X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Fortinet Championship

Byron's free PGA betting picks for the 2023 Fortinet Championship. Breaking $100 is a golf betting guide, using $100 across various bets.

The fall swing on the PGA tour is synonymous with the sounds of shoulder pads colliding together, 80,000 fans cheering and eternal disappointment for Jets fans. The new FedEx Cup structure has the majority of the tour's superstars sitting on their couch watching the NFL or teeing it up at Wentworth for the BMW Championship on the DPWT. As a content creator during this time of the year it is hard not feel like we are part of the cast of "Daddy's Home 3" where the NFL shows up on its burly Harley Davidson and removes its helmet and leather jacket to reveal a muscular monster the size of Viktor Hovland's bank account that shows little regard for the hard-working PGA family that we are taking care of all year round.

However, if you are reading this, you are part of the blue-collar brigade that continues to march to our own tune despite the Ohio State marching band reenacting a Michael Jackson moonwalk or some other ridiculously impressive choreography. This week is the Fortinet Championship and Max Homa will look to add his name to the short list of golfers who have three-peated at a course that evidently suits their eye. KH Lee had that opportunity earlier this year at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but decided he would let somebody else win that tournament for once.

For those of you who are new to the article, Breaking $100 is a comprehensive PGA betting guide on how to squeeze every cent out of your $100. We will be breaking $100 into a betting card of outrights, first-round leaders, placings, and a "farewell fiver," all in an attempt to turn a structured betting strategy into a profitable and entertaining Sunday sweat. $100 is easily divided or multiplied, so please only bet amounts that you can afford to lose. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Outrights ($20)

We are going to try something a little different for the next while and see how it goes, reducing the amount we bet on winners and siphoning those funds into Top 5 bets on the same golfers. We had a ridiculously variance infused year so far and not getting rewarded for any of our guys repeatedly finishing second or third is hopefully a thing of the past.

The idea here is to use the T5 market to keep our bankroll a little more flush with cash along the way. Last season we hit only two outrights in Breaking $100, losing -$239 betting an average of $14 on winners. I did some quick retroactive calculations based off of all the outrights we placed last year, dividing those odds by 5 and we would have made $154 betting top-5s last season, which would have really helped our pockets. We averaged a golfer in the top 5 in 51% of the 37 events we bet on, with 19 top-5 finishes from a total of 157 bets.

Ideally, we want double our exposure we have in the outright market with our T5 bets, so that we can make a tiny bit of profit in this section of the article when our card succeeds but does not win. We are rolling out the "Seven Wonders" of the Fortinet this week starting at 35-1.

Eric Cole - The Statue of Zeus

Cole gets this ancient wonder associated with him because his Sunday performances are that of a statue. In his last six starts he has lost strokes on Sunday five times. The time he gained, was because he lost 5 strokes on Saturday. He has a full-blown case of the Sunday Scaries but hopefully with a bit of time off he will return with a revitalized approach to his weekend wonders. This sounds like we are fading him, but don't fear, the wrath of Zues is near.

Cole ranks 4th in my model because of his putting and stellar iron play, which rank 5th and 3rd in this field respectively. When he is feeling it, Cole channels his inner Zeus and can put together a lightning round, having gained over four strokes in 12 of his 81 rounds this year. Five of those rounds were 5+ strokes gained with an almighty +7.25 strokes at the RBC Canadian Open that vaulted him into T6.

Somebody HAS to win this tournament and if the handful of stars that are teeing it up, don't play all that well, it's wide open this week. If Cole can have that statuesque round before Sunday, he has the scoring power to go out ahead of the leaders on Sunday to shoot a ridiculously low round with the pressure of the lead not on his shoulders. If he does find himself in the mix on Sunday, then, like we said, somebody has win this thing - why not Zeus?

Andrew Putnam - The Temple of Artemis

Andrew Putnam has stumbled upon divine iron form that he could keep in a temple of the golfing gods. He is 2nd in the field on approach over the last 24 rounds and has gained the 4th most strokes on approach from 100-150, where roughly 33% of approach shots will come from this week. The Temple master tends to thrive on this shorter, wedge intensive venues as his length off the tee holds him back on the majority of the bigger tracks on tour.

With iron play that showed some potential to end the season, Putnam will look to lean on his putter that sits six spots behind his recent iron play, ranking 8th in this field. The combination of iron play and putting that he could expose this course with is why we like him at 40-1. He had a T5 at Muirfield Village back in June and has missed only two cuts since March. We may land up ending every writeup with, "Somebody has to win this, why not the guy who is capable of going nuclear with his irons or putter or both?"

Chez Reavie - The Mausoleum at Halicarnassus

Chez Reavie gets the Mausoleum because his iron play has been so unconscious it could almost be put into a tomb. He leads the field in strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds and ranks first and fifth this season from 150-200 and 200+. Chez has sculpted his iron play to the tune of +1.25 strokes per round since the RBC Canadian Open.

A T4 finish at the Travelers was the closest he came to winning last season and now heads to the Fortinet where he has finishes of MC, T28, T3, T33, T33 and T13 in his last half dozen appearances. If Reavie can lean on a putter that started scorching the earth from the Valero through the Travelers (34 rounds), his iron play on a course he has been very comfortable on in the past, he could win this thing.

Nick Hardy - The Colossus of Rhodes.

The Colossus of Rhodes depicting the sun-God Helios is a perfect comparison for Nick Hardy, who has been scorching putting greens that have got in his way the last 24 rounds. He leads the field in putting L24 as he has gained +0.9 strokes per round over the last 31 rounds he played. The prior 32 rounds this year, he lost -0.5 strokes to the field to begin the year. A massive turn around in that area of his game.

His iron play was averaging well over a stroke per round once he returned to the tour from the Korn Ferry Tour, but it seems that in pursuit of a purring putter, he neglected some of his ball striking. Hopefully with some time off since the FedEx St. Jude, he can return from a break with both a putter and iron play that is worthy of a Colossal individual victory to add to his Zurich classic title he conquered last season.

Sam Ryder - The Hanging Gardens of Babylon

"They were described as a remarkable feat of engineering with an ascending series of tiered gardens containing a wide variety of trees, shrubs, and vines" which is exactly what Sam Ryder's golf game is comprised of. His game is very much comprised of random tiers of excellence, leading the tour in putting for roughly the first third of the season, he now has moved on to striking his irons with the best on tour, averaging +1.36 strokes on approach over his last dozen rounds to conclude the season.

He has also brought tiered-tears to my eyes at the Valero Texas Open, where we had him to win, finishing 3rd to Corey Conners. We mentioned that Ryder lead the tour in putting, which included a stretch where he gained strokes putting in 25 CONSECUTIVE ROUNDS. With iron play peaking to end the season, if Ryder has watered a few of his putting shrubs in his time off, we could get a golfer who is capable of leading the field in both approach and putting on route to hanging a Fortinet trophy in his house.

Peter Kuest - The Lighthouse of Alexandria

At 6 foot 1 and rather lanky looking, Kuest could be the PGA Pro equivalent of a lighthouse. Just like a lighthouse spins its bright beams of light in a 360 degree range, so does Kuest's game come and go. He finished T5 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, T14 at the Byron Nelson and T17 at the John Deere Classic but ended the season with two finishes of T50 and T45 which are not up to his lofty standards.

His game is based off of power and sporadic iron play, with his putter seemingly the most reliable area of his game once he gets off the tee. At 70-1 we could not pass up his upside, with hopes of him improving on his T4 at the Rocket Mortgage this week.

Nate Lashley - The Great Pyramid of Giza

Nate the Great Pyramid of Giza is the final golfer on our card at 90-1. His consistent iron play seemed to crumble down the stretch of last season, losing on approach in three of his last four starts. The Great Nate ranks inside the top 30 in good drives gained and approach, while his season long stats for bridie or better percentage, bogey avoidance and par five scoring all rank 12th or better.

A recharged Lashley may just be the golden ticket to Giza as his price is ultra-affordable at 90-1 and if that ball striking affords him enough birdie looks to get that putter cooking, we could be in for a fun week in Napa! (Of course, there is a golf course next them now...)

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription? Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, models, projections and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry.

Placings ($75)

Last Article's Placements: +$13.80

  • "Rory McIlroy T5 +138 at BetMGM (ties paid in full!!!): $10 if he is in the mix on Sunday and doesn't win, at least this will cover our outright investment!" - maybe we were onto something to end the season?

This Week's Placements

  • Cameron Davis T20 +138: $10
  • Doug Ghim T20 +240: $10
  • Davis Thompson T20 +300: $10
  • Sam Ryder T20 +310: $10
  • Chez Reavie T40 +100: $25
  • Akshay Bhatia T40 +110: $10

 

The Farewell Fiver ($5)

Sahith Theegala $5 +700 FRL Top 5 (BetMGM ties paid in full!!!)

A local Cali kid who will be looking to rack up his first PGA Tour win on greens that he should be very comfortable on. If we miss his win, hopefully he sneaks into the top 5 in round 1. Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!!

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Stefon Diggs

Likely to Begin Camp Working on the Side
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Xavier Legette

Should be More Productive
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Cole Bishop

has Good Shot to Win a Starting Job
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Nate Wiggins

Ravens Think Nate Wiggins has Star Potential
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Kel'el Ware

Collects 21 Points in Summer League Loss on Sunday
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Cam Spencer

Contract Being Restructured
Drew Timme

Scores 30 Points in Summer League Loss to Wizards
Quinshon Judkins

More Details Emerge on Quinshon Judkins' Arrest
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Alexandre Sarr

Logs Impressive Outing in Summer League Action on Sunday
Junior Tafa

Unsuccessful in his Light-Heavyweight Debut
Kaden Elliss

Could be Atlanta's Most Impactful Pass-Rusher
Kyle Filipowski

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss to Warriors
Darius Robinson

Ready to Make his Mark in 2025?
Jauan Jennings

Expected to Report for Training Camp
Trey Smith

the Only Player Still on the Franchise Tag
Cody Williams

Collects 22 Points in Summer League Loss on Sunday
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Jauan Jennings

Seeking New Deal or Trade From 49ers
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
A.J. Dillon

Not a Lock for a Roster Spot?
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Boston Celtics

Damian Lillard Drawing Interest from the Celtics
Miami Marlins

Marlins Select Aiva Arquette With Seventh Overall Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Select Seth Hernandez with Sixth Overall Pick
Kyle Stowers

Punishes Former Team with Three-Homer Game
St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals Select Liam Doyle with Fifth Overall Pick
Daniel Gafford

Agrees to Contract Extension with Dallas
Colorado Rockies

Rockies Select Ethan Holliday Fourth Overall
Seattle Mariners

Kade Anderson Selected Third Overall by Seattle
Ha-Seong Kim

X-rays on Ha-Seong Kim's Foot Come Back Negative
Los Angeles Angels

Tyler Bremner Selected Second Overall by Angels in 2025 MLB Draft
Washington Nationals

Nationals Select Eli Willits First Overall
Jake Meyers

to Miss More Than Three Weeks With Calf Injury
Cooper Flagg

Shut Down for Rest of Summer League
LeBron James

Hasn't Requested a Trade
Quinshon Judkins

Following Quinshon Judkins Arrest, NFL Declines Comment
Travis Hunter

Earning Praise in Jaguars Camp for Work Ethic
Memphis Grizzlies

Cole Anthony, Grizzlies Agree to Contract Buyout
Edward Cabrera

Hopeful to Avoid Injured List
Oneil Cruz

Absent on Sunday
Lars Nootbaar

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Jake Burger

Scratched on Sunday
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Julius Chestnut

Kalel Mullings Competing for RB3 Role
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
Kimani Vidal

Fighting for No. 3 Job
Cam Hart

Recovering From Shoulder Surgery
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
Quentin Johnston

Might Not Get Many Chances to Prove Himself
Tre Harris

Officially a Holdout
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
Travis Etienne Jr.

Needs to Bounce Back in 2025
Wan'Dale Robinson

Wants More Downfield Opportunities this Season
Quinshon Judkins

Arrested on Saturday for Battery and Domestic Violence
Alexandre Sarr

Plays Well in Summer League Loss to Phoenix
Yang Hansen

Looks Good on Friday Night
Erik Karlsson

Open to Move Away From Pittsburgh
Zach Hyman

Hopes to be Ready for Start of Next Season
SJ

Jeff Skinner Joins Sharks on One-Year Contract
Kon Knueppel

Struggles in Summer League Win
Walter Clayton Jr.

Plays Well on Friday Night
Cody Williams

Scores 21 Points in Summer League Loss
Kyle Filipowski

Leads the Way on Friday Night
Isaiah Jackson

Signs Three-Year Extension
Marvin Bagley III

Joining the Wizards
Herbert Jones

Signing Extension with Pelicans
Jacob Toppin

Returning to Hawks
Ryan Reaves

Traded to Sharks
Vladislav Kolyachonok

Moves to Dallas
Matt Dumba

Lands in Pittsburgh
Mackie Samoskevich

Re-Signs with Panthers on One-Year Deal
Josh Manson

Inks Two-Year Extension with Avalanche
EDM

Isaac Howard Signs Three-Year, Entry-Level Contract With Oilers
Tallison Teixeira

Set For His First UFC Main Event
Derrick Lewis

Set To Headline UFC Nashville
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Stephen Thompson

Returns At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Calvin Kattar

In Dire Need Of Victory
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere A Favorite At UFC Nashville
Nate Landwehr

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Austen Lane Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Vitor Petrino

Set For His Heavyweight Debut
Gary Woodland

Looking to Find Rhythm at Scottish Open
Aaron Rai

Brings Consistent Play to Scottish Open
Maverick McNealy

a Solid Value Play at Scottish Open
Aldrich Potgieter

Making Scottish Open Debut
Tom Kim

Looks to Rebound at Scottish Open
Brian Harman

a Safe Option at Scottish Open
Luke Clanton

a Sneaky Value Play at Scottish Open
Sam Burns

Looking to Stay Hot at Scottish Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

May Feel More at Home in Europe
Harry Hall

Showing Fine Form Heading to Scotland
Ryan Fox

Playing Well Since Early Spring Struggles
Max Greyserman

has Solid History at the Genesis Scottish Open
Harris English

Aims High for Scotland Next
Corey Conners

Primed for the Genesis Scottish Open
Daniel Brown

Attempts the Scottish Swing Again
Jacob Bridgeman

Needs Putter to Work at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Headlines Field at Genesis Scottish Open
Rory McIlroy

a Smart Play for Scottish Open
Adam Scott

Looking to Build on History at The Renaissance Club
Justin Rose

Hopes Month Hiatus Helps Him Bounce Back at Scottish Open
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF