifth with 48 sacks. If rookie Nick Bosa and company can't contain Mahomes to the pocket and limit big plays down the field, they won't have much of a shot at winning this game. I'm predicting that the Chiefs rushing attack surprises with a big game, opening things up for Mahomes to do what he does best in leading the Chiefs to their second NFL title.

Below are four potential DFS busts for Super Bowl LIV.

Editor's Note: Steer clear of costly draft mistakes with RotoBaller’s expert Fantasy Football Bust analysis. We break down overvalued players, potential letdowns, and risky ADPs to avoid, so you can build a smarter, safer roster.

 

Raheem Mostert ($9,400 on DraftKings)

Mostert won a lot of people some money in the NFC Championship when he ran for 220 yards and four touchdowns on 29 carries (7.6 yards per carry). He's become the unquestioned leader of Shanahan's deep rushing attack and should be the focal point on the ground once again. On paper against a Kansas City rush defense that allowed 128.2 ground yards per game this year (26th in the NFL), Mostert seems like a great pick.

However, keep in mind that Tevin Coleman left the game early against the Packers with a dislocated shoulder and ran the ball just six times in the NFC Championship. In the Divisional win against Minnesota, Mostert had just 12 carries, and his only game with 20-plus totes was against Green Bay when Coleman was hurt. With Coleman on track to suit up this Sunday, expect more of a timeshare. I'm expecting the Chiefs to jump out to a lead in this one, which could also hurt Mostert's workload; he was targeted more than three times in the passing game just once in 2019 back on Sept. 15 when he caught three passes on four targets.

Tyreek Hill ($11,000 on DK)

The 25-year-old speedster will be in most DFS lineups for the Super Bowl, and for good reason. He's a potential touchdown waiting to happen on every single pass play, and the Chiefs like to air it out. Hill averaged a healthy 14.8 yards per catch this season and caught five of his seven targets for 67 yards and two touchdowns in the AFC Championship against the Titans.

But as mentioned earlier, the 49ers Defense allowed the fewest receiving yards per game (192.1) and were tied with the Bills in giving up the fewest pass plays of 20-plus yards (34). Hill will certainly have his chances to spring a touchdown, and most of his scoring has come in bunches this year, but if he can't break a big one against this stingy pass defense, he has the potential to be a bust for those that roster him. And if KC gets out to an early lead, they may not need to take as many deep shots to Hill.

Harrison Butker ($4,200 on DK)

Kansas City's offense can put up points with the best of them, which helped Butker become the highest scoring fantasy kicker during the regular season. And although the Chiefs put up a whopping 86 points against the Texans and Titans to get to Super Bowl Sunday, Butker only attempted one field goal in those two games.

The Chiefs kicker was outstanding during the regular season, converting 34 of his 38 field-goal tries (89.5 percent) and 45 of his 48 extra points. They say defense wins championships, and the 49ers have a good one. But in the end I think KC's offense will be too much to handle and won't have a problem getting the ball into the end zone, which will limit Butker's chances to put up more DFS points with field goals.

49ers Defense/Special Teams ($3,600 on DK)

It's been an incredible year for defensive coordinator Robert Saleh's unit, as they allowed the second-fewest yards per game (281.8) and were the top passing defense in the NFL. But while they are stingy through the air and are a top-five pass-rushing unit, the 49ers defense has a weakness. They can be beat on the ground (112.6 rushing yards allowed per game) for an average of 4.5 yards per carry against them.

Often times elite defenses get the last laugh on the biggest stage, but I think Mahomes and the Chiefs offense as a whole is too much to handle. KC's mustachioed head coach will find ways to win on the ground to open up the Chiefs lethal air attack. San Francisco may not be able to get a leg up in the turnover department either, as Mahomes has taken care of the ball -- only five picks this year. And his offensive line has kept his jersey clean; Mahomes has been sacked more than two times in a game just twice all season. It helps that he's one of the best scrambling QBs in the game, which will be the difference.

More Weekly Lineup Prep




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Terry McLaurin

Could be a Holdout at Training Camp
Roger McCreary

a Candidate for a Contract Extension?
Max Fried

Exits Start With Blister
Mike Evans

Buccaneers Could Have Difficult Time Retaining Mike Evans
Charles Cross

Could Sign Extension Before Training Camp
Xavier Restrepo

One to Watch Going into Training Camp
Calvin Ridley

Appears Re-Energized
Mark Andrews

Still a Key Piece in Ravens Offense
Ndamukong Suh

Officially Announces his Retirement
Jaylen Waddle

Motivated After Disappointing Season
Tre Harris

Still Unsigned
Hunter Dobbins

to Miss Rest of Season With Torn ACL
Nolan Arenado

Held Out of Lineup on Saturday
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Carlos Correa

Sitting on Saturday
Austin Riley

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Nolan Arenado

Exits Friday's Contest With Sprained Finger
Jake Burger

Expects to Play on Saturday
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Wyatt Langford

Records Four-Hit Night
Cal Raleigh

Homers Twice, Drives in Five
Cody Bellinger

Swats Three Homers in Victory
Jake Burger

Leaves With Quad Discomfort on Friday
Carlos Correa

Exits Game With Mild Ankle Sprain
Edward Cabrera

Dealing with Posterior Elbow Discomfort
Austin Riley

Leaves Game Early on Friday With Abdominal Tightness
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Rafael Devers

Dealing With Back Inflammation
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Teoscar Hernández

Teoscar Hernandez Returning on Friday
Sauce Gardner

Wants to be Highest-Paid Cornerback
Rhamondre Stevenson

Heading into an Important Season
Minnesota Vikings

Josh Metellus, Vikings Have Mutual Interest in Extension
Tua Tagovailoa

2025 Could be Tua Tagovailoa's Last Season in Miami
Rashawn Slater

has "Full Confidence" a Deal Will Get Done
Byron Buxton

Returns on Friday
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Jake Meyers

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Calf Strain
Brandon Lowe

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Tightness
Kodai Senga

Reinstated to Start on Friday
Alex Bregman

Officially Activated and Starting on Friday
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Chicago Bears

Bears Extend General Manager Ryan Poles
Dalton Knecht

Avoids Serious Injury
MarShawn Lloyd

in a "Much Better Spot" Heading Into Training Camp
Javon Small

Signs Two-Way Deal
Dustin Hopkins

Browns Still Counting on Dustin Hopkins
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Set To Open Up UFC Nashville Main Card
Junior Tafa

Set For Light-Heavyweight Bout
Jalen Williams

Signs Contract Extension With Thunder
Alijah Martin

Agrees to Two-Way Deal With Raptors
Tristan Vukcevic

Set to Return to Washington
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Are "Actively Trying to Trade" Anfernee Simons
NBA

Alex Ducas Heading to Australia
Dominick Barlow

Inks Two-Way Deal With 76ers
Jordan McLaughlin

Spurs Re-Sign Jordan McLaughlin to One-Year Deal
Dylan Harper

Out Thursday, Expected to Play Saturday
VJ Edgecombe

Diagnosed with a Sprained Thumb
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
NASCAR

Sepp Straka Not Likely to Find Momentum at Scottish Open
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
NHL

Tyler Johnson Retires After 13 NHL Seasons
Jack McBain

Inks New Five-Year Deal with Mammoth
Cam York

Re-Signs with Flyers for Five Years
Jake Knapp

Fits the Mold for Success at The Renaissance Club
Ty Gibbs

Finishes Second at Chicago and Advances in In-Season Challenge
Alex Bowman

Defeats Bubba Wallace in In-Season Challenge, but Not Without Controversy
Alex Bowman

Bubba Wallace Wrecked by Alex Bowman Again, Putting Playoffs in Doubt
Michael McDowell

Throttle Failure Ends Michael McDowell's Chances to Win at Chicago
Austin Hill

Earns First NASCAR Cup Series Top Ten at Chicago
Tyler Reddick

Scores a Strong Third-Place Run at Chicago
Kyle Busch

Matches his Best Career Finish At Chicago on Sunday
Denny Hamlin

Fights his Way to a Top-5 Finish at Chicago
William Byron

has his Worst Weekend of the Season at Chicago
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF