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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 16

I've already given my take on players who are "buy high" candidates for the second half, if you will. Those players have already been covered in this space previously, so I'll dig a little deeper for buy candidates since not much has changed over the past week in player values.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 16

Andrelton Simmons (SS, LAA) 61% owned

Remember Erick Aybar? He's still going strong in San Diego, although not quite to the level he showed when he was the Angels' starting shortstop. Between 2009-2014, Aybar averaged 18 steals, 83 runs, and an average in the 270s. Simmons is on pace to put up similar numbers, with 13 steals, 41 runs, 39 RBI and a .290 average in 338 at-bats this year. Known mainly for his defense, Simmons has shown the ability to help out in mixed leagues of 14 or more teams that require a MI spot. The ceiling is limited, but if you're trying to play it safe for the stretch run to protect a lead in the standings, he might give you the consistency you need.

Tommy Pham (OF, STL) 34% owned

OK, I'm only about two months late on this one, but Pham has finally made me a believer. When a player has a couple years of Major League experience under his belt and hasn't done anything whatsoever, I tend to be a big skeptic of hot streaks. This time, Pham has shown that he could legitimately finish with a 20/20 season that includes an average near .300. Sure, his .370 BABIP and 34.4% HR/FB are due for sharp drops and he's clearly playing over his head, but sometimes you just have to ride the wave and enjoy it while it lasts. Pham's magical season (for him) has picked right up where it left off after the break, with two hits and a steal on Friday. Pick him up already and keep him in your lineup until he shows that he's out of gas.

Carlos Rodon (SP, CWS) 50% owned

All of a sudden, Rodon went from a non-factor to the ace of the staff in Chicago. With the trade of Jose Quintana to the other side of town, Rodon suddenly takes the mantle for the White Sox as the leader of their rebuilding effort. In three starts, Rodon is 1-2 with a 4.32 ERA and 12 walks in 16 2/3 innings. Not encouraging, but it will take him a little time to round into game shape after missing three months with a biceps injury. Rodon has never been a WHIP-friendly pitcher, posting ratios of 1.44 and 1.39 in his first two Major League seasons, so his current 1.38 could be here to stay. He should provide an above-average K rate with a sub-4.00 ERA, though. He has more value in leagues that count quality starts rather than wins, but he figures to be a decent back-end rotation arm in most deeper mixed leagues down the stretch.

 

Overrated Players - Week 16

Ian Kinsler (2B, DET) 83% owned

Usually the model of consistency, Kinsler is just one of several veterans in Detroit having a disappointing season. Last year, he seemed to have a rebirth, slugging 28 home runs and scoring 117 runs at the age of 34. He's followed it up with a career-low .240 average and just nine homers over 71 games. The smart thing for the Tigers to do would be to sell, sell, sell before the deadline and go into rebuild mode. It's unclear whether that will happen, but Kinsler's immediate future is unclear. If he stays in Detroit but others go, he could see himself surrounded by inferior talent in the second half. He certainly has the talent and track record to rebound, but it isn't a given. Unfortunately, his trade value is pretty low in fantasy so you may be stuck with him if you're a Kinsler owner.

Hunter Pence (OF, SF) 40% owned

Pence's ownership has gradually fallen under the halfway mark, but it's still way too high. In his prime, Pence had a seven-year stretch of 20+ homers and has six seasons of double-digit steals under his belt. It's painfully obvious neither of those marks will be reached this year. He has a .660 OPS that is 142 points below his career average and below league-average for any outfielder. Not a lot has changed about his contact rates or plate discipline, it's just that he's hitting with less authority and has a paltry 11.1% LD% that is resulting in fewer base knocks. There is no hope at this point for the Giants, so it appears to be a lost season for all players not named Posey in that lineup. Take a chance on a young player like Clint Frazier or Bradley Zimmer instead.

AJ Ramos (RP, MIA) 84% owned

Hearing that the Marlins might be sellers at the trade deadline basically just means that it's July. Rumors don't always prove true, but unless the team comes out the gate on fire in the second half, there's a good chance Ramos and other bullpen pieces will be sold off. Ramos hasn't been great this year anyway, posting a 4.19 ERA and walking nearly five batters per nine innings. He imploded again in the first game after the break, allowing three runs and blowing a save. While owning him is a necessary in any league that counts saves, that could change if he's traded to become a setup man elsewhere. It's best for fantasy owners to trade him now ahead of the deadline. If nothing else, you'll be sparing your ratios by parting ways with him.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Alvin Kamara

Doesn't Practice on Wednesday
Lukas Dostal

Out Wednesday Night
Sean Durzi

Available Against Canadiens
Thomas Chabot

to Remain Out Wednesday
Jared McCann

Expected to Rejoin Kraken Lineup Wednesday
Andre Burakovsky

a Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Zach Edey

Good to Go Versus New Orleans
Mikko Rantanen

Returns to Stars Lineup Wednesday
J.K. Dobbins

Could Return Later This Season
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Available on Wednesday
Mark Stone

Ready to Return Wednesday
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Good to go on Wednesday
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Norman Powell

Back in Action Wednesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Ruled Out on Wednesday Evening
Andrew Wiggins

Will Suit Up Against Milwaukee
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

a Game-Time Decision on Wednesday
Terry McLaurin

Plans to Play on Sunday Night
Dru Smith

Available Versus Bucks
Miami Heat

Jamie Jaquez Jr. Available for Wednesday's Matchup With Milwaukee
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Upgraded to Probable Against Bucks
Pat Connaughton

Sidelined on Wednesday
Dylan Harper

Set to Suit Up Wednesday
Jonathan Kuminga

Sent to G League on Wednesday
Landry Shamet

Sidelined at Least Four Weeks
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers Won't Open Brandon Aiyuk's Practice Window This Week
Joe Burrow

Bengals Officially Activate Joe Burrow for a Return on Thanksgiving
C.J. Stroud

Practicing Wednesday
Trey Benson

Spotted at Practice on Wednesday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Back at Practice Wednesday
DeVonta Smith

Missing From Practice Again on Wednesday
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte
Jaxson Dart

to be a Full Participant at Wednesday's Practice
Dalton Kincaid

has "a Chance" to Play in Week 13
Drake London

"Doubtful" to Return from Knee Injury in Week 13
Jayden Daniels

Could Return in Week 14
Aaron Rodgers

Slated to Return in Week 13
Baker Mayfield

Could Play This Week
Josh Jacobs

"Good to Go" in Pivotal NFC North Matchup on Thanksgiving
Steven Adams

Ruled Out Wednesday Against Warriors
George Pickens

Expected to Play Thursday Against the Chiefs
J.J. McCarthy

Not Expected to Play Sunday in Seattle
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Questionable With Hip Soreness On Wednesday
Grayson Allen

Sidelined For Sixth Straight Game
Dylan Harper

Nearing Return From Calf Strain
Josh Norris

Nearing Return
Kevin Lankinen

Not Traveling With Canucks
Zach Edey

Status in Doubt Ahead of Pelicans Matchup
Zach Werenski

Escapes Serious Injury, May Play Wednesday
Auston Matthews

Could Be an Option Wednesday
Neemias Queta

Ruled Out For Wednesday's Contest
Jason Robertson

Scores in Seventh Consecutive Game
Wyatt Johnston

Ends Dry Spell With Four-Point Performance
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

May Skip Wednesday's Contest
DeVonta Smith

Listed as DNP on Tuesday
Vinnie Hinostroza

to Miss 4-6 Weeks
Pyotr Kochetkov

Dealing With Undisclosed Injury
Tristan Jarry

Expected to Be Available Wednesday
Evgenii Dadonov

Doubtful for Wednesday
J.T. Miller

Joins Team for Road Trip
Joel Kiviranta

Ready to Return Wednesday
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Expected to Return on Saturday
Jauan Jennings

Won't be Suspended
Omarion Hampton

Chargers Open Omarion Hampton's Practice Window
J.T. Realmuto

Red Sox Showing Interest in J.T. Realmuto
Sonny Gray

Red Sox Acquire Sonny Gray From the Cardinals
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Makai Lemon, Skyler Bell Named Biletnikoff Award Finalists
Sam Reinhart

Extends Scoring Streak With Three-Point Effort
Shohei Ohtani

to Play for Team Japan in 2026 World Baseball Classic
Colorado Rockies

Warren Schaeffer to Stick Around as Rockies Manager in 2026
CFB

Chris Bell Out for Rivalry Matchup Against Kentucky
Ryan Helsley

Tigers Eyeing Ryan Helsley as a Starter
Dan Hooker

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Marcus Semien

Shipped to the Mets on Sunday
Arman Tsarukyan

Gets Submission Win
Brandon Nimmo

Traded to Texas
Belal Muhammad

Loses Back-to-Back Fights
Belal Muhammad

Ian Machado Garry Outpoints Belal Muhammad
Alonzo Menifield

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Volkan Oezdemir

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jack Hermansson

Gets Knocked Out
Jack Hermansson

Myktybek Orolbai Knocks Out Jack Hermansson
Shamil Gaziev

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Shines At UFC Qatar
Tagir Ulanbekov

Suffers Third-Round Submission Loss
Kyoji Horiguchi

Makes Triumphant UFC Return
Adolis García

Rangers Non-Tender Adolis Garcia on Friday
CFB

Beau Pribula Expected to Start Against Oklahoma
Dan Hooker

An Underdog At UFC Qatar
Arman Tsarukyan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Ian Machado Garry

A Favorite At UFC Qatar
Belal Muhammad

Looks To Bounce Back
Alonzo Menifield

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Volkan Oezdemir

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Myktybek Orolbai

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jack Hermansson

Makes His Welterweight Debut
Kyoji Horiguchi

Returns To The UFC

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP