Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Buy or Sell: Undervalued and Overvalued Players for Week 19


Today's piece covers a set of players who either should not be available on waivers or will return back there soon. Most of the earlier editions of this recurring buy or sell article have included several universally owned players whose values have been manipulated enough by early-season performances. Unfortunately, as we get deeper into the year, the regression fairies come to ruin every savvy owner's fun.

Nevertheless, there is nothing worse than seeing one of your guys continually underperform. However, if that is the case, eight times out-of-ten it is most prudent to hold on until they at least get hot to then sell. Contrarily, do not buy high, unless it is in your best interest to win now and that player fills a particular need. These rules can be broken as we get down the stretch of the season and every win matters. If you need a win in H2H or a particular category filled in rotisserie, buy or sell what you must to get to where you need.  The home stretch is dark and full of terrors. Injured and underperforming players can be let go if they are taking up a roster spot that could be filled by someone much more productive. Evaluate wisely.

Anyway, these buys and sells are where your focus should be for this upcoming week. Best of luck dealing.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!

 

Undervalued Players - Week 19

These players could be worth trying to add or acquire as long as you're not paying for preseason value. Ideally, they are just lying around on your wire and you can add them straight up or for a few extra FAAB dollars.

 

Jesse Winker - OF, CIN

26% owned

Jesse Winker's breakout has been put on hold several times this season. After offseason shoulder surgery to address a lingering issue from the past few years, plenty in the fantasy industry deemed Winker as a sleeper/breakout candidate for 2019. Although the rest of the year may not be to the expected caliber of pre-season analysis, he should be more than serviceable at the top of the Reds' lineup.

Winker could be experiencing his 2nd-half breakout right now, getting a little hot over the past two weeks. With the waiver wire fairly barren this deep into the season, he's a worthwhile grab. The Reds' lineup is slightly worse without Yasiel Puig, but they seem committed to playing out the season and trying to win. Worst-comes-to-worst, drop him and move on. The cost of acquisition is low enough to not affect you at all.

 

Willie Calhoun - OF/DH, TEX

10% owned

Willie is officially free (for the time being). The Rangers have jerked him around between the MLB and Triple-A, but, as of now, it seems that he should be up for the rest of the year as Joey Gallo rehabs his broken hamate bone. Calhoun is an extremely talented hitter. One that *should* be a mainstay in lineups, especially for an AL squad. However, it just has not been the case up to this point for presumably his shoddy defensive capabilities.

Calhoun's slashing .295/.335/.550 in 125 major league plate appearances this season, that plays in every format. His walk rate is a tad low, but with a 20 percent strikeout rate, it's not a profile killer. He's flashed some pop with his 15 extra-base hits and shown considerable improvement from the past two years of performance with Texas. These next two months are essentially an extended prove-it period for Calhoun to start regularly next season. With the every day play-time, decent hitting talent in the lineup, and hitter-friendly home park, Calhoun is a solid grab in all leagues.

 

Archie Bradley - RP, ARI

45% owned

The ERA and especially WHIP on the year are disgusting, but Bradley might be the closer on a .500 team. If his strikeouts weren't great (29.5 percent K-rate), he would not be on this list. There is potential for Bradley to truly shine in the ninth-inning role. The DBacks have teased him the past few years and kept him away from it to keep his arbitration value lower, but now, it might finally be time to unleash the beard.

Bradley holds a 3.18 FIP and 3.76 xFIP, there is still good stuff here. If he could just keep the walks a little lower and get some favorable BABIP regression, he could be one of the better save options in the second half of the season. Definitely prefer him over someone like Joe Jimenez who has a similar high-K, poor ratio profile, but plays on a significantly worse team and should not see as many opportunities as Bradley.

 

Overvalued Players - Week 19

Overvalued does not always mean SELL. Players here are just showing enough red flags that warrant the overvalued tag and could even be dropped if they have not produced enough.

 

Justin Upton- OF, LAA

72% owned

Justin Upton is borderline droppable at this point. I doubt he can fetch anything in most leagues at the moment. With the playoffs on the horizon, you need everyone contributing at full-strength. Upton came into the year with an injury that held him out for roughly half the year and he is clearly still not in rhythm at the plate.

Although a buffer period and patience are required, it's hard to hold in crunch time when every win matters down the stretch. The Angels' offense and home park are not really strong enough selling points to need a piece that is not Trout or Ohtani. He's someone to buy back in on next season for cheap given that he will only be turning 32. Expectations will rightfully be lowered significantly given the production slide over the past three seasons.

 

Jose Quintana - SP, CHC

68% owned

Jose Quintana has regressed even further this season. His FIP/xFIP were below four just two years ago, but he has not been the same pitcher since. His k-rate is the lowest it's been since his rookie season and that is essentially the biggest culprit to his recent demise. A slight dip in his fastball velocity seems to be causing this and unless he can regain something above 92 on average, he's a hard sell. It is definitely too late in the season to convince any league-mates on a bounceback, but you never know. His quality start against the Brewers on Friday may just get someone to believe in him.

Honestly, if it comes down to it in playoff time, Quintana is not an unreasonable drop-candidate. He does not really do much for your ratios, nor does he amass enough strikeouts to justify butchering them. I guess he's good for wins and quality starts, but those are replaceable by a streamer. The recent addition of Nicholas Castellanos worries me even more given his defensive deficiencies matched with Kyle Schwarber's in the outfield corners. Jason Heyward is not enough of a wizard out there to make up for both of them.

The Cubs schedule is extremely favorable ROS, but even so, Quintana could struggle. I would try to trade him first, hold for a bit longer if no one bites, and then cut bait if things sour further.

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




More Recent Articles

 

Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 15

In Week 14, DeAndre Hopkins and Michael Thomas were the high-end options that came through with solid performances, both finishing in the top-five even though they had fairly tough matchups. A.J. Brown finished as the No. 1 receiver on the week, scoring two touchdowns off of just seven targets, while Darius Slayton and Emmanuel Sanders... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 15

Welcome to our Week 15 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Woos and Boos - Starts and Sits for Week 15 Lineups

The trend of fresh faces being among the tops of the fantasy scoring leaderboard continued in Week 14. Across the skill positions, we saw players that took advantage of plus matchups and excelled for fantasy owners during the first week of the playoffs. Mitchell Trubisky and Drew Lock came out of nowhere to finish inside... Read More


Week 15 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 15 James Conner is expected to make his return this week. Devante Parker (concussion) is good to go for... Read More


Week 15-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Still doing things a little differently this week--for those of you who are still alive. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Week 15 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the playoffs are in full swing in most leagues and the final march for a championship has begun, streaming becomes a  necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions could easily be the difference in winning... Read More


Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 15

Welcome to Week 15, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More


Week 15 Panic Room: Outlooks for Slumping and Injured Players

As you set your Week 15 fantasy football playoff lineups, there may be some players who make you feel very uncomfortable about starting them. Based on recent lackluster performances, injuries, or just an intangible bad vibe, it's a struggle to insert them into your lineup in a do-or-die week. But you may also nervous be... Read More


Drew Lock: Is He Ready For Fantasy Football Playoff Consideration?

There is much excitement in Denver after Drew Lock put on an air display at Houston last week. In just his second NFL start, the rookie threw for 309 yards and three TD passes, all in the first half, as the Broncos stunned the AFC South leaders, 38-24. The final score doesn’t indicate what type... Read More


Survive and Advance: The King's Guide to Fantasy Football Playoff Sanity and Success

As the playoffs progress in the NFL every season, media coverage ramps up. By the time we get to Super Bowl week, it's become a full-blown circus. There are microphones and recorders being shoved in players' faces at every waking moment, and the questions never stop. As the fantasy football playoffs move ahead, there is... Read More


Red Zone Usage Risers and Fallers - Week 15

We are at a crucial point in the season. Hopefully, your team is still alive, but there is always an opportunity to get your team in shape before that final push! As fantasy owners, we know that not all touches are equal. A touch in the red zone has an increased chance of scoring a... Read More


QB vs Pass Rush Matchups To Watch - Week 15

Week 15 is here, and the fantasy playoffs are rolling. Some head into the fantasy semifinals as big favorites but others are scrapping to keep their season alive. Real teams start at quarterback, and the position is pretty important for fantasy as well. Quarterbacks have changed the game for fantasy football this year with guys... Read More


Inside the Tent - Week 15 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More


NFL Matchup Ratings Tool - Weekly Player Projections

  If you see the red "Upgrade" button below, then you are not a Premium subscriber, or have not yet logged in. Learn more about our NFL Matchup Ratings and projections system.   NFL Matchup Ratings - Weekly Lineup Projections FLEX RB WR TE QB DEF K ** click column headers to sort table Player... Read More