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LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2024 Andalucía Preview and Best Bets

Jon Rahm - PGA DFS lineup picks daily fantasy golf

The LIV Golf League will hold this week’s event at Valderrama Golf Club in San Roque, Cadiz, Spain. Real Club Valderrama has hosted several prestigious events over the years including the 1997 Ryder Cup, Andalucia Masters, Volvo Masters, Ladies Spanish Open, Open de Espana, WGC-American Express Championship and beginning last year, LIV Andalucia. Valderrama has consistently been ranked the number one golf course in Spain and a top 100 course in the world.

This week will mark LIV’s second stop at Valderrama. Sergio Garcia, Eugenio Chacarra, David Puig and Jon Rahm are the four Spanish-born players in the field this week. Garcia spoke with media prior to the 2023 event and expressed his excitement about the event being held at Valderrama, calling it “the best field that Valderrama has ever seen” and went on to say that the “fans and the course both deserve a field like this.” The strength of the field has only improved and gotten more exciting for the fans with LIV’s addition of Jon Rahm.

The event will be played Friday-Sunday and will air on the CW Network in 100% of U.S. markets, as well as the CW App and LIV Golf Plus. Globally the event will be broadcasted in over 160 international territories Live and On-Demand, free of charge, via LIV Golf Plus. 

LIV Golf Andalucía Course Breakdown

Below is the official Round 1 scorecard provided by LIV Golf.

Hole 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Out
Par 4 4 3 5 4 3 4 4 4 35
Yardage 399 421 187 564 381 173 490 351 441 3407
Hole 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 In
Par 4 5 3 4 4 3 4 5 4 36
Yardage 369 557 212 418 470 225 433 536 463 3603

Valderrama was constructed in 1974 and designed by architect Robert Trent Jones. It was acquired by James Ortiz-Patino in 1984 and the course was expanded and redesigned. Jones was brought back to help with the redesign process. The course will play as a 7010-yard par-71 this week. The fourth hole La Cascada is the signature hole on the course, it is the longest hole at Valderrama, featuring a difficult two-tiered green and a pond to the right.

While the distance isn’t going to blow anyone away, Valderrama is a challenging course. Sergio Garcia, who has had a ton of success at this course, including multiple wins, has spoken about what it takes to win at Valderrama. He noted that “you have to drive the ball well” and that “you have to put the ball in the right spots. If you manage to do that, then you can score. If you don’t, it’s a grind.”

During its tenure of hosting an annual event on the DP World Tour, we have seen the winner at Valderrama get to as low as -19 and as high as +2. Last season Talor Gooch was victorious in LIV’s inaugural event at Valderrama with a winning score of -12. Only three players scored better than six-under for the week. I expect similar types of scores this week, looking at a winner somewhere between ten and thirteen under par.

Talor Gooch finished the week inside the top-3 in both fairway percentage and green in regulation percentage, emphasizing Sergio Garcia’s point above about putting the ball in the right spots around this course. In fact, each of the top three finishers: Gooch, Dechambeau and Koepka finished inside the top-five on the week in green in regulation percentage. If you get out of place at Valderrama, you are going to have an extremely hard time contending to win.

The top five LIV players this season in Green in Regulation percentage are as follows:

  1. Paul Casey
  2. Joaquin Niemann
  3. Richard Bland
  4. Jon Rahm
  5. Sergio Garcia

LIV Golf Betting Odds - Andalucía

Below are the current odds to win LIV Andalucía as posted by BetUs. Odds on different sportsbooks are subject to change, so I would recommend finding the best numbers available.

ROT ODDS TO WIN LIV GOLF ANDALUCIA MONEYLINE
1001 Bryson DeChambeau +600
1002 Joaquin Niemann +900
1003 Jon Rahm +900
1004 Tyrrell Hatton +900
1005 Sergio Garcia +1100
1006 Brooks Koepka +1500
1007 Cameron Smith +1800
1008 Talor Gooch +1800
1009 Carlos Ortiz +2000
1010 Patrick Reed +2500
1011 Abraham Ancer +2800
1012 Louis Oosthuizen +2500
1013 Dustin Johnson +3000
1014 Dean Burmester +2800
1015 Lucas Herbert +3500
1016 Marc Leishman +4000
1017 Paul Casey +3500
1018 Cameron Tringale +4000
1019 David Puig +3500
1020 Richard Bland +3500
1021 Thomas Pieters +4500
1022 Sebastian Munoz +3300
1023 Matthew Wolff +5000
1024 Adrian Meronk +4000
1025 Anirban Lahiri +5000
1026 Kevin Na +6600
1027 Jason Kokrak +5500
1028 John Catlin +4500
1029 Lee Westwood +12500
1030 Martin Kaymer +12000
1031 Brendan Steele +7000
1032 Sam Horsfield +7000
1033 Henrik Stenson +8000
1034 Peter Uihlein +10000
1035 Mito Pereira +8000
1036 Graeme McDowell +12500
1037 Harold Varner III +10000
1038 Caleb Surratt +8000
1039 Ian Poulter +12500
1040 Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra +11000
1041 Charl Schwartzel +12500
1042 Kieran Vincent +15000
1043 Matt Jones +15000
1044 Andy Ogletree +22500
1045 Scott Vincent +20000
1046 Pat Perez +27500
1047 Branden Grace +25000
1048 Phil Mickelson +30000
1049 Bubba Watson +30000

LIV Golf Betting Strategy and Selections - Andalucía

For the first time ever, I'm going single bullet this week. Everything I have looked at and researched has led me to one name.

Jon Rahm +900

Jon Rahm has been lurking around the leaderboards all season long. In eight career LIV starts, Rahm has yet to finish outside the top ten. He has finished inside the top-five in five of the eight events and has made it into the final group multiple times. Rahm won eleven times on the PGA tour before joining LIV, so it feels like his time to start racking up LIV wins is coming soon.

Rahm surprised many when he withdrew from the LIV Houston event, mid-event, with a foot injury and raised even more eyebrows after pulling out of the U.S. Open in June. However, he teed it up the following week at LIV Nashville, looking sharp while finishing tied for third. He now heads to Valderrama with a chance to get the monkey off his back. While I’m sure Rahm is motivated to pick up his first LIV win each time he tees it up, there is no event more special to him this season than this week back in his home country.

Valderrama is a special place to Rahm and played a huge role in getting him into golf. Rahm’s family attended the ’97 Ryder Cup in Spain and it was a large reason they pushed Rahm into playing golf. Seve Ballesteros, Rahm’s idol, was captain that week in 1997. He has acknowledged nobody can have the kind of impact on Spanish golf that Seve did but takes great pride in continuing to grow the game back home.

In terms of course fit, Rahm has had a spectacular statistical season. He ranks fourth in Green in Regulation percentage, first in total birdies and sixth in putting. It’s actually kind of remarkable those stats haven’t resulted in a win yet for Rahm. I spoke earlier about how important is was to hit greens at Valderrama, and that is what Rahm has done this season. I am expecting it to all come together this week for the Spaniard in his home country.

 

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