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Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators.
Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and Loop Data.
If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.
Toyota Owners 400: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. Research Station indicators are in italics. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2020 at Richmond Raceway, covering the last five Cup series events unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds.
Kyle Larson: Second-best best Implied Odds to win (11.4%). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (63.45).
William Byron: Tied for the best Implied Odds to win (11.4%). Aiming for his third win of the 2023 season.
Kevin Harvick: Fourth in Driver Rating (106.5). Third in Quality Passes (272). All-time series best Driver Rating of 109.6. Tied for the best Implied Odds to win (11.4%). Has finished first and second in the last two Richmond races.
Christopher Bell: Third in Fastest Laps Run (145), All-time series-best Average Finish of 6.0. Projected to be the highest-rostered driver (32%). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (64.05). Second-Best Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Richmond races (12.3). Second-Best Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Richmond races (26.4). Bell has four Top 6 finishes this season and he starts 21st.
Kyle Busch: Second in all-time Driver Rating at Richmond (109.0). Second in Green Flag Passes (519) and Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under green flag conditions, 274).
Joey Logano: Third in Driver Rating (113.6). Second in Laps Led (317), fourth in Fastest Laps Run (114). Projected to score 56.20 fantasy points, the most of any driver under $9500 on DraftKings. Has finished in the Top 5 in 3 of the last 4 Richmond races.
Denny Hamlin: Leads in Driver Rating (118.0). First among Closers (2.8 average spots gained in the final 10 percent of Richmond races). First in Fastest Laps Run (229) and Laps Led (476). Has finished in the Top 4 in the last 4 Richmond races. This could be a track where he and our next driver can possibly recapture some of their past form. Hamlin does not have a Top 5 finish yet this season.
Martin Truex Jr: Second in Driver Rating (116.3). Second in Fastest Laps Run (177), third in Laps Led (267). Has finished in the Top 5 in 3 of the last 4 Richmond races. Truex has only one Top 10 finish so far this season, so the hope is that this can be a better week for him because of the venue.
Richmond odds and projections from the RotoBaller Research Station.
Ryan Blaney: Projected to score 54.40 fantasy points, the most of any driver under $9000 on DraftKings. Blaney does have two top-seven finishes in his last three starts, so he is a quality play at $8800.
Brad Keselowski: Fourth in Laps Led (217). Projected to score 41.35 fantasy points, the most of any driver under $8500 on DraftKings. Third-best Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Richmond races (10.2).
Ty Gibbs: Leads in Driver Rating in the last four Xfinity Series races at Richmond (130.8). Gibbs is shooting for his third consecutive top-10 finish.
Daniel Suarez: Third in Green Flag Passes (492). He could be a decent Place Differential play starting from the 20th position.
Austin Dillon: Projected to score 40.70 fantasy points, the most of any driver under $7500 on DraftKings.
Chase Briscoe: Projected to score 41.30 fantasy points, the most of any driver under $8000 on DraftKings.
Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis are also featured at The Game Day.
