X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

DraftKings NFL DFS: Week 14 Price Analysis & Picks

Jon Anderson looks into the NFL DFS projections for week 14 to pick out some spots to attack and mispriced players for your DraftKings DFS lineups.

Hey, RotoBallers! It's Jon Anderson back again to open up the week 14 DFS slate! If you're new here, this is not meant to be a definitive "picks" article, but just a first look to point out the best game environments and best projections and value plays. Quite often, by Sunday I'm not on all of the plays I start with here, but it does set the table for the rest of the week of search.

Again, I don't think it's profitable to build a lineup based on these picks, and certainly not this early in the week. You should be focusing heavily on game environments and correlations when building lineups, and this post doesn't really give you that. It's just a table-setter to look at the slate from a high level and pick out these mid-priced players. I hope it is helping, and I will continue to make it stronger as we move forward.

We are looking at the DraftKings NFL DFS main slate on Sunday, December 11th. Here we go!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 50% off using code SUMMER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Game Environments

Teams not on the slate

  • Atlanta (bye)
  • Chicago (bye)
  • Green Bay (bye)
  • Indianapolis (bye)
  • New Orleans (bye)
  • Washington (bye)
  • Miami (SNF)
  • LA Chargers (SNF)
  • LA Rams (TNF)
  • Las Vegas (TNF)
  • New England (MNF)
  • Arizona (MNF)

 

So that's as long of a list as you'll find as we wrap up the season's bye weeks. Here are best game environments for Sunday:

  1. MIN@DET, 54 O/U, 2 point spread
  2. CLE@CIN, 48 O/U, 6 point spread
  3. PHI@NYG, 46 O/U, 7 point spread
  4. HOU@DAL, 45 O/U, 17 point spread

 

That makes Minnesota @ vs. Detroit a game that stands out head and shoulders above the rest. The game total is a full touchdown above the rest, and the Lions and Vikings rank 2nd and 3rd in fantasy points allowed this year while also having more than competent offenses. That game should be a shootout. Let's get into the projections and some early-week ideas about what to do at each position.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Josh Allen $8,300 NYJ 24.3
Jalen Hurts $8,100 NYG 23.7
Patrick Mahomes $8,000 DEN 23.6
Dak Prescott $6,500 HOU 22.2
Joe Burrow $7,000 CLE 21.4

 

Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Ryan Tannehill $5,200 JAX 17.8
Dak Prescott $6,500 HOU 22.2
Kirk Cousins $6,100 DET 19.7
Jared Goff $5,600 MIN 17.7
Geno Smith $6,200 CAR 19.6

 

Thoughts on the expensive options:

  • Patrick Mahomes is a pretty easy fade as there's just no chance the Broncos can push him at all, and their defense has performed relatively well.
  • Jalen Hurts has been amazing, scoring over 30 points in his last two games and not coming in under 20 points since week six (he's only done that twice all year). The Giants are in the bottom third of the league in terms of QB scoring against, but I'm not sure that really matters with Hurts. You can play his rock-solid floor, but I much prefer the next guy here.
  • Josh Allen scored ~only~ 24.8 points the first time he faced off against the Jets. The Bills will certainly want to win this game handily after they were beaten by the Jets in that game, and the Jets offense is running more better now with Mike White at the helm, so you can make a good case for Allen's floor and ceiling here, but it's not a lock button spot.

 

We have a whole host of nice cheap options here. Kirk Cousins is in the week's top game environment. That pushes his projection upwards, but he hasn't shown a good ceiling this year (he hasn't been able to exceed 30 points a single time) and he does not run with the ball). On the other side of that is Jared Goff, who is much like Cousins, going over 30 points just once and haveing plenty of really bad games along the way.

The other low-cost option not shown above is Tyler Huntley, who runs the ball a bunch when he gets the opportunity (ran it 10 times for 41 yards on his 59 snaps last week). He faces the Steelers' defense, which is a solid unit now with TJ Watt back, but they are nothing to necessarily shy away from. I like him as the low-cost floor option, but the ceiling is pretty low there I think.

The mid-range option is Dak Prescott. The Cowboys get the lowly Texans, so they will certainly score some points - but if the first couple of touchdowns come on rushes by Ezekiel Elliott and/or Tony Pollard, Dak probably won't be having a huge game since the Texans just aren't going to be able to score points against this Cowboys defense.

My cash game preference will be Josh Allen, but here's how I'd rank the plays on a per-dollar basis:

  1. Josh Allen
  2. Tyler Huntley
  3. Kirk Cousins
  4. Jared Goff
  5. Dak Prescott

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Running Backs

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Christian McCaffrey $8,500 TB 18.8
Dalvin Cook $7,300 DET 18.7
Derrick Henry $7,900 JAX 18.5
D'Andre Swift $5,800 MIN 15.6
Saquon Barkley $8,000 PHI 15.2

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Jerick McKinnon $4,600 DEN 12.6
D'Andre Swift $5,800 MIN 15.6
Dalvin Cook $7,300 DET 18.7
DeeJay Dallas $4,900 CAR 11.7
Najee Harris $5,800 BAL 13.7

 

Thoughts on the expensive options:

  • McCaffrey had a big game in week 13, scoring 28.6 points. It still feels thin to play him at $8,500 since he has exceed 25 points just twice in his last eight games and just doesn't have the same weekly 25-touch role that he had in the past.
  • Dalvin Cook is probably the top play at the position against the Lions. He has 42 carries and eight targets in the last two weeks, but his price has stayed outside of the top range because of his lack of touchdowns (just two rushing TD in his last five games, and one receiving touchdown all year. He's still dominating the touches even though Alxander Mattison cultured a touchdown from him last week.
  • Derrick Henry is a fine GPP option, but like usual we can't trust him in cash given how touchdown-dependent he is.

 

The value plays:

  • D'Andre Swift carried the ball 22 times last week and earned six targets, finally reclaiming his RB1 role in that offense. There is no guarantee that we will see a repeat of that in week 14, but he is one of the most electric ball carriers in the league in the top game environment with a price tag under $6,000. Huge possibilities there, but not without some risk.
  • Jerick McKinnon stands out here by the projection after he has scored double-digit fantasy points in three of his last five. The floor is near zero, but he does get a lot of targets and he is operating in a "1a" role with Isiah Pacheco ever since Clyde Edwards-Helaire hit the IR. I wouldn't make this play, but if you really, really need a cheap RB, he has a half-decent floor for the tag.
  • The Seahawks RB situation is one to monitor. Both Kenneth Walker and DeeJay Dallas got hurt last week. The projections are assuming Dallas plays and Walker sits, but we really don't have any idea about that yet.

 

The Cowboys' RBs are basically in a straight split, which has kept their projections down, but Tony Pollard is awful tempting at $6,700. The Cowboys are primed to score 4+ touchdowns in this game, and Pollard has six rushing touchdowns over his last five games, and he has played more than before in the red zone as well (he has four of the 13 red zone carries over the last three weeks since Elliott has returned). 15 touches feels very likely here, and his big-play upside is huge against this weak Houston defense.

 

My top plays:

  1. Dalvin Cook
  2. D'Andre Swift
  3. Tony Pollard
  4. Seattle RB
  5. Derrick Henry

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Stefon Diggs $8,300 NYJ 23.2
Justin Jefferson $9,000 DET 22.9
CeeDee Lamb $7,500 HOU 21.5
Ja'Marr Chase $7,900 CLE 19.7
Amon-Ra St. Brown $7,800 MIN 18.1

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Adam Thielen $4,900 DET 14.2
CeeDee Lamb $7,500 HOU 21.5
Stefon Diggs $8,300 NYJ 23.2
Richie James Jr. $3,600 PHI 9.6
Michael Gallup $4,600 HOU 12.2

 

It has been profitable this year to live in the mid-range at WR, as there have been so many standout performances in that range, but this week it's going to be tough to get away from Justin Jefferson in Detroit. He is clear #1 play (I really don't agree with the Diggs projection here as the Jets have been very strong against top wide receivers this year).

If you can't get there, then CeeDee Lamb is a fine consolidation prize. He has scored 41, 10, 21, and 20 DraftKings points over the last four weeks and the Texans just really don't have an answer for him. The risk is that he doesn't get a piece of the first couple of touchdowns and then the Cowboys just play the "run out of the clock" game in the second half, but the floor is still very strong for him as he's averaging more than nine targets per game this year.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's price is creeping up, but it's still not high enough. He has 10, 9, 11, 8, 10, and 12 targets over the last six games and has exceeded 30 DraftKings points in both of the last two weeks.

One guy not making it here that should be is Garrett Wilson. In these last two games with Mike White as the starting QB, he has 23 targets and 257 yards, scoring 26.4 and 27.2 DraftKings points in those two games. He is still priced below $6,000 - I don't see how you get away from that role for that price even given the tougher matchup with Buffalo.

 

My top plays:

  1. Justin Jefferson
  2. Amon-Ra St. Brown
  3. Garrett Wilson
  4. CeeDee Lamb
  5. DJ Chark

DraftKings NFL DFS Tight Ends

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Travis Kelce $7,600 DEN 20.7
Mark Andrews $6,500 PIT 16.3
Dalton Schultz $4,400 HOU 13.1
T.J. Hockenson $5,100 DET 12.5
George Kittle $4,300 TB 11.5

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Dalton Schultz $4,400 HOU 13.1
Travis Kelce $7,600 DEN 20.7
George Kittle $4,300 TB 11.5
Mark Andrews $6,500 PIT 16.3
T.J. Hockenson $5,100 DET 12.5

 

The five top projections here are also the top per-dollar plays. I don't think Kelce is a cash play for the same reason I don't think Mahomes is one. Schultz is a strong play there with 7, 8, 5, 4, and 6 targets over his last five games, and his Cowboys are in a great spot. George Kittle is considerable at a shockingly low price of $4,300 - but all things considered, it's another tough week for tight end decisions.

A couple of other names to consider:

  • Chigoziem Okonkwo is just $2,7o0 and played a season-high 31 snaps and ran a season-high 20 routes in week 13. He is a really great athlete and has earned five targets in each of his lats two games despite sharing the role with Austin Hooper. His floor is incredibly low, but I like the upside for the very low price.
  • Greg Dulcich continues to be a key factor in the Broncos' pass attack, it's just unfortunate that the Broncos' pass attack just does not work at all. He earned eight targets last week and hauled in six fo them for 85 yards. He certainly has a strong ceiling here.

 

My Top Plays:

  1. Dalton Schultz
  2. Greg Dulcich
  3. George Kittle
  4. T.J. Hockenson
  5. Travis Kelce

 

That's it, we've opened the can of another tough Sunday NFL DFS slate. I hope it helps, but remember to keep checking back all week long for more NFL DFS picks and analysis right here on RotoBaller!

 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaylen Johnson

Chargers Place Jaylen Johnson on PUP List
Dereck Lively II

Undergoes Right-Foot Surgery Tuesday
Kendrick Bourne

Kayshon Boutte Fighting for Final Spots
Isaiah Collier

Logs a Double-Double in Summer League Action on Monday
DeMario Douglas

Kyle Williams "Locks" for Receiving Corps
Trey Smith

Chiefs, Trey Smith Finalizing Massive Extension
Anthony Richardson Sr.

Colts Expected to Ease Anthony Richardson Sr. Back in
Devin Carter

Posts 17 Points Versus Suns
Bronny James Jr.

Scores 17 Points in Summer League Loss
Terry McLaurin

Undecided on Whether he Will Report to Training Camp
Colston Loveland

Says his Shoulder is 100 Percent
Harrison Ingram

has Impressive Outing Against Jazz
Sam Williams

has Potential to be Elite Edge Rusher
Shemar Stewart

Considering Going Back to College?
Jahmyr Gibbs

Lions Want Jahmyr Gibbs "More Involved" in Passing Game
Jordan Addison

Could be Facing Three-Game Suspension
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Kyle Filipowski

Records 35-Point Double-Double Against Spurs
Kel'el Ware

Dominates Against Celtics
Kon Knueppel

Gets Going Monday
Matas Buzelis

Puts Up 28 Points in Win Over Pacers
Reed Sheppard

Shut Down for Rest of Summer League
Paul George

Undergoes Arthroscopic Knee Surgery
Oneil Cruz

Ties Home Run Derby Distance Record
Cal Raleigh

Wins 2025 Home Run Derby
Najee Harris

Likely to Miss Time at Start of Training Camp
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Collin Morikawa

Misses The Cut at Genesis Scottish Open
Hideki Matsuyama

Finishes Tied For 13th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Brooks Koepka

Finishes Tied For 32nd at LIV Andalucia
Tommy Fleetwood

Finishes Tied For 34th at Genesis Scottish Open
Jason Day

Misses The Cut at John Deere Classic
Ludvig Aberg

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Cam Taylor-Britt

has Benefited From Addition of Al Golden
Rome Odunze

Could Take Off in Year 2
RJ Harvey

to Get "Significant" Work in Broncos' Passing Game
Jackson Powers-Johnson

More Comfortable Heading into Year 2
Luke McCaffrey

In Line for Larger Role?
Braelon Allen

Jets Viewing Braelon Allen as Long-Term Starter?
Joel Embiid

Participating in Partial Basketball Activities
Victor Wembanyama

Officially Cleared to Return After Blood-Clot Recovery
Mike Williams

Heading to PUP List
Garrett Wilson

Lands Historic Deal
Colston Loveland

Shoulder "Good" After Surgery
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Kel'el Ware

Collects 21 Points in Summer League Loss on Sunday
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Cam Spencer

Contract Being Restructured
Drew Timme

Scores 30 Points in Summer League Loss to Wizards
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Alexandre Sarr

Logs Impressive Outing in Summer League Action on Sunday
Junior Tafa

Unsuccessful in his Light-Heavyweight Debut
Kyle Filipowski

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss to Warriors
Cody Williams

Collects 22 Points in Summer League Loss on Sunday
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Boston Celtics

Damian Lillard Drawing Interest from the Celtics
Miami Marlins

Marlins Select Aiva Arquette With Seventh Overall Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Select Seth Hernandez with Sixth Overall Pick
Kyle Stowers

Punishes Former Team with Three-Homer Game
St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals Select Liam Doyle with Fifth Overall Pick
Daniel Gafford

Agrees to Contract Extension with Dallas
Colorado Rockies

Rockies Select Ethan Holliday Fourth Overall
Seattle Mariners

Kade Anderson Selected Third Overall by Seattle
Ha-Seong Kim

X-rays on Ha-Seong Kim's Foot Come Back Negative
Los Angeles Angels

Tyler Bremner Selected Second Overall by Angels in 2025 MLB Draft
Washington Nationals

Nationals Select Eli Willits First Overall
Jake Meyers

to Miss More Than Three Weeks With Calf Injury
Edward Cabrera

Hopeful to Avoid Injured List
Oneil Cruz

Absent on Sunday
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF