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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 16

I've already given my take on players who are "buy high" candidates for the second half, if you will. Those players have already been covered in this space previously, so I'll dig a little deeper for buy candidates since not much has changed over the past week in player values.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 16

Andrelton Simmons (SS, LAA) 61% owned

Remember Erick Aybar? He's still going strong in San Diego, although not quite to the level he showed when he was the Angels' starting shortstop. Between 2009-2014, Aybar averaged 18 steals, 83 runs, and an average in the 270s. Simmons is on pace to put up similar numbers, with 13 steals, 41 runs, 39 RBI and a .290 average in 338 at-bats this year. Known mainly for his defense, Simmons has shown the ability to help out in mixed leagues of 14 or more teams that require a MI spot. The ceiling is limited, but if you're trying to play it safe for the stretch run to protect a lead in the standings, he might give you the consistency you need.

Tommy Pham (OF, STL) 34% owned

OK, I'm only about two months late on this one, but Pham has finally made me a believer. When a player has a couple years of Major League experience under his belt and hasn't done anything whatsoever, I tend to be a big skeptic of hot streaks. This time, Pham has shown that he could legitimately finish with a 20/20 season that includes an average near .300. Sure, his .370 BABIP and 34.4% HR/FB are due for sharp drops and he's clearly playing over his head, but sometimes you just have to ride the wave and enjoy it while it lasts. Pham's magical season (for him) has picked right up where it left off after the break, with two hits and a steal on Friday. Pick him up already and keep him in your lineup until he shows that he's out of gas.

Carlos Rodon (SP, CWS) 50% owned

All of a sudden, Rodon went from a non-factor to the ace of the staff in Chicago. With the trade of Jose Quintana to the other side of town, Rodon suddenly takes the mantle for the White Sox as the leader of their rebuilding effort. In three starts, Rodon is 1-2 with a 4.32 ERA and 12 walks in 16 2/3 innings. Not encouraging, but it will take him a little time to round into game shape after missing three months with a biceps injury. Rodon has never been a WHIP-friendly pitcher, posting ratios of 1.44 and 1.39 in his first two Major League seasons, so his current 1.38 could be here to stay. He should provide an above-average K rate with a sub-4.00 ERA, though. He has more value in leagues that count quality starts rather than wins, but he figures to be a decent back-end rotation arm in most deeper mixed leagues down the stretch.

 

Overrated Players - Week 16

Ian Kinsler (2B, DET) 83% owned

Usually the model of consistency, Kinsler is just one of several veterans in Detroit having a disappointing season. Last year, he seemed to have a rebirth, slugging 28 home runs and scoring 117 runs at the age of 34. He's followed it up with a career-low .240 average and just nine homers over 71 games. The smart thing for the Tigers to do would be to sell, sell, sell before the deadline and go into rebuild mode. It's unclear whether that will happen, but Kinsler's immediate future is unclear. If he stays in Detroit but others go, he could see himself surrounded by inferior talent in the second half. He certainly has the talent and track record to rebound, but it isn't a given. Unfortunately, his trade value is pretty low in fantasy so you may be stuck with him if you're a Kinsler owner.

Hunter Pence (OF, SF) 40% owned

Pence's ownership has gradually fallen under the halfway mark, but it's still way too high. In his prime, Pence had a seven-year stretch of 20+ homers and has six seasons of double-digit steals under his belt. It's painfully obvious neither of those marks will be reached this year. He has a .660 OPS that is 142 points below his career average and below league-average for any outfielder. Not a lot has changed about his contact rates or plate discipline, it's just that he's hitting with less authority and has a paltry 11.1% LD% that is resulting in fewer base knocks. There is no hope at this point for the Giants, so it appears to be a lost season for all players not named Posey in that lineup. Take a chance on a young player like Clint Frazier or Bradley Zimmer instead.

AJ Ramos (RP, MIA) 84% owned

Hearing that the Marlins might be sellers at the trade deadline basically just means that it's July. Rumors don't always prove true, but unless the team comes out the gate on fire in the second half, there's a good chance Ramos and other bullpen pieces will be sold off. Ramos hasn't been great this year anyway, posting a 4.19 ERA and walking nearly five batters per nine innings. He imploded again in the first game after the break, allowing three runs and blowing a save. While owning him is a necessary in any league that counts saves, that could change if he's traded to become a setup man elsewhere. It's best for fantasy owners to trade him now ahead of the deadline. If nothing else, you'll be sparing your ratios by parting ways with him.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Xavier Worthy

Expected to Play in Week 12
Alvin Kamara

to Suit Up for Clash with Falcons
Kenneth Walker III

Should Be Active Vs. Titans
Chris Godwin

Bucs to Manage Chris Godwin's Workload in Week 12
Bucky Irving

Likely Back in Week 13
Joe Burrow

Trending Toward Playing on Thanksgiving
Nic Dowd

Out Against Lightning
Jake Evans

Good to Go Saturday
Gavin Brindley

to Sit Out at Least Two Games
Thomas Chabot

Available Against Sharks
Roman Josi

Returns From 12-Game Absence
Jake Walman

Out Saturday
Kawhi Leonard

Expected to Return on Sunday
J.T. Miller

Won't Play Against Mammoth
Brenton Strange

Activated Off Injured Reserve, Will Play vs. Arizona
Chris Godwin

Expected to Play in Week 12
Kawhi Leonard

Sidelined for Saturday's Game Against Hornets
Joe Burrow

Won't Be Activated This Week
Tre Mann

Dealing With Ankle Soreness
Jaden Ivey

Could Make Season Debut Soon
Tobias Harris

Listed as Questionable for Saturday
Aaron Gordon

Expected to Miss Time With Hamstring Injury
Matas Buzelis

Leaves Friday's Game Early With Ankle Issue
Gabriel Vilardi

Has Two Goals in Losing Effort
Jordan Staal

Provides Two Goals in Friday's Win
Matt Boldy

Amasses Three Points in Impressive Road Win
Filip Gustavsson

Shuts Out Penguins Friday
Josh Doan

Pots Two Goals Friday Night
Alex Tuch

Tallies Four Assists in Big Win
Vinnie Hinostroza

Suffers Serious Injury Friday
Aaron Gordon

Won't Return to NBA Cup Meeting with Houston
Travis Kelce

Open to Returning in 2026?
Onyeka Okongwu

Could Miss Matchup With Pelicans
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers, Brandon Aiyuk Headed for a Divorce Soon?
D'Angelo Russell

Ruled Out Against Pelicans
Trey Hendrickson

Ruled Out for Week 12
Tre Jones

Cleared to Play Friday with Planned Minutes Limit
Jaden McDaniels

Cleared to Face Phoenix
Coby White

Ruled Out for Friday's Game Against Miami
Jarrett Allen

Ruled Out on Friday
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Doubtful as Grizzlies Face Mavericks
Adolis García

Rangers Non-Tender Adolis Garcia on Friday
Jaylon Tyson

Returning Versus Indiana
Darius Garland

Cleared to Play on Friday, Expected to See Limited Action
Marvin Bagley III

to Miss Friday's Game Against Raptors
Auston Matthews

Doubtful for Saturday
Rashod Bateman

Ruled Out for Week 12
Alexandre Sarr

Ruled Out for a Second Straight Game
Roman Josi

Could Return Saturday
Samuel Honzek

Out for Six Months After Surgery
Chris Godwin

Officially Questionable for Week 12
Sion James

Expected to Play Through Groin Issue Saturday
Jalen Chatfield

Available for Friday's Matchup
Andrew Wiggins

Labeled as "Day-to-Day"
Nico Sturm

Activated From Injured Reserve
Jason Zucker

Available Friday
Connor Hellebuyck

to Miss 4-6 Weeks
Jaylen Warren

Cleared From Injury Report Ahead of Week 12
Brian Thomas Jr.

Ruled Out for Week 12
Kenneth Walker III

Listed as Questionable for Week 12
Trey Benson

Ruled Out For Week 12
Josh Jacobs

Officially Questionable to Play in Week 12
Darius Slayton

Cleared to Return From Hamstring Injury in Week 12
Daniel Jones

"Good to Go" for Week 12
CFB

Beau Pribula Expected to Start Against Oklahoma
Dan Hooker

An Underdog At UFC Qatar
Arman Tsarukyan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Ian Machado Garry

A Favorite At UFC Qatar
Belal Muhammad

Looks To Bounce Back
Alonzo Menifield

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Volkan Oezdemir

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Myktybek Orolbai

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jack Hermansson

Makes His Welterweight Debut
Kyoji Horiguchi

Returns To The UFC
Tagir Ulanbekov

Set To Open Up UFC Qatar Main Card
Elly De La Cruz

Played Through Partially Torn Quad to End 2025
Tarik Skubal

Tigers "Doubtful" to Trade Tarik Skubal
Raisel Iglesias

Returning to the Braves on One-Year Deal
Sahith Theegala

Looking to Continue Fall Run at RSM Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Looking to Bounce Back at RSM Classic
Tom Hoge

Looking to Regain Form at RSM Classic
Joe Highsmith

Searching for Turnaround at RSM Classic
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Build on T11 Finish in Bermuda
Austin Eckroat

Searching for Momentum at RSM Classic
Joel Dahmen

Trying to Find Form at the RSM Classic
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful to Play Against Western Kentucky
Michael Thorbjornsen

Hopes to End 2025 Campaign With Another Solid Finish
Andrew Novak

Looks to End 2025 Season on High Note at RSM Classic
Harry Higgs

Teetering for PGA Tour Card in 2026
PGA

Nico Echavarria has the Potential to Contend at the RSM Classic
Sam Stevens

Finishing Out Year in Georgia
Seamus Power

Playing Better at the Right Time
Beau Hossler

Roller Coaster Comes to Saint Simons Island
Quade Cummins

The Time is Now for Quade Cummins in Georgia
Austin Cook

Needs a Win at the RSM Classic
Cameron Champ

on the PGA Tour Card Bubble
Grayson Rodriguez

Shipped to Angels
Taylor Ward

Orioles Acquire Taylor Ward From Angels
Shota Imanaga

Accepts Cubs Qualifying Offer
Brandon Woodruff

Returning to Milwaukee in 2026
Denny McCarthy

Looking For Another Solid Finish at RSM Classic
Si Woo Kim

Looking To Use Current Momentum to Flip Script at RSM Classic
Mackenzie Hughes

a Good Bounce-Back Candidate at RSM Classic
Harris English

Making 14th Start at This Week's RSM Classic
Konnor Griffin

Could Compete for Starting Shortstop Job in 2026
Gleyber Torres

Accepts Tigers Qualifying Offer
CFB

Sam Leavitt Set to Enter Transfer Portal?
Jose Altuve

Undergoes Foot Surgery
Alex Bregman

Red Sox Going for Either Alex Bregman or Pete Alonso?
CFB

James Franklin to be Virginia Tech's Next Head Coach
CFB

Fernando Mendoza the Clear Heisman Trophy Favorite?
CFB

Beau Pribula Has Chance to Face Oklahoma on Saturday
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated
Islam Makhachev

Claims UFC Welterweight Belt
Zhang Weili

Gets Outclassed
Valentina Shevchenko

Wins Unanimous Decision At UFC 322
Sean Brady

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP