🖥 CYBER MONDAY - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE CYBER
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Contact Rate Risers and Fallers - Week 23

Pierre Camus looks at fantasy baseball risers and fallers in the contact rate category for week 23 to determine who may be worth buying or selling for 2017.

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Batting average is just one of many statistics fantasy owners must consider, but contact rate can also be telling of all-around success at the plate. A sudden increase or decrease in contact rate could signal the beginning of an extended hot or cold streak, leading to important waiver wire choices or start/sit decisions for fantasy baseball managers.

Each week we will look at a few players who are rising and falling in terms of contact and compare their previous week's contact rate with their season-long performance.

Here are some of the top contact rate risers and fallers for Week 23 of the fantasy baseball season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Contact Rate Risers

Delino DeShields (OF, TEX) 93% contact rate last seven days (+14%)

DeShields has benefited from a .384 BABIP, but he's also improved on his previously unacceptable strikeout rate. He's managed to hold onto a starting job and help fantasy owners with 28 steals this season, but his run-scoring is limited by an offense around him that's struggled to produce all year. It appears he's set to finish strong in the average category, so make him your third outfielder with confidence.

Hyun Soo Kim (OF, BAL) 97% contact rate last seven days (+14%)

Hyun Soo Kim, where you been? His move to Philly was an under-the-radar move that didn't seem to have much fantasy impact. Well, it really doesn't, but it might be interesting to note that among the youth movement in Philadelphia, Kim is carving out a role for himself as a semi-regular outfielder. Kim is batting .316 over the last week and starting to get more comfortable at the plate, although it's not enough to recommend adding him just yet. Plus, you won't be getting any power from him - he hasn't homered since April 24.

George Springer (OF, HOU) 88% contact rate last seven days (+10%)

It doesn't take much convincing to keep Springer in your lineup. He swatted homers #30 and #31 this week to go along with a .346 average. While small to moderate gains in contact rate can be telling of future success, Springer is the poster boy for this very model. He keeps dropping his strikeout rate (from 33% in 2014 to 19% in 2017) and improving his contact rate each year in the majors by great strides (from 61% in 2014 to 78% in 2017) and seems to finally have come into his own as a star player.

Jonathan Villar (2B/3B, MIL) 82% contact rate last seven days (+10%)

Villar will come away from this season as one of the biggest disappointments in fantasy baseball. That said, he's doing his best to make up for it in the second half with a .364 average in August and he's swatting .423 through the first week of September. Steals? Not so much. Just seven SB in the last 38 games and 23 on the season. I won't rub any more salt into the wounds of his owners by mentioning that he's scored exactly half as many runs as last year while slashing .240/.292/.371. All that for someone who cost a second or third round pick. Nope, I won't do it.

 

Contact Rate Fallers

Ryan Zimmerman (1B, WAS) 58% contact rate last seven days (-20%)

Predictably, Zimmerman's second half hasn't gone as swimmingly as his MVP-caliber first half. The fact that half the Nats starting lineup is on the DL, including real-life MVP Bryce Harper, doesn't help. Z-Man is sporting a .381 average over the last week, so it would seem all is well, but he's only hitting .250 since the All-Star break and his strikeout rate is slowing creeping up. You're still starting him down the stretch, but don't be surprised if he's already shown us the best he's got to offer. Paying up for him in DFS might be asking a bit much.

Avisail Garcia (OF, CHW) 58% contact rate last seven days (-14%)

Another surprising success story is Garcia, who's somehow managed to keep his .390 BABIP intact into September. Even with a contact rate barely above 50%, he's managed to bat .333 in the past week. He's also batting .400 over the last 30 days and .322 on the season, despite hitting 52% of his batted balls on the ground. Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good, I suppose.

Xander Bogaerts (SS, BOS) 71% contact rate last seven days (-9%)

If the season were to end today (don't you love that expression?) then Bogaerts would have experienced a 25-point drop in batting average for two straight years. His contact rate is just a tick below league average, but you might be surprised to know that he's never even reached 82% contact for a Major League season. Sadly, he's not even providing half the power he did last year when he reached 21 HR, so the average is all we have to rely on. He's in a downright slump lately, going one for his last 16 and doesn't figure to be an appealing option through the fantasy playoffs. As far as next year, your guess is as good as mine.

Travis Shaw (1B/3B, MIL) 73% contact rate last seven days (-8%)

Shaw is also 1-for-16 this past week and hadn't homered in over two weeks until Tuesday night. He's predictably fallen off in the second half, just as he did last season in Boston. When it's all said and done, Shaw will have produced a fine season in terms of power and can be considered a solid starter in mixed leagues. That can't be guaranteed for the rest of September, however.

 

More Risers and Fallers




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Tre Mann

Uncertain for Monday's Game Against Nets
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deandre Ayton

Leaves Game With Knee Soreness
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Williams

Questionable With Adductor Issue
P.J. Washington

Uncertain For Monday's Contest
Daniel Gafford

Expected To Miss Second Straight Game
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
Noah Clowney

Considered Probable for Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Listed as Probable for Monday's Matchup
Caris LeVert

Expected Back Monday
Duncan Robinson

Questionable to Face Hawks
Jalen Duren

Likely to Return Against Hawks Monday
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
Alexandre Sarr

Iffy for Monday
Mark Williams

Available Against Lakers Monday
Ryan Dunn

on Track to Return Monday
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Uncertain for Monday
Coby White

Returning to Bulls Lineup Monday
Paolo Banchero

Unavailable Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

to Miss 3-4 Weeks
Jarrett Allen

to Miss a Week of Action
Justin Herbert

Suffers Fractured Hand in Week 13, Will Have Surgery
Kimani Vidal

has Season-High in Rushing Yards in Win Over Raiders
De'Von Achane

Looks Unstoppable on the Ground in Week 13
Davante Adams

has Another Two-Touchdown Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

is Questionable to Return With Shoulder Injury
Adonai Mitchell

has Career Day With 102 Yards, Touchdown in Win
Bijan Robinson

Compiles 191 Total Yards, Touchdown in Loss to Jets
Shedeur Sanders

Will Start Again in Week 14 Against Titans
Mike Evans

Could Return in Week 14
Keon Coleman

Active for Week 13
Dalton Kincaid

Officially Inactive for Week 13
Kyren Williams

Returns in Week 13 After Injury Scare
Kyren Williams

Suffers Apparent Leg Injury in Week 13, Status Unclear
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Henri Jokiharju

Lands on Injured Reserve
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Pavel Zacha

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
David Pastrnak

Out for Second Consecutive Game
William Nylander

Available Saturday
Kyle Palmieri

Out for 6-8 Months With Torn ACL
Jake Walman

Sidelined for Third Consecutive Game
Jack Roslovic

to Miss Two Weeks
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte
J.T. Realmuto

Red Sox Showing Interest in J.T. Realmuto
Sonny Gray

Red Sox Acquire Sonny Gray From the Cardinals

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP