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Best NFL Player Prop Bets, Anytime Touchdown Scorer, and Expert Picks - Week 3 Analysis (2025)

Drake Maye - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Best NFL Week 3 anytime touchdown (TD) scorer bets and prop bets. Expert picks, player props predictions, and top odds to target for win your Week 3 NFL bets.

Boy, Week 2 was a wild one! Daniel Jones continued his best Undertaker impression and once again rose from the grave to lead the Indianapolis Colts to a victory over the Denver Broncos. We also saw huge performances from Ja'Marr Chase, Malik Nabers, Jonathan Taylor, and even Russell Wilson of all people! Did anyone out there actually have a ticket on Wilson throwing for over 400+ yards and three touchdowns after his horrific Week 1? I’d have to see it to believe, but if so, congratulations on making a ton of money.

We saw several quarterbacks suffer injuries that impacted the player prop market last week and will continue to do so moving forward. However, there’s no time to cry over spilled milk when trying to beat the sportsbooks. So, let’s cut to the chase and get to all the action.

Make sure you’re following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your fantasy football needs. Here are my favorite player props and anytime touchdown bets for Week 3 of the 2025 NFL season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Week 3 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets

Brock Bowers Anytime Touchdown (+185) DraftKings Sportsbook

Risk 1 Unit to Win 1.85 Units

I love Bowers in this matchup and have been looking for the best way to attack his player props this weekend. However, I think the move is to take a shot at him finding the endzone. The Washington Commanders were absolutely torched by Green Bay Packers tight end Tucker Kraft last Thursday Night. Washington has allowed the third-most receiving yards to tight ends through two games and is 26th in DVOA against the position.

I’ll take plus odds on the NFL’s best tight end finding the endzone in a good matchup.

Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+300) DraftKings Sportsbook

Risk .5 Units to Win 1.5 Units

New England takes on a Pittsburgh Steelers team whose defense suddenly looks old and slow. Pittsburgh struggled to stop another mobile quarterback in Justin Fields back in Week 1. Fields ran for 48 rushing yards and scored two touchdowns on the ground in that game.

Maye is more than capable of using his legs, and he's coming off a strong Week 2 performance against the Miami Dolphins, where he threw two passing touchdowns and scored a rushing touchdown as well. These are great odds to take a shot at him finding the endzone again this weekend. I don’t mind sprinkling a tiny wager on him to score two+ touchdowns (+2200) either.

Matthew Golden Anytime Touchdown (+220) FanDuel Sportsbook

Risk .5 Units to Win 1.1 Units

Golden and quarterback Jordan Love are going to connect on a deep shot one of these days. It’s just a matter of time. Even though the Cleveland Browns' defense grades out well in several metrics, I think their secondary is vulnerable. Cleveland also ranks 31st in defensive DVOA against opposing teams’ WR1s.

I believe Golden will function in that role following the loss of fellow receiver Jayden Reed, and I love him to find the endzone in this game.

Bhayshul Tuten Anytime Touchdown (+260) Bet365 Sportsbook

Risk .5 Units to Win 1.3 Units

What am I missing here? I advised readers to play this prop last week at similar odds, and Tuten scored on a passing play of all things.

That is not what I expected, but this development gives us another out to hit this wager. Somehow, Jacksonville still has not had a rushing play inside the five-yard line through two games, and for all we know, Tuten could be the team’s preferred goal-line back over Travis Etienne Jr.

These odds are wrong, and until the books adjust, we should attack this friendly line.

 

Week 3 Passing Prop Bets

Jake Browning UNDER 239.5 Passing Yards (-114) FanDuel Sportsbook

Risk 1.14 Units to Win 1 Unit

Browning threw for 324 yards against the Minnesota Vikings when these two teams met back in 2023. That game was at home in Cincinnati, though, and this time the Bengals will travel to Minnesota. The Vikings' defense currently ranks ninth in FTN Fantasy's defensive passing DVOA and has allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards this season. Caleb Williams and Michael Penix Jr. threw for just 210 and 135 passing yards against Minnesota's defense already this year. Browning could post similar numbers this weekend.

The Bengals' offensive line is a mess and is largely responsible for Joe Burrow’s latest injury. With an aggressive, blitz-heavy defensive coordinator in Brian Flores calling the shots for Minnesota, look for the Vikings defense to cause havoc and really get after Browning in this game. That could limit big plays and force the Bengals to lean on their running game.

The only way I see Browning eclipsing this total is if Minnesota is up big or if this game turns into a shootout. With the Vikings also starting a backup quarterback in Carson Wentz, I don’t see either scenario occurring and will be placing a full unit on this wager.

Michael Penix Jr. UNDER 30.5 Pass Attempts (-108) DraftKings Sportsbook

Risk .54 Units to Win .5 Units

*This line has moved to 29.5 at most sportsbooks. I still think there is value at this number, but would scale down in units.*

Penix only threw the ball 21 times in the team’s Week 2 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. That was largely because Atlanta’s defense stifled Minnesota’s offense. This allowed the Falcons to build a lead and dominate the game with their ground attack.

Carolina’s run defense is not good, and even though star cornerback A.J. Terrell Jr. will miss this game, Atlanta’s defense will give Bryce Young and company fits. Look for Atlanta to ease the burden on its young signal-caller and ride its rushing attack to another victory this week.

Jordan Love OVER 37.5 Yards Longest Completion (-116) Caesars Sportsbook

Risk .58 Units to Win .5 Units

Cleveland’s defense allowed a 41-yard completion to DeAndre Hopkins courtesy of Lamar Jackson last week. We know Love has zero issues throwing a YOLO ball or two. Love has failed to connect on multiple deep shots to speedy rookie receiver Matthew Golden so far this year, but the big plays are coming.

With Cleveland having one of the best run defenses in the league, we could see Green Bay rely on Love and the passing game to get the victory here. Love has also eclipsed this line in both games this season, and I like him to do so again on Sunday.

 

Week 3 Rushing Prop Bets

Bijan Robinson OVER 81.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Bet365Sportsbook

Risk 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit

This line is a little higher than I typically like to play. I just have a hard time seeing how Carolina slows down Robinson and this Falcons rushing attack. I expect Atlanta to call Robinson's number early and often and believe he'll eclipse 100 rushing yards for the second consecutive game.

Isiah Pacheco OVER 36.5 Rushing Yards (-120) BetMGM Sportsbook

Risk .6 Units to Win .5 Units

*This line is now 40.5. I think the value is gone at this number and would not play it.*

Pacheco has been splitting touches ever since he returned from a leg injury last year. Things have not been good for the Chiefs' rushing offense so far this season, but they have a perfect get-right spot this week against the New York Giants.

New York has the worst rushing defense in the league and has allowed the sixth-most explosive rushing yards in the league per Fantasy Points Data Suite. With Xavier Worthy (shoulder) ruled out, Kansas City may choose to exploit the Giants' run defense.

Pacheco received 10 carries last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. It was his most in a game since Week 15 last year. Kansas City is a six-point favorite in this game and will likely be playing with a lead. That should allow Pacheco to reach double-digit carries and have a good chance at eclipsing this total.

If Pacheco can’t crack this number in a cake matchup, then Kansas City will have to make some major changes to its running back room, but I like his odds of surpassing this low total. This line has steamed up to 41.5 at most other sportsbooks. I would not play this prop at that total. If you like the current number at BetMGM, get your bets in quickly because this will likely be gone by game time.

 

Week 3 Receiving Prop Bets

George Pickens OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Bet365 Sportsbook

Risk 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit

Pickens went 5-68-1 on nine targets last week against the New York Giants.

We could see another big game from Dallas’s WR2 this weekend. The Cowboys take on a Chicago Bears team that will be missing cornerback Jaylon Johnson. Chicago’s pass defense hasn’t been particularly good, even with Johnson on the field. The Bears currently rank 32nd in defensive passing DVOA and have allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to wide receivers through two games, per Fantasy Football Today. The Cherry on top? Chicago ranks 31st in DVOA against opposing teams’ WR2s so far this year.

After watching Dallas allow 37 points to Wilson and the New York Giants in Week 2, Chicago’s offense could push Dallas into another shootout. That would mean plenty of targets for Pickens. I expect another big week and will sprinkle a little bit on his alternate yardage props as he could very well eclipse 100 receiving yards in this game.

Chris Olave UNDER 59.5 Receiving Yards (-113) DraftKings Sportsbook

Risk 1.13 Units to Win 1 Unit

Olave has not eclipsed this total so far this season, and now goes against a Seahawks defense that's been very effective at shutting down opposing wide receivers. Seattle has allowed the second-fewest receiving yards to wide receivers so far this year and ranks second in defensive DVOA against opposing WR1s. This is a good spot to fade Olave.

 

Week 3 Long Shots

Kenneth Walker III - Most Rushing Yards - Sunday Only (+2800) FanDuel Sportsbook

Risk .1 Units to Win 2.8 Units

The Saints' run defense has been solid through two games. However, Zach Charbonnet is listed as doubtful, and we know Walker is capable of scoring anywhere on the field. This line is off, given the volume Walker will receive, so I like taking a stab at this for a small wager.

A.J. Brown Most Receiving Yards - Sunday Only (+3000) FanDuel Sports Book

Risk .1 Units to Win 3 Units

The concerns about the Eagles' passing through two weeks are valid, but Brown is still one of the best receivers in the league. Philadelphia takes on the Los Angeles Rams this week, and this is a spot where the Philadelphia passing game could get going.

George Pickens Most Receiving Yards - Sunday Only (+8000) BetMGM Sportsbook

Risk .05 Units to Win 4 Units

This game should be a shootout, and Pickens is live for a monster game. Worth a small sprinkle.

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