X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Points Leagues Third Basemen: Overvalued and Undervalued

Most fantasy baseball analysis is geared toward rotisserie and head-to-head formats. Given the popularity of those setups, that's understandable. But plenty of folks out there play in points leagues, and player values can change quite a bit in that format compared to the more mainstream variants. This series is aimed at identifying some of the players whose valuations move most, in either direction.

All week, I’ll be offering my thoughts on potential points league bargains and busts at every position.

Today, we're looking at some potential third base sleepers and busts, or draft targets and avoids in points leagues.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association including Baseball Writer of the Year, Football Writers of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year and many more! Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

Overvalued for Points Leagues

Miguel Sano, Minnesota Twins

Whether or not you believe the market has properly recalibrated Sano's value based on his coming off a major leg injury and/or the likely impending suspension (I don't), he's a tough sell in points leagues. Sano has now logged over 1,300 plate appearances in the majors, and his strikeout rate sits at an absurd 35.8%. Unsurprisingly, that's the worst mark in baseball during that time. You'll also note that Sano has missed significant chunks of the last two seasons with a variety of injuries. The power is awe-inspiring, he draws lots of walks, and when he does make contact, it's usually of the loud variety...but there are just too many reasons to stay away.

Jake Lamb, Arizona Diamondbacks

As with Sano, there's plenty to like about Lamb. He hits for power, draws plenty of walks, and he keeps his strikeout rate at a manageable level. Unfortunately, the flaws are real and fairly glaring. The 27-year-old has cratered after the All-Star break in each of the last two seasons, and unlike in 2016, there wasn't an injury to pin as the obvious culprit. Lamb has also been one of the worst hitters in baseball against left-handed pitching over that time - only Max Kepler and Billy Hamilton have produced a worse wRC+ versus southpaws. The news that Arizona will install a humidor at Chase Field will also likely ding Lamb's production, at least a little.

 

Undervalued for Points Leagues

Anthony Rendon, Washington Nationals

Rendon has managed to stay healthy in three of the last four seasons, largely allaying fears about his injury proneness. There was never much question about his ability, as evidenced by his excellent work in those healthy seasons. Throwing out the injury-truncated 2015 campaign, Rendon has produced a .286-22-94-89-12 average line since breaking out in 2014. While his stolen base totals (both successes and attempts) have fallen during that time and he may be tapped out in terms of power, the Nationals’ overlooked star is still one of the better all-around contributors in fantasy. Rendon’s always been a high-quality hitter, but last season he was just one of five qualified batters to walk more often than he struck out. The others: Joey Votto, Mike Trout, Anthony Rizzo, and Justin Turner. Pretty great company, eh?

Adrian Beltre, Texas Rangers

Beltre will be 39 in April, and he failed to play in at least 100 games last season for the first time since his rookie year all the way back in 1998(!). When he wasn't dealing with multiple leg injuries, he was excellent as usual: .312/.383/.532 with 17 HR and 71 RBI in only 94 contests. The ageless wonder posted the best walk rate of his career, while maintaining his typically low strikeout rate. Time is, of course, undefeated; eventually Beltre will stop being awesome. There's little reason to believe the bottom will fall out this year, though, given the remarkable steadiness of Beltre's peripherals. Also, I would like to note that Beltre has stolen exactly one base in each of the last seven years - this is barely relevant to his value in points or any other format, it's just my current favorite random stat.

Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati Reds

Suarez quietly put together a solid season in 2017, hitting .260 with 26 HR, 87 R, 82 RBI, and 4 SB. That wasn’t far behind Lamb (whose ADP is 75 picks earlier) and was better than Kyle Seager (55 picks earlier). Suarez isn’t flashy, but he can turn a nice little profit for you in the middle rounds. He may also pick up shortstop eligibility depending on how the Reds end up making room for Nick Senzel. Most intriguingly for our purposes here, Suarez bumped his walk rate up from eight to 13 percent last season,

 

More Points Leagues Analysis & Draft Values




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Dalton Schultz29 mins ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Noah Brown32 mins ago

Tank Dell, Noah Brown Questionable For Week 13
Dorian Thompson-Robinson44 mins ago

Won't Play Sunday, Joe Flacco To Start
Keenan Allen1 hour ago

Questionable For Week 13
Dallas Goedert1 hour ago

Doubtful To Play In Week 13
Treylon Burks2 hours ago

Questionable To Face Colts
DeMar DeRozan2 hours ago

Uncertain To Play Against Pelicans On Saturday
Pat Connaughton2 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday
Keegan Murray2 hours ago

Practices On Friday
Chris Olave2 hours ago

Still In Concussion Protocol But Not Ruled Out
Doug McDermott2 hours ago

Will Not Play Against Pelicans
Luka Doncic2 hours ago

Ruled Out On Friday Due To Personal Reasons
Joel Embiid2 hours ago

Will Be True Game-Time Decision On Friday
Devin Booker2 hours ago

Will Sit Out Against Nuggets On Friday
Victor Wembanyama2 hours ago

Will Be Sidelined On Friday
Trey McBride2 hours ago

Iffy For Week 13 Action
Marquise Brown3 hours ago

Officially Questionable Against Steelers
Julius Randle3 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Dalvin Cook3 hours ago

Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook Questionable For Week 13
Treylon Burks3 hours ago

Cleared To Play In Week 13
Aaron Jones3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 13
Jerick McKinnon4 hours ago

Chiefs Expect Jerick McKinnon, Kadarius Toney To Play In Week 13
Dougie Hamilton4 hours ago

Simon Nemec Called Up To Devils Friday, Dougie Hamilton Placed On IR
Zach Charbonnet4 hours ago

Dealing With Swelling In Knee
Adin Hill4 hours ago

Leaves Thursday's Contest Early As Precaution
Timo Meier4 hours ago

Close To Returning, Could Play Friday
Jonathan Taylor5 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out
Sam Montembeault5 hours ago

Signs Three-Year Extension With Canadiens
Nikita Zadorov5 hours ago

Traded To Vancouver
Kenneth Walker III5 hours ago

"Might" Be Able To Play In Week 14
Hayden Hurst5 hours ago

Ruled Out, Tommy Tremble Doubtful For Week 13
Dalton Schultz5 hours ago

Not Expected To Play Against Broncos
De'Von Achane5 hours ago

To Play In Week 13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers5 hours ago

Lavonte David, Devin White Out For Buccaneers Defense
Chris Godwin5 hours ago

To Be A Game-Time Decision
Beneil Dariush7 hours ago

Arman Tsarukyan A Favorite Over Beneil Dariush At UFC Austin
Jack Eichel7 hours ago

Steers Vegas Back On Track
Beneil Dariush7 hours ago

Has A Dangerous Task In Front Of Him
Brayden Schenn7 hours ago

Leads Blues To Victory Thursday
Bobby Green7 hours ago

Looking For Third Win In A Row
Noah Dobson7 hours ago

Grabs Three Assists In Thursday's Win
Jalin Turner7 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Austin
Tyrese Haliburton7 hours ago

Notches Another Big-Time Performance
Jack Hughes7 hours ago

Adds Three More Points To His Tally
Dustin Stoltzfus7 hours ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Trae Young7 hours ago

Posts A 45-Point Double-Double
Tom Wilson7 hours ago

Celebrates First Career Hat Trick
Jalen Brunson7 hours ago

Drops 42 Points In Win Over Pistons
Punahele Soriano7 hours ago

Looking To Return To Win Column
Jonathan Isaac7 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Tristan Jarry7 hours ago

Caps Off Winning Performance With Historic Goal
Jose Alvarado7 hours ago

Questionable On Friday With Ankle Sprain
Kristaps Porzingis7 hours ago

Ruled Out Against 76ers
Nicolas Batum7 hours ago

Probable To Play Against Celtics
Xavier Tillman8 hours ago

Sr. Questionable To Return On Friday
Zach LaVine8 hours ago

Will Miss One Week With Foot Soreness
Mitchell Marner17 hours ago

Scores Hat Trick In Victory
Alex Lyon17 hours ago

Earns Third Consecutive Victory
Jeremy Swayman17 hours ago

Posts Shutout Against Sharks
Matt McLain20 hours ago

Fully Healed
Shohei Ohtani21 hours ago

Wins Most Outstanding Designated Hitter Award
Chris Paul21 hours ago

To Be Re-Evaluated On Monday
Aaron Gordon21 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Friday
Jamal Murray21 hours ago

Uncertain For Friday
Zach Hyman24 hours ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Juuso Valimaki1 day ago

Back For Coyotes On Thursday
Ilya Mikheyev1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Dougie Hamilton1 day ago

Won't Play On Thursday
Radko Gudas1 day ago

On Track To Return Thursday
Andrei Svechnikov1 day ago

Expected Back On Thursday
Mark Kastelic1 day ago

Ridly Greig Placed On Long-Term IR By Senators
Dylan Cease1 day ago

Cardinals Interested In Dylan Cease
Joaquim Silva1 day ago

Looking To Return To The Win Column
Clay Guida1 day ago

Set For 36th UFC Fight
Kelvin Gastelum1 day ago

Returns To Welterweight
Tyler Glasnow1 day ago

Cubs Have Held Trade Talks On Tyler Glasnow
Sean Brady1 day ago

Looking To Rebound After First Career Loss
Deiveson Figueiredo1 day ago

Moving Up To Bantamweight
Rob Font1 day ago

Set For Third Fight Of 2023
Nick Martinez1 day ago

Agrees To Two-Year Deal With Reds
Jackson Chourio1 day ago

Brewers Expected To Complete Record-Breaking Deal
Joey Wendle2 days ago

Agrees With Mets
Devin Williams2 days ago

Wins NL Reliever Of The Year Award
FĂ©lix Bautista2 days ago

Felix Bautista Named AL Reliever Of The Year
Luis Severino2 days ago

Mets, Luis Severino Finalizing One-Year Deal
Shohei Ohtani2 days ago

Expected To Sign Before End Of Winter Meetings
Dylan Cease2 days ago

Trade Talks For Dylan Cease Have Intensified
Randy Arozarena2 days ago

Being Shopped By Rays
Bo Bichette2 days ago

Likely Staying Put
Emilio Pagán2 days ago

Emilio Pagan Agrees To Two-Year Pact With Reds
Dylan Cease3 days ago

Dodgers "Among Most Aggressive" Teams For Dylan Cease
Shohei Ohtani3 days ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto "Above All Other Options" For Giants
Juan Soto3 days ago

"Almost Certain To Be Traded"
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Earns NL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Liam Hendriks3 days ago

Earns AL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Jackson Chourio3 days ago

Brewers Discussing Deal With Top Prospect Jackson Chourio

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP