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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (5/13/18): MLB DFS Lineups

The top daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on May 13, 2018. Elliott Baas' MLB DFS analysis and sleepers for building optimal DFS rosters.

It’s Sunday Run-day in Major League Baseball! Why call it Run-day, you might ask? That’s because there should be crooked numbers all over big league scoreboard this Sunday. Of the 22 starting pitchers on this eleven-game slate, seven of them are below $5,000 and four of them are the minimum $4,000 for a starting pitcher. Several back-end starters and planned bullpen days have converged for an intriguing slate of games across the majors.

In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings on 5/13/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays.

You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @ElliottBaasBB

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DraftKings Starting Pitchers

Luis Severino, NYY (vs. OAK) - $12,200

Severino has looked like one of the best pitchers in baseball this season, and he’s only the third highest priced pitcher on DraftKings today. He’s failed to score at least 26 points just twice, and failed to score at least 22 just once. The Athletics have a better offense than in years past with a .328 wOBA against right-handed pitching, but that shouldn’t scare us off Severino. In his last two starts he had a complete game shut-out against the Astros and an 11 K game against the Red Sox, two of the best teams in baseball. His 2.21 ERA might be eye catching, but what’s even more impressive is his 2.01 FIP, suggesting that everything Severino has done is supported by advanced metrics. He’s been as good as anyone, and deserves our trust in this matchup.

Dallas Keuchel, HOU (vs. TEX) - $8,000

Keuchel seems to have righted the ship after a rocky start to the season, posting four quality starts in his last five outings. He doesn’t have the big strikeout upside that other pitchers do, but in this matchup he represents safety. The Rangers are a middling offense against lefties with a .320 wOBA, and a bad offense on the road with a .303 wOBA away from Globe Life Park. Keuchel holds the platoon advantage over many of the Rangers best hitters (Joey Gallo, Rougned Odor, Nomar Mazara, Shin-Soo Choo) and has the mighty Astros lineup backing him against vulnerable lefty Matt Moore.

Danny Duffy, KC (@ CLE) - $5,000

It would be impossible to say whether the Danny Duffy from 2016-2017 is back, but there have been some encouraging signs. His velocity has been steadily rising over his past few starts and Duffy sat around 94 MPH last time out, a stark improvement over the 91 MPH we saw consistently in April.  He’s also been getting more whiffs and more chases. In Duffy’s last start he had a 38.3% O-swing rate and 15 swinging strikes, giving him 31 total whiffs over his last two starts. At %5,000 Duffy is priced with the junk-ballers and spot starters, but he’s been better than that. With so many pricey bats to fit in our lineup this is a worthwhile risk to take.

 

DraftKings Infielders

C – Mike Zunino, SEA (@ DET) - $3,700

There are actually some pretty strong options at catcher today, which is rare given the nature of the position. Zunino has just as much power as any of them, it’s the making contact part that’s been tricky for him. That shouldn’t be as much of a problem against Tigers starter Blaine Hardy. Hardy, a left-hander, is making his first career MLB start after 167 games out of the bullpen for Detroit. While Hardy may have a 2.70 ERA in 3.1 innings, it comes with a 7.06 FIP. In a more significant sample size Hardy had a 5.94 ERA, 5.38 FIP, and 1.89 HR/9 in 35 relief appearances last year. This is probably a bullpen game for Detroit, which is great for Seattle hitters as the Tigers bullpen owns a 4.72 ERA this season, 6th highest in the majors. In his breakout season last year Zunino had a .297 ISO against left-handed pitching and a .258 ISO overall.

1B – Mitch Moreland, BOS (@ TOR)

Moreland has been raking as of late, with four home runs in his last ten games. He’ll get to take on Blue Jays righty Joe Biagini, who has posted an 8.10 ERA and 1.80 HR/9 in his first two starts. Biagini’s poor performance is more than just small sample size. As a starter he has a 5.97 ERA and 1.29 HR/9 in 98 innings.

2B – Eduardo Nunez, BOS (@ TOR) - $3,500

Nunez also gets to face Biagini, and represents one of the cheaper Boston regulars against him. Nunez hasn’t been good this season with a .637 OPS, but this matchup offers him a great opportunity to turn it around.

3B – Nolan Arenado, COL (vs. MIL) - $5,500

In Coors Field Arenado has a career .278 ISO, .963 OPS, .402 wOBA all time. With Chase Anderson being scratched on Saturday we don’t know who is starting for the Brewers, but it’s currently scheduled as Anderson. Regardless of whether it’s Anderson or whoever it won’t be a quality pitcher. On a day with tons of good hitters in good spots, Arenado stands above the rest.

SS – Trevor Story, COL (vs. MIL) - $4,500

Story isn’t priced like Arenado, but his production at Coors is comparable. At home Story has a .318 ISO, .995 OPS, and .469 wOBA for his career. At this price tag he pairs well with Arenado.

 

DraftKings Outfielders

OF – Nelson Cruz, SEA (@ DET) - $4,300

One of baseball’s best power hitters takes on the Blaine Hardy and whoever else comes out of the Tigers’ bullpen on Sunday. Cruz has the power to go deep against any pitcher, but he especially annihilates lefties. For his career Cruz has a .926 OPS, .256 ISO, and .390 wOBA against southpaws.

OF – Mitch Haniger, SEA (@ DET) - $4,400

Haniger’s 2017 breakout got deferred to 2018, and boy is it looking good. He owns a .970 OPS, .299 ISO, and ten home runs through 158 plate appearances. Like Cruz and Zunino he gets a piece of Blaine Hardy and the Detroit Tigers bullpen this Sunday.

OF – Brian Anderson, MIA (vs. ATL) - $3,100

Anderson probably sticks out because he is the only recommended hitter not facing a punching bag. What he does, however, is feast on left-handed pitching. Anderson is hitting .344 with a 1.055 OPS and .250 ISO against lefties this season. Braves lefty Sean Newcomb has been good, but so has Anderson.

 

MLB DFS News and Injury Alerts

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Matt Chapman

Could Return for Start of Giants Homestand
Wyatt Langford

Expected to Return on Saturday
Yanquiel Fernández

Yanquiel Fernandez Called Up to Majors
Tyler Mahle

Dealing With Rotator-Cuff Strain
Brooklyn Nets

Ziaire Williams Expected to Return to Nets
Austin Wells

to Miss Next Two Games
Tre Mann

Set to Become an Unrestricted Free Agent
Bo Bichette

Scratched With Sore Knee
Cody Martin

to Enter Free Agency
Los Angeles Clippers

Nicolas Batum Staying with Clippers
Jurickson Profar

to Return on Wednesday
Jordan Clarkson

Jazz Finalize Contract Buyout for Jordan Clarkson
Aldrich Potgieter

Wins Rocket Mortgage Classic
Thorbjorn Olesen

Finishes Tied for 41st at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Denny McCarthy

Finishes Tied For 12th at Travelers Championship
Chris Kirk

Finishes Tied For Second at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Michael Kim

Finishes Tied for 26th at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Max Homa

Misses Cut at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Lucas Glover

Finishes Tied For Ninth at Travelers Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied For Sixth at Rocket Mortgage Classic
Brooklyn Nets

Day'Ron Sharpe Staying with Nets
Colby Thomas

Called Up From Triple-A
Shea Langeliers

A's Reinstate Shea Langeliers From Injured List
Pittsburgh Steelers

Rumors Still Swirling Around Potential T.J. Watt Trade
Jalen Williams

will Undergo Surgery on Right Wrist
Bryce Harper

Activated and Starting on Monday
Deandre Ayton

Finalizing Contract Buyout with Portland
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Lands on Injured List With Fractured Ribs
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Tyler Boyd

Interested in Playing for Steelers
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Now Looking to Acquire a Tight End
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
L'Jarius Sneed

Says he's Healthy
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Minkah Fitzpatrick

Heading Back to Miami
Jonnu Smith

Shipped to Pittsburgh
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
Jalen Ramsey

Steelers Acquiring Jalen Ramsey
Kerry Carpenter

Leaves Game with Apparent Hamstring Injury
Brooklyn Nets

Day'Ron Sharpe Heads to Free Agency
Santi Aldama

Receives Qualifying Offer
Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner has Team Option Declined
Jabari Smith Jr.

Signs Massive Extension
Jusuf Nurkić

Hornets Trading Jusuf Nurkic to Utah
Collin Sexton

Heading to Charlotte
Cam Thomas

Set for Restricted Free Agency
Milwaukee Bucks

Bobby Portis Staying in Milwaukee
Jonas Brodin

Expected to Miss Start of Next Season
TB

Conor Sheary Placed on Waivers for Contract Termination
Los Angeles Clippers

James Harden, Clippers Agree on a New Contract
Dante Fabbro

Stays with Blue Jackets on Four-Year Deal
Joel Hofer

Commits to Blues for Two More Years
Kevin Bahl

Signs Long-Term Extension with Flames
Oneil Cruz

Smacks Two Homers
Jordan Spence

Traded to Ottawa
Petr Mrazek

Heads to Anaheim
John Gibson

Red Wings Acquire John Gibson
Matthew Knies

Inks Six-Year Extension with Maple Leafs
Aaron Judge

Blasts Two Homers, Dealing With Back Issue
Claude Giroux

Signs One-Year Deal with Senators
Yordan Alvarez

has Chance to Return Next Weekend
Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Signs Three-Year Extension
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Opts into Player Option
Luis Robert Jr.

Heads to Injured List
Gabriel Arias

Carted Off on Sunday
Bryce Harper

Faces Live Pitching
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Remains Out on Sunday
Utah Jazz

Bojan Bogdanovic Retiring From Basketball
Los Angeles Lakers

Dorian Finney-Smith Declines Player Option
Chase Elliott

Ends Winless Skid With Atlanta Victory
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Atlanta Victory
NFL

NFL Won't Hold Supplemental Draft This Year
Damon Arnette

Getting Second Chance With Texans
Deommodore Lenoir

Arrested for Obstruction of Justice
Yordan Alvarez

Eyeing Return Before All-Star Break
Carson Hocevar

Recovers From Big One to Finish 10th at Atlanta
William Byron

Caught up in Atlanta Big One but Retains Points Lead
Denny Hamlin

Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
Ty Dillon

Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
Quinn Priester

Fans 11 in One-Hit Gem
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Make Second-Year Jump
Jalin Hyatt

Looking to Flip the Script in 2025
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
Alex Bowman

Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece

Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
Austin Dillon

Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
Noah Gragson

Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
Riley Herbst

Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
Ty Dillon

Could Benefit from Kaulig Speed
Dylan Sampson

Being Used as a Receiver
Carson Schwesinger

Figures to be in Full-Time Role in 2025
Cedric Tillman

Should Have Full-Time Role
Bryce Young

Looking More Comfortable, Showing More Intensity
Charlie Coyle

Blue Jackets Acquire Charlie Coyle and Miles Wood From Colorado
Jack Quinn

Signs Up for Two More Years with Sabres
Brandon Saad

Stays in Vegas on One-Year Deal
Trent Frederic

Inks Eight-Year Extension
Emil Heineman

Shipped to the Islanders
Noah Dobson

Traded to Montreal
John Tavares

Agrees to Four-Year Extension with Maple Leafs
Sam Bennett

Signs Eight-Year Extension with Panthers
NYI

Islanders Select Matthew Schaefer With No. 1 Pick in NHL Draft
Aaron Rodgers

Roman Wilson Could Fit Nicely With Aaron Rodgers
Josh Simmons

on Schedule to Open the Year as a Starter
Micah Parsons

Contract Length an Issue for Cowboys, Micah Parsons
Denver Broncos

Broncos Unsure How Their Running Back Room Will Look
Russell Wilson

Not the Only Leader in Giants Clubhouse
Charles Oliveira

Can Become A Two-Time Lightweight Champion
Ilia Topuria

A Favorite At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fourth Title Defense At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Renato Moicano

Returns At UFC 317
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC 317
Payton Talbott

Looks To Bounce Back
Felipe Lima

Set To Open Up UFC 317 Main Card
Daniil Tarasov

Panthers Bring in Daniil Tarasov
Frederick Gaudreau

Kraken Pick Up Frederick Gaudreau From Wild
Michael Thorbjornsen

Returns in Detroit at Rocket Classic
Adam Hadwin

Could Struggle Over the Weekend in Detroit
Cam Davis

Hopes Detroit Magic Can Spark Turnaround
Matt Wallace

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Rocket Classic
Joel Dahmen

Not Cutting it Lately
Michael Kim

Searching for Spark at Rocket Classic
Rasmus Hojgaard

a High-Ceiling Play in Rocket Classic
Matt McCarty

a Wild Card Heading into Detroit
Emiliano Grillo

Rolling into the Summer Season
Rickie Fowler

Looking for More Magic at Rocket Classic
Wyndham Clark

Brings High Upside to Detroit Golf Club
Max Greyserman

Could Make Noise at Rocket Classic
Akshay Bhatia

a Strong Value Play at Rocket Classic
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF