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Ranking the 2025 HR Derby Participants Based on Betting Odds. Read Ranking the 2025 HR Derby Participants Based on Betting Odds
Ranking the 2025 HR Derby Participants Based on Betting Odds
With the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby field set, eager bettors can begin to analyze the odds. This season, there are several emerging superstars participating, which means there are many underdog options that have a viable path to claiming the title. Who has the best odds to win the derby? Let’s dive in!
No. 8: Junior Camerino, Tampa Bay Rays
DraftKings Odds: +1300
Sitting with the worst odds is rising superstar third baseman Junior Caminero. Caminero had a slow start to the campaign, posting a .230/.259/.402 line through his first 45 games. However, over his last 42 games, the former top prospect holds a stellar .280/.332/.607 line with 14 long balls. While he sits as the underdog, he comes into the competition swinging a hot bat, which could put him in a good position to find success.
No. 7: Jazz Chisholm Jr., New York Yankees
DraftKings Odds: +1100
Since being traded to the Yankees during last year’s trade deadline, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen his power production skyrocket. Through his first 46 games in the Bronx last season, Chisholm posted an .825 OPS with 11 home runs. Through 62 games this season, Chisholm has gone deep 17 times and carries an impressive .525 SLG with an .870 OPS.
No. 6: Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins
DraftKings Odds: +950
The 31-year-old has been an elite hitter when on the field, but injuries have always limited him throughout his career. However, the 2025 campaign has been different as Buxton has appeared in 75 games and posted an impressive .270/.338/.544 SLG. His slugging percentage is the third-highest in the American League. Buxton also sits in the 94th percentile in hard-hit rate, which should put him in a prime position to find success in the tournament.
No. 5: Brent Rooker, Athletics
DraftKings Odds: +850
After launching 39 home runs last season, Brent Rooker is on track to enjoy another productive season. Through 95 games this season, Rooker has gone deep 19 times and boasts an elite .390 xwOBA with a .548 xSLG. Over his last 11 games, he has tallied five doubles and three home runs. He is a strong sleeper pick to capture the title.
No. 4: Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves
DraftKings Odds: +800
While his teammate Ronald Acuna Jr. was supposed to represent the hometown team, Matt Olson will get the nod instead. Olson has had a bit of a down year to his standards as he suits with a .260/.361/.469 line with just 17 home runs. However, under the hood, the slugging first baseman boasts an elite 16.5% barrel rate and a 54.6% hard-hit rate, which makes him a top sleeper pick in the derby.
No. 3: James Wood, Washington Nationals
DraftKings Odds: +475
James Wood has emerged as a superstar during the first half of the season. After making his MLB debut last season, Wood has taken a significant step forward in his sophomore campaign. Through 93 games, Wood has posted a line of .284/.387/.564 with 19 doubles, 24 home runs, and 12 stolen bases. Wood sits in the 95th percentile in xwOBA and 97th percentile in xSLG. Wood will shine on the national stage on Monday evening.
No. 2: Oneil Cruz, Pittsburgh Pirates
DraftKings Odds: +320
Pittsburgh’s Oneil Cruz is known for incredible hard-hit ability, which makes him a top pick at this season’s HR Derby. Cruz has generated a 96.4 mph average exit velocity, a 22.5% barrel rate, and a 57.8% hard-hit rate, all of which rank within the 100th percentile among qualified hitters. While he has only gone deep 16 times this season, Cruz could run away with the title given his elite raw power.
No. 1: Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners
DraftKings Odds: +295
Sitting in the No. 1 spot in the current major league home run leader is Cal Raleigh. This is not a surprise to baseball fans, as Raleigh is on pace to enjoy one of the best offensive seasons for a catcher. The switch-hitting backstop has already gone deep 36 times while holding a .262/.377/.631 line. Under the hood, the 28-year-old has generated an elite .385 xwOBA and a .565 xSLG, which place him in the 90th and 95th percentiles, respectively. He will be the popular pick on Monday evening.
